Jim

3.9K posts

Jim

Jim

@JimTBreakout

Just a guy who loves his family and his country.

เข้าร่วม Aralık 2022
213 กำลังติดตาม393 ผู้ติดตาม
ทวีตที่ปักหมุด
Jim
Jim@JimTBreakout·
@NewReaganCaucus The last refuge of a TDS RINO scoundrel is to wrap themselves in the mantle of a dead Republican president that their historical counterparts would have likewise been undermining at every opportunity.
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Jim
Jim@JimTBreakout·
@paulsperry_ Oregon's population grew by 406K from 2010-2020. It's registered voters grew by 882K in that same timeframe.
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Paul Sperry
Paul Sperry@paulsperry_·
BREAKING: Settlement of a Judicial Watch lawsuit has forced the review and removal of some 800,000 ineligible voters from Oregon voter rolls
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Jim
Jim@JimTBreakout·
@CynicalPublius Your first 3 were right. "Inclusion" = exclusion of sane people
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Emmet Livingstone
Emmet Livingstone@L4ingstone·
The 15 Latin Americans deported from the US to Kinshasa are holed up in a hotel by the airport, where there are water cuts, rats, and lots of mosquitoes. They have no passports, don't speak French, and have no idea what comes next. My story for @NPR: npr.org/2026/04/28/nx-…
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Lee Zeldin
Lee Zeldin@epaleezeldin·
I told Senator Sheldon WhiteClub today that I won’t be listening to or caring about any of his lessons on morality knowing that he joined an all-white Rhode Island Country Club. I’m also done with the likes of AOC, Al Gore, John Kerry, and the rest of the lying cabal that make stupid climate predictions, plunder tens of billions of tax dollars, enrich their well-connected allies, and are committed to strangulating out of existence entire sectors of our economy. Climate alarmist AOC wants to be taken seriously while also insisting the world is imminently about to end due to climate change (Just under 5 years remain on her nutty Jan 2019 prediction that only 12 years of life are left on Earth). Al Gore is now speaking publicly about his concern with global freezing after decades of grift talking about global warming. “Within the decade there will be no more snows of Kilimanjaro,” said Gore in 2006 (There’s still snow on Kilimanjaro year-round). Gore also predicted in 2009 ice-free Arctic summers within 5-7 years. John Kerry warned in 2009 that the Arctic would be ice-free by 2013. These people are dishonest, power-hungry hacks. The GREEN NEW SCAM is DEAD!!!
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Senator Ron Johnson
Senator Ron Johnson@SenRonJohnson·
Today, I released a report showing that Biden health officials knew that safety signals for COVID-19 injection injuries were being hidden by their VAERS analytic algorithm. They were shown an updated algorithm that signaled serious adverse events, but they refused to use it. Their cover-up jeopardized the health of millions of Americans. Read my interim report and see the records here:
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Hans Mahncke
Hans Mahncke@HansMahncke·
Daszak is the co-conspirator here. His indictment should be next. I didn’t think we’d ever see it, but accountability for the Covid origin cover up has finally arrived. Incredible.
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Seamus Hughes@SeamusHughes

The U.S. Attorney's Office in Maryland secured an indictment against former NIAID government official accused of trying to counter findings that COVID came from lab leak in China. storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.usco…

