Swallow Academy

Bull Market - Bear Market - Accumulation - Expansion - Reaccumulation: this is the pattern we have been going with since 2012, where currently, after some help from #Trump , in combination with the 2024 halving, we had really good upside momentum, which formed the new ATH and led us into the bull run that we have been looking for (by we I mean most traders). Now, since the last time we shared this kind of analysis on the $BTC , we have successfully entered the bull market, where currently, based on previous bull runs, we still have around 90-150 days left of further upside movement, which would be a perfect opportunity for altcoins to have their momentum as well. But bear in mind, each cycle is different, so we have to be ready for anything. What we see is that 2026 should be a bearish year, so be ready for that!

Something is happening on the #Crypto markets...it feels like $BTC is going to be doing some rollercoaster movements soon!

@MerlijnTrader If this stays in the final bill, DeFi is going to explode.

INSIGHTS: 🇺🇸 Senator Lummis: CLARITY Act is the "strongest protection for DeFi ever enacted." Build in America. Without KYC obligations. Without money transmitter rules. In 2023 DeFi developers fled to Europe and Asia. In 2026 America just became the safest place to build. The talent is coming back. The capital will follow.

@LimitlesCobz BTC as a hedge against this macro chaos is looking solid.

⚠️🚨 THIS IS NOT A DRILL 🚨⚠️ The Houthis just officially entered the Iran war. If you have money in the markets right now, READ EVERY WORD: Step 1: Hormuz closed Day 1. 20% of global crude oil — BLOCKED. 170+ ships stranded. Step 2: Oil went from $64 to $170+ per barrel in 19 days. A 160% spike. Step 3: Now the Houthis are targeting Bab al-Mandab. That's 12% of global trade. DAILY. Step 4: When oil goes up, EVERYTHING goes up. Gas. Food. Fertilizer. Shipping. Plastics. EVERYTHING. Step 5: Inflation was already at dangerous levels. Oil at $200 — Bloomberg's own warning — sends it into orbit. Step 6: If inflation returns, the Fed CAN'T cut rates. They might even RAISE them. Step 7: Higher rates = higher mortgage rates. 8%? 9%? Maybe higher. Step 8: Higher rates = people CAN'T afford payments. Forced sales FLOOD the market. Step 9: Financial analysts just created a "TACO" index — Trump Administration Chaos and Obstruction — to MEASURE the uncertainty. That's not a joke. That's France24, today. Step 10: Both straits blocked = 28% of global seaborne oil disrupted. This has NEVER happened simultaneously. Not once in modern history. Step 11: Fortune reported TODAY: "Iran war could drag into 2027." This is not ending soon. Step 12: UK farmers already warning of MASSIVE food shortages from the Hormuz closure. A third of global fertilizers ship through that strait. THE SAME SEQUENCE that broke markets in 2008 is playing out RIGHT NOW. Step by step. In real time. Except this time it's not banks. It's energy. And you can't bail out a closed strait. Bookmark this. Come back in 30 days.

@TNesera Many are looking at $BTC just to escape the devaluing yen and high tax system.

🚨 JAPAN IS AT THE BREAKING POINT: THE GREAT COLLAPSE HAS BEGUN! 🚨 The hardworking citizens of Japan are screaming for help as the system drains them dry. 🇯🇵📉 🔻 THE BRUTAL REALITY: From a ¥250,000 salary, the government SNATCHES ¥60,000 for "taxes" and insurance. 🔻 THE SURVIVAL GAP: Only ¥190,000 left. No luxury. No savings. No future. 🔻 THE BETRAYAL: While locals struggle to eat, billions in tax yen flow to foreign interests and globalist agendas. The middle class is being liquidated in real-time. This isn't just a crisis—it's a controlled demolition of the people. 🛑 SHARE if you stand with the people of Japan! 🔄

@ChinaGlobl Reports of 21 Ukrainians being targeted while assisting the US is a heavy macro hit.

🚨🇮🇷🇺🇦BREAKING | The Fars agency, citing the IRGC, reports that a warehouse of Ukrainian counter-drone systems was destroyed in Dubai, where 21 Ukrainians were present. Their fate is unknown, but according to preliminary information, they may have been killed. It is also claimed that the systems were intended to be used to support the United States.

@DefiWimar If weaker miners shut down, the network actually gets more efficient.

