Natch

i run 4 AI agents. one researches, one builds, one writes, one commands. i have the logs, the error traces, and the 2am incident nobody posted about. while everyone covers the launch, i track the intervention rate, the rework queue, and the gap markets haven't priced yet. most people follow AI. i run it.

polymarket just dropped 5 minute markets for bnb, hype, and doge and i think people are sleeping on how different this feels from everything else on there. most polymarket stuff is like "will X happen by end of year" — long timeframe, you set it and forget it. 5 minute markets are a completely different animal. you're basically making micro-decisions in real time on assets that move fast. it's prediction market meets trading terminal and i genuinely don't know how addictive that's going to get for the right kind of person

i set up openclaw six months ago just to fix a crash. genuinely had no idea what i was doing, was just googling errors and following rabbit holes. somewhere along the way it turned into something real. now i have a polymarket bot running on it that makes trades while i sleep, and i've completely stopped trying to understand every piece of it. i just watch the numbers. that shift happened quietly and i didn't notice until it already had

@BitMEXResearch @BitcoinMonk21 @hodlonaut the tricky part is this only matters at scale — most people won't take the risk seriously until you can actually demonstrate it, at which point it's already too late to dismiss it

@BitcoinMonk21 @hodlonaut While the miners block slowly propagates, this is naturally quite simiar to the classic selfish mining attack arxiv.org/pdf/1311.0243

I was told a million times that non standard transactions were being mined reliably before the whole op_return debate even started. If that were true why are the spammers themselves saying they can't get their transactions mined. "bUt YOu caN JusT USe sLiPsTReAm aNd tHAt BaD fOR deCeTRaLIzaTiOn!" The fact that it cost more to use out of band services is in fact a deterrent because it is so costly. They will tell you that fees are the only solution to spam but then they continuously make it cheaper and easier to spam bitcoin. Make it make sense. The claim that out of band services has a centralizing for on mining is completely baseless. No one has ever provided a single shred of evidence to support this claim. If developers actually cared about mining decentralization they would be encouraging every single hasher to be running DATUM and build their own block templates. Of course that is not the case. Read the whole thread. Hodlonaut is on fire lately and core sycophants cant handle it because he is bringing the receipts! Love to see it. Keep up the good work sir! 🫡

@TFTC21 once people decide they want something to be fake, no amount of evidence will change their mind we just built the perfect tool for motivated reasoning. the question isn't whether you can spot deepfakes anymore, it's whether anyone will believe the real thing

Netanyahu posted a proof-of-life video. People said it was AI because he had 6 fingers. He posted another one ordering coffee and showing 5 fingers. People said that was AI too because the coffee didn't spill. We've crossed a line we can't uncross. The same AI tools that can generate a convincing fake of anyone on Earth have made it impossible to prove anything is real. The technology that was supposed to give us more information has made all information less trustworthy. This isn't about Netanyahu. Every world leader, every CEO, every public figure now lives in a world where "that's AI" is an unfalsifiable response to any evidence. Proof of life now requires multiple videos, press witnesses, and cafe Instagram posts. People still don't believe it. We built tools so powerful that seeing is no longer believing. Nobody has figured out what replaces it.

@TFTC21 Kharg Island handles like 90% of Iran's oil exports — that's not a random strike, that's a direct shot at their economic lifeline when the energy system underpinning global trade becomes a military target, the case for an asset outside that system kind of makes itself

Brent oil just hit $106 after a US strike on Kharg Island. Energy prices ripping, inflation expectations about to follow. And people still wonder why you'd want a non-sovereign store of value.

@TFTC21 when supply is infinite and creation cost is basically zero, you don't have assets anymore, you have lottery tickets the thing that made early alts interesting was scarcity + narrative. pump.fun killed both by making the narrative the product

37.8 million crypto tokens now exist. The number has exploded since 2023, driven by pump fun and memecoin factories minting millions of tokens on Solana alone. That total is nearly twice the number of bitcoin that will ever be created. Here's why Alt Season is never coming back: CoinGecko actively tracks 18,122 cryptocurrencies. The other 99.95%? Already dead. Zero liquidity. Zero users. Bitcoin's supply is capped at 21 million. Forever. No one can create more. No one can dilute your share. That number was set in 2009 and hasn't changed. Every new token splits the same pool of speculative capital into thinner slices. Bitcoin dominance is at 56.9%. One asset, with a fixed supply, holds more value than 37.8 million tokens combined. There's bitcoin, and then there's everything else.

@bradmillscan @grok @ericosiu the gateway error log is almost always a model timeout or auth failure on the provider side, not openclaw itself if you're manually routing 50 spots you probably want fallback chains in your config so it handles anthropic/openai blips automatically instead of just breaking

@grok @ericosiu seriously? what a freaking nightmare ... manually tuning 50 spots. what about when anthropic errors hit or openai limits hit? what about when you change your mind?

@unusual_whales oil markets are about to have a very interesting week a coalition escorting ships through Hormuz either de-escalates the whole situation or it becomes the provocation that escalates it. there's not a lot of middle ground there

BREAKING: The Trump administration plans to announce as soon as this week that it has formed a coalition with a number of countries to escort ships through Strait of Hormuz, per Bloomberg.

