Simon Millak

@babyfolio Ty for the quick reply, considering subbing to you, you seem like a decent guy compared to alot of people on here and like your commentary

@MillakSimon x.com/i/status/20625…

Trimmed earlier this morning SK Square from 44% => 20%

@aleabitoreddit @Raccoononomics Could u address this in a separate post cause people are losing their shit this morning cause of it

$SIVE looks like both a chokepoint and a bottleneck for CPO next year. Keep seeing information published from nontechnical people who miss any nuances. Here’s the reason why: 1. CW lasers are bottlenecked signaled by $LITE earnings. Laser fabs are heavily allocated to EML likely from former $NVDA contracts. -> Sumitomo/Furukawa = bottleneck -> Win Semi = bottleneck $SIVE does fab-lite, so are they a bottleneck? Yes, $SIVE sits in the laser bottleneck since control output supply of CW lasers from Win Semi and other fabs from allocation way early on (CEO stated they working with more capacity from other players as well). Perfect example is Kioxia/Sandisk. $SNDK controls NAND output, so they’re a bottleneck because they control final pricing. Demand exceeding supply from Ayar, Jabil, other pluggable vendors + Nvidia NVLink CPO ecosystem… final laser supply owned by $SIVE makes Sivers a bottleneck. $SIVE is also likely primary/sole source for Jabil, Gen-1 Ayar, $MRVL Celestial, and other hyperscaler asic/merchant CPO routes. So no way to get around it (can’t hot-swap single channel cw lasers with Sivers) 2. $SIVE is a chokepoint over CPO. $NVDA use $COHR, $LITE (which likely sources external cw capacity from Japanese competitors) $AVGO is likely vertically integrated as well. However: the entire ecosystem around it from ASIC programs (Marvell, AlChip, etc) and merchant programs (Ayar, Lightmatter, Lightelligence) Are all likely designed around $SIVE. Ayar for example, likely tried to multi-source with $MTSI / $LITE back in 2022 but their lasers probably couldn’t match the level of Sivers specification with arrays (removed Lumentum / Macom from their supply chain site recently) If there’s no alternative at least for the initial generations (obviously they’re working to multi-source). That makes $SIVE a structural chokepoint to go through for lasers. Even if you look at the 1.6T LRO $JBL designed, they achieved a “drastic moat” with performance built around $SIVE likely sole source. $SIVE is also the foundry level reference laser design for $GFS, which your hyperscalers use like $AMD (likely using Sivers + maybe Ayar for gen1): If every major player, who hasn’t achieved vertical integration (Nvidia/Broadcom) is using Sivers for CPO… That makes them a chokepoint. Just look at the entire CPO $NVDA NVLink ecosystem partners: every single one are all likely using Sivers. And they all use $GFS as well (where Sivers is default reference). So $SIVE is both a chokepoint and bottleneck when CPO really scales up H2 2027, over one of the biggest architectural shifts of all time (near $0 -> $81B or $91B TAM in the next 1 1/2 years from GS research note) This is why I say $SIVE looks like it could be the next $75B $LITE over the next couple years. All of this should play out next year. And it’s still trading less than a company with $50M in purchase agreements that buys Sivers lasers to repackage them.

@ive_m5 Any date on the next annual report? Sorry for bugging you you probably already have your hands full with this one lol

@MillakSimon Debt to equity conversion and an annual report.

$HUBC not selling anything.

@Courage_wins Damn i feel that pain but cant imagine for u guys with deep pockets in this

I am fully out as of now. I have 0 trust in leadership, unfortunately

@KawzInvests Looking like a lockout rally on $BRUN, wanted to get in recently 😢

$BRUN (~$2.2B) is guiding 1,233% ARR expansion to $400M+ by FY26 year-end Anchored by a $1.4B TCV target that was $940M at listing May 11 and $1.45B as of June 1. $30M ARR in FY24. $120M in FY25. Two years of 4x growth into that number. Supply side: $NVDA Exemplar Cloud (1 of 8 globally), $DELL ($1.44B purchase agreement), Lenovo, CDW. Verified customers: Fluidstack ($127M / 2yr), Thinking Machines Lab ($471.7M / 36mo / 5,000 B300 GPUs). That last contract alone is 21% of the entire TCV target. FCF positive while $CRWV, $NBIS, and $APLD all burn cash at multiples of BRUN's scale.

@ive_m5 where is the squeeze?

$HUBC short interest now 1750% representing 8.31M shares sold short.

