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Mandelbrot
9.3K posts
Mandelbrot รีทวีตแล้ว
I’m aligned, since this gold bull broke out at the end of 2023 on the back of the US Treasury Tantrum— gold has put in 5 multi month advances and consolidations…
This latest leg up was the most violent in terms of duration, price return, and volatility. Commensurately, I expect this to be the longest consolidation.
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@BabyBullish Where it all began ($495)
Mandelbrot@Wild_Randomness
$NVDA $TSLA Alright, another leg down precipitated by the Blue Owl - Oracle data centre headline. Not ideal as I started averaging yesterday, but I picked up a second tranche here. Lower average now. Very binary outcome for rest of week. What’s interesting is similar to this time last year— Tesla was ripping which put a drag on NVDA. With all of crypto Twitter piled into the former, it would make sense it tops out around here. The thesis is this will give oxygen back to the NVDA trade. It literally topped out in 12/17 last year… Blindly hoping for a reversal cause Tesla may be topping also isn’t wise— need a firm catalyst for NVDA (this might be later Q1 via Blackwell success and I’ll be happy to buy $155 NVDA). Again, this is about as speculative as it gets, NVDA is below daily trend, POC, etc. and counter trend lev should be sized accordingly. History often rhymes, but it doesn’t have to repeat and while this is an interesting observation, that doesn’t mean I won’t get ran over on this trade. It’s a schizo setup that I’ll be happy to lose on.
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$TSLA
Successfully CTO’d the Tesla short.
Out of most positions now given we finally released.
Will look to get back in ofc but for now just running a smaller short.
Mandelbrot@Wild_Randomness
$TSLA 420 Short It
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@CavanXy Talk dirty to me
Mandelbrot@Wild_Randomness
$NVDA As expected, price drifted up into the beginning of NVDA GTC. The 3-day telegraphed bull-posting event now set to begin. While there will certainly be winners, returns out of this event aren’t that surprising to me. (Final image provided by @notpratty)
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@TeflonOG2 Always been a big fan of the coin, was just flagging at the highs that KOLs were still bull posting when it was pretty clear a roll over was imminent
(They needed exit liquidity)
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@Wild_Randomness It’s not fartcoin bro… whole market is down. What’s the fuss???
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Shocking…
(Marked safe from being used as KOL exit liquidity)
Mandelbrot@Wild_Randomness
“Wow fartcoin (200M mcap) is holding up really well here, look at that strength!” - One of the six 500k follower KOLs that have been relentlessly bullposting it
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Gap down
Gap fill (nothing ever happens)
Gap down
Gap fill (nothing ever happens)
…
On repeat
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Mandelbrot รีทวีตแล้ว
If you sold Canadian oil and gas names at any point off that Venezuela news you are underwater.
Thanks for playing.
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$XEG
Remember when a bunch of people sold Canadian energy names on the Venezuela-US event at the start of the year?
GIF
Mandelbrot@Wild_Randomness
$XEG This is pure cinema… A week ago they panic sold their Canadian Oil and Gas names 10% lower as many wrote off the industry due to fears that US no longer needed them post-Venezuela. That was first-order thinking, and it did not get rewarded. New ATH’s already… gg
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@thiccyth0t @DeepDishEnjoyer the spread is the only leverage trump has right now
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brent wti should widen but wti shouldn't just stop going up lmao
Lisa Abramowicz@lisaabramowicz1
The gap between Brent crude and WTI is the widest since 2013, when taking out a couple days of wild price moves in April 2020. Brent is almost $20 more expensive than WTI as the Iran war disproportionately hits European oil supplies.
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$MU
OTM June Puts from ~ $451
Earnings sold, price lifted and filled gap… Trigger.
Memory GCR (@AlexCorrino) is less constructive on it relative to SNDK as well. MU margins could be near a peak. Also citing risks of fragmented AI investments (GCCs).
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