My prediction for Bengal Election - Phase 2 142 seats: Area BJP TMC Greater Kolkata 18 24 Hoogly 13 8 Nadia 11 3 N 24 Parganas 16 9 S 24 Parganas 4 10 Howrah 4 10 Purba Bardhaman 6 6 TOTAL Phase 2 142 72 70 Phase 1 152 102 40 Phase 1 + 2 BJP TMC Rest 294 174 110 10 Since I have been conservative, BJP has limited downside of about 4-5 seats maximum while upside could be around 10-15 seats if the “poriborton” wave really kicks in. Hence, in my assessment, the range is as follows: BJP = 170 to 190 TMC = 100 to 120 Rest = 5 to 15
