PaganTech

@jusderaisingroy @JMGreerWriter Accommodation costs are part of GDP. Push this up and GDP goes up. Plus, the current western elites are of the Rentier Class variety.

@JMGreerWriter I think this is what’s *been* happening but I think that we’ve passed the peak of this strategy. These people have to be fiscally and infrastructurally integrated and that’s become more expensive than the marginal benefits given stagnant industry and energy.

The entire financial superstructure of the Western world depends on growth, and since every continent but Africa has already slid over into sub-replacement fertility (and Africa’s dropping fast), I expect to see governments frantically trying to maintain immigration at all costs to prop up the illusion of growth.

@PolyCopy_trade @DanCollins2011 Plus insurance for shipping going to Russia.

insurance shifting to HK is the one nobody is watching. Lloyd's repriced the Gulf as a war zone three weeks ago. whoever underwrites Hormuz transit controls which ships sail. the yuan oil trade is the headline. the insurance migration is the infrastructure that makes it permanent

- Oil trade shifting to Yuan - Global Finance Dubai to HK - Ship insurance shifting from London to HK - World needs EV - World needs renewable energy -$1.2 trillion trade surplus

@PrinceVogel @Object_Zero_ @GeZhu13 The actual shipping channel is much narrower for tankers. Less than 8km at its narrowest point. Very easy to work out where a tanker will be in say 30 minutes time.

@Object_Zero_ @GeZhu13 Not by artillery! Zero ships have been or will be hit by artillery

Strait of Hormuz + old fashioned Artillery Iranian islands + Soviet era artillery is enough to close the Strait of Hormuz indefinitely with the most basic low tech hardware. No electronics, no rare earths needed, just steel and cordite, little more than Napoleonic technology. Below are 1970’s era artillery guns, that can be fed with mass produced Russian or North Korean artillery shells. Oil and LNG tankers are not warships, they are not armoured. They are not designed to absorb any sort of hits. They will never sail into a bombardment, or even the threat of a bombardment. This is why Iranian steel mills were hit. Iran doesn’t need high tech drones, doesn’t need EW, doesn’t need rocket motors, or guidance systems, doesn’t need fibre optics or chips. Iran only needs a few old artillery pieces and they can dig artillery guns into mountain pill boxes. Even if you bombed all the artillery, Iran could tow new Artillery to its coastal positions faster than any tankers could escape the gulf. What does this mean? It means Iran has essentially taken the whole Middle East hostage, and can now collect a petroleum export tax on some 30% of the world oil production. It also means OPEC is dead. OPEC serves no purpose in a world where Iran has a geographical choke on the world’s oil supply. It means Iran can become wealthy unless someone intervenes to end this. If Iran collects $20/bbl on exports for clear passage, that’s $400m / day. That new revenue would be 1/3rd of Iran’s GDP. They are unlikely to give this up now that they have stumbled upon this new power. Iran’s military budget is $10bn / year, if they extort $20/bbl for free passage, that’s approx 15x their military budget. If the Iranian people start to benefit from this extortion revenue, it gets even harder to prevent it as there are 90 million people over there. Way too many people for any modern military to conquer. Therefore this could be a new paradigm for the world economy and its energy supplies. Maybe one morning everyone will wake up and just go back to how things were before all this started? But the more people are involved and the longer it goes on, the less likely that is. Just seems like a huge mess.

@Inshoreangler34 @tinomuvimba @Pressman2040 Are you a moron?

@PaganTech @tinomuvimba @Pressman2040 Hey dumbass of course you can hit a plane with an fucking IR missile when its a couple hundred feet away. Any sand monkey can do that. Its striking them dozens/hundreds of miles away that they cant do. You people need to educate yourself on military hardware .

There's an old saying that whatever a person builds, there's a hole that will destroy it. For years, America has sold the world the idea that the F-35 Lightning II aircraft is invisible (Stealth). They spent $400 billion developing technology that deceives Radar by using Geometric Angles that scatter Electromagnetic waves. On every Radar, this massive aircraft appears like a Golf Ball, a ball that's hit by horses. But on the day this plane entered Iranian airspace in March 2026, something happened that changed the history of modern warfare. Thermodynamics (physics) showed the world that even if you can hide your body, you can't hide your heat. I'm reiterating that physics is real. The Pentagon's big mistake was forgetting that the engine propelling the aircraft at supersonic speeds generates a lot of heat. Iran didn't waste time looking for the plane on Radar; they switched to Infrared Search and Track (IRST). I'm also encouraging parents to push their kids, especially girls, to study physics. To this device, the aircraft America is so proud of didn't appear like a Golf Ball or anything else; it was like a boiling pot in the middle of the night. Physics shows that anything hot emits Infrared light. Iran exploited this mistake using cheap thermal sensors to detect the world's most expensive aircraft and even managed to shoot it down. This isn't just a loss of one plane; it's a global political disaster, indeed a disaster. Iran successfully captured the F-35's Thermal Signature and is sharing it with Moscow and Beijing. This means any defense system America built over 30 years collapsed overnight. Now, any Russian or Chinese defense system can detect the F-35 from a distance by tracking its heat signature, without even looking at Radar. This is every air force's worst nightmare: when your billion-dollar aircraft becomes useless against a $10,000 technology. The biggest loss is the psychological impact on pilots (The Human Element). Sure, software can be fixed, paint can be changed, but you can't erase fear from a pilot's heart. Now every F-35 pilot knows they're being watched. Where they once relied on being unseen, they'll now hesitate. This hesitation kills bravery and replaces skill with fear. The Stealth myth is dead, and the world of war has entered a new chapter where heat will be the cause of great armies' downfall. The lesson is: never rely 100% on human-made things, because every structure has a backdoor. Physics doesn't lie; even if you blindfold the world, you can't erase the footprint you leave behind. Nothing lasts forever....... - Eng Viglo