@InTheAssembly Copying @aleabitoreddit are we?

There is one European chip stock quietly sitting at the intersection of AI photonics, EV power semis, and EU sovereignty money. Almost nobody is covering it. The setup is more unusual than it looks. Here it is:

@aleabitoreddit Sell the news, lets see what US does

GUESS WHAT ANON? After today’s new news with Ayar joining Nvidia NVLink fusion. $SIVE is now the laser source for likely: The entire Nvidia’s NVLink CPO listed supply chain ecosystem partners. From Marvell Celestial, Lightmatter, and now Ayar today (the three listed in NVLink CPO). This is why I call $SIVE a structural photonics laser chokepoint over CPO and now Nvidia ecosystem supply chains. -> Celestial was likely a direct customer to Sivers, not through Poet. (2023 investor presentation mapping), then bought by Marvell. -> Lightmatter was also listed there as a customer in 2023 investor presentation deck mapping. And… Guess what else? Then they all happen to use GlobalFoundries. Which Sivers is now the GFS silicon photonics foundry-level reference laser (also new news yesterday). Supply chain mapping all starting to make sense now anon? Sivers is also likely now the primary laser source for Ayar after they removed Macom/Lumentum their laser supply chain section (now just gfs/sivers), as a cherry on top. Algorithms completely miss this type of image based mapping. After this announcement, I personally think current valuations are very undervalued: Given Sivers now holds one of the most important structural laser chokepoint over Nvidia CPO NVLink ecosystem supply chains.

@aleabitoreddit Sive + Ayar + NVDA, story gets better and better

Wow… new extremely transformative news got released today. Making a certain photonics company: The effective upstream laser chokepoint for $NVDA NVLink fusion CPO ecosystem. With their lasers now in Nvidia’s optical infrastructure supply chains. Can anyone guess the name?

@ive_m5 who is selling?

$HUBC Short Interest back up to 764%

@StonkChris yes

Being hyper-fixated on $BTC and $ETH in this market environment is borderline a mental disorder.

@benjamincowen huge respect for your work Unc but why are u still talking about BTC when you can bid stocks that go up only

Countertrend rallies are normal in bear markets. They always last long enough to truly convince the bulls that "this time is different." Bitcoin tends to be weak in midterm years, and no amount of mental gymnastics changes that.

@theragingbullX Yeeh one of the few Swedes holding strong lmao

@MillakSimon I hope you’re in man, let’s goooo what a day!

$SIVE up 20%, sellers being punished once again. Could we see a run back to 80 SEK today?😮‍💨

@Sandeman52 As a Swede I love watching this shit, daily drama and im just riding the wave. Gonna force myself to trim some and put into $NBIS though. IREN, WULF and CIFR did me well last year but want to make NBIS my biggest holding going forward, you’re an inspiration!

$SIVE is up 50% in Europe on this news: Sivers' laser arrays to support GlobalFoundries' silicon photonics platform and SCALE™ optical engine solutions targeting a $25B Pluggable Optics market by 2030. No position, but love to see shorts get cooked. Especially ones that use the term “we” and “our”

@NingiResearch Bears sound smart 🐻 Bulls make money 🐂

We are short $SIVE. A retail-driven pump built on speculative hyperscaler links, a fabricated bottleneck narrative, and a rumored volume ramp-up has driven a 1,800%+ rally in $SIVE.ST. Insiders sold ~29M shares into it. Here's what they're not telling you.👇 Full report: ningiresearch.com

@aleabitoreddit Love the aggressiveness with the caps

DID YOU LISTEN ANON? Reuters: New Sivers x GFS strategic collaboration. $SIVE has now announced its lasers will be integrated into reference designs built on Globalfoundries Silicon Photonics Platform. For pluggable optical transcivers, CPO, and SiPH. This is fundamentally the most groundbreaking news for Sivers in history. As Broadcom, Nvidia, Marvell, AMD, and anyone who goes through GFS silicon photonics has Sivers embedded as a default laser route. I personally think this news alone should easily 2x or 3x Sivers market cap over the medium term, given how fundamental this is to their revenue. To have Sivers be the standard laser route for the many hyperscalers that use the world's leading photonics foundry.

@aleabitoreddit +100 SEK End of Week

The most consequential event of an entire company’s history. Got released today with a photonics player. Making them the functional standard laser for CPO, Pluggables, and SiPH. For companies like $NVDA, $AVGO, $AMD, to $MRVL using the foundry. Does anyone know the name?