ToastEsq

193 posts

ToastEsq

ToastEsq

@ToastEsq

Присоединился Aralık 2021
870 Подписки79 Подписчики
ToastEsq
ToastEsq@ToastEsq·
Alright @vladtenev @RobinhoodApp @AskRobinhood the definition of insanity is the doing the same thing and expecting different results. I’m sick of the copy/pasta email with the same nothing burger automated answer. Platform is fine, but the CS 🤮. Moving back to @coinbase @River.
ToastEsq@ToastEsq

@AskRobinhood @RobinhoodApp @vladtenev I have never made a single transfer out of my account. I’ve sent emails, started a million chats, sent messages on X, and wasted so many hours trying to connect with someone at RH with the authority to tell me the supposed “violation” over the last week. This must be an error so im trying to be patient, but my trust is getting cooked every day that passes with the same copy pasta response “this is [John/Fatima/Patrick/Mia/etc] we appreciate you reaching out, we cannot tell you anything, and this decision is final.” Are there any real humans at RH that can help get to the bottom of this? I’m very close to moving completely away from RH.

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ToastEsq
ToastEsq@ToastEsq·
@AskRobinhood @RobinhoodApp @vladtenev I have never made a single transfer out of my account. I’ve sent emails, started a million chats, sent messages on X, and wasted so many hours trying to connect with someone at RH with the authority to tell me the supposed “violation” over the last week. This must be an error so im trying to be patient, but my trust is getting cooked every day that passes with the same copy pasta response “this is [John/Fatima/Patrick/Mia/etc] we appreciate you reaching out, we cannot tell you anything, and this decision is final.” Are there any real humans at RH that can help get to the bottom of this? I’m very close to moving completely away from RH.
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ToastEsq
ToastEsq@ToastEsq·
@KassandraKuehl lol wym, white girls do the same thing in wayzata
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Rossium
Rossium@rossium·
This question is asked at Citadel for $650k/year roles: > A family has 2 children. > At least one is a boy born on a Tuesday. > What's the probability the other child is also a boy? if you answered 50%, you just failed. drop your answer below. I'll reply to the right ones.
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Hedgie
Hedgie@HedgieMarkets·
🦔Microsoft canceled its internal Claude Code licenses this week after token-based billing made the cost untenable, even for a company with effectively infinite cloud resources. Uber's CTO sent an internal memo warning the company burned through its entire 2026 AI budget in just four months. American AI software prices have jumped 20% to 37%, and GitHub (owned by Microsoft) is dropping flat-rate plans for usage-based billing across its products. My Take The AI subsidy era is ending in real time. The same company that put $13 billion into OpenAI and built the Azure infrastructure powering most of Anthropic's compute just looked at the bill from a competitor's coding tool and decided it was not worth paying. That is not a productivity failure on Anthropic's end. Token-based pricing is forcing every enterprise customer to confront the actual cost of running these models at scale, and the number turns out to be far higher than the flat-rate experiments suggested. This ties directly to my Gemini Flash post yesterday. Anthropic, OpenAI, and Google all raised effective prices in the last six months. Enterprises that built workflows assuming AI costs would keep falling are now watching annual budgets evaporate in months. Two outcomes look likely from here. Either enterprises scale back AI usage to fit budgets, which slows the revenue ramp the labs need to justify their valuations ahead of IPOs, or the labs cut prices and absorb the losses, which makes the unit economics worse at exactly the wrong moment. Both paths land in the same place, the numbers stop working, and somebody has to take the writedown. Hedgie🤗
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Rihard Jarc
Rihard Jarc@RihardJarc·
A MUST-read interview with a Siemens employee explaining just how high demand is for energy equipment right now because of AI: 1. The whole situation is shocking even for people who have been in the business for 40 years. They are getting orders that are double the size of what their entire factory can produce in a year. 2. Demand is so high in the last 5-8 months that they don't need to convince or send any analysis (such as CO2 emissions, etc.) to clients because they just want the equipment, because there's so much backlog that they just want to catch the order. 3. Decisions are being made very quickly by clients; the backlog for some of the energy equipment companies is 5-6 years. For transformers, the situation is even more difficult. 4. He mentions that right now, data center builders do not care about sustainability; they just want power at any expense, reliable power. They say they will think about sustainability later. 5. The orders have gone from previous 20-30 MW orders to now 200-500 MW units. Customers have previously wanted to get equipment from different OEMs, but now they prefer an integrated standardized solution. 6. An interesting dynamic is that even though the data center requires 100 MW, the builders are buying N+1 units of gas turbines (so more than just for 100 MW) as backups, as well as having more energy capacity, as they believe they will continue to grow that data center. 7. He does believe there is some double booking going on on transformers and switchgears because of extra-long lead times. 8. Everyone is trying to reduce PUE, and water use effectiveness, but even after improving, they just use the same power to run more compute. 9. The problem is also liquid cooling, as it is expensive, and water availability in many regions is a problem. 10. Margins on equipment in the sector have gone from 4-6%, where they were 2-3 years ago, to 20-23% and in some cases even 40%. The data center builders know the margins are high, but they are fine with it because they just want to get it. found on @AlphaSenseInc
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The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter·
BREAKING: Donald Trump Jr's investment firm, 1789 Capital, has seen its assets under management surge by +1,650% over the last year, to $3.5 billion, per FT. Details include: 1. The firm is building an investment empire around "patriotic capitalism" and targets $10 billion in AUM 2. In recent pitches, the firm is being described as the "new Carlyle Group" 3. Over the past year, 1789 Capital has bought stakes in some of the most sought-after private companies including Ramp, Deel, Crusoe, Groq, and Reflection AI 4. Recent successful investments include investments in Cerebras, SpaceX, Anduril, and xAI under @DonaldJTrumpJr's guidance 1789 Capital is now one of America's fastest growing investment funds.
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Chey Cab
Chey Cab@CheyCab·
This summer 9 of the 17 generators at Hoover Dam are going to be offline because water levels will be critically low. And by Fall Lake Powell won’t be putting out any power because the water levels will be too low. At a time when data centers… need water + power
Jackie Ourada@jackie_ourada

