JGS
10.1K posts

JGS
@JGSventures
stockpicking chimp 🐒
Stockholm, Sweden เข้าร่วม Şubat 2010
868 กำลังติดตาม5.6K ผู้ติดตาม

Diamyd - uppföljning i samarbete med @reportermathild. Jag har varit i kontakt med fyra tunga experter på T1D sedan i fredags. Utöver KI, tre kända utländska. Ingen är förvånad över utfallet. Inte heller statistikdocenten.
di.se/nyheter/forska…
Svenska
JGS รีทวีตแล้ว

@HankSweden @lukewarmhearts Köttar denna när jag är klar med Hyperion-serien 💪🏼
Svenska

Jag har släppt min Börsdata MCP publikt. Den finns för nedladdning här:
github.com/emmanuelay/bor…
Gratis och open source, givetvis.
Ping @40procent20ar och @Henrik_Borsdata
Svenska

@robin_bylund Vackert att han får lämna på fri transfer med ett år på kontraktet. Otrolig business. Mersmak efter Trent. Carte blanche till Szobo nästa år?
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@ggreenwald Psychotic? Very cliche billionaire behaviour what have I read 🤷🏻♂️
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If I tried to explain the wild scandal involving a fraudulent Brazilian bank (Banco Master), its billionaire psychotic owner now imprisoned, and Brazil's tyrannical judge, you'd think I was exaggerating.
For now: Elon Musk's prediction may be closer than ever to materializing.
Elon Musk@elonmusk
@STF_oficial @GlobalAffairs One day, @Alexandre, this picture of you in prison will be real. Mark my words.
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JGS รีทวีตแล้ว

$NVO is in the midst of the fastest drug launch of all time with oral Wegovy over the last 2 months. Not the fastest for $NVO. The fastest for any drug company ever.
Yet, during that same time period, their stock has (*checks notes*)...experienced its sharpest decline ever...EVER!
A fascinating case study is developing here over pricing in investor expectations and the extremes to which sentiment can swing.
Not only has $NVO had its worst stock crash *ever* (down >40% since late January) right in the middle of the fastest drug launch of all time...
...$NVO has now round tripped its entire obesity run...as if the whole obesity craze never even happened!
The stock was in the $40s on the day that injectable Wegovy launched back in 2021, now 5 years later it struggles to maintain the mid $30s. If you go back 10 years from today, the stock is up only ~30% over the last decade, getting absolutely trounced by any index you want to put it up against.
All of that with the society-altering obesity craze in between.
Coming back to the recent move, it's been bizarre to see investors' negative reaction to the cagrisema vs tirzepatide study reading out negative for cagrisema when...anyone who even remotely analyzed existing cagrisema data had to have known that study never had a *CHANCE* at hitting. The fact that the markets could be *that* inefficient by pricing in so much value for that cagrisema study is almost too much of a stretch for me to believe...
Investors have focused on the cargisema study not meeting (apparently somehow still very bullish???) expectations while largely ignoring the oral Wegovy launch that has been breaking every expectation that they had previously set for it...Negative sentiment begets negative sentiment, sometimes directly in the face of objective reality.
Like I've mentioned, pharma isn't really my specialty, but this will be an interesting case study for me to continue to learn from. It'll probably be a good one for the pharma industry at large down the road given how extreme the changes in sentiment have been.
In the meantime, I am buying the Novo dip, though my pharma trades tend to be very short term largely because I use margin to conduct them.
So, will the nonstop $NVO stock crash reverse soon? IDK, but owning a drug company at 5 year lows that is also in the middle of the literal fastest drug launch of all time...does seem a bit asymmetric 😅

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@alden_niklas @financeamir +100kr/månad i avgift om du kör med 3p abonnemang eller tar du Xploras för 200kr/mån.
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JGS รีทวีตแล้ว
JGS รีทวีตแล้ว


















