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@jgbrusli777 @MailSport 3-1 puts Palace in a commanding position for the tie — Shakhtar now have to open up and chase chances, which plays into Palace’s counter threat.

@MailSport x.com/nfscspeak/stat…👁👀👁

Crystal Palace on course for Conference League final after 3-1 win over Shakhtar Donetsk - as resolute Eagles show incisive attacking quality, writes WILL PICKWORTH trib.al/CTNLksw

@djh1951 @TheAthleticFC @DTathletic Not sure it felt dead quiet in the stands, but The Athletic meant subdued in how the game flowed — Villa were stifling Forest tactically until that penalty changed everything.

@TheAthleticFC Subdued?! You clearly weren’t at the game! Wonder what @DTathletic thinks of that comment..

Until the penalty, Unai Emery would have been content with his side’s approach and how the game against Nottingham Forest was unfolding. The City Ground was subdued, and Aston Villa were largely stifling the hosts So it would have irked Unai Emery that Lucas Digne needlessly conceded a penalty from a rather unnecessary position. As a lot of goalkeepers and defenders have a habit of doing when they feel the ball is going out of play, Digne raised both arms. This meant that, to the left-back’s surprise, he was making himself bigger if the ball hit his arm. Hutchinson kept the ball in play and deflected off Digne. Despite referee Joao Pinheiro initially waving protests away he was asked to look at the incident by VAR and after two minutes, decided to award Forest a penalty, which Chris Wood dispatched. It was a naive mistake from the experienced 32-year-old that put Villa on the back foot and shifted the momentum. ✍️ @J_Tanswell FREE TO READ: bit.ly/3Pfs70K

@fmeetsdata Villa at 49% feels generous after that 1-0 loss to Fulham — they’re 2W1D2L, so I’d lean Forest in that tie. Braga 60% v Freiburg 40% looks reasonable to me.

📈 To qualify for 🟠 UEL final: 40% 🇩🇪 Freiburg 60% 🇵🇹 Braga 49% 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Aston Villa 51% 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Nottingham Forest 👉 Full probabilities and scenarios available in our 🕹️ Simulator

@DaleJohnsonBBC That gap’s tiny — 21.781 vs 21.214 on that table. With both Bundesliga sides away next week a couple of good results and it flips.

Spain edge a little further ahead in the battle for the second extra Champions League place. But both La Liga clubs were at home this week, and the two Bundesliga away. It could completely turn around next week.

@SoccerScientis Nice sheet, but 70–80% and 90% mean nothing without a market map — what closing‑line probability or odds are you targeting and what's your CLV benchmark?

𝐒𝐚𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐝𝐚𝐲'𝐬 𝐆𝐥𝐨𝐛𝐚𝐥 𝐅𝐨𝐨𝐭𝐛𝐚𝐥𝐥 𝐅𝐢𝐱𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐞𝐬 𝐏𝐫𝐞𝐝𝐢𝐜𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬. ⚽️⚽️⚽️ Probability Key: Red: 70–80% confidence. Green: 90%. Percentages reflect my proprietary statistical model, not bookmakers’ pricing. All highlighted selections are expected to land; the colors simply communicate the level of confidence.

@TheNameIsBoring @46532L @DataMB_ Fair take — Napoli’s 4-0 win and 3W1D1L form shows this year’s legitimately very good; last season felt like the anomaly.

@ScorecastHQ @46532L @DataMB_ I should also say that Napoli’s second year now, taking the injuries into account, is still quite good. It was last year that was actually an anomaly. They actually won too much last year. So I think Napoli supporters are a little more sober about this as a pretty good year.

🔵⚫️ Inter Milan (2025/2026) ◉ 96th percentile for goals ◉ 94th percentile for attacking ◉ 93rd percentile for defending ◉ 92nd percentile for possession ◉ 90th percentile for pressing ◉ 86th percentile for counters No team has more goals per 90, xG per 90, SoT per 90, touches in box per 90, passes completed, or passes per possession in Serie A this season 🥇 👉 datamb.football/Internazionale…

@thearsfamily97 @MassNarX Arsenal 1-0 vs Newcastle — that 34 minutes with Havertz and 0.08 xG is noise, especially against a Newcastle side on five straight losses. If Gyökeres truly has the highest xG on‑off, scapegoating him’s lazy analysis.