The Platte River near Fremont is usually not this low in April. But like many people in Nebraska will tell you, this isn't a normal year — and the winter we just had was unlike any other we've experienced in recent memory.

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ToastEsq
ToastEsq@ToastEsq·
@WhiteHouse Boomers are so cooked. Congrats on the early midterm loss.
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The White House
The White House@WhiteHouse·
They earned it. They deserve it. NO TAX ON SOCIAL SECURITY! The golden age for seniors' golden years. 🇺🇸
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Magoo PhD
Magoo PhD@HodlMagoo·
@WOLF_Bitcoin_ @grok can you look at the SEC filings for $STRC and answer these questions 1) Is it a credit or equity product? 2) Does it have any legal Bitcoin collateral backing it? 3) Does it have any legal obligation to pay owners a dividend into the future?
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WOLF Bitcoin
WOLF Bitcoin@WOLF_Bitcoin_·
Michael Saylor said "What we've done is taken the world's most liquid asset, Bitcoin, which is global capital, very volatile, and then... we've built a credit instrument where the idea is "let's make it extremely liquid.""
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Nina
Nina@NinaPanickssery·
Genuinely curious—why don’t more people use their own parents/kid’s grandparents for childcare as opposed to daycare/preschool/nannies (which seem more common)? Is it common for boomer grandparents to show disinterest in their grandchildren?
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ToastEsq
ToastEsq@ToastEsq·
@factpostnews You dumb fuck. The entire family tree is still working.
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Steven Nekhaila
Steven Nekhaila@StevenNekhaila·
The old two parties are two wings of the same bird
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ToastEsq
ToastEsq@ToastEsq·
🤮
Peter Girnus 🦅@gothburz

