Johnny BCCB

I think I need to pin this to the top.

@Conservative2TX @BuzzPatterson @In2TheMystic111 We all know why.

@BuzzPatterson @In2TheMystic111 I hope so too, but here is the question, since Trump has sued thousands of people on his life, why has he not sued anyone who has called him a pedophile?

I hope Trump sues this little shit into oblivion.

@BuzzPatterson Lol he won’t, and you know why.

@Realglobalpol2 @NewReaganCaucus I’m fully aware. But that would be when diplomacy had run its course, which isn’t remotely the case here. Trump hasn’t bothered at all to provide evidence to the American people that force was required here.

@JohnnyBCCB @NewReaganCaucus Lmao "soft power." maybe one day you'll grow up and figure out how the world works. "Muh soft power" doesn't mean anything without hard power to back it up, and it will be easily defeated by another state using hard power.

If Trump TACOs before Israel completes their objectives, this will be a disaster.

@taco_talks You’re impossibly stupid and disingenuous.

How Old Is The Earth?

@NewReaganCaucus @ratlpolicy Yeah I know. My disdain for everything he’s doing in Iran has nothing to do with partisanship and everything to do with it being a terrible misadventure with no palatable off-ramps.

Some things are so important, you need to set aside partisan point-scoring. This war in Iran is one of them. Provocative article by @ratlpolicy.

@kallipolisrise @mattforney Is it necessary to crib every single element of the platform from Putin’s Russia?

@mattforney We should offer all the illegal immigrants pathway to citizenship if they join the military. Then send them all to Iran.

The "forever war" was ended in less than a month. The panicans who tr00ned out are very slowly edging away from their estrogen pills and will pretend like they never transitioned at all.

@mattforney God you’re so fucking stupid.

BREAKING. Thirty-six hours ago President Donald Trump said “obliterate.” This morning he said “productive conversations.” The question every trader, diplomat, and general is asking: what broke between Saturday night and Monday morning? Six things broke simultaneously. Not one of them was Iranian. First. The bill arrived. The Pentagon requested over $200 billion in supplemental funding. The war cost $11.3 billion in six days, $16.5 billion in twelve. At $1.38 billion per day and accelerating, congressional resistance to the supplemental is real. The money that was supposed to fund “days not weeks” now needs a vote that may not pass. Second. The Fed killed the rate-cut thesis. On March 18, the Federal Reserve held rates at 3.5 to 3.75 percent and revised its 2026 PCE inflation forecast to 2.7 percent from 2.4, citing the Iran war energy shock. The dot plot shows one cut in all of 2026, down from two. Every basis point of delayed easing is pain for housing, credit, and the Magnificent Seven. The war that was supposed to demonstrate strength is demonstrating inflation. Third. The allies revolted politely. Twenty-two countries signed up to coordinate on Hormuz. Zero committed a warship during combat. Japan is releasing strategic reserves. South Korea’s Kospi has fallen 12 percent. Europe’s gas surged 35 percent after Qatar’s LNG was knocked offline & declared force majeure up to 5 years. Trump called NATO “cowards” and got a press release. The coalition of the willing is a coalition of the waiting. Fourth. TSMC sent the signal. Taiwan imports nearly 97 percent of its energy. Its LNG reserves cover 11 days. Qatar supplies a third of global helium, which TSMC needs for chip fabrication. The helium is bottled behind a closed strait. Every Nvidia GPU, every Apple chip, every AI cluster depends on a fab in Hsinchu counting its gas in single-digit days. The Magnificent Seven have shed hundreds of billions as energy rotation crushes tech. Fifth. Birol named the damage. The IEA chief told Australia this morning that 40 energy assets across nine countries are severely damaged, global oil supply has fallen 11 million barrels per day, the crisis exceeds both 1970s shocks combined, and no country is immune. He named fertilisers and helium as interrupted flows. The man who runs global energy security called the war Trump started the worst energy crisis in modern history. Sixth. The midterms. Gas prices are up 93 cents per gallon. Sixty-six percent of Americans call this a war of choice. Sixty percent disapprove. Fifty-seven percent say it is going badly. The numbers that matter in Washington are not barrels per day. They are approval ratings in swing states where voters fill their tanks every Tuesday. Six pressures. One post. President Trump did not discover diplomacy. He discovered arithmetic. The 48-hour ultimatum was a threat. The 5-day pause is a confession that the threat’s consequences were worse than its target. Destroying power plants would have sealed the strait permanently, triggered Ghalibaf’s promise to “irreversibly destroy” Gulf desalination and energy infrastructure, crashed TSMC’s supply chain, spiked inflation past 3 percent, and handed the midterms to the opposition on a platter of $7 gasoline. The pause is real. The relief is not. The strait is still closed. The 40 assets are still damaged. The fertiliser is still blocked. The planting window is still closing. The five-day clock is already ticking. The molecules do not negotiate. The molecules wait. Full deep dive analysis: open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…

@Osinttechnical Always a positive when you have two Mossad assets negotiating without supervision.

