ทวีตที่ปักหมุด
I often hear the same thing from traders:
— The market is complete garbage,
— The market is bad,
— Well, you saw it yourself.
And every time, it feels to me like this isn’t market analysis — it’s just looking for excuses outside yourself. From my observations, the problem is almost never the market itself.
The problem is either a lack of time and depth to actually understand it, or a lack of understanding of macroeconomics, cycles, and capital flows.
I’m saying this as someone who used to say the market was “just shit” himself — and lost capital several times because of it.
You won’t believe the places I looked for someone to blame afterward: the bottle, psychedelics, work… And what self-sabotaging decisions I made, christ.
A professional trader understands that the market can go up, down, sideways, or against you. He understands cyclicality, inflation, and knows how to make cold-blooded, systematic decisions.
These aren’t abstract words. This is the foundation of decision-making in this field. And it’s hard because it requires stepping over your own ego.
“Bad market?”
It’s as if we’re sitting with a huge pile of inventory we urgently need to sell off, relying on logistics and marketing, waiting for buyers — instead of just working with cash on the exchange and being friends with our own head. With the ability to bet on movement up or down.
During COVID, for example, companies had logistics chains stop, deliveries frozen, problems with inventory that urgently needed to be sold. And that’s putting it mildly. COVID put such pressure on real markets that people went bankrupt and even died.
In trading, we don’t have those problems. We have no warehouses, no logistics, no illiquid goods. Only liquid capital and the ability to think.
Yes, there’s the risk of getting wiped out, of the order book “breaking your nose.” But even here, the responsibility lies with us.
If the market goes up — we go long.
If the market goes down — we go short.
You can hedge positions, buy on spot every day, extract income from volatility, diversify through other instruments including algorithms. Opportunities exist in every phase. They only disappear when you’re waiting.
And an important point: being out of the market (flat / no position) is also a position, depending on the context.
But instead of adapting, digging in, and changing approach, many find it easier to say: “the market is bad” — and lock themselves in a wet version of what could have been.
Trading (and yes, it’s not for everyone) is one of the very few areas where:
- there are no external excuses (except real force majeure),
- there is no “bad season,”
- there is no one to blame on the outside.
And once you truly get this, it becomes obvious: the issue isn’t the market — it’s simply weakness.
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God grant everyone strength, health, and happiness 🤍
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