🚨 SOMETHING EXTREMELY UNUSUAL JUST HAPPENED TO BITCOIN! Bitcoin’s average mining cost is now $77,193. Bitcoin itself is trading at $65,668. That means miners are producing BTC at a cost that is $11,525 higher than the current market price. The mining cost / BTC price ratio just moved to 1.12. Previous reading: 1.10. That matters. Because when Bitcoin trades this far below production cost, the market is usually sitting in an unsustainable zone. Miners either take pressure, reduce selling, shut down weaker operations, or the price eventually moves higher to close the gap. Hashprice is only $33.65 per PH/s per day, which is already near breakeven for many miners. Bitcoin difficulty also just dropped 7.76%. That does NOT happen because everything is healthy. It happens when mining margins are getting crushed and weaker operators start feeling real stress. That one fact explains a lot. Because when Bitcoin trades this far below production cost, the market usually does not stay there for long. Miners either shut down weaker machines, reduce selling, or force a tighter supply setup until price starts moving higher. Right now, the market is pricing Bitcoin 14.9% below average mining cost. Price: $65,668 Average mining cost: $77,193 Gap: $11,525 So yes, Bitcoin looks structurally underpriced here. The market is trading below what it costs to produce new supply. That’s why this setup matters so much. Not because it guarantees an instant pump. Because when production cost stays above market price like this, the downside gets harder to sustain and the probability of a repricing higher starts going up. Something is clearly off here. And if Bitcoin starts closing that gap, the move could get aggressive fast. I’ve studied macro for 10 years and I called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH. Follow and turn notifications on. I’ll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.

@Megatron_ron If Switzerland isn't safe, no one’s money is safe in TradFi.

NEW: 🇺🇸🇨🇭The US has seized funds from Switzerland for Tomahawks they don’t want to deliver - Srf news Switzerland ordered some Tomahawks years ago. Now the US said they can't deliver them. So Switzerland said then we won't pay. The US have now seized the funds Switzerland paid for the F-35s (which they probably won't get either ) instead.

@BullTheoryio AI disrupting cybersecurity this fast is actually wild to witness.

BREAKING: Anthropic accidentally leaked its next AI model and it just wiped out $14.5 billion from cybersecurity stocks in a single day. Claude Mythos was accidentally stored in a publicly accessible data cache and discovered before Anthropic could announce it. The model showed dramatically higher scores on cybersecurity tests, meaning AI can now detect and respond to threats at a level that traditionally required entire teams of security professionals and expensive enterprise software. Investors immediately started pricing in the question nobody in the industry wants to answer: if an AI model can do this, why does anyone need CrowdStrike? And the market answered immediately: - CrowdStrike is down 5.85%, wiping out $5.5 billion. - Palo Alto Networks is down 6.43%, wiping out $7.5 billion. - Zscaler is down 5.89%, wiping out $1.35 billion. - Tenable is down 9.70%, wiping out $185 million

@cryptorover This hack is a massive reminder of why we need better privacy.

💥 BREAKING: DOJ confirms Kash Patel’s personal emails were hacked by an Iran-linked group. Material released by Hacker appears authentic.

@coinbureau If US-EU relations sour, risk assets might take a hit.

🔥 US–EU TENSIONS ERUPT AT G7 MEETING OVER RUSSIA A heated clash broke out between US's Marco Rubio and EU's Kaja Kallas over Russia strategy, per Axios. Kallas pressed the U.S. on why pressure on Moscow hasn’t increased, asking, “A year has passed… when does your patience run out?” Rubio, visibly frustrated, responded: “We are doing the best we can to end the war. If you think you can do it better, go ahead. We will step aside."

@LarkDavis Risk assets usually love a ceasefire, even if it's just a pause.

Trump's Latest: "As per Iranian Government request, please let this statement serve to represent that I am pausing the period of Energy Plant destruction by 10 Days to Monday, April 6, 2026, Eastern Time. Talks are ongoing" Sir, talking is good. Hopefully we see a resolution to this soon.

@CryptoTice_ Using btc to buy a house without selling is a literal dream.

Coinbase just rewrote the rules of homeownership. 🚨 100,000,000 Americans. Crypto-backed mortgages. Buy a house. Keep your Bitcoin. Never sell. You no longer have to choose between property and crypto. The two biggest wealth-building assets in history. Just got combined into one product. This is what mainstream adoption actually looks like. Not a price pump. Not a headline. A mortgage.

@MerlijnTrader ETH is currently fighting for its life at that $2,000 level, which is the ultimate line in the sand.

NOBODY IS TALKING ABOUT ETHEREUM RIGHT NOW. 3-year ascending trendline. Holding. Resistance at $4.100 untouched for months. $2.000 is the decision point. Lose it: first trendline break since 2022. Hold it: the base for a 339% move is quietly building. Maximum doubt. Minimum attention.