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Jim
Jim@JimTBreakout·
@AAGDhillon @CivilRights So, any American who has ever applied at Cloudera should be contacting a lawyer?
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AAGHarmeetDhillon
AAGHarmeetDhillon@AAGDhillon·
We just sued Cloudera for discriminating against U.S. workers in favor of foreign visa holders for high-paying tech jobs. This is a violation of the Immigration & Nationality Act, & @CivilRights will not hesitate to sue employers for discriminating against U.S. workers! You are on notice! justice.gov/opa/pr/civil-r…
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Jim
Jim@JimTBreakout·
Kratman was the one who mentioned communism. Raymond never typed the word, and whether or not China is communist is completely irrelevant to any of his points. In any event, China HAS invaded another country within many people's lifetimes - Tibet. You can, perhaps, argue that China considered Tibet a part of China so it wasn't an "invasion invasion" (as Whoopie Goldberg might say)... but isn't that also what they say about Taiwan?
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m3ntat
m3ntat@m3ntat_·
You know China isn't a communist country. They're just Chinese larping as Communists. 5000 years of history and old habits die hard. Their system was adapted from the broken remnants of actual communism which everyone knows failed spectacularly. They didn't revert to that failed system. They're smarter than that. They call their system Socialism with Chinese characteristics, which really is a uniquely Chinese system that works only for them. The reason I bring this up is that every single war porn scenario stems from the assumption that China is a communist country like the Soviet Union, hence any further calculus on waging war must be the same. The reality is it is not. The basic premise that China is communist is already wrong. Downstream conclusions are also wrong. China, in modern history, has only ever occupied one other country (Vietnam, as you mentioned), and you'd have to go back to ancient history to find another example. They simply do not have a history of waging war and occupying other nations. These are the people who built a wall *to keep people out*. So your basic argument that China would be the one to wage any type of war is not supported by their history and it's anchored in a flawed assumption of how their system even works.
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Eric S. Raymond
Eric S. Raymond@esrtweet·
Tom didn't explain his second assertion, but it's important so I'm going to do it. China is in the worst strategic position of any great power in history because it is critically dependent on resources it has to import, and it doesn't have control of the sea lanes over which it imports them. China is neither food nor energy self-sufficient. It needs to import pork from the United States, grain from Africa, coal from Australia, and oil from the Middle East to keep its population fed and its factories running. Naval blockades at about three critical chokepoints (Hormuz, Malacca, Sunda) would cripple the Chinese economy within months, possibly within weeks. China does not have the blue-water navy required to contrast control of those chokepoints. The moment any first-rate naval power or even a second-rate like India decides China needs to be stopped, it's pretty much game over. As a completely separate issue thanks to the one-child policy, Chinese population probably peaked in 2006 and has been declining ever since. Every year in the foreseeable future they will have fewer military-age males than they do now. Most of those males are only sons; their deaths would wipe out entire family lines, giving the Chinese people an extremely low tolerance for war casualties. Then there's the glass jaw. The Three Gorges Dam. Which is already in some peril even without a war - you can compare photographs over time and see that it's sagging. If anyone gets annoyed enough to pop that dam thing with a bunker-buster or a pony nuke, the resulting floods will kill millions and wipe out the strip of central China that is by far the country's most industrially and agriculturally productive region. The Chinese haven't fought a war since 1971. They lost. Against Vietnam. The institutional knowledge that could potentially fit their army for doing anything more ambitious than suppressing regional warlordism does not exist. I could go on. But I think I've made Tom's statements sufficiently understandable already.
Tom Kratman@TKratman

@D162Michele Almost certainly not. Communist regimes invariably lie. And we're not scared of China for at least two reasons. One is that China is demographically doomed. The other is that she is in the worst strategic position of any global power in history.

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poof
poof@poof_eth·
Had a Jane Street interview in 2013 that still bothers me. It was my 6th round. Final interview. The guy walks in carrying no laptop, no notebook, just a cold brew and what I later realized was a single IKEA tea candle. He writes on the whiteboard: food: $200 rent: $800 utilities: $150 candles: $3,600 family: dying Then he turns around and says, “Optimize.” I laughed because I thought it was a culture-fit bit. He did not laugh. So I said, “Well, obviously you spend less on candles.” He says, “Assume candles are non-discretionary.” Okay. I start building a model. Basic constraint satisfaction. Family survival as a soft penalty. Candles as a state variable. Maybe there’s an arbitrage where you buy wholesale paraffin and convert the $3,600 line item into inventory. He stops me. “You’re thinking like a consultant.” That’s when I knew I was in trouble. He says, “Give me a bid-ask on family dying.” I say, “What?” He says, “You’re long candles, short family. Where do you make markets?” I try to recover. I say the real issue is liquidity: rent and utilities are fixed, food is elastic, candles are emotionally inelastic. Therefore the optimal strategy is to securitize future candle enjoyment and borrow against it. He nods for the first time. Then he asks, “What time do you sell the candles?” I say, “Whenever the market is liquid?” He says, “Be more specific.” I say, “Uh… 10 a.m. Eastern?” For the first time, he smiles. He goes, “Every day?” I say, “Every day.” He says, “In size?” I say, “In size.” He says, “And what do we call that?” I say, “Market manipulation?” The room gets very quiet. He looks disappointed and writes something down. “No. We call it providing liquidity to candle ETFs during the U.S. cash open.” I try to save it. “Right. Of course. The family isn’t dying because we underfunded them. They’re just experiencing temporary price discovery.” He nods again. Then he points back at the board. I had missed it. The utility bill was $150, but candles provide light. You can zero out utilities. I update the budget: food: $200 rent: $800 utilities: $0 candles: $3,750 family: still dying, but now in a more capital-efficient way He says, “How confident are you?” I say, “0.95.” He smiles and circles candles. “0.95 huh?” Then he asks me to estimate how many leveraged longs get liquidated if we dump $3,750 of candles at 10:00:01 every morning for 90 consecutive trading days. Needless to say I did not get the offer.
Deedy@deedydas

