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Hexer 🧠
9.7K posts
Hexer 🧠
@HexerSol
WAGMI | $BTC $ETH $SOL | $100k was always FUD Printin' money outta thin air - only death can stop me
Solami เข้าร่วม Kasım 2021
1.3K กำลังติดตาม3.4K ผู้ติดตาม
Can yall please be clear on this?
Can Max plan be used for OpenClaw?
Thariq@trq212
Apologies, this was a docs clean up we rolled out that’s caused some confusion. Nothing is changing about how you can use the Agent SDK and MAX subscriptions!
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Hexer 🧠 รีทวีตแล้ว
Generating Alpha in All Market Conditions: A Quantitative Approach to Tokenomics-Driven Pairs Trading
1/7
A quantitative, market-neutral strategy can generate alpha irrespective of market direction. The thesis is to construct a pairs trade based on fundamental tokenomic divergences: long a deflationary asset with revenue-driven buybacks, and short an inflationary asset with significant insider token unlocks.
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The long position targets protocols with "Real Yield." These projects allocate substantial protocol revenue to programmatically buy back their native tokens. This mechanism creates a deflationary force by reducing circulating supply and providing constant, structural buy-side pressure, directly linking protocol success to token value.
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The short position targets protocols with predictable inflationary headwinds. Empirical analysis of over 16,000 token unlocks reveals a clear pattern: ~90% of events create negative price pressure. Unlocks designated for teams are most detrimental, correlating with an average price drop of -25%.
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An archetypal pair would be Long HyperLiquid ($HYPE) vs. Short Arbitrum ($ARB). Hyperliquid utilizes ~97% of its substantial trading fees for automated $HYPE buybacks. Conversely, Arbitrum's tokenomics include a multi-year linear vesting schedule for insiders, creating persistent, predictable supply pressure
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Execution requires specific instruments. Perpetual futures offer capital-efficient long/short exposure without expiration. A cross-margin account is strategically imperative; it pools collateral across all positions, allowing unrealized profits from one leg to offset losses on the other, thus preserving the hedge and preventing premature liquidation of a single leg.
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A systematic framework for implementation and risk management:
• Position Sizing: Positions must be dollar-neutral at entry to eliminate market beta.
• Entry/Exit Signals: A rolling z-score of the pair's price ratio can identify statistically significant deviations for trade entry and mean-reversion exits.
• Risk Mitigation: A stop-loss must be applied to the spread itself, not the individual asset prices, to protect the core thesis from invalidation.
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This strategy exploits a quantifiable market inefficiency: the asymmetric pricing of slow, cumulative deflationary pressure versus sharp, predictable inflationary shocks. The objective is to achieve a high Sharpe Ratio, indicating superior risk-adjusted returns that are fundamentally uncorrelated with the broader digital asset market.
big thank you to @hansolar21 I mainly traded isolated margin till the point I first saw his perp account on @Lighter_xyz and then I realised portfolio optimisation is so much easier with cross margin if you understand Market Neutral Positions, up 6 figures since and sharpe ratio at 5, since I trade market neutral
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OMG!!! this is getting out of hand!!! 🤯🤯🤯
spent another 6 hours to come up with this
can't imagine I can create one of my fav games using AI
pure prompting –– runs in the browser!!!
flight simulator built with @cursor_ai / @anthropic sonnet / @threejs
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@intuitio_ We run it all back turbo wallahi mode.
Also got liquidated on 2x ETH CoinM longs because Vitalik doesn’t like us but it’s aight. Inshallahi higher.
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Didn’t think I would have to do this, but here we are:
On Sunday of last week, I made a bet with @CryptoDaddi for $50k that $TRUMP wouldn’t hit $100 by Sunday(today)
Today is Sunday, and I have now been blocked(lol)
After making the bet in public, we confirmed it in DMs. I didn’t think it would be a big deal, we were mutuals and $50K isn’t something I really am worried about losing, so we didn’t put it in escrow(nor did he ask for it to be in escrow until he started losing the bet)
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