Andy

@duilen @NateSilver538 More goals in later games because of extra time.

You should just compare the group stage games. I suspect group stage games average around 1 point more per game vs later stage games. And I agree that the Germany game is an outlier that skews data. So it would be interesting to wait to compare data after the group stage finishes. I suspect we'll probably not have the highest scoring group stage since 1958.

The World Cup is averaging 3.1 goals per match so far, the highest since 1958. Will likely regress some, but lopsided matchups like Germany-Curacao will contribute to it. Generally speaking in international soccer, the bigger the talent differential the more scoring there is.

@d_cantu @leggoshero @ManagerTactical I was about to say that! They would have run into each other.

@leggoshero @ManagerTactical Damn near every previous iteration of the USMNT would turn the ball over against ACTUAL traffic cones if they tried this

Nah man, this is wild. Pochettino has the USMNT 🇺🇸 looking like 2009 Barcelona.

@MikeJ_A We see lots of fans sing in languages we can't understand. Nothing new.

Americans won’t have seen anything like this before. Hands down it beats their ‘let’s go’ chants.

@devahaz @persontradoor But it is completely consistent to have top youth academies to develop little kids into top teenagers that then go to European academies. You see that from Brazil to Portugal and what not.

@persontradoor Klinsmann iirc was still supportive of MLS academies but was strong advocate of sending top academy and MLS players to Europe, so that’s more my second post than the more recent aggressive dual national recruitment

Really irony in the fact that USMNT squad looks like it does due to focus on recruiting dual nationals who grew up and developed abroad Balogun (England, Arsenal), Dest (Netherlands, Ajax), Tillman (Germany, Bayern), Robinson (England, Everton) instead of through MLS academies

@devahaz That's not what irony means. But also we've always done this since the days of Ernie Stewart. We just couldn't get them to play for us. The MLS academies should focus on developing from 12-15 years, and let the Europeans train the top of the top when they turn 15 or 16.

@TrynaBeLogical @DanFriedman81 Middle class conservatives assume they will be lucky and get rich so want low taxes while middle class liberals assume something will go wrong and want safety net.

@DanFriedman81 Libs in the US are convinced everything is better in Europe. Total fantasy.

In 2007, the standards of living in the United States and Western Europe were similar, and most people don’t realize how much things have diverged since the US boomed after the global financial crisis and Europe didn’t. They don’t fully understand how we’re living and we don’t fully understand how they’re living; even when we visit Europe as tourists, we don’t see their tiny, sad flats and their depressing grocery stores. That is why Europeans visiting for the World Cup are going to, like, a Waffle House or a Taco Bell and losing their minds. Stuff we don’t even like or care about is wildly superior to everything everywhere else. We have no idea how rich we are.

@gunslinger1000 @ChefAnthonyDC That looks pretty.

@ChefAnthonyDC Nothing Trump has done approaches this abomination.

One day I hope MAGA supporters can ADMIT if Barack Hussien Obama had done anything remotely close to this, we’d still be hearing about it today

@PobreDods @CleavelandOHIO @ckieser13 As long as the last day games are the same time, they can't collude.

@CleavelandOHIO @ckieser13 Lost me at the 17-20 thing, but the (8) groups or five groups with two moving on has some merit. Problem is that one team per group is idle during the last group match-day. FIFA goes to great lengths to avoid collusion.

If the World Cup is gonna stay at 48 teams and go down to 32 for knockouts, I think they should go to 16 groups of 3 and cut out one group game. Last place group finisher is out and then seeding much cleaner for the round of 32.

@pschofie79 My son just told me his cousin from the hike told him about it.

Took 14 y/o son+friends hiking. They saw dragonflies that they thought were mating and giggled. Then one dragonfly ripped the head off the other. I didn’t know what to say so I just said “I think he shouldn’t have done that.”

@fieldviewdreams @herculezg Yeah now we are going to have to deal with it all year instead of practicing their weaker feet. Truvelas are especially effective if the defenders think you are going to take another step to hot with your other foot.

@herculezg I love the goal, but U11s on my son’s elite team trivela quite frequently.

As skilled and audacious as any player the #USMNT has ever produced. A ridiculous finish from Giovanni Reyna. That angle 🔥

@meh_130 @matthewstoller Sounds like a company worth several billion.

The core of SpaceX's business is actually very interesting. One of the largest costs of a rocket is the engines. For Falcon 9, by bringing the engines back on the booster and reusing them, the costs drop dramatically. But the overall launch market, which includes expendable launchers, sets the expected price. SpaceX can undercut other launch providers, and still far exceed them in profit. Essentially the revenue from SpaceX's commercial and government launch market funds the development and launches of Starlink. And with Starlink, SpaceX takes additional risk by flying the boosters well past twenty flights which allows them to further refine reusability. Abount 12,000 Starlink satellites have been launched. Since Sputnik, about 4,000 other satellites have been launched. There has never been a mass-produced satellite like Starlink. There clearly are learning curve advantages. Same for the upper stage of the Falcon 9. SpaceX is producing over 100 upper stages a year. With Falcon 9 and Starlink, SpaceX has done to space launch what Ford did to automobile manufacturing. And it has created a virtuous circle in the process. The other stuff, XAI and Starship are