Jane Street made ~$40B in 2025 with 3,500 employees, a ~2x from the year before. At ~65-70% profit margin, that's $8M profit / employee, the highest for a 1000+ ppl company. High-frequency trading continues to be the most efficient money making engine. I want to share an old story about my Jane Street interview in 2014. Jane Street was known for hiring a lot of math, physics and CS olympiad winners from top universities and putting them through many rounds - including, for trading roles, a gauntlet of mental math. It was my 6th interview and my final round and I recall being asked "What is the next day after today in DD/MM/YYYY where all the digits are unique?" They'd toy with you and say "You can use a pencil and paper, if you want" but you knew that was an instant no. Painstakingly and as quickly as I could, I came to an answer. "How confident are you that this is correct on a 0-1 probability scale?" the interviewer said. "0.95", I blurted out, not fully knowing how to answer that. "Are you sure?" After thinking harder for a few more seconds, I realized I could've flipped the digits around to get a closer date. I gave the interviewer my answer. It was correct. "0.95 huh?" he chuckled. That's when I knew I failed. Note: fwiw, other companies that come close in efficiency are - Tether ($90M+ profit/emp) - Hyperliquid ($80M+ profit/emp) and on revenue: - Valve ($50M/emp) - OnlyFans ($37M/emp) - Craigslist ($14M/emp) - Anthropic ($12M/emp, run rate) - OpenAI ($8M/emp, run rate) For comparison, Nvidia is very efficient at scale and is $4.4M/emp.

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Jim
Jim@JimTBreakout·
@FOOL_NELSON Only if the additional forces didn't bring their own ammunition/rockets/fuel/etc. and have use only what was already there.
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Jim
Jim@JimTBreakout·
@annamlulis Both of my kids were born at 36 weeks.
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Anna Lulis
Anna Lulis@annamlulis·
This is what a 34 week old baby looks like outside the womb. 9 states plus Washington, DC allow babies to be aborted at this age. For no reason, just because someone wants to. They call it “reproductive rights” because they refuse to call it what it is: murder.
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Jim
Jim@JimTBreakout·
@davidbieri1 @AlpacaAurelius Yep. He put on a show with his daughter. After Reagan trounced him, back to private school she went.
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eugyppius
eugyppius@eugyppius1·
horst the whaletard has been enticed into his immensely retarded flooded barge. now he will be towed into the north sea and released, so he can find his way back and make a huge problem of himself again.
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Libs of TikTok
Libs of TikTok@libsoftiktok·
Social media manager for @UHC is sad that the shooter missed Any comment @UHC?
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Chris Cillizza
Chris Cillizza@ChrisCillizza·
"I'm not going to any more events where Trump is at them. I don't feel safe." --@chucktodd
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Jim
Jim@JimTBreakout·
@christopherrufo % of time they are, in fact, medically necessary: 0.00000000000000%.
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Christopher F. Rufo ⚔️
Christopher F. Rufo ⚔️@christopherrufo·
This is unbelievably pedantic and dishonest. The supposed “missing context” is that California only gives undocumented trans migrants free sex-change surgeries when deemed “medically necessary”—which we did, in fact, include in the story. Snopes is left-wing propaganda.
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Black Metal Trading
Black Metal Trading@lapplandtrader·
Reason why is irrelevant in this context. The key is something negative is happening -- and it's turning into more negative. You obviously want to optimize (take advantage of) that. You can translate family dying into company/stock dying if that makes it easier. This is a brilliant test of the ability to think in everyday concrete terms and make it into bid/ask, long/short, demand/supply etc.
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