Contango_Cowboy
772 posts

Contango_Cowboy
@ADHD_Options
Option Trader. Austrian economics. Contrarian.
Nagoya, Japan เข้าร่วม Kasım 2024
690 กำลังติดตาม689 ผู้ติดตาม

i spoke with a 68yo retiree in Japan
he retired from a big financial corpo, wife never worked
he said the following
there's one thing that a slave covets the most and thats the prospect of freedom
the foreigner knows Japan is an adults' disneyland for 90% of the people
for the remaining 10% its the last or close to last bastion of culture, civility, traditional values (once you go outside of the kanto area at least)
as kind as they are on the outside, they dont let ppl into their minds much if you dont know the language well and they're super tired of the past 5 years of fetishization the west has put them through, esp through the internet
between the onslaughts of tourists and the many chinese, vietnamese, nepalese et al, and ofc the current admin that is hot and cold on some quite hit issues - they are ducking tired of it all
the 50-60+ yos who have been through the absolute best and the absolute worst (80s and 90s) period are super bearish on the future in many aspects
the old man told me his sons are having a horrible time wrt compensation, overtime, and one of them just wishes he can be a streamer and duck off somewhere to Europe just so he isnt in Japan anymore - they feel its worse than it actually is
he KNOWS they have a way worse QOL/COL ratio and it hurts him that despite doing his best and them doing their best as well, life keeps getting worse
there's one thing that a slave covets the most and thats the prospect of freedom
for younger ppl enslaved across the world, this rings doubly true, if not triply in a post AI world

Hana🌸@hanaamurakami
Here’s the truth: Japan is great for vacation, but not for living ✌🏻
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@kjnkjp Nikkei isn’t going up, the Yen is just going down.
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Contango_Cowboy รีทวีตแล้ว

Japan's key tech workers are now cheaper than Malaysia's s.nikkei.com/4sn8Xo4
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Japan gasoline price hits record 190.80 yen per liter amid Iran crisis s.nikkei.com/3NasYix
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@prettybtchdusse no shade but use your eyes it’s my own video im posting about
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@JavierBlas Price is the best indicator and price is down since Friday. Seems odd, given escalating tensions in Hormuz, but price is king.
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Pre-war Strait of Hormuz flow (crude + products): ~20m b/d.
My updated flow assumptions:
Iran: ~1.2m b/d (SoH)
UAE: ~1.0m b/d (Fujairah above pre-war)
KSA: ~4.0m b/d (Yanbu above pre-war)
Plus ~0.5m b/d (SoH tankers)
Plus >1.0m b/d IEA oil emergency release
Plus ~2.0m b/d Russia floating storage
Total: ~10m b/d (~50% of pre-war; but almost all of it is crude)
IEA/Russia is an absorption of a stock, creating a short-term and one-off flow.
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@Handre Alternatively every time someone AVOIDS ‘Hair-BnB’ they too, are casting an economic vote, and likely a more valuable one.
People value consistency, quality, ease of use and from what I see quality hotels continue to attract high-value customers.
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Every time someone books an Airbnb instead of staying at a regulated hotel, they're casting an economic vote. The market doesn't care about occupancy permits or commercial zoning laws – it cares about delivering value to consumers. Hotel chains spent decades coasting on regulatory moats that artificially limited competition.

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Contango_Cowboy รีทวีตแล้ว

It's decided.
Europe is closing the tap on Russian fossil fuels once and for all.
Energy independence starts now ↓ twitter.com/i/broadcasts/1…
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@TBeanpod Yes, very clean aesthetic. I saw the new Prelude today too, also very nice design.
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@ADHD_Options Thanks! It's kind of a divisive design, but I'm a big fan of it.
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@dadsweb67 I am jealous ! Slopes are turning sloppy down here on Honshu.
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