Predict0r

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Predict0r

Predict0r

@Predicti0r

Prediction markets deep research. Undervalued bets and PM's arbitrage situations. PM's profit strategies. Usefull services for PM and analytics. @zscdao member

เข้าร่วม Temmuz 2021
274 กำลังติดตาม358 ผู้ติดตาม
Predict0r
Predict0r@Predicti0r·
@BitcoinPulseX But we should research how to earn on this! Infrastructure projects? Ondo?
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Bitcoin PulseX
Bitcoin PulseX@BitcoinPulseX·
💥 BULLISH BlackRock CEO Larry Fink SAYS TOKENIZATION TODAY IS LIKE THE INTERNET IN 1996 WE’RE EARLY… AND THE GOLDEN ERA IS JUST GETTING STARTED 🚀
Bitcoin PulseX tweet mediaBitcoin PulseX tweet media
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Predict0r
Predict0r@Predicti0r·
@Cointelegraph The spring is already so tense that there should be a 2x shot in a week!
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Cointelegraph
Cointelegraph@Cointelegraph·
🔥 JUST IN: Wallets holding 100–100K $ETH accumulated 756,950 $ETH in the past two days, according to Santiment.
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Car
Car@CarOnPolymarket·
Now tell them you had good talks with Iran
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Predict0r
Predict0r@Predicti0r·
@Polymarket Well, it's just the well-known FEMA teleport. Nothing new)))
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Polymarket
Polymarket@Polymarket·
JUST IN: It's been revealed that a top FEMA official claimed he was involuntarily teleported to a Waffle House.
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Predict0r
Predict0r@Predicti0r·
@bitcoinlfgo It's so typical)) macro and geo situation becomes more and more sad every day! But liquidity injections put markets up whatever))
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BITCOINLFG®
BITCOINLFG®@bitcoinlfgo·
JUST IN 🇺🇸 OVER $900 BILLION ADDED TO THE US STOCK MARKET AT OPEN MASSIVE LIQUIDITY ENTERING MARKETS 🚀
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Predict0r
Predict0r@Predicti0r·
@coinbureau There will soon be a country with two parties: one Bitcoin party led by Saylor, and the other Ethereum party led by Tom Lee. I'd live there.
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Coin Bureau
Coin Bureau@coinbureau·
⚡️TOM LEE: “ETHEREUM IS IN THE FINAL STAGES OF A MINI CRYPTO WINTER” Meanwhile, BitMine’s ETH holdings reached 4.661 million after acquiring 65,341 ETH over the past week.
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Predict0r
Predict0r@Predicti0r·
@AshCrypto There will soon be a country with two parties: one Bitcoin party led by Saylor, and the other Ethereum party led by Tom Lee. I'd live there.
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Ash Crypto
Ash Crypto@AshCrypto·
BREAKING: 🇺🇸 Michael Saylor's Strategy is raising $42 billion to buy more Bitcoin.
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Predict0r
Predict0r@Predicti0r·
@AshCrypto Is this the result of Donald Trump's negotiations with an imaginary Iranian delegation?
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Ash Crypto
Ash Crypto@AshCrypto·
BREAKING: 🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump just said that Iran has agreed not to have a nuclear weapon.
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Predict0r
Predict0r@Predicti0r·
@cryptorover It would be legendary! I think in the future, there will be an island where Saylor will be the president, and there will be an absolutely cool crypto vibe there.
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Crypto Rover
Crypto Rover@cryptorover·
💥BREAKING: Michael Saylor's 'Strategy' to raise $42 billion to purchase more Bitcoin.
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Predict0r
Predict0r@Predicti0r·
@Polymarket Nice profit opportunity for private equity firms. Interesting to read full conditions of this potential deal. Cashout through ipo or something else?
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Polymarket
Polymarket@Polymarket·
JUST IN: OpenAI reportedly offering private-equity firms a guaranteed minimum return of 17.5% in push to raise fresh capital.
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Predict0r
Predict0r@Predicti0r·
@rawsalerts Is it possible to add a "something undefined" button?
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Predict0r
Predict0r@Predicti0r·
This market is not asking whether ETH vol stays elevated. It's asking whether fear gets one clean shot before April 30. That's a much easier choise. Market: What will the Ethereum implied volatility Index hit by April 30? This is a touch market, not a close market. It resolves YES immediately if any 1 minute EVIV candle prints the listed level before April 30. EVIV is Volmex forward-looking 30 day Ethereum implied volatility index, built from options quotes. That means you do not need vol to live at 85 into month end. You just need one real repricing burst. Macro and geopolitical: 1) The Iran war is now in its fourth week, Trump has issued a 48 hour ultimatum over Iranian power plants, and Iran has threatened retaliation against Gulf energy and water infrastructure. That is exactly the kind of headline regime that keeps option premia elevated. 