Trump says that Witkoff and Kushner are handling Iran negotiations.

@mark_collins09 @Bowtiedplayer Lol, you mean didn’t work once again. Trump is a fucking failure who bankrupted a casino and a dozen other ventures.

@Bowtiedplayer Wow. Do you mean to tell me the same play he runs multiple times per day, every day, and has for decades, worked once again? Who would have thought?

Wow it's almost as if Trump wrote an entire book called Art of the Deal about making crazy unhinged demands and then "meeting in the middle" for what he wanted all along

@Bowtiedplayer There is nothing groundbreaking about “opening extreme” to “meet in the middle” in negotiating strategy. That’s day one of negotiations class stuff. But you also have to judge the type of negotiation, can’t seem completely unreasonable, and can’t just lie about conversations.

@justsettledownn @sean_a_mcclure @FinancialPhys I personally tend to agree. I feel people will always want to explore to get closer to understanding the meaning of existence. But it was an interesting postulate, at least, that the incentive to do this would be reduced/eliminated once the civilization reaches post scarcity.

@JohnnyBCCB @sean_a_mcclure @FinancialPhys There’s always weird people. There’s no reason to ride a horse yet .05% of the world still rides them and takes it seriously today, .05 millions of people. Yes most people would not leave utopia earth but there’s good reason to assume some will, even if it’s .001%

I’m so happy to see others addressing the issue of space travel SiFi is a plot device for storytelling, nothing more

The real story… under any other president this would be jail time…

I just don’t think that’s possible. We’ve never stopped any state that was committed to getting a nuclear weapon from doing so, and that includes Israel (which JFK was opposed to, along with supplying conventional weapons, before he was bumped off), as well as NK, China, Pakistan, etc. We can’t control the planet like a goddamn puppeteer. We’d be better off using diplomacy and soft power except in cases of outright revanchist aggression. We still have the MAD principle in effect to deter nuclear attacks, which has worked for 75 years.

@JohnnyBCCB TACOing would be way worse. As a lawnmowing operation, it's been extremely successful. We should let Israel complete their objectives to make it more than that.

@bre929596 @Ken_LoveTW Oh fuck off

This is Trump's Art of the Deal in action. By putting maximum pain on the table with a 48-hour ultimatum threatening Iran’s energy backbone, then strategically pausing for five days after “productive” talks, Trump is forcing the Iranian regime to choose between compromise and collapse. Iranian society is already under immense pressure. People are deeply dissatisfied with years of sanctions and conflict. If the country experiences nationwide blackouts and infrastructure collapse, daily life would become unsustainable. At present, many Iranians may resent the regime but remain silent out of fear, as the government still holds coercive power. As long as life remains barely tolerable, people hesitate to rebel. If key power stations are destroyed, recovery would be slow or even impossible, leading to long-term, irreversible consequences. This would be a fatal blow to the regime’s foundation. Why? Because electricity is the backbone of modern society. Faced with hunger and survival, people will overcome fear and rise up. Washington isn’t rushing into another Middle East war. It’s testing whether effective diplomacy can deliver results faster and cheaper. If talks fail, the threat remains credible. If they succeed, Trump walks away with a strategic win with minimal cost.

This is what passes for international diplomacy and leadership today. An all caps misspelled rant from a sundowning old man is posted by the Department of Defense as an official order. 35 years ago I had just fought the last battle of Desert Storm and GEN Schwarzkopf met our enemy in a tent in the desert to lay out their withdrawal from Kuwait as thousands of coalition troops waited for our orders. Today a mentally unstable narcissist posts on his personal social media company his brain dump and our troops are left scrambling to decode it all. This is the most incompetent leadership I’ve ever witnessed at any level.

5 minutes before Trump’s announcement: * $1.5B notional worth of S&P500 (ES) futures are bought in a single clip. * $192M notional of oil futures (CL) sold. More than 4x-6x any other trade size during the market close. Insiders profited from his lies in broad daylight!

@Pro__Trading Because you’re a dope.

We've achieved 90% of our objectives in Iran. We have decimated their nuclear program and their military in general. It's going to take them decades to rebuild. The only thing that remains is agreeing to a peace deal moving forward with strict monitoring enforced. Like I have said from day one, while most people panic, I trust President Trump.