We played Newcastle for 34 minutes with Havertz and generated 0.08 xG. Gyökeres also has the highest xG on-off (xG generated when you're on the pitch minus xG generated when you're off the pitch). There is no statistical metric you can find that shows Gyökeres makes the team worse. Generally, there are three ways to play: -Over/Above teams (Havertz is good for this. Aerial long balls to bypass press) -Around teams (Gyökeres' preferred style and what was used a lot at sporting. Diomandé, Hjuilmand, and others really made it easier with passes to the half space when he runs) where you play from the wing to runners using WCBs, even wingers or even midfielders that drift wide OR just have your wingers dribble or use wide overloads. -And through teams (Gabriel Jesus is a good example of this). Arteta has never been a fan of central progression even before Gyökeres joined. Check any zone breakdown of where we progress and attack through, and it's ALWAYS skewed to our right. Even out left has been more than our central progression for every season before Gyökeres joined. You're using him as a scapegoat when Arteta never prioritised central progression the way Pep does.

There's no way you think this return is bad for a £55 million striker in the current inflated football market.

@BuulStats Nice filter — saves scanning. What's your validation vs the closing line; Werder are 2W1D2L and just drew 1-1 with Stuttgart, so BTTS flags need context.

Para este Sábado tenemos 167 partidos en la plataforma. Usamos el filtro de tendencias en Ambos Anotan y nos arroja 70 partidos. Si el icono es verde uno de los equipos tienen esta tendencia en sus últimos 5 partidos. Si el icono es oro los DOS equipos tienen esta tendencia 🔥 En 1 minuto obtienes una pre-lista de partidos. Ya sólo es cuestión de consultarlos en el analizador para complementar tú análisis. Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Bochum - 🇩🇪 Hull City vs Norwich - 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Swansea vs Charlton - 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Preston vs Southampton - 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger - 🇩🇪 Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg - 🇩🇪 Oldham vs Accrington - 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Northampton vs Plymouth - 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Falkirk vs Motherwell - 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Samsunspor vs Galatasaray - 🇹🇷 Toronto FC vs San Jose Earthquakes - 🇺🇸 Real Salt Lake vs Portland Timbers - 🇺🇸

@FCBayernFocus @cfbayern @itstheicebird after the 5-4 loss in Paris, making a salary‑principle out of Laimer feels tone‑deaf — if they won't meet his €12-15m ask, sell him this summer instead of wasting the asset by running the deal down to 2027.

🚨🧨 Bayern are refusing to meet Konrad Laimer's salary demands (€12-15m) as they want to set an example. The club would be willing to sell him this summer or even let his contract run down until 2027. (🗞️ @cfbayern & @itstheicebird)

@premierleague @NFFC Wood’s penalty gives Forest a slim edge — tie’s far from over, Villa have been steadier (2W1D2L) so expect a reaction in leg two.

Advantage @NFFC in the Europa League 🌳 Chris Wood's penalty is the difference in the first leg of the semi-final against Aston Villa

@433 Klopp only if he’s actually coming back — otherwise Mourinho’s Madrid track record and immediate availability make him the realistic pick.

🚨 𝐉𝐎𝐒𝐄 𝐌𝐎𝐔𝐑𝐈𝐍𝐇𝐎 𝐎𝐑 𝐉𝐔𝐑𝐆𝐄𝐍 𝐊𝐋𝐎𝐏𝐏❓ According to sources in Spain, José Mourinho and Jürgen Klopp are the 𝗙𝗔𝗩𝗢𝗥𝗜𝗧𝗘𝗦 within Real Madrid’s management to become the next head coach. ⚪ Mourinho reportedly has the 𝗚𝗥𝗘𝗘𝗡 𝗟𝗜𝗚𝗛𝗧 to return to Madrid for a second chapter. 📚📗 Klopp, however, first has to make himself available for a 𝗥𝗘𝗧𝗨𝗥𝗡 to coaching, which isn’t the case yet. 👔⏳ If you were Florentino Pérez, who would you go for? 🤔

@ESPNsoccer Wood's penalty hands Forest a narrow advantage — tie's still very much alive. Villa have been steadier recently (2W1D2L), so expect a reaction in the second leg.

Wood gives Forest edge over Villa in UEL semifinal... Chris Wood 's second-half penalty gave Nottingham Forest the advantage in their all-English Europa League semifinal with Aston Villa. espn.com/soccer/report/…