2) Oil is still the key transmission channel. Brent finished around $112, the highest since 2022, as Hormuz disruption and regional escalation keep inflation risk alive. Higher oil usually means more macro stress, more crossasset volatility, and more demand for downside hedges. 3) ETH itself is not trading in a calm environment. It is still around $2050, and Citi just cut its 12 month ETH target while explicitly pointing to weaker activity metrics and a wider downside scenario range. That is not the kind of backdrop that usually crushes implied volatility lower. Main pick: YES on above 85. This is the cleanest risk/reward level on the board. Why: 85 is a reachable spike, not an extreme tail. In the current regime, do not need a full market breakdown. Just one serious repricing wave. Because this is a 1 minute touch market, the barrier is structurally easier to hit than a stay above 85 market would be. The macro tape is still hostile to vol compression. War headlines, oil shock, and inflation pressure all argue for sticky risk premium, not a smooth grind lower in implied vol. As a trading heuristic, a push in EVIV to 85 is roughly the kind of repricing you can get from a sharp one-day ETH move of about 4–6%, especially if it comes with a weekend gap, war headline, or cross-asset risk-off impulse. That is an inference, not a formal Volmex conversion, but it is the right order of magnitude for a one-shot vol spike. Summary: This market is not asking whether ETH vol will stay high forever. It is asking whether one real fear burst can print 85 before April 30. With war escalation, oil above $112, ETH still under macro pressure, and this resolving on a 1 minute touch, above 85 is still the sharpest side.
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Predict0r
Predict0r@Predicti0r·
@OleksandrZaha11 Exactly, we potentially shouldn't wait long for resolve. Some impulsive announsments from Trump and we could get profits
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Predict0r
Predict0r@Predicti0r·
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of March? This is not a "where does the S&P close" market. It's a one panic minute market and with oil, yields, and crypto all flashing risk-off, 6300 is still very live. This is a touch market, not a close market. A contract resolves YES if, at any point before month end, the S&P 500 1 minute candle hits the listed level during regular trading hours. That matters because you do not need a daily close at 6300. Just one fast flush. The index closed March 20 at 6506, so 6300 is only about 3.17% below that level. Macro and geopolitical backdrop: The USA/Israel war with Iran has pushed oil sharply higher, with Brent moving above $112, raising the risk of another inflation shock. The Fed held rates at 3.50% - 3.75%, lifted its inflation outlook, and still points to only one cut in 2026 February CPI was 2.4% y/y with 2.5% core, while PPI was still hot at +0.7% m/m and +3.4% y/y, keeping the stagflation narrative alive. The S&P 500 has already logged four straight losing weeks, fell 1.5% on Friday, and broke lower into a weak technical setup. Crypto already leaned risk-off over the weekend. Bitcoin dropped below $69200 after Trumpэs latest 48-hour ultimatum over Iranian power plants, a sign that weekend markets are already pricing Monday downside risk rather than relief. Main pick: YES on dip 6300 at 27c. This is the best risk/reward spot on the board and that's why: Only -3.17% needed from 6506.48. The market already showed it can lose 1.5% in a day, and this contract only needs one 1 minute touch, not a close. Oil shock, higher yields, and a weak technical setup all point the same way. Reuters notes the recent 20 day correlation between the S&P 500 and USA crude is about -0.89 6400 is closer, but that is why it is already expensive. 6300 is where the move is still very plausible, while the payout remains meaningful. Summary: This is a touch market in a headline-driven, oil-shock regime. With geopolitics worsening, inflation still sticky, the Fed not offering a rescue, and crypto already signaling weekend risk-off, dip 6300 at 27c is still the sharpest trade and 3x+ for 9 days looks so attractive
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Predict0r
Predict0r@Predicti0r·
@Liliwmili Completely agree. I could't imagine how markets would up when all againt it!
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ElkyInDaHauz
ElkyInDaHauz@Liliwmili·
@Predicti0r I think current situation can't move markets up near future. Combination of bad factors
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Coin Bureau
Coin Bureau@coinbureau·
🔥 TOM LEE: WARS ARE GOOD FOR THE US ECONOMY AND THE US STOCK MARKET.
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Predict0r
Predict0r@Predicti0r·
@cryptorover Unfortunately, the fear and greed indicator has been working quite poorly lately.
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Crypto Rover
Crypto Rover@cryptorover·
Bitcoin: BUY THE FEAR!
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Predict0r
Predict0r@Predicti0r·
@pete_rizzo_ @saylor you are simply best! Waiting for BTC will end up on open sale and you pay your attention to ETH
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