IPSE

Je crois à un partenariat équilibré entre l’Afrique et la France. C’est le sens de la transformation que nous menons depuis 10 ans. On continue, en avant !

Le choix de Nairobi pour le sommet France-Afrique est symbolique de la tentative de relance de la politique africaine d’Emmanuel Macron, contournant l’héritage colonial. Ma chronique géopolitique du 7/10 @franceinter radiofrance.fr/franceinter/po…

Growth is not all, and GDP limitations are well known. However, despite ODA decline, highest cost of capital, imported inflation and volatile commodity prices, it is a remarkable proof of resilience that Africa is forecasted to attain the best continental world performance in GDP growth.

French President Macron: We are the true pan-Africanists. We believe that Africa is a continent, and that this continent has an enormous amount to build. It is the youngest in the world, and therefore has an extraordinary demographic dividend. It is the one with the greatest growth in the world. Last year, it had growth slightly higher than that of Southeast Asia.

This article by Robert Kagan is worth reading. It is a searing assessment of the catastrophic failure of the Israel-U.S. war on Iran, calling it a defeat. It is also perhaps best captures how Iran sees things and why it is not submitting to Trump’s demands in the talks 👇🏼 “There will be no return to the status quo ante, no ultimate American triumph that will undo or overcome the harm done. The Strait of Hormuz will not be “open,” as it once was. With control of the strait, Iran emerges as the key player in the region and one of the key players in the world. The roles of China and Russia, as Iran’s allies, are strengthened; the role of the United States, substantially diminished. Far from demonstrating American prowess, as supporters of the war have repeatedly claimed, the conflict has revealed an America that is unreliable and incapable of finishing what it started. That is going to set off a chain reaction around the world as friends and foes adjust to America’s failure. President Trump likes to talk about who has “the cards,” but whether he has any good ones left to play is not clear. The United States and Israel pounded Iran with devastating effectiveness for 37 days, killing much of the country’s leadership and destroying the bulk of its military, yet couldn’t collapse the regime or exact even the smallest concession from it. Now the Trump administration hopes that blockading Iran’s ports will accomplish what massive force could not. It’s possible, of course, but a regime that could not be brought to its knees by five weeks of unrelenting military attack is unlikely to buckle in response to economic pressure alone.” theatlantic.com/international/…

#Iran : ne pas avoir perdu la guerre permet au régime de Teheran de faire monter les enchères, sur tous les sujets, notamment sur le nucleaire, en jouant sur le calendrier du sommet Trump-Xi dans 3 jours. Mes explications ce matin @BFMTV

Thank you my dear friend President @WilliamsRuto. Africa Forward!

"Sommet de Nairobi  : Un espoir de renouveau pour la France en Afrique?" Une analyse de @GenGoetzinger #Nairobi2026 @StephaneRozes @MaxEGastineau @Fundji3 @RFI @LeMonde @ChdeVoogd @SBoussois nouvellerevuepolitique.fr/sommet-de-nair…

At State House Nairobi, held talks with President @EmmanuelMacron of France, and witnessed the signing of 11 instruments between our two nations.

# Maroc #France , le retour du pragmatisme stratégique. #Décryptage atlasinfo.fr/maroc-france-l…

Depuis le retour de Donald Trump, l’idée d’une Europe fédérale regagne du terrain. Plus surprenant : elle gagne de jeunes militants de droite, et de droite radicale. Pour @LaCroix, j'ai enquêté sur le développement de ce nouveau "fédéralisme de droite"...

L’épicentre du français se trouve-t-il aujourd’hui dans le bassin du fleuve Congo, et non sur les quais de Seine ? Oui avec 🇨🇩 🇨🇬 🇨🇲 🇬🇦 🇬🇶 🇨🇫… lefigaro.fr/langue-francai…

EN DIRECT | Visite officielle au Kenya : conférence de presse du Président @EmmanuelMacron et du Président William Ruto. x.com/i/broadcasts/1…

Tonight: the ever-expanding power of the American presidency. Tune in to @CNN @ 8pm ET/PT for my latest documentary, “The Imperial Presidency.” In it, I’ll trace the expansion of executive power from Truman to Trump

Beaucoup d'enthousiasme alors que j'arrive au Kenya, à la veille du sommet Africa Forward. Le sommet d'un partenariat renouvelé et gagnant-gagnant. À Nairobi, donnons-lui toute sa force ! Nous avons tant à faire ensemble.

