MS | ETFGo 🇨🇦
3.8K posts

MS | ETFGo 🇨🇦
@TappingOutEarly
Sharing CDN ETF, Market & Lifestyle Trends || CAREER: Cboe, iShares, Purpose, Claymore, TDAM || NOW: #ETFs #FIRE #FinLit #Travel #CottageLife #photography

Here's your intermarket cheat sheet All those critical levels in play for risk assets... are likely to be violated if these bases break higher $DXY $HYG


47% of total Canadian payroll sits in jobs that are highly exposed to AI. This weekend, @karpathy published an AI exposure analysis for the US job market. I adapted it to Canadian jobs data. Full heatmap + dashboard link below. 3 things that stood out: 1) The higher you're paid, the more exposed you are. Workers earning $100K+ have an average AI exposure of 6.7/10. Those marking under $35K? Just 3.4/10. AI is coming fast for knowledge work, not manual labour. 2) Education amplifies exposure. University-educated workers face the highest AI exposure. Those with no formal education face the least. 3) 7.9M Canadian workers are in high-exposure occupations (score 6+). That's 39% of the workforce. Check out the heatmap across 500+ job categories: reuven-rgb.github.io/canadian-ai-jo… @KirkLubimov @danielfoch



Must read - this is free and not me. @georgenoble/note/c-226667679?r=4repfn&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=notes-share-action" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">substack.com/@georgenoble/n…
This is the most SHAMELESS structural manipulation of a major index I've ever seen. SpaceX is preparing what could be the largest IPO in history. Target valuation: $1.75 trillion. That would make it the sixth-largest company in America on day one. And Nasdaq wants the listing so badly they're literally CHANGING how the Nasdaq-100 works. In February, Nasdaq published a "consultation" proposing sweeping changes to how companies enter the index. The timing is pure coincidence, of course. Just like it's pure coincidence that SpaceX has reportedly made fast index inclusion a CONDITION of listing on Nasdaq. Here's what they're proposing: A new "Fast Entry" rule would let any newly listed company whose market cap ranks in the top 40 of current Nasdaq-100 members get added to the index after just 15 trading days. No seasoning period. No liquidity requirements. Completely exempt from the standards every other company had to meet. Currently, new public companies typically wait up to a year before they're eligible for major index inclusion. That waiting period exists for a reason. It lets the market establish real price discovery. It protects passive investors from being forced into untested, illiquid stocks. And Nasdaq wants to throw all of that out. For ONE listing. But the Fast Entry rule isn't even the worst part... The real scandal is the 5x float multiplier. Right now, the S&P 500 uses a free-float adjusted methodology. If only 5% of a company's shares are available for public trading, the index weights you at 5% of total market cap. That's common sense. You weight a company based on what investors can actually buy. Nasdaq's current methodology already uses total market cap rather than free-float for weighting. But for very low-float stocks, they at least had a 10% minimum float threshold. Under the new proposal, that threshold DISAPPEARS entirely. Instead, any stock with less than 20% free float gets weighted at FIVE TIMES its actual float percentage, capped at 100%. Do the math on SpaceX: If SpaceX IPOs at $1.75 trillion and floats 5% of its shares, there would be roughly $87.5 billion worth of stock available for public trading. Under Nasdaq's proposed 5x multiplier, the index would weight SpaceX at 25% of its total market cap. That means passive funds would be forced to buy as if SpaceX were a $437.5 billion company. But only $87.5 billion of stock actually exists in the market. You are forcing hundreds of billions in passive buying into a $87.5 billion float. QQQ alone manages nearly $400 billion. The total Nasdaq-100 ecosystem represents over $1.4 trillion in exposure across ETFs, mutual funds, structured notes, and derivatives. Every single passive vehicle tracking this index would be REQUIRED to buy SpaceX at whatever price the market dictates. On Day 15. With zero price discovery. Zero track record as a public company. And a float so thin you could read through it. So what this actually does is it creates a structural wealth transfer mechanism. The passive bid from index funds pushes the stock price higher. That higher price benefits exactly one group of people: the insiders and early investors who own the other 95% of the shares. And when lock-up periods expire 90 to 180 days later? Those insiders sell into the artificially inflated passive bid. Your 401(k) is the exit liquidity. This is the fundamental corruption of indexing. Indexing used to be brilliant. Low cost. Efficient. You were free-riding on the price discovery done by active managers. The index reflected the market. Now the index IS the market. Trillions of dollars flow blindly into whatever the index tells them to buy. And the people who control the index methodology are changing the rules to serve the interests of a single IPO candidate. The S&P 500 requires companies to have at least…
⭕️No matter how you slice it, something doesn't add up—especially given that Kharg Island was targeted early in the conflict. ⭕️Even if the entire island were turned into molten lava from volcanic-level destruction, the actual hit to Iran's oil export capacity would be s limited . Anyone claiming that bombing or seizing Kharg would cripple the regime's ability to keep oil flowing clearly doesn't understand Iran's oil infrastructure.





Sometimes all I think about is you…


Here's the performance of major equity classes for the week in Canadian Dollars. U.S.stocks XUS: -1.38% Canadian stocks XIC -3.39% International developed XEF -5.08% International emerging -6.52% When the markets puke, there's nowhere to hide. Canadian energy stocks were down for the week even though we've seen a massive spike in oil and gas prices. Gold was also down. There are times when traders (not investors) sell everything.


We asked people around the world to rate the morality and ethics of others in their country. The U.S. is the only place we surveyed where more adults describe the morality and ethics of others living in the country as bad than good. See our full morality report here: pewresearch.org/religion/2026/…



The market spends <10% of its time with $VIX above 30. Those rare moments? They're historically some of the best entry points. Forward returns at VIX 30+ have historically been strong. Volatility isn't risk - it's opportunity mispriced.











