Osman Oksoy

@Russell_2070 Why a credit spread for puts? If you think price is moving up, why not debit call spread? The debit call spread is equally more expensive to start but is there a specific reason to sell put spreads ve buying call spreads?

We can introduce a green line to the density graph just previously shown to find an area that a credit spread can work. If market density at 4:00pm est and the 9:30am est market open loosely follows that line a credit spread beneath that line works. And if price action does not follow that line at a minimum and gets beneath it then a credit spread at that line does not work. Mathematically given prior historical price action it tends to work more than it doesn't work. #STOCKMARKET #QQQ $FRACTALEXCHANGE $QQQ

@turkhafiza2 Müthiş bir sayfa. Teşekkürler

Pkk'lılar her zamanki gibi gönderileri kapalı hesaplardan alıntılayarak ve Telegram gruplarında paylaşarak organize şekilde sürekli hesabı spamlıyorlar. Bugün yine hesap kilitlendi. Türk Hafıza sizin için ne anlam ifade ediyor bu gönderi altına yazarsanız biz de okuruz.

@AdsoOfBelk Horse archers.

Honestly how do you even beat this

@Dcpcooks how do you compare the ES spots with the SOFR curve?

The new JPM collar levels are not priced along the curve

@fejau_inc You need to manage context. It constantly rereads the code when you ask it to do something if it feels it needs to. Keep summary docs of the context of your project. keep it up to date. Point Claude to those documents. It won’t have to parse everything every time.

I swear you do like 5 things with claude right now and hit a usage limit wtf

@sidprabhu They don't even need to do this. all they need is an IRGC account on Truth Social to drop truth's during market hours. We couldn't take it.

Death to Nvidia! Death to Google!

@RudyHavenstein lol. I was almost going to say Trump was worth it to get rid of Kamala. But that only leads me to the conclusion that we need an even bigger democrat disaster to get rid of Trump.

Having people who think Kamala and Joe were awesome cuss at me is painful.

@BowTiedLobster “So that realized vol rises” Doesn’t that keep the vol control crowd out of their buying? If they stop doing hawk stuff for 15 days you know vol control funds are just going to start buying again.

Market hours is when there's liquidity and the market actually prices things in. When they do Hawk stuff after hours they keep it away from the pricing mechanism. This is attempted vol suppression. It's like pressing down on a pot with heating water on it. If the water is a little bit hot but not that hot then pressing down can handle that level of expansion. To convert that back to market speak, in such a situation, even though there are some bearish fundamentals to cause corrections, if Trump and Bessent play a few tricks like this they can kick the correction down the road. If the pot gets too hot and you keep pressing down on the lid eventually it will explode. This, of course, is bad. When you see the writing on the wall and want to let the bearish fundamentals play out, you start letting out air from the kettle bit by bit. That means doing the Hawk announcements inside market hours so that the market starts to price hawkishness in. It also means doing the taco stuff outside of New York market hours to create counter-trend rallies into thin liquidity so that realized volatility rises and you can get the market acclimatized to a higher level of volatility instead of blind-siding it and causing a huge vol event. Basically the pattern signals they know it's over and they're actively trying to let air out of the pot rather than continuing to try to keep it closed forever.

@ragipsoylu This is the summary of the Turkish struggle with Leftist organizations. The only country with Maoist terror organizations. The only country with Stalinist terror organizations. You would think Stalin was their uncle. Comical if it weren't so tragic.

The Turkish gendarmerie commander to communists who want to commemorate a late revolutionary; "Look, the Soviet Union collapsed, friends, the Soviet Union collapsed…"

@NikLentz Poor choice for comparison.

Emotional take... after emotional take about Iran. Get it together. Acting like a bunch of school girls. 🙄

@Dcpcooks It seems we wait for Passover and Easter to pass and then see what he does.

Now what?

@quantian1 @DeepDishEnjoyer

Visiting the farm upstate for portfolio managers who draw down 5%:

@sidprabhu @Jesse_Livermore This is Turkish politics a couple of decades delayed.

@sidprabhu @Jesse_Livermore They want that so that they can come back with an even more fascist backlash. And the communists want that so that they can come back more Stalinist. Moderates are toast.

A running theme of this feed has been that the callousness and gaudy vulgarity of the Trump administration, along with the fecklessness of the Fed, will provoke a socialist backlash that reshapes the country over the next decade. I am more convinced of that now than ever.

@fejau_inc @lBattleRhino Put spreads work. High IV makes them cheaper to initiate. Counter rallies scare you but better than puts.

@lBattleRhino 2022 repeat bleed while no one makes money on their puts

Would be cool if we could accelerate this equities downside instead of euthanasia coaster for endless weeks but idk seems unlikely

@JohnKiriakou Serpico Corporate America is similar.

I had the chance to talk to former NYPD sergeant and whistleblower Stephen Lee, who went undercover to expose corruption inside one of the largest police departments in the world. According to Lee, what began as routine inspections quickly uncovered a hidden network of illegal activity involving prostitution, drugs, and officers taking bribes—pulling him into a high-risk operation where trust was scarce and the consequences were potentially deadly. This is a firsthand account of what happens when someone dares to challenge corruption from the inside. youtube.com/watch?v=nC0JNp…

@romanhelmetguy Make sure you marry into an Afghan family, kill a cabinet member, and don’t mess with the Turks up north.

