
Dan
2.5K posts


@TheCryptoDict @base As much as i want base to print, you need to lower your expectations. 21b fdv is not just very high, it is absolutely impossible in the current market (doubt it is achievable in bull market either). Also while i can see 20-30% for the community, it is unlikely to be 15% at tge
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The $BASE airdrop going to be the largest wealth redistribution event 🟦
@base Airdrop Math 👇
Let’s talk numbers 📊
$ARB dropped $1.3B at a $2B TVL
$BASE currently sitting at $10.7B+ TVL (5x more than arbitrum)
If we apply a standard 2x FDV/TVL ratio :
BASE TVL: $10.7B
Predicted FDV: $21.4B
Total Airdrop (15%): $3.2B
Recipients: 596,000 (Guild members)
Avg Payout: $5,385 per wallet
If you are in the top 10% of those Guild members, your allocation could easily hit $7,000 - $12,000+ and top 1% could easily hit $50k-$100k
To be in the top 1-10%, you need to stop acting like a bot and do this :
1️⃣ Claim your Basename
2️⃣ Hit Nomis Score 60+ (The primary Sybil filter)
3️⃣ Get a Farcaster Power Badge
4️⃣ Deploy a Smart Contract (Builder status =multiplier)
5⃣use BaseApp for posting, payment and use miniapps
6⃣Verify your Wallet on Coinbase
7⃣Get Base stamp on human passport
8⃣Keep your funds on base, provide liquidity

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@Henrik_on_HL The only reason solana's mcap is 5x higher is because it was around longer and therefore obviously has more unlocked tokens.
Compare their FDVs, hype ($40b fdv) only needs to go up by 34% to overtake solana's FDV ($52b fdv)
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@AndreaPN @base Not true. It is too late for sure. And even if you are not late you will likely receive peanuts.
Back when arbitrum airdropped new projects had $2-5b fdv at launch. Now we are lucky if it is $500m. Secondly base has 40x more users than arbitrum had.
No point in deluding yourself
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If someone tells you that @base already has too many users and the airdrop won’t be worth much, let me tell you something.
I used to think the same before Arbitrum did their airdrop. Then I received my $ARB allocation and it was worth $17,000.
Yeah, you heard that right.
With $BASE, you are still very early.
AndreaPN@AndreaPN
$BASE is soon🟦👀
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@Nikitont @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade What % of these fees are retained by polymarket? My only concern is that i believe majority of the fees gets redistributed back to the users and polymarket is left with either small amount of fees or with nothing to grow the protocol forward
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POLYMARKET BROKE ANOTHER RECORD. $43.36M IN FEES IN APRIL ALONE.
No token. No incentives. Just real volume 👇
April fees : $43.36M
Daily average : ~$1.44M
Annualized run-rate : $520M+
First full month after taker fees rolled out March 30. Straight to all-time high.
$520M annualized. No token. No airdrop farming. No artificial volume.
The machine is running. Clock is ticking.

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@Henrik_on_HL I mean hype is getting closer to its ATHs while majority of other alts (including ones with good revenues) are down 50-80%. It's just that hype is overbought compared to other coins
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How is this supposed to be thefuture of finance?
Polymarket is out here signing partnerships to track down and prevent insider trading, while their CMO is caught on a live stream asking to take off the mic so he can whisper something.
How clueless do you have to be? You’re the CMO of a platform that’s aggressively fighting insiders and you ask a streamer to step aside and de-mic in front of tens of thousands of live viewers.
@MatthewModabber, care to comment or have you already accepted that Shayne’s going to fire you?
Rexha 🐸@RexhaRexhaRexha
Polymarket’s CMO almost leaked insider info to Clavicular before noticing he was wearing a mic "You have to understand bro...Oh hold on" "You almost got me caught."
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@FabianoSolana There is no way anyone would choose this UI over Poly/Kalshi
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@Greenwud2 @Kalshi Could definitely see this. There must be a reason Warren Buffet and Berkshire are sitting 30% in cash right now
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@DanHar_22 @Kalshi fear when they are greedy, are we already at this point?
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@Greenwud2 @Kalshi Perps have higher open interest and the total number of users than we had before the 10/10 crash. Majority of people thinking the bottom on crypto is in and opening positions with tight liquidations. Stocks breaking ATHs on a quarterly basis.
We are months away from a crash imo
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Bitcoin's typical down cycle is 364 days.
The top was October 6, 2025 putting the $BTC bottom at October 5, 2026
Based on the parabolic support, that's roughly around $19,000

Financelot@FinanceLancelot
Federal Reserve chair change timed for Bitcoin's down cycle? I've seen stranger things. According to the chart $BTC it should begin in MAY bottom around November 2026. This would align with Kevin Warsh's appointment.
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@WhaleInsider What about 60k? I feel like there are way too many longs in the market right now. We are long overdue for another dump
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@RZhoushen11674 @misterrcrypto That's the thing. Retail does not short. Every single person thinks that shorting right now is way too obvious and therefore no one opens shorts. Same playbook every single time and btc will go to 50-60k and every step of the way down retail will ask that it can't be this obvious
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@misterrcrypto no way its this obvious and we just short rn right?
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@thisisomid_tc @0xbeehive People were saying exactly this about btc divergences back in q4 all the way until present day. Ended badly
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@0xbeehive Watch the dollar and yields rn. When macro tightens into falling volume, that divergence becomes a trap not a setup.
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@TheBTCTherapist No. It's one of those 5 minute pumps which is usually followed by a dump to either previous levels or even lower. Bears are given a final chance to average up their shorts before we fall to 50-60k levels
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@cassianvelric @cryptorover We're gonna be back to 65k faster than you realize it. Patience
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