Crypticpunks.algo
6.2K posts

Crypticpunks.algo
@CrypticPunks
10k Futuristic Punks. 👽 Coded in Python. 🐍 On Algorand Since 2021. ⏳



Here's an updated BTC vs ISM (the business cycle) chart. Also shown is the "US Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index", which may be giving us a clue as to the next direction of the ISM. It seems to move a little sooner than the ISM. Bitcoin never saw true euphoria this cycle. Maybe the reason is because the Bitcoin cycle was actually following ISM the whole time, and since the ISM is currently extended, BTC is too. It would explain the lack of euphoria as the regular person doesn't have tons of excess cash as when the ISM is heading up, steeply. How this might play out: An earlier next top than usual (think: late 2026 or 2027) with actual euphoria accompanying it due to the ISM heading up steeply. Following this logic, perhaps Bitcoin's next, immediate path is a milder-than-usual bear market (50% down instead of 70%?) and then heading up to this earlier next top. Such a bear market might even be shorter in duration as well, ending mid-2026 instead of at the end of next year as would be typical (1-year-long bear markets are usually what we see). This would basically throw off everyone in crypto who relies on 4-year cycles as that timing model would effectively be broken. The ISM might effectively give us a 5+ year cycle curveball, in this scenario. This is all based on the ISM, so if the ISM truly is leading things, then it is a chart to keep an eye on. It's one possibility. Credit to @RaoulGMI and @BittelJulien for bringing this chart on my radar. They were first to spotting this correlation, as far as I'm aware.










Bitcoin has been crushed. Technical and sentiment. It’s time for a strong rally now. But one that is likely to fail by Jan.


$BTC continues to hug the lower boundary of the megaphone pattern



yesterday we did $121,000 in volume, our biggest day ever! 🔥 Over $300k volume this week and pacing for easily $1M+ this month All charts are up and to the right, and you can still only make predictions with a few wallets on Algorand. Sky’s the limit 🚀🌕