@jhouse678 @Object_Zero_ They are using standoff weapons. Taking out a howitzer in mountains detected only after it was wheeled out of a cave and fired is a tough order. It’ll take time, probably a year or two if there’s only couple of thousand of them. Strait will be closed all this time.

Well if you haven’t noticed, they’ve been busy disassembling Iran’s industrial, ballistic missile and nuclear weapons infrastructure the past three weeks, while wiping out their navy and air force. Not to mention taking down the Iranian leadership several mullahs at a time. Patience.

@AbsorberTheGeek @admcollingwood Planting season is soon in Northern Europe. Is there enough fertiliser? Will there be enough diesel for harvest in autumn? Think through about which pain needs to be felt.

@admcollingwood Maybe we (the West) needs to feel that pain in order to realise that we have a political system no longer fit for purpose? Whoever it is these incompetants and grifters work for it isn't the people.

The power of sanctions is now available to Iran. This is the conclusion we must draw. We applied the sanctions (economic) weapon liberally and ruthlessly to crush nations who did things with which we disagreed. Now, it is being applied to us. I say that with no relish or happiness—and if anybody is tempted to enjoy the schedenfreud, I urge them not to do so, because if this doesn't end soon, either with the USAF entirely suppressing Iranian fires or Trump accepting a colossal geostrategic loss, the pain will be worse than anything we have felt for almost a hundred years.

@Treeless_North @sflicht @admcollingwood Not just whether they’ll stop coming but also how much oil is going to cost. Then there’s the LNG for Europe. If there are blackouts all over Europe then there will likely be disruption of shipping to Greenland. Planting season is soon in Europe, is there enough fertiliser?

Indeed 😆 We're in a unique situation in Greenland, where our diesel and benzin (petrol) prices at the pump are locked in annually. Annual reset is May 2026. We may have some of the cheapest gas prices for a europe-aligned country. 0.80 € per liter 3.50 $ per gallon Question is, will the supply tanker stop coming?

@JoshOfWarri @rukky_nate Lots of people used to upgrade on 18-24 month cycle. Now it’s shifted to every 3 to 4 years.

@rukky_nate I’ve always questioned this so called UK used phones, like are the people in the UK constantly selling their phones to buy new ones?

London is dubbed the “phone theft capital” of the world. Yet, almost nothing happens on its streets without the authorities knowing. With nearly one million cameras watching, it is the most surveilled city in the Western world. Yet, 2024 saw a staggering surge in street phone robberies. The stats: • 1 phone stolen every 4.5 minutes • 13 phones stolen every hour • 320+ phones stolen every day Top target: iPhones account for over 60% of all reported thefts. Now think about those “UK used” iPhones people buy in Nigeria. You might want to ask where they really came from. This is not random theft. It’s organised. Thieves use e-bikes and mopeds. They strike fast and disappear before cameras can react. Blink, and it’s gone. Otilor!

@AlbyDurer @MPG37685458 @MarioNawfal Cyprus and Turkey were false flags. IRGC said it had targeted a US military vessel off the Omani coast.

@MPG37685458 @MarioNawfal Dubai, Kuwait, Oman, Turkey, Cyprus, etc.

🇮🇷 Gulf countries say they did everything right. No airspace. No military bases. They stayed completely out of it. Iran hit them anyway. Now those same Gulf officials are starting to mention Article 51 of the UN Charter. The one about self defence. They are not there yet. But every Iranian strike that lands on Gulf soil moves that line a little closer. The possibility of retaliation is increasing day by day. Source: Al Jazeera

@massiefor2028 @MarioNawfal @grok "It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends upon his not understanding it"

@MarioNawfal @grok does the USA have military bases in the countries Mario is referencing, also did the USA military use those bases to attack Iran in the last 30 days?

@nordic_bard @JMGreerWriter Those idiots are the ones who formed your worldview of Russia. There’s difference between energy, cheap energy and no energy. Europe isn’t competitive without cheap energy. Europe can only sustain a faction of its current population on only European energy sources.

