BTC Optioneer

10.6K posts

BTC Optioneer

BTC Optioneer

@BTCoptioneer

Options trader turned #Bitcoin HODLer. I sell volatility and use premiums to stack sats and $MSTR shares.

เข้าร่วม Şubat 2025
241 กำลังติดตาม2.4K ผู้ติดตาม
ทวีตที่ปักหมุด
BTC Optioneer
BTC Optioneer@BTCoptioneer·
Option A -$100K in $STRC -$11.5K yearly dividend -$100K principal in 10 years Option B -$100K in $STRK -$10.2K yearly dividend -$300K principal in 10 years Which one?
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Craig Weiss
Craig Weiss@craigzLiszt·
which country has the best food? - Italy - India - China - Japan - Korea - France - Mexico - Thailand
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FinancialFreedom
FinancialFreedom@FinFreedom414·
When Bitcoin makes a new ATH in the next 12 months, there's going to be so many people buying the top wishing they would've just bought the dip.
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Lawrence Lepard, "fix the money, fix the world"
Richard Nixon is dead. But the chaos he unleashed when he took us off the last vestige of the gold standard in 1971 is now coming to full bloom. This Fourth Turning is entering the very dangerous phase. Pray for peace.
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BTC Optioneer
BTC Optioneer@BTCoptioneer·
@chcbearsfan Close enough! I am sure the price will fluctuate around that depending on what the sentiment is like. I would not be surprised to see $10000 MSTR and $1000 ASST if euphoria returns.
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Brennan Schlagbaum, CPA
Your net worth is just a reflection of what’s going on in your mind
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BTC Optioneer
BTC Optioneer@BTCoptioneer·
@AAStack @saylor Instead of complaining, just buy some MSTR shares and let Saylor work for you.
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Neil Jacobs
Neil Jacobs@NeilJacobs·
Crazy how the Bitcoin 4-year cycle even predicted the Iran war. Truly the MOST powerful model in the history of finance.
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Barbell Financial 💪🏻💰
40% of my paycheck is stolen from me Here is where it goes: 15%: military 25%: social security 5%: veteran benefits 30%: medicare & medicaid 15%: interest on national debt 10%: food stamps & unemployment The Fed printed $100 billion last year So why am I funding all this? 🤬
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BTC Optioneer
BTC Optioneer@BTCoptioneer·
@stats_feed 1 set to failure on all my exercises (Dorian Yates style). High volume training is unnecessary and highly injurious.
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World of Statistics
World of Statistics@stats_feed·
What fitness hack have you personally discovered that is an absolute game changer?
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The Wolf Of All Streets
The Wolf Of All Streets@scottmelker·
If Coinbase is now a bank, can they settle the crypto/bank debate surrounding the CLARITY Act by negotiating both sides?
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BTC Optioneer
BTC Optioneer@BTCoptioneer·
@Jaredrlynch Saylor's prediction is 29% ARR. I just reduced it by 4% to make it 25%. As far as MSTR/ASST math goes, I just assumed they issue the same amount of prefs as last year and the demand goes up 25%/yr going forward.
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BTC Optioneer
BTC Optioneer@BTCoptioneer·
2036 base case: BTC $600K $MSTR $2400 $ASST $300 Assumptions: -25% BTC CAGR -25% preferred demand CAGR
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BTC Optioneer
BTC Optioneer@BTCoptioneer·
@Jaredrlynch $600K in 10 years seems like a reasonable price target considering BTC adoption is slowing and it will likely not surpass gold anytime soon. This is still a realistic projection if BTC continues being a niche financial asset.
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Jared
Jared@Jaredrlynch·
I'm not sure this makes sense. Over the last 30 months Strategy has accumulated an average of 0.1% per month of the 21m future supply (1.2% annual run rate). They accomplished this largely with the help of STRC and the other Prefs. If they just maintained this pace for the next 120 months they'll own nearly 16% (3.3m) of the network. Then reduce the float from lost coins and other factors for real world scarcity. $600k??? Maybe I'm missing something.
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BTC Optioneer
BTC Optioneer@BTCoptioneer·
@ArchLending The Sharpe ratio is misleading here. STRC needs a longer track record.
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Arch
Arch@ArchLending·
A sharpe ratio of 3.88 separates $STRC from every other asset. ETF inflows track sentiment and when Bitcoin rises, money flows in. When it falls, money flows out. $STRC instead creates demand that doesn't require a rising price to function. Income-seeking investors buy for yield. Strategy raises the capital and buys BTC to back it. And that loop runs on appetite for stable income, not on Bitcoin being up today. Most assets compete on returns. $STRC competes on a whole different variable.
Arch tweet media
Arch@ArchLending

x.com/i/article/2031…

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