@JamesSurowiecki @SaveTheLibs The handwaving is you saying "there's not a good civic argument" and then not engaging with anyone on the actual arguments
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Steven Ervin
14.1K posts
Steven Ervin
@andthatritesoon
2006 Time Magazine Person of the Year, Co-Winner 2016 Golden Globe for best Actress in a Musical, One-time finisher of the New York Times Crossword puzzle.
New Hope, MN เข้าร่วม Mart 2009
1.2K กำลังติดตาม316 ผู้ติดตาม
@SaveTheLibs That's not an actual argument. It's just hand waving bullshit.
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There's no good civic argument for the electoral college. It was arguably necessary to ensure the ratification of the Constitution, but it's an anti-democratic device that gives some American citizens far more voting power than others, based purely on where they live.
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Steven Ervin รีทวีตแล้ว
By far the most common and dangerous logical fallacy is one I rarely hear mentioned, which is, "Everyone who disagrees with me has been brainwashed by propaganda."
The assumption, "informed, clear thinking will always lead to 100% agreement on my exact position" is EVERYWHERE.
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@strategery_mr @RBReich Reich is not an economist now, if he ever was one. He's a partisan shill
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Insanity. Come on Bob, you are going to lose your credentials as an economist for this. The problem isn’t revenue, it’s spending and waste and California shouldn’t get a dime more until the get their corruption problem under control. Taxing people on stuff they have already paid taxes on?
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Billionaires are crying foul about California's proposed wealth tax.
Don't fall for their fearmongering.
A one-time, 5% tax on their excessive wealth is essential to funding what millions of Californians need — and to preserving our democracy.
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He failed as a husband and, more saliently, as a storyteller. How do you honestly think your perception of this would change if you heard her version of it?
Mans Ascent@Mans_Ascent
She failed as a wife.
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Dang it, Audible figured out that if an audiobook costs less than I spent on my credit, I will pay out of pocket instead of using the credit. So now all books seem to be perpetually on sale at $13.55 and I have 18 credits racked up
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@RachelMoiselle @LouisCTBrown One would also think this incentive could be satisfied without restricting it to just Palestinians
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@LouisCTBrown Yes, that of course is a primary motivation. Nonetheless I am against the death penalty on principle and I am certainly against a death penalty that is not equally applied.
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I have always been, and always will be, against the death penalty except under extreme circumstances (for example, I believe the execution of Adolf Eichmann was just).
A death penalty reserved solely for Palestinian terrorists - not Israeli terrorists - is a further immorality on top of something that, in my view, is already immoral.
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@Noahpinion Or, and hear me out, 2007 was the a particularly salient period of anti-GOP sentiment, following the Iraq war, Hurricane Katrina, and a stagnant economy approaching disaster. Regression towards the mean was inevitable given where this data started
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Americans really, really do not like progressive ideology.
They liked liberal ideology. When liberalism gave way to progressivism, Americans started to walk away.
The Missing Data Depot@data_depot
New YouGov report on American partisanship between 2007 and 2025 shows that with the one exception of college educated white men, every major demographic group in the US has become more Republican on balance over the last 20 years.
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@The_Kyle_Mann This is an excellent description of why Thy Boys sucks so hard
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Chesterton argued that you cannot satirize someone if you don't understand them and even admire them. This is why modern leftist satire has become insufferable—it browbeats the targets of its satire with full-throated contempt and zero understanding.
If you have an attention span longer than a doorknob, read the entire quote. Thank you for your attention to this matter:
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@Noahpinion Completely pedantic side point to your question: it's possible to attain a skill and then regress, so past attainment doesn't guarantee maintenance of that skill
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OK, if every adult has completed 7th grade, and yet most adults can't read "at a 7th grade level", what does a 7th grade level really mean?? Is this just the level we would *like* all 7th graders to be able to read at?
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@collinstimbela_ It's fascinating to see the profoundly mistaken theories of mind people hold for those they disagree with
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Hey @JoelStegman remember that time you, me, and that other guy had that conversation about the Sam Bradford -> Jarius Wright throw way back in the day? It's only been 9 years, but I'm going to take my victory lap now 😂
Kurt Warner@kurt13warner
People who pull one throw, albeit a great throw, and use the adage, “Not many guys can make this throw” to describe a player as a whole… drives me crazy! Outside of a “crazy” off-balance or 70 yrd throw… ALL the QBs coming out of college could make that throw 1 time!! Show me the player make that throw 10x in a season & now you’ve got something! We so want to make a definitive statement about someone to prove we know stuff… bottom line is the best QB in this draft will be the one who plays the position most consistently for next 15 yrs, not the one that makes more throws “not many guys can make”!