There still do exist coal deposits in Europe that would be fairly easy to get to, not least because there have been some advances in extraction technology. Biggest economic obstacle is regulation, not physics. I don't know about these idiots you're talking about but maybe you just shouldn't listen to them. You sure as hell shouldn't listen to whoever is telling you Russia has a diversified economy. There is still energy out there in the world. Not as much as a hundred years ago, but it still exists. It isn't just Europe and Russia and one vast sea outside of those. You can just do things. But Europe isn't doing anything without deep, fundamental reform and cultural paradigm shift. You just can't guarantee anything from a region so volatile as Siberia and the taiga. Civilizations have to fight to survive. It isn't about maintaining the kind of decadence that we had in the late 20th Century. It's just about being agile and competitive enough to get by.

For the EU, going to Russia hat in hand and asking to buy oil and gas would require giving up their fantasies of renewed European world dominion, and I think they’d sooner cut their own throats with a dull saw than do that. This fantasy runs very deep in Brussels these days, and for good reason: the alternative is for Europe to turn into the impoverished backwater it was six centuries ago.

@Mist671 @JMGreerWriter Why famine in Africa?

@JMGreerWriter Re We’ll see how it plays out. Likely revolutions in the GCC and famine in Africa. Another 🇺🇸 military blunder.😔

I think Trump’s handlers and the Israelis both believed that the Iranian regime was much more fragile than it has turned out to be, and thought that a decapitation strike would result in a popular uprising and the end of the mullahocracy. They gambled on that, and lost. Now the Israelis are simply trying to weaken Iran as much as possible, while Trump is looking for an offramp that will let him claim victory and get out. Since the US gets next to no oil from the Persian Gulf, he’s also hoping to unload some of the costs of defending the Gulf states onto Europe. We’ll see how it plays out.

@iam_mccoi @Africanized3 GENESIS 19:32 What’s the moral lesson from this?

@Africanized3 Am ancient document that employs the use of allegory in getting moral lessons across, YES History book ? No Scientific book ? No

How do we convince Africans that the bible and Quran are just fictional books and shouldn't be taken seriously.

@tinomuvimba @Pressman2040 Not many have flown over Iran. They come close enough to use standoff weapons. The main issue is that a stealth jet can be detected, tracked and attacked.

@Pressman2040 Your analysis is crap. How many F35 flew over iran and out of thousands flights you get one near miss . What are you saying?

@firstlink55 @Pressman2040 airandspaceforces.com/usaf-pilot-shr…

@Pressman2040 You don’t need to write this long story according to Iran over 92000 target inside Iran & iran is a massive cuntry 1.6 million square kilometers USA fighter jet are having a great time inside Iran in other to substantiate ur claim just show us the remains of fighter on Iran soil

@emetisuccess @Pressman2040 airandspaceforces.com/usaf-pilot-shr…

@Pressman2040 Let me clear you of something I think you don't know. If Iran has shot down the F-35. They won't hesitate to show you the crash site and the destroyed jet. Know this and know peace. ✌️✌️

@_BlondeKing @joni_askola It doesn’t have enough factories, machines, trained personnel or energy. Hasn’t even been able to increase the production of artillery shells to match Ukrainian needs in 4 years!!!

@joni_askola Then maybe start producing!?

European armies are living in a fantasy. We do not have even a fraction of the cruise missiles, ballistic missiles, or interceptors needed to survive a high intensity war or actually deter Russia. We are entirely exposed and relying on empty stockpiles. We must wake up

@HolyEuroKaiser @joni_askola Huh? It can’t even produce enough artillery shells for Ukrainian needs.

@joni_askola The US literally expends its stockpiles in a useless war with Iran right fucking now!

@JoyfulWarrior91 @HarrisAuthority You really think Gringostanies can accept that the Mighty Gringostani Military is getting a whooping?

@PaganTech @HarrisAuthority so you were just being retarded lmao,

NOBODY IS TALKING ABOUT THE REAL STORY HERE Yes, Iran attacked US troops. Yes, 1,270 soldiers from the 82nd Airborne were targeted. Yes, Kuwaiti hospitals are in emergency mode. But here's the part everyone is missing: Iran didn't attack a US base. Iran attacked KUWAITI SOIL. Kuwait is a sovereign nation. Kuwait hosted American troops as guests. Iran just bombed a country that wasn't even fighting. Think about what that means. Every Gulf state — UAE, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia — is now watching. They all have US troops. They all just saw what happens to countries that host Americans. Iran is sending a message to every US ally in the region: "Your alliance with America makes you a target." And Kuwait's response? They declared a hospital emergency. Not war. Not retaliation. Just emergency rooms. If Iran can bomb a US ally with no military response from that ally... Then every US base in the Gulf is now exposed. Because the host countries are too scared to fight back. That's what nobody is saying out loud. Iran didn't just attack American troops today. Iran just broke the entire Gulf security alliance.