A ground invasion of Iran would be trivial. Just start from Babylon and make a beeline for Susa. From there it’s a straight shot to Persepolis. Burn that to the ground. Then simply chase the Supreme Leader around until his buddies stab him and dump him by the roadside.

@Rozekurdno All the time. Over and over again. Except for Alexander, mostly from the east. British did it. Russians did it.

Macedonians did it, Greeks did it, Romans did it, Arabs did it, and Turks did it.

@hakanexlieu Eğer çok uluslu yabancı asker Türkiyeyi savunurken şehit düşmezse NATO gelir mi? Trip wire?

MNC-TÜR Kolordusu meselesinin yalnızca taktik düzeyde bir askerî mesele olmadığını düşünüyorum. Böyle düşünmemin arkasında şu söyleyeceklerim bulunuyor: -2016’ya kadar NATO’nun kolordu yapılanması, biri de Türkiye’de (İstanbul’daki 3’üncü Kolordu) olmak üzere “Hızlı Konuşlandırılabilir (Rapid Deployable)” kolordulara dayanıyordu. Bunlara NRDC (NATO Rapid Deployable Corps) deniyor. MNC (Multinational Corps) adında bir yapılanma/konsept bu yıla kadar ortada bulunmuyor. Yunanistan, Fransa, İtalya, Birleşik Krallık ve İspanya’daki benzer karargâhlarla birlikte bu NRDC yapısı NATO’nun ana kara kuvveti komuta mimarisini oluşturuyor ve esasen bugün de bu sistem geçerliliğini koruyor. Sistemin ana mantığı şu: Bu karargah ve birlikleri kendi ülkelerindeki konuş yerlerinde bulunuyorlar, bir kriz/savaş baş gösterecek olursa “hızla” harekat bölgesine gidecekler. -2014’te Rusya’nın Kırım’ı ilhakının yarattığı şok, NATO’nun doğu kanadındaki yeni üye ülkelerde ciddi güvenlik kaygılarına yol açtı. Çünkü NATO’nun “hızlı intikal” kavramı pratikte haftalarla ölçülen bir reaksiyon süresi demekti. Oysa Baltık ülkeleri gibi sınırlı askerî kapasiteye sahip devletler açısından birkaç gün içinde sonuçlanabilecek bir Rus oldubittisi senaryosu gerçek bir riskti. -Bu endişeler üzerine 2016 Varşova Zirvesi’nde, NATO’nun doğu kanadında yer alan ve kolay lokma olabilecek bu ülkeleri korumaya yönelik yeni bir model benimsendi: Kriz anında intikal edecek kuvvetler yerine, kalıcı olarak o ülkelerde konuşlu çok uluslu bir kolordu (MNC) oluşturulması. Yani MNC'ler, Rusya tehdidine karşı, yeterli ordusu bulunmayan ülkeler için bulunmuş "palyatif" diyebileceğimiz bir çözümdü. -Böylece ilk MNC, MNC-NE (Kuzeydoğu) adıyla Polonya merkezli olarak kuruldu. Bu kolorduya, Estonya, Polonya ve Litvanya’da tugay düzeyinde unsurlar; Danimarka ve Litvanya’nın çerçeve ülke rolü üstlendiği çok uluslu tümende ise Kanada, Almanya, İtalya ve Birleşik Krallık’ın bölük/tabur vb. seviyelerde katkı verdiği birlikler bu yapının parçası oldu. -2023’te Romanya’da ikinci bir MNC kuruldu (MNC-SE/Güneydoğu). Hatta şu an komutan yardımcısı da bir Türk generali. -Şimdi, bu tarihsel arka plan dikkate alındığında, Türkiye/Adana’da MNC-Türkiye adıyla bir çok-uluslu kolordu kurulması, ne MNC konseptinin tarihsel olarak ortaya çıkış mantığıyla/gerekçeleriyle örtüşüyor, ne NATO’nun mevcut tehdit algısı ile uyuşuyor, ne de Türkiye’nin askerî kapasitesi açısından bir gereklilik çerçevesine oturuyor. -Halen tanımlı iki tehdidinden biri Rusya diğeri de terörizm olan NATO perspektifinden sorulması gereken temel soru şu: Adana’da konuşlanacağı MSB tarafından bugün açıklanan bu muhtemel çok uluslu NATO MNC kara kolordusunun mukabele etmeyi hedeflediği somut tehdit/risk nedir? -Türkiye açısından ise mesele daha da dikkat çekici: NATO’nun en büyük ikinci kara ordusuna sahip bir ülke için, hangi operasyonel veya kaynak temelli eksiklik, veya kendi gücüyle üstesinden gelemeyeceği hangi somut tehdit, diğer üye ülkelerden gelecek birlik katkısıyla oluşacak bir çok uluslu kara gücünü gerekli kılmaktadır?

@CollinRugg Why not sell and buy some more farmland someplace else nearby

NEW: Kentucky family rejects $26 million offer to convert part of their farm into a data center despite the offer being about 10 times the going rate for farmland in the area. "If it's my way, I'll stay and hold and feed a nation. 26 million doesn't mean anything." "As long as I'm on this land, as long as it's feeding me, as long as it's taking care of me, there's nothing that can destroy me if I've got this land." Video: Local 12 WKRC