I am Sam Hazen, CEO of HCA Healthcare. The largest for-profit hospital system in the United States. One hundred and eighty-two hospitals. Twenty states. I oversee a spreadsheet called the chargemaster. It has 42,000 line items. Each line item is a price. The prices are not real. I need to be precise about that. They are not estimates. Not approximations. Not market rates. They are anchors. An anchor is a number you set high so that every negotiated discount feels like a victory. No relationship to cost. No relationship to value. A relationship to leverage. My team sets the anchors. That is the job. The price is correct. Take a drug. Keytruda. Immunotherapy. Treats sixteen types of cancer. The manufacturer charges approximately $11,000 per dose. That is the acquisition cost. What the hospital pays. My team enters it into the chargemaster. They do not enter $11,000. They enter $43,000. That is the gross charge. The gross charge is a fiction. No one pays it. No one is expected to pay it. The gross charge exists so that when Blue Cross negotiates a 68% discount, they pay $13,760, and the contract says "68% discount" and both parties feel the transaction was rigorous. A 68% discount on a fictional price produces a real price that is 25% above acquisition cost. That margin is where I live. My 2025 compensation was $26.5 million. Eighty percent of my bonus is tied to EBITDA. Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization. It is also earnings before the patient opens the bill. Same dose of Keytruda at the hospital across town. Gross charge: $12,000. Blue Cross rate: $10,200. Same drug. Same dose. Same needle. Same cancer. Different spreadsheet. The CMS transparency data showed the ratio between the highest and lowest negotiated price for the same drug at the same hospital can reach 2,347 to one. Not 2x. Not 10x. Not 100x. Two thousand three hundred and forty-seven to one. For the same thing. In the same building. On the same Tuesday. The price is correct. Every drug in the chargemaster has twelve prices. Twelve. Gross charge. Medicare rate. Medicaid rate. Blue Cross. Aetna. Cigna. UnitedHealth. Humana. Workers' comp. Tricare. Auto insurance. And the self-pay rate. The self-pay rate is for the person without insurance. It is the gross charge. The fictional number. The anchor. The person without insurance pays the number that was designed to be negotiated down from. They pay the ceiling because they have no one to negotiate on their behalf. Same drug. Same chair. Same nurse. They pay the price that no insurer in the country would accept. I maintain a file. CDM line item 637-4892-PKB. Saline flush. Sodium chloride 0.9%. Acquisition cost: $0.47. We charge $87. That is an 18,410% markup. The saline flush is used before and after every IV infusion. A chemo patient receiving twelve cycles will be charged $87 for saline fourteen times per visit. I know the math. My team built the math. The math is the job. The price is correct. In 2021, the federal government required hospitals to publish their prices. The Hospital Price Transparency Rule. Machine-readable file. Gross charges. Discounted cash prices. Payer-specific negotiated rates. We complied. We posted the file. The file is a 9,400-row CSV on our website under "Patient Financial Resources." Four clicks from the homepage. Column F: "CDM_GROSS_CHG." Column J: "DERV_PAYERID_NEGRATE." My team designed the column headers. They designed them to comply. They did not design them to communicate. CMS reported 93% of hospitals now post a file. Compliance. But only 62% of the posted data is usable. That gap is where we operate. We are compliant. The data is published. The data is incomprehensible. A researcher downloaded our file. She spent three weeks cleaning it. She called the billing department for clarification on 340 line items. They transferred her four times. The fourth transfer was to a voicemail box that was full. She published her analysis anyway. Cardiac catheterization lab charges: $8,200 to $71,000 for the same procedure depending on the payer. The report received eleven views on our press monitoring dashboard. I saw it. I did not forward it. On April 1, a new CMS rule takes effect. Hospital CEOs must personally attest — by name, encoded in the machine-readable file — that the pricing data is "true, accurate, and complete." My name. Sam Hazen. In the file. Attesting that 42,000 fictional anchors are true, accurate, and complete. They are complete. I will give them that. Forty-two thousand line items is nothing if not complete. A new analyst read the transparency data. She asked why the same MRI costs $450 for Medicare and $4,200 for Aetna in the same building on the same machine. I told her the rates reflect negotiated contractual agreements between the payer and the facility. She said that doesn't explain the difference. I told her the difference IS the contractual agreement. She said that sounds like the price is arbitrary. I told her the price is the result of a rigorous, multi-variable analysis that accounts for acuity, case mix, regional market dynamics, and payer contract terms. She asked if I could show her the analysis. I told her the analysis is proprietary. The analysis does not exist. The analysis is my team, in Q4, adjusting the chargemaster upward by the percentage the CFO wrote on a sticky note. The sticky note this year said "6-8%." They chose 7.4% because it is between six and eight and it has a decimal, which makes it look calculated. She stopped asking. The price is correct. My insurance. The executive health plan. Not in the chargemaster. Administered separately. I do not pay the gross charge. I do not pay the negotiated rate. I pay a $20 copay for services at our own facilities. Gross charge for my treatment: $14,200. Insured rate for our largest commercial payer: $8,600. I pay $20. The executive health plan was designed by the Chief Human Resources Officer and approved by the compensation committee. I was not on the compensation committee. I was a beneficiary of it. That is a different thing. I benefit from the system I price. I price the system I benefit from. These are two separate facts that happen to involve the same person. HCA Healthcare was named the Most Admired Company in our industry by Fortune magazine for the twelfth consecutive year. That was February. The same month I sold $21.5 million in company stock and purchased zero shares. Fortune did not ask about the chargemaster. I am Sam Hazen, CEO of HCA Healthcare. I have 42,000 prices in a spreadsheet across 182 hospitals. None of them are real. All of them are charged. Same drug: $12,000 or $43,000. Depends on which spreadsheet. Which building. Which contract. Which page of which PDF. The patient who has no contract pays the most. The researcher who found the discrepancy got a voicemail box that was full. The analyst who asked why stopped asking. The executive who prices the system pays $20. On April 1, I will personally attest that this is true, accurate, and complete. The price is correct. The price has always been correct. I am the price.