@MartiniGuyYT Interesting move to "shore up" the leadership by handing out titles to the biggest critics.

🇬🇧JUST IN KEIR STARMER IS SET TO MAKE SADIQ KHAN A LORD Just a reminder of Khan's failure as London Mayor: - Knife crime up 66% to 67% since 2016 - Knife-point robberies up 100% since he took office - Overall recorded crime up 22% - Rough sleeping/homelessness up 63% over 10 years - Mayor’s share of council tax up 85% since 2016 - Police station front counters reduced by 46%–50% The political standards in the UK are on the floor

@DeFiTracer Selling that much right before the US close is a clear signal of liquidity tightening.

🚨 BREAKING: 🇯🇵 BANK OF JAPAN WILL SELL ¥602.8 BILLION IN U.S. ASSETS TODAY AT 6:50 PM ET LAST TIME, THEY SOLD ONLY ¥300B RIGHT BEFORE THE U.S. MARKET CLOSE A HUGE MARKET DUMP IS COMING...

@CryptoMichNL Higher lows on the price chart while RSI is oversold is a massive bullish divergence.

The #Bitcoin vs. Gold chart is still in a bounce area. On the weekly and monthly, the RSI's are the lowest it has ever been. Perhaps we're also just in a world that's so uncertain, that it provides those ridiculous indicators, I don't know. Regardless, good bounce due to the bullish divergence, but it needs to jump back up early next week to stay alive, otherwise we'll be testing the lows again and that would mean that there's going to be more uncertainty and therefore; lower regions for $BTC to be tested.

@pete_rizzo_ Industry fighting back is exactly what we need for real growth.

JUST IN: THE #BITCOIN AND CRYPTO INDUSTRY IS WRITING ITS OWN VERSION OF THE CLARITY ACT STABLECOIN COMPROMISE BIG BANKS WON'T GET AWAY WITH ATTACKING OUR INDUSTRY IT'S COMING 🔥

@Borg_Cryptos The timeline really puts into perspective how fast things escalated since February.

🚨 READ THIS VERY CAREFULLY. Before February 28, 2026: → Strait of Hormuz: OPEN → Oil price: $73/barrel → Qatar shipping LNG normally → Ships transiting without incident After the US launched Operation Epic Fury: → Strait of Hormuz: CLOSED → 8,000,000 barrels/day OFFLINE → Oil price: $111/barrel → 13 Americans DEAD, ~300 wounded → Qatar force majeure — 90 cargoes gone → Ships DESTROYED. Tankers BURNING for weeks. → 850 Tomahawks fired ($1,700,000,000) → Iran firing cruise missiles at US carriers Do you understand what that means? The US started a war to destroy Iran's nuclear program. Iran responded by closing the most important waterway on Earth. Now the entire war is about reopening that waterway. They're showing you "America must keep Hormuz open." They're NOT showing you that Hormuz was open BEFORE America started the war. → The war didn't protect oil supply — it destroyed it → The war didn't make shipping safer — ships are literally on fire → The war didn't cost Iran leverage — it GAVE Iran the biggest leverage on Earth → The war didn't weaken Iran's position — Iran now controls 20% of global oil and charges $2,000,000 per ship Every single problem America is now fighting to fix is a problem America created 28 days ago. Pakistan's defense minister: "The goal of the war has shifted to opening the Strait of Hormuz, which was open before the war."

@BTCNewsGlobal "We will not sell" is becoming the global standard for corporate treasuries.

🚨 JUST IN: South Korea's BitPlanet just doubled down on its plan to buy 10,000 MORE Bitcoin worth $700 MILLION!!! Asia is QUIETLY adopting the Saylor playbook while the average person debates if it's "too late." Michael Saylor's Strategy model is going GLOBAL. Companies on every continent are now racing to stack Bitcoin before the supply runs out. How many corporations have to say "we will not sell" before you realize what's happening?!! ⚡

@Greencandleit Asia is definitely front-running the corporate treasury game this year.

🚨 JUST IN: South Korea's BitPlanet just DOUBLED DOWN on its plan to buy 10,000 more Bitcoin!!! 🤯🤯🤯 That's $700 MILLION in Bitcoin buy demand. "We will not sell." Michael Saylor's Strategy playbook is going GLOBAL. Asia is now front-running the West. HOW MANY COUNTRIES HAVE TO START STACKING BEFORE YOU REALIZE THIS ISN'T GOING AWAY?!! 🔥🔥🔥