DarvasBoxAI🔲🤖

Everyone needs to read this👇 There’s a fine line to trading well & living and feeling healthy vs addictive-compulsive behavior, regret, depression, and physical & monetary self-injury We’re playing a game that has to be done in moderation. Smaller position sizes may very well save your life someday. Take it from me, I placed my first trade in 1995 and for years had equity swings the size of the Grand Canyon. As I matured I realized there are better ways to play the game but like Livermore said “a man may beat a stock or a group at a certain time, but no man living can beat the stock market!". This is 100% true It’s only a game, just do it in moderation😇 $STUDY

LOL I knew it!!

The Nasdaq finally broke its Darvas Box to the downside and joins the $SPX $IWM $HYG $COMPQ in confirmed Daravs Box downtrends 📉 Major markets are negative so most trading/401k $$ should likely be in cash, and if you're aggressive then Shorts might be appropriate as well If you're Long in strong sectors (Energy/Opticals etc) then you should good cost-basis so there is no danger of losing capital That's the playbook, now take a vacation until new opportunities/signals emerge $STUDY

Other choices might include: Invasion USA Code of Silence Missing In Action or the cameo in Dodgeball

In honor of Chuck Norris passing, what Movie of his should we watch this weekend?

Trump is doing great confusing everyone today which means it's likely something BIG happens this weekend He is not a linear decision-maker which is why he drives most people nuts, but overall an excellent job of misdirection so his enemies have no idea how to defend 🇺🇸🇺🇸

People are panicking today (Black Monday LOL🤣🤡) and yet they forget that the Quad-witch BS is responsible The reaction on Monday-next week is the important part, not today $SPX $COMPQ I think Monday will be green but that's just a guess

@TedHZhang Q: where's the market going to go? A: give me a forecast and then I'll tell you That's how this whole game works $STUDY

Great post Ted! The biggest question mark is how have $SPX EPS forecasts changed the last two weeks? Forward PE is only as good as its forecasts Before I lost my source for $SPX data (he retired) the last spreadsheet showed the following. If the forecasts held up then at 6505 SPX we're looking at a 21-24 Forward/Trailing PE. A tad high but not crazy In fact could argue that this selloff is bring Valuations back under control and out of Bubble ranges that inflated due to AI. In time this will lead to a healthier market AI could probably re-create this easily; just need a reliable source for forecasts. DM me if you want to chat about this more Depending on forecasts I'd argue that 6000-6200 $SPX is a great Value spot for the market

Just some perspective. Previous major corrections and bear markets and their forward P/E ratios (bad bears hit 10-13x while many hit 13-15x forward P/E). Forward P/E of 18 is the average, by the way. Just like how the pendulum can swing farther on the upside than anyone thinks, the same goes for the downside. Below are tables of previous corrections/bear markets:

For those crying about the bad market, people had PLENTY of time to get positioned for downside related to Iran etc 401k's had plenty of signals to go to cash etc The only people who should be getting hurt are those who used risk-trading $$. Even then if you managed properly then the only $$ you're losing is paper-profits (like me) If core capital is being lost then that's on you and you should stop asap. Pro tip: paper profits only become core capital when you sell $STUDY

@vijucat ok, good to know LOL

Can't reply to you so replying here: it will work fine on any box, but Silicon Valley types are most comfortable with their iTrash. Cannot even change the menu bar's color (it can only mimic the background img and even that only from 2020) despite the CEO being gay. iTrash

Dumb question but why does that one AI (Openclaw) need a Mac Mini?? Is it a requirement or something? What’s so special about the mini?

so much happening/changing, I'm definitely gonna make a Video this weekend

Quad-witch BS is gonna clear out all the derivatives thank goodness. This makes these events markers for changes in direction. The question is what's the next direction here?? Most will say "Down" but honestly IDK. This is where S&P 500 EPS data was invaluable $SPX $COMPQ

For people unsure about the market, I can tell you that this is nothing compared to what we've gone thru in prior years The McClellan Osc separated by Presidents show that Biden years had far more ups and downs $T2108 $SPX $COMPQ Closes above/under the line are circled; note how it doesn't stay outside of the ranges for long on either side

@RealSimpleAriel Cash $USD

You lose Optics $LITE $CIEN $COHR $AAOI $AXTI and if you lose Memory names $MU $SNDK $WDC $STX, what themes are left?

@NickSchmidt Do the opposite of whatever Goldman says, they are definitely not your friends

I’m wrong all the time and this is a loosely held opinion but it doesn’t feel like the real negativity of a longterm bottom yet. Yes the news is filled with uncertainty and doom with the war. Sentiment is very negative and I know markets bottom when everything feels awful. But the official narrative is still optimistic. Goldman is calling for a big rally. Institutions are coming out with big year end price targets. If Goldman genuinely believed a massive rally was about to start why would they tell you? They’d want your shares at a discount. When the market actually bottoms nobody is telling you to buy the dip there’s genuine panic. Could we bottom today? Yeah anything can happen. All that matters is price action anyway. But it’s something I noticed and thought was worth pointing out.

Nooooo, no wonder markets are down $SPX $COMPQ