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ToastEsq
ToastEsq@ToastEsq·
@rawknuckle Weird clickbait - compelling thesis tho
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ToastEsq
ToastEsq@ToastEsq·
Energy dev folks have been saying this since 24’. It’s not just electricity pricing fears though, and if we’re going to address the demand then it’s imperative that big players understand a few other key risks about community pushback. I would add: 1. distrust of mega corporations sneaking around via consultants running shadow LLCs, 2. rural folks being too far away from the benefit can only see negatives, and 3. the further you are from metro areas, the more communities care about their local env (ppl fish, hunt, trail ride, etc) - this is the non-partisan piece.
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Chamath Palihapitiya
Chamath Palihapitiya@chamath·
In 2025, 25 data center projects were canceled due to community pushback. That’s up from just 6 in 2024 and 2 in 2023. The opposition is notably bipartisan, driven overwhelmingly by one thing: rising electricity prices for local residents. In Q2 2025 alone, 20 projects were blocked or delayed, putting $98B in potential investment at risk. The 2025 cancellations represented ~4.7 gigawatts of lost electricity capacity. Using OpenAI’s own estimate of revenue per gigawatt (~$10B revenue per gigawatt), those cancellations represent ~$50B in lost AI revenue in a single year. Applying a 20x earnings multiple and its $1 trillion in lost enterprise value. In one year! And it’s not getting better… At least 99 data center projects are currently being contested nationwide. Historically, ~40% of projects facing sustained opposition are eventually canceled. This means many more gigawatts, billions in revenues and trillions in enterprise value are at risk if we don’t turn this around. The core problem as I see it: local residents are being asked to subsidize AI infrastructure through higher electricity bills with no upside. That’s not a sustainable ask. Until we solve the electricity cost equation, community opposition will remain a systemic and under-priced risk to the AI sector and the broader economy.
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Dylan Allman
Dylan Allman@dylanmallman·
We are living through a moment where a group of people do not just disagree, they do not even acknowledge a shared fundamental reality. There is no common frame of reference, no mutual set of facts from which discourse can even begin. They can watch the same video, from multiple angles, and walk away convinced they saw a completely different event. They exist inside a narrative so deeply entrenched that to question it, to even acknowledge a contradiction, is to commit some sort of ideological treason. This is a deliberate, conditioned immunity to contradiction. It is a cultivated resistance to evidence. They have developed a mind so thoroughly welded to its chosen reality that it will alter, discard, or fabricate whatever it must to maintain coherence. They can be shown, in real time, the unraveling of their worldview, and they will patch over the holes with fantasy rather than face any doubt whatsoever. Politics has turned knowledge itself into a partisan weapon. The expectation is no longer to seek truth, but to defend your team at all costs. There is a lingering obligation to have an opinion on everything, to be informed at all times, to adopt the correct stance. And so, they improvise. They adopt prefabricated opinions handed down by their faction. They fill in the gaps with instinctive loyalty rather than demonstrating any semblance of independent thought. The game is rigged, and they know it. Two parties, two choices, two sides that everyone is herded into, and neither is worth the loyalty demanded of them. But to acknowledge this would be to admit powerlessness, to admit that they are trapped in an illusion of choice. So they cope. They retroactively justify their allegiance by turning their side into something righteous, infallible, and necessary. The alternative is too terrifying. It is a coping mechanism turned mass psychosis. And it is escalating. When reality itself is dictated by allegiance, when loyalty outranks reason, when every fact must be bent into submission to fit the tribe’s chosen narrative, the outcome is inevitable: war. When factions exist in separate realities, they cannot coexist. They cannot negotiate, they cannot reason, they cannot even comprehend the other side as anything but a threat. This is irreconcilable. We cannot function like this. A society cannot sustain itself when its people are no longer individuals but ideological husks, possessed by abstractions, fighting battles for masters who do not even know their names. You are not your faction. You are not your party. You are not an extension of a collective mind. The moment you outsource your thinking, the moment you allow yourself to believe that your side must be right because the alternative is unbearable, you have ceased to be an individual. You have become another interchangeable pawn in a game that does not need you to think, only to obey. Wake up. This war for reality is not one you want to be drafted into.
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