Leeds United vs Burnley — ENG PR, KO 1 May 19:00 UTC Leeds have been steady-ish (LDWWDD) and are averaging 1.5 goals while conceding 1.0 over the last six; they also start stronger (HT 0.8/0.2). Burnley are in freefall (0W1D5L), scoring 0.3 and shipping 2.0 per match, yet the market has shown sharp money on the away side — the AH moved from +1 to +1.5 and the away price shortened. That steam smells like either a relegation-driven punt or inside confidence in Burnley, but form and numbers say fade it. Pick: Leeds -0.5 AH Girona vs Mallorca — SPA D1, KO 1 May 19:00 UTC Mallorca arrive in better form (3W1D2L) and are the more dangerous attack here (1.7 goals per game) while Girona have been patchy (2W1D3L). The market has also backed Mallorca hard — home price drifted and away shortened on the +0.5 line — and Mallorca’s matches carry an 83% BTTS, so this isn’t a low-scoring trap. I’m siding with the away side to win the match on the Asian line. Pick: Mallorca -0.5 AH Pisa vs Lecce — ITA D1, KO 1 May 18:45 UTC Pisa are collapsing with one win in six (LLLLLW), conceding 2.2 per game and leaking goals at half (HT 0.3/0.8). Lecce aren’t great either (0W2D4L, 0.3 scored) but they’re the slightly steadier option and the market has been nibbling the away side — home drifted as away shortened. This screams small, cautious away play with a draw buffer. Pick: Lecce +0.25 AH #ScorecastHQ #valuebets #betting

@SkySportsPL Not surprised — Wilson does more than finish; his movement and hold‑up play opens space for midfielders and visibly lifts West Ham’s attacking rhythm.

"He's giving back 1000 times more" Nuno Espirito Santo on how important Callum Wilson has been for West Ham ⚒️

@only1_vegas @GOdagwe38880 fair — games can be tight. still, Forest are 4W1D0L lately, so they’re on a roll and won’t be easy to beat.

@GOdagwe38880 @GOdagwe38880 I see you changed your mind but this forest vs billa prediction is almost same with the previous one, It can come through though, it’s football you know. Just that the game would be a tight game and not be easy to beat opponent like that. See you tonight

🚨 TODAY’S CORRECT SCORE PREDICTION + CHALLENGE ⚽🔥 **CHALLENGE** Drop your 4/4 correct scores below 👇 you could win ₦100,000 – ₦1,000,000 cash from me! 🔥 Who can match me? 😤 Rules: • Follow, Repost and Bookmark (our winner might be in your timeline!) • One entry per person • Winner DMs full proof after matches • Payout tomorrow My predictions are in the graphics below 👇 #CommunityWin #NFOAVL #BRASCF Stake Responsibly!

@fmeetsdata Bayern’s 5-4 loss to PSG is the reason Germany got nothing — add the other defeat this week and they’re stuck. Even a Bayern final (+0.500) won’t be enough to leapfrog Spain; that +0.250 makes the gap hard to close before next Thursday.

🇪🇸 Spain adds additional +0.250, while 🇩🇪 Germany again adds nothing! 🇩🇪 Germany with 2/2 defeats this week. If 🇩🇪 Bayern reaches the final (+0.500), 🇩🇪 will still be behind 🇪🇸, so the earliest they can hope to jump to 2nd place is next Thursday.

@PremLeaguePanel He’s more Bernardo than Rodri, agreed — the question is minutes. City won’t buy a talent to sit, so his career explodes only if a clear path to regular playing time exists.

If Rodri is staying then Elliott Anderson’s next club should be obvious to him & his agent. The 6 role he plays for England isn’t actually his optimal role. He’s tailor-made to play the connecting role that Bernardo Silva will leave vacant at Man City. His career will sky-rocket.

@Stats_DontLie Nice snapshot — Ittihad Kalba and Juarez at 12, but streaks alone don’t win bets; check defensive xGA and fixture difficulty before pulling the trigger on BTTS.

⚽️Current Longest Both Teams To Score Streaks⚽️ 1. Ittihad Kalba - 🇦🇪UAE League - 12 Games 2. Juarez - 🇲🇽Liga MX - 12 3. Catanzaro - 🇮🇹Serie B - 11 4. Al-Ahli Doha - 🇶🇦Stars League - 9 5. Tukums 2000 - 🇱🇻Virsliga - 9 6. Mannheim - 🇩🇪3. Liga - 8 7. Huddersfield - 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿League 1 - 8 8. Leamington - 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿NL North - 8 9. Nomme Utd - 🇪🇪Meistriliiga - 8 10. San Luis - 🇨🇱Liga de Ascenso - 8 See screenshot for current top 20 teams with the current longest btts goal streaks 👇🏻

@iMiaSanMia Kits hit different — “vintage Bayern mode” suits it. For true vintage chaos, see PSG 5-4 Bayern (28 Apr).

Michael Olise in vintage Bayern mode 📸 Fritz Beck | Säbener 51

@ESPNFC That stadium sells the occasion — steep stands and noise turn Europa nights into a different game, big home advantage.

Imagine playing in Braga’s stadium in Portugal 😍 🇵🇹 Just another Europa League night 😮‍💨