🇫🇷🇪🇺 A survey by @IfopOpinion reveals that the French people support the idea of a common European defence: ➡️ 63% are in favour of establishing a European army; ➡️ 58% support extending France’s nuclear umbrella to other EU countries.

Depuis un an, Léon XIV façonne discrètement l'après François. Une étude prosopographique de Jean-Benoît Poulle sur la nouvelle génération des dirigeants de l'Église. legrandcontinent.eu/fr/2026/05/07/…

"A group of four regional powers – Egypt, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia and Türkiye – are closing ranks...The new Middle Eastern quadrilateral appears to be an attempt to counterbalance Israel’s designs to ‘redraw’ the map of the Middle East and to address shared security concerns, most notably the United States–Israeli war with Iran," @HTAlhasan writes iiss.org/online-analysi…

Most EU capitals are ignoring Brussels’ push to coordinate arms purchases — and the bloc has little power to get them to step up. Only 12 out of 27 member countries submitted data on joint procurement, said Defense Commissioner Andrius Kubilius. politi.co/48V7e1I

Iran wants permits, fees, and Iranian-company control over the internet cables. On May 9, IRGC-linked Iranian state media published a detailed regulatory proposal for the seven undersea fiber-optic cables passing through the Strait of Hormuz. The cables are the digital arteries of the Gulf. AAE-1, FALCON, TGN-Gulf, SEA-ME-WE and three others carry significant Europe-Asia-Gulf internet and financial-data traffic. Per Fars News Agency and Tasnim, the proposal would require foreign cable operators to obtain Iranian permits, pay tolls and fees, comply with Iranian law, and assign all management, repair, and maintenance to Iranian companies. Per Telegeography submarine cable maps, all seven cables were deliberately routed through Omani territorial waters to avoid Iran. The cables Iran wants to charge for were specifically built to bypass Iranian sovereignty. Iran is not just operating the Strait. Iran is signaling it wants to operate the bandwidth too. Same operating model. Permits. Fees. Designated lanes. Exclusive Iranian regulatory control. This is media advocacy, not a government decree. No Iranian law has been issued. UNCLOS transit-passage protections, Omani jurisdiction, and the fact that cable repair ships need Omani permits would limit enforcement. Iran International and WION have picked up the proposal. Cable consortia have not publicly responded. But the timing is the signal. The proposal arrived on the same day Iran’s Foreign Ministry publicly rejected three United States red lines. Iran will not halt enrichment. Iran will not export its existing stockpile of more than 400 kilograms of near-weapons-grade uranium. Iran will not share control of the Strait of Hormuz. The same day, Israel reportedly told Washington that any return to war must include strikes on Iran’s entire energy infrastructure within twenty-four hours, with several Arab countries reportedly in support, per Israel’s Channel 12. The S&P 500 closed Friday May 8 at a record 7,398.93. The VIX closed at 17.19. US Central Command has disabled four Iranian-flagged oil tankers in three weeks and redirected more than fifty-seven vessels since the blockade began April 13. The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy, on May 6 and 7, issued new transit protocols telling shipping that passage will be “safe and stable” for vessels that comply with Iranian regulations and use designated lanes. On May 3, the IRGC announced an expanded maritime control area covering nearly two thousand kilometers of Iranian coastline. President Trump described the recent kinetic exchange as “just a love tap” and said “the ceasefire is going. It’s in effect.” Iran’s new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei has not been seen in public since the war began February 28. Per Axios April 8, he communicates via runners passing notes. Trump arrives in Beijing on May 14 and 15. A Strait under Iranian protocols. A maritime control area covering two thousand kilometers. Three nuclear and Hormuz red lines drawn in public. An Israeli energy infrastructure strike plan reportedly delivered with twenty-four-hour execution. A market at all-time high. And now a regulatory proposal for the seven undersea cables that were deliberately routed through Oman to avoid Iran. The Hormuz toll booth is going digital. The cables it wants to charge are not even in its waters. By May 15 we will know whether Beijing accepts the toll booth in any form.