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💳 ICO Season and Airdrop Cycle: How Every Run Ends the Same
let us understand how the ICO and airdrop cycle actually works, so the picture becomes clear.
▪︎Phase 1 — The Cluster Signal
At this moment, one thing is already clear.
We are inside a phase of the cycle where ICO activity increases in a very visible way.
Today there are four ICOs running at the same time:
• Monad on Coinbase
• Vooi on Cookie and Legion
• Solomon on MetaDAO
• Azetc on the official website
But before anything else, let us understand how the ICO and airdrop cycle actually works, so the picture becomes clear.
What we are seeing now is simply the stage where ICOs multiply, narratives grow stronger, and liquidity spreads itself across too many projects at once.
▪︎ Phase 2 — The Easy Multipliers
In this type of environment, almost any project can deliver a quick x2 to x5.
The reason is simple: people react to the story, not the fundamentals.
Oversubscribed launches become normal,
research gets replaced by excitement,
and airdrops slowly disappear because teams prefer selling tokens instead of distributing them.
▪︎Phase 3 — Liquidity Spread
After that, the second phase arrives.
More ICOs show up.
More “opportunities” appear.
Less liquidity remains for each one.
▪︎ Phase 4 — The Cooldown
Returns decline.
Early tokens fall by around forty percent.
New projects face difficulty filling allocations.
Momentum weakens.
Liquidity spreads too thin across the market.
The crowd begins to step back.
▪︎ Phase 5 — The Downward Shift
The cycle then enters the familiar stage:
very little interest in the real product,
a selective and skeptical CT,
founders becoming careful,
and a large part of the community leaving with losses.
▪︎Phase 6 — The Reset
From here the reset begins.
A fresh narrative takes the lead.
Airdrops return to the center of attention.
And the cycle prepares for another round. 🔄
▪︎ Final Note — Position With Clarity
In the end, if you are still here and paying attention to airdrops, remember one thing.
Airdrops never completely disappear.
This is actually one of the best moments to position yourself inside the projects you believe in, because the hype is lower and the number of active hands is much smaller.
And if the returns from ICOs look easy or too high, then you are probably entering the phase where losses happen quickly and recovery becomes difficult.
Review every project carefully, avoid entering with greed, and make sure every move makes sense.
Take care.
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