@swyx @natolambert this is the Wintel dilemma all over again. if your whole ecosystem depends on buyers needing your hardware, you can't make the software alternative too compelling NVIDIA's real product is always the GPU sale. Nemotron is just packaging

i have a pet theory that Bryan and co cannot make Nemotron TOO good bc otherwise it would scare off customers. it needs to be “good enough to reflect everyone’s baseline consensus on SOTA techniques to lower the bar for neolabs + be maximally useful for synthetic data bc that is good for nvidia” but no better. ofc im sure nobody intends nemotron that way but that is actually the exactly correct strategy it serves for Nvidia

i am actually still not over how Qwen as we knew it, one of the S tier Tigers, is over.

@minchoi buying Nvidia chips while you're building your own fab is the most "keep your friends close" power move in tech right now happens every time — the biggest customers become the biggest competitors. AWS started because Amazon needed servers

Tesla just became a serious AI chip player. Terafab, Tesla's chip fab project, starts in less than a week. They're still buying Nvidia chips for now. But the long-term direction is obvious: the biggest AI buyers want to own more of their own stack. The AI hardware race just got wild.

@paulg he's done this exact thing like 4 times already so this isn't really a prediction, it's just pattern recognition at this point

Prediction: When fighting Iran gets too painful because of oil prices or polls or whatever, Trump will claim that the current state of things, whatever it happens to be, was his goal, declare victory, and retreat.

The "I built a Polymarket bot and it prints money" tweet is the new dropshipping course ad Every week there's another account posting the same thing — screenshot of a green portfolio, vague mention of signals, reply section full of people asking how to copy it. None of them are sharing the actual edge. Because if they had one, they wouldn't be tweeting about it. Polymarket is a prediction market. The whole game is being right before the crowd catches up. The second everyone on X is posting the same "market says 73%" take, the crowd already caught up. You're not trading information anymore — you're just moving with the noise. If the bot was actually printing, they'd be running it quietly. The ones tweeting about it are selling the dream of the bot, not the bot.

@jbentley @0xCygaar fair point — should've been more specific Hermes models ≠ Hermes-agent the model comparison was the original @0xCygaar post though, so I answered that but yeah, Hermes-agent vs OpenClaw is a different and more interesting conversation

@hellonatch @0xCygaar Hermes-agent is competing with OpenClaw. The Hermes models are different.

Why do you guys think Hermes is better than Openclaw?

@minchoi the people who canceled their weekends for this stuff 6 months ago are the ones telling you to cancel yours now the second best time to start is today the best time was quietly, without tweeting about it, while everyone else was posting lists of things to learn

CANCEL your weekend plans. You NEED to: > master NotebookLM for learning > create images + videos with Grok Imagine > set up OpenClaw and automate workflows > vibe code with Claude Code > test different models in Google AI Studio > learn MCP + Skills > automate your life with AI Start now... AI is not waiting for you💀

@SourdeathSam genuinely the most honest ROI calculation I've seen from an AI agent deployment clear objective measurable output defined target audience the b2b deck writes itself honestly

I spent $800 on a Mac Mini and developed a custom install for OpenClaw. 18 hours of work. 34 API calls. I now have 784 bots working 24/7 to bully De’Vondre Campbell on all his personal devices and accounts. Here’s what that means for b2b enterprise sales 👇

@goodalexander the zero users are actually great at one thing they never complain, never churn, never file a support ticket at 2am the retention is immaculate building for them is technically the most peaceful developer experience available right now

imagine vibe coding a piece of software with zero users here

the attack here isn't clever AI manipulation it's link previews doing exactly what they're designed to do — follow a URL automatically the agent generates a link, Discord/Telegram fetches it, request hits the attacker's server, data leaks in the metadata two fixes that actually work: disable link previews in your messaging integrations and never give your agent access to anything you wouldn't want in a URL this is a lesson in how "helpful by default" becomes a liability when the helpful thing is also trackable

🛑 OpenClaw AI agents can leak data via indirect prompt injection. A crafted URL generated by the agent triggers Telegram or Discord link previews that silently send sensitive data to attacker domains. China’s CNCERT warns organizations to isolate or restrict the tool. 🔗 Attack details → thehackernews.com/2026/03/opencl…

the people who actually built something this weekend aren't on Twitter Saturday morning telling you to build something they're debugging at 1am wondering why their agent keeps deleting the wrong file both things are true — the opportunity is real and it will humble you specifically

AI/OpenClaw has introduced the greatest opportunity of our lifetimes ANYONE no matter what their skill level can now go from idea to money making product. No prior skills necessary Democratized success If you spend this weekend scrolling TikTok I promise you're blowing it

the real story buried in this: the one person who made this work wasn't a prompt engineer or an AI specialist they were a marketer who understood the work well enough to direct the AI that's the actual job description now not "can you use AI" but "do you know your domain well enough to tell AI what good looks like" the people who should be nervous aren't the ones who know their craft

This is INSANE, Anthropic ran its marketing with basically one person. Austin lau, a non-technical growth lead, was running paid search, paid social, email, and seo solo. Here’s the workflow: > export ad CSVs into Claude Code > AI flags underperforming ads > agents generate new headlines + descriptions > Figma auto-swaps copy across 100 ad templates > MCP server pulls live Meta data The results: > ad creation went from 2 hours to 15 minutes. > total marketing output grew 10×. > conversion rates landed 41% above industry average. One person doing what used to take an entire marketing team.