Robbie May

@CFlanders7 I ran a test on historical results I’ve found that would’ve given me at least a 5R return and only a handful happened when the general market didn’t have aligned MAs. IMO, the ends don’t justify the means and I’d rather wait for the general market to be in a confirmed uptrend

If you struggle with over-trading in poor environments I would recommend physically removing yourself from your computer. Go for a walk, touch grass, reflect on what you are trying to achieve and if this is the correct environment to do it in.

@FranVezz Its eye opening if you backtest many cycles & compare R returns based on different sell rules. @CFlanders7 mentioned this in his TL interview but your results will probably say to hold winners until a close below the 50 SMA, which can be a volatile journey lol, but optimal

Some people don’t like moving averages or believe in them. Totally cool, we’re all different. Personally, I have never found a better way to hold a winner than by leaning on moving averages. It allows me to get out of my own way, and not react to every wiggle.

@CFlanders7 Thanks!

@RobbieMay Yes

SPY is up ~19% for 2025, up big 3 years in a row. We haven't had 4 big up years in a row since the internet boom in the late 1990's. Can we do it again?

@mwebster1971 Can we get a WRO on your modern day volume opinion vs how you used to see it in the past? Thanks for all the videos!

Next Saturday a special Webby Rambles On drops… Finding YOUR Moral Compass, episode #51.50🤘 Even though it’s a non-stock related episode, I think it’s the most important one I’ve recorded to date by a country mile Until then catch up on other episodes YouTube “Webby5150”

@MarkRitchie_II Appreciate the response. I also bought $NEM, $GFI and since the group felt so strong, I bought $GDXJ when that went through a pivot a few days later

I only tend to play the cyclicals when the group is 'yelling at me' i.e. a bunch setting up as that IS the signal that institutions are accumulating vs a one off stock here & there. I want to buy the first one that goes that meets my criteria, in this case $NEM but its the same I don't want to play favorites I want the stocks I'm watching to tell me which ones to buy not the other way round.

Interesting Gold/Silver observation: I'm pretty much a sold out gold/silver bull here, have a $NEM position but sold last of my $SLV last week and $GLD in the last run up. I did a number of posts early in this advance x.com/MarkRitchie_II… (one example) saying that a cyclical bull market should see the prices double. Look at the last cycle when silver broke out and went parabolic gold didn't even breakout yet, then it followed suit and broke out while silver topped for the next decade. Looks VERY similar here. No clue how this plays out but pointing out an observation and will look to buy $GLD if I can get a low risk to my liking again. Blow offs can be tricky but fun to trade if you time them, the key is to not get stuck holding the bag or arguing with the market when you're wrong.

@thaTetOffensive Looking forward to Sunday’s picture

Saturday

@DemaraisMark @BigTenWhisperer @LilMoonLambo Just arrived

@BigTenWhisperer @LilMoonLambo @RobbieMay 🔜

that one guy who bought ETH at $4,000 in December finally being in profit today:

@Brandon_RTM3 @MarkRitchie_II Appreciate it!

@RobbieMay @MarkRitchie_II Yeah i think this looks fine

@MarkRitchie_II @Brandon_RTM3 Would you trade a power play that is still in a longer term stage 1? For context, this is a weekly chart that had a 200% move in 8 weeks and only gave back 19% in the last few weeks

@BigTenWhisperer @LilMoonLambo 😂😂

@LilMoonLambo @RobbieMay

@BigMFReign @PottsJackson Lmao

Can’t believe I was slumped during this performance 😂 @RobbieMay @PottsJackson

@markminervini TOST and CHEF both had very similar charts especially the weekly and got super volatile within a day or 2 of the breakouts

I've been closely observing big breakout stocks like CHEF as "canary in the coal mine" indicators, looking for clues to determine if the market's character was shifting toward a more favorable environment for low risk breakout trading. The key words are LOW RISK. Unfortunately, yesterday provided a definitive answer—though not the one we hoped for. If you are a breakout trader using tight stops - even though the indexes have ripped higher - you have likely experienced a low batting average. The frequent occurrence of squats and outright failures continues to dominate as a theme around breakout levels, clearly signaling that conditions remain challenging and volatile around key risk levels. These failed breakouts reveal persistent overhead supply and insufficient follow-through from institutional buyers, underscoring a risk off market with regard to broad-based participation. Hence, the continued gravitation to "old guard" names. Like you, I remain an active participant and careful observer, adjusting day by day and ensuring risk management remains my top priority. As far as breakout stocks are concerned, this is NOT yet an Easy Dollar environment. For the most part, we are still fighting for pennies. For those who have been willing to allow for a bit more volatility, you are likely experiencing better results. If so, congrats; keep doing what is working for you. Let me know in the comments if you agree with this assessment and what you are experiencing during this V recovery..

@MarkRitchie_II Do you have a specific percentage over a pivot that you would no longer buy it that day (assuming it gapped above the pivot)?

Ok so this is a pretty advanced post/lesson but feel free to let me know if this is too complex for 'X' but trying to show some real tactics & risk management so here goes: Following up from yesterday lets say I have something with a really tight potential entry (this is normally where I want to get aggressive...tight entries where I know quickly if I'm right vs wrong). This morning $IBIT gapped assuming you aren't trading the physical so here is how I think & handle a situation like that in terms of tactics. 1. Just measure the gap and buy it if it's still tight enough. I don't love this as anytime I have to expand risk it isn't my preferred option but in this case still tight enough so doable. 2. I may switch over to the intraday and look for some kind of confirmation and then use either that intraday low as a partial stop (stop on partial position) or the whole line if it establishes a risk point I'm comfortable with. I want to be VERY clear I am NOT a day trader and I only look/use the intraday charts to occasionally add or top up exposure or if we get a small gap I'll do something like this. Then I will likely stagger the stop between the intraday low and the daily low but always measuring to see what the total risk is and sizing accordingly. 3. When something is really tight the odds of a gap are higher so if I get a good close and things are going well (big IF & AND qualifiers) I may start half the position or smaller on the close that way if it gaps I'm not scrambling and I have something on. Now ALL of these decisions are based on thinking risk first. You can see there is a LOT of art in this and I didn't mention that how aggressive or which tactic(s) I may choose to employ as that is dependent upon how things are going. I could easily add more numbers say 4-6 if I were to look at options and other ways to express the trade. The point here is risk/tactics have to be managed in real time and here's a more advanced look into how that works day to day or in this case on a specific idea.

@markminervini @SpaceAge5324 Appreciate it!

@RobbieMay @SpaceAge5324 As a general rule of thumb, 5-10% of avg. daily volume.

It's pretty funny that a guy who's trading 500 shares thinks a stock that trades five hundred thousand shares a day is too thin. For Fidelity, maybe. No stock is too thin if it's ready to double or triple and price. News flash: There's a thing called position sizing.

@FranVezz Seems like Wednesday to Friday presented a handful of stocks with a similar price pattern to this one

Had this beast before the market really imploded. Looking to get back in. Very tight action. $OKTA