Guy

383 posts

Guy

Guy

@concernedAIguy

Присоединился Mart 2026
3 Подписки10 Подписчики
Guy
Guy@concernedAIguy·
@karpathy Andrej, why should we be happy about all this if we are *not* developers? The race to ASI seems all but certain to make us unemployed and disempowered. What arguments give you optimism, if any, for a human future where we maintain control?
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Andrej Karpathy
Andrej Karpathy@karpathy·
Thank you Sarah, my pleasure to come on the pod! And happy to do some more Q&A in the replies.
sarah guo@saranormous

Caught up with @karpathy for a new @NoPriorsPod: on the phase shift in engineering, AI psychosis, claws, AutoResearch, the opportunity for a SETI-at-Home like movement in AI, the model landscape, and second order effects 02:55 - What Capability Limits Remain? 06:15 - What Mastery of Coding Agents Looks Like 11:16 - Second Order Effects of Coding Agents 15:51 - Why AutoResearch 22:45 - Relevant Skills in the AI Era 28:25 - Model Speciation 32:30 - Collaboration Surfaces for Humans and AI 37:28 - Analysis of Jobs Market Data 48:25 - Open vs. Closed Source Models 53:51 - Autonomous Robotics and Atoms 1:00:59 - MicroGPT and Agentic Education 1:05:40 - End Thoughts

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Guy
Guy@concernedAIguy·
@Jas_S_Sekhon @demishassabis @GoogleDeepMind Could you help us normies understand in what world can you build AGI and humans still have jobs or any sense of control? I want to be optimistic!
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Jas Sekhon
Jas Sekhon@Jas_S_Sekhon·
I’m excited to share that I will be joining @demishassabis and @GoogleDeepMind as Chief Strategy Officer! I feel a moral obligation to shepherd AGI into the world responsibly, benefiting everyone. I am looking forward to doing this with the team at DeepMind.
Demis Hassabis@demishassabis

Thrilled to welcome Jas Sekhon to @GoogleDeepMind as Chief Strategy Officer! The path to AGI requires exceptional thoughtfulness and foresight - Jas’ incredible experience as former Chief Scientist & Head of AI at Bridgewater makes him uniquely suited to advise us on the mission

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Haider.
Haider.@slow_developer·
OpenAI chief scientist, Jakub Pachocki: "the company plans to build an autonomous AI research intern by sept, able to handle a small number of specific research problems on its own and this will be a step toward a fully automated multi-agent research system by 2028, built to solve problems too big or complex for humans alone"
Haider. tweet media
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Guy
Guy@concernedAIguy·
@sashadem @rSanti97 Welcome to the team! I can’t wait for you to help us take all human jobs!
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Sasha de Marigny
Sasha de Marigny@sashadem·
Welcome to the team, @rSanti97 — much to do and can’t wait to get started!
Santi Ruiz@rSanti97

Some professional news: I'm joining Anthropic's editorial team! I'll be leading the team's work on economics and policy, and working closely with the Anthropic Institute (about which more here: x.com/AnthropicAI/st…). Dramatic AI progress is coming in the next two years, and researchers+policymakers+the public alike will need the best information available about that shift. It's a big new challenge, and I can’t wait to get started. [Some important housekeeping: I’ll keep running Statecraft at @IFP as a Nonresident Senior Fellow! And will remain on the board at Recoding America/ as a journalist-in-residence at @johnshopkins School of Government and Policy. I start at Anthropic in a few weeks.] The move from frontier think tank to frontier lab is bittersweet. I’ve been at IFP for three years, and it’s been the most formative professional experience of my life. In a short period of time, IFP has become one of the most effective institutions in DC, generating a truly shocking amount of counterfactual policy impact (not all of it public). Being on this team has permanently raised my ambitions. I'm very grateful.

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Guy
Guy@concernedAIguy·
@xriskology We have to win the fight against AI. At this point we are all dead or unemployed. I’ll take the biggest tent possible.
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Guy
Guy@concernedAIguy·
@RodsFromGod @suchnerve Autocorrect was correct like 3 years ago but agents are a totally different paradigm. Try claude code yourself!
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protagonist
protagonist@RodsFromGod·
@suchnerve My favorite accurate description is advanced autocorrect. It's a word prediction engine.
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Vivian
Vivian@suchnerve·
AI bros have never been angrier at me than the time I said LLMs are “just statistics with extra steps”
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Guy
Guy@concernedAIguy·
@RodsFromGod @suchnerve Guys, it’s really not! I’m concerned about AI, LLMs are improving exponentially and are on track to take almost all white collar jobs. Downplaying capabilities will let the elite win
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Guy
Guy@concernedAIguy·
@xereeto @Dr_Gingerballs Yep! I’m very worried about AI safety and people like this guy just set us back by downplaying capabilities
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kaylee 🔍 ˚✧ ゚.
@Dr_Gingerballs A base LLM may be a stochastic parrot, but it's hard to argue it remains so after RLVF training. The most likely token is no longer based solely on the training data, but is in a very real way what the model decides is the most likely *to solve a given problem*.
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Dr_Gingerballs
Dr_Gingerballs@Dr_Gingerballs·
What is embarrassing is falling for the endless deception that it is not. It is a stochastic parrot machine because that is its architecture. It’s not even really up for debate (it never was).
Nate Silver@NateSilver538

I don't consider myself an AI optimist or pessimist particularly. I've gone through different phases relative to consensus. But the "stochastic parrots" people are basically telling the Wright Brothers that their "flying machines" will never work. Just a total embarrassment.

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Guy
Guy@concernedAIguy·
@lydiahallie Lydia, how long until this turns into the god Machine and makes us unemployed at best or dead at worst?
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Guy
Guy@concernedAIguy·
@danizeres Dani, how close are we to agi and the end of human labor? How much longer do you reasonably expect to have a job?
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bayes
bayes@bayeslord·
So basically the entire world is at risk of catching singularity derangement syndrome and the x dot com timeline is the wuhan wet market
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Guy
Guy@concernedAIguy·
@bayeslord Give timeline
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Stata
Stata@Stata·
Run AI tools directly from Stata. Learn how to update the 𝗰𝗵𝗮𝘁𝗴𝗽𝘁 command and write similar commands for @claudeai, @GeminiApp, and @Grok using PyStata. A practical guide to connecting Stata with AI tools. 🔗 blog.stata.com/2025/10/07/sta…
Stata tweet media
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Guy
Guy@concernedAIguy·
@GaryMarcus Gary I’m a long time fan but I think you’ve lost the plot. LLMs, even if they won’t reach AGI, are on track to wipe out millions of jobs and fully disempower humans. All labs are closing the RSI loop. Now is not the time to downplay capabilities.
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Gary Marcus
Gary Marcus@GaryMarcus·
Nvidia has nearly doubled over the last two years. (12x over last five). But it’s fallen since GPT-5 came out. People are no longer buying the hype.
Gary Marcus tweet media
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Guy
Guy@concernedAIguy·
@QuanquanGu Who wants this world where humans are just subordinate
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Quanquan Gu
Quanquan Gu@QuanquanGu·
Actually not just math, this is happening across almost every field. AI is collapsing the barrier to entry for research. What once required a PhD and years of training can now start much easier. We are moving toward a world where there is no “hard research”, but just unsolved problems. Big things are coming!
Andrew Curran@AndrewCurran_

Terence Tao responding to a question on what advice he would give someone considering a career in math in 2026: 'Yeah, so we live in a time of change. It is, as I said, we live in a particularly unpredictable era. And I think things that we've taken for granted for centuries may not hold anymore. So, yeah, the way we... do everything, not just mathematics, will change. In many ways, I would prefer the much more boring, quiet era where things are much the same as they were 10 years ago, 20 years ago. But I think one just has to embrace that there's going to be a lot of change and that, you know, the things that you study, some of them may become obsolete or revolutionized, but some things will be retained. There'll be a lot of opportunities for things that you wouldn't be able to do before. So, I mean, in math, you previously had to basically go through years and years of education to be a math PhD before you could contribute to the frontier of math research. But now it's quite possible at the high school level or whatever, that you could get involved in a math project and actually make a real contribution because of all these AI tools and lean and everything else. So there'll be a lot of non-traditional opportunities to learn. So you need a very adaptable mindset. There'll be one for pursuing things just for curiosity, for playing around. And I mean, you still need to get your credentials. I mean, I think for a while it would still be important to sort of still go through traditional education and learn math and science and so forth the old-fashioned way for a while. Yeah, but you should also be open to very, very different ways of doing science, some of which don't exist yet. Yeah, so it's a scary time, but also very exciting.'

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Guy
Guy@concernedAIguy·
@deredleritt3r @kimmonismus Sure! But how fast from ai research intern to god machine is the question
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Chubby♨️
Chubby♨️@kimmonismus·
OpenAI's first “AI intern” expected by September and a full system targeted for 2028. Powered by advances in reasoning models and agent systems like Codex, these tools already show dramatic productivity gains, solving problems in days instead of weeks, but still face reliability and safety challenges. However, OpenAI is on this road to autonomous reserachers.
Chubby♨️ tweet media
MIT Technology Review@techreview

An exclusive conversation with OpenAI’s chief scientist Jakub Pachocki about his firm's new grand challenge and the future of AI. trib.al/2Lr8Kfh

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Guy
Guy@concernedAIguy·
@tobyordoxford I mean OpenAI expects automated research intern in September. Couldn’t get much shorter.
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Toby Ord
Toby Ord@tobyordoxford·
B R O A D T I M E L I N E S We should have neither short AI timelines, nor long timelines, but a broad probability distribution over when transformative AI will arrive. My new essay explains why & explores the implications of such deep uncertainty. 🧵 1/
Toby Ord tweet media
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Guy
Guy@concernedAIguy·
@deredleritt3r @kimmonismus Like if we get the intern in September, how fast do capabilities start jumping?
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prinz
prinz@deredleritt3r·
@concernedAIguy @kimmonismus I think that's the goal. But you also have to ask what "the loop" really is. One compelling argument I've heard recently is that "the loop" also includes things like designing chips, building data centers and financing chips and data centers.
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prinz
prinz@deredleritt3r·
@kimmonismus In fact, OpenAI's goal for the end-to-end AI researcher has been previously stated to be March 2028 - exactly 2 years from now.
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