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@JoelStegman Oh to be clear, it wasn't about whether or not he would pan out for us, I was making the point that any NFL quarterback could make that particular throw, as impressive as it was to see in game
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@andthatritesoon I think the bigger reason Sam didn't pan out for us was a knee that blew up! I think we would have seen a lot more of those throws if that hadn't happened🤷♂️
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@HistoryBoomer I think everyone involved is ignoring the fact that cities are dynamic systems and huge differences in population sizes should not be compared directly
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For the statistically illiterate.
A million people in a state with 50 murders every year, your murder rate is 50 per million.
Add a million immigrants who do 1 murder a year, total murders goes up to 51, but that's among TWO million people.
Your rate is 25.5 per million.
The number of murders goes up, but each person in the city is actually safer. More murders does not automatically mean more danger. Population size matters.
If we kidnapped the entire population of Japan and brought them to America, our number of murders would go up (Japanese people commit about 250 murders a year), but we'd become a much safer country (the Japanese murder RATE is far lower).
Oilfield Rando's argument (more murders automatically means more danger) is bad math.
Oilfield Rando@Oilfield_Rando
David’s argument is that bringing foreigners here (some of whom commit crimes) will make it less likely for American criminals to commit crimes. Foreigners can only supplement US crime. Not reduce it. David is a shameless, despicable ideological prostitute.
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I love how the same people who were insisting Dallas Turner was a bust are now weighing in on the future of JJ McCarthy without a moment of reflection
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@DailyNorseman In the preseason game before his injury, it absolutely looked like Bridgewater was taking the next step forward. We'll never know what that would have looked like, and we'll never know what the 2017 team could have been if we didn't trade away a 1st rounder to secure Bradford.
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@DailyNorseman But it certainly wasn't an offense designed to Teddy's strengths as a QB. He managed the offense and did his job, and they made the playoffs. But that offense was built for AP, not for Teddy, and in the alternate universe where they did the reverse, who knows how it would be?
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Because there's a significant portion of this fan base who has decided, after 10 games, that J.J. McCarthy just isn't "the guy."
A lot of them are the same people who were convinced that Teddy Bridgewater was "the guy" before he ever took an NFL snap and held onto the belief that he was "the guy" absent any sort of credible evidence of that conclusion, whether it was pre-injury or post-injury.
For a lot of this fan base, it isn't about potential or whether you've shown any sort of ability. It's whether or not they like you. People liked Teddy and were willing to make whatever excuse they could for him. People don't like J.J. and want to cast him off to the Spartan hillside already.
It really is kind of that simple.
SkolStateOfMind@SkolStateOfMind
I gotta say this — and some might not like it. I don’t see the overwhelming infatuation on Vikings Twitter with Kyler Murray. It bothers me because just over a year ago, a lot of people were big on drafting a young quarterback and letting him develop into the franchise QB. Now suddenly the focus has shifted to a quarterback who hasn’t had much team success in seven seasons in the NFL and has dealt with frequent injuries. I just don’t get it. Maybe some people are subconsciously hoping for another Sam Darnold-type situation, but I really don’t think Kyler automatically puts the Vikings in Super Bowl contention. And here’s the real question: does bringing him in stunt the potential growth of J.J. McCarthy? Or are the Vikings just repeating the same cycle they’ve followed for the past 20+ years — bringing in veteran stopgap quarterbacks who might pop for a season, but ultimately lead to no real postseason success? I’m just asking the question. Some people will call me a hater or whatever — I really don’t care. But what happens if the Vikings do sign Kyler Murray and things don’t go as planned? What if he struggles or gets injured again? Are we going to jump right back on Twitter demanding McCarthy start? At some point we have to stop jumping from quarterback to quarterback. Development on the roster matters, and that’s one of the main reasons this franchise hasn’t reached a Super Bowl.
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@minakimes @kevinroose This is the Pepsi challenge of writing
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@kevinroose Has anyone done a test like this with full stories or even novels? Feels similar to how if you put up a single frame of a slop trailer people would say it's comparable to the real thing--but when you expand it over several minutes, the lack of craft in storytelling becomes stark.
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We made a blind taste test to see whether NYT readers prefer human writing or AI writing.
86,000 people have taken it so far, and the results are fascinating. Overall, 54% of quiz-takers prefer AI. A real moment!
nytimes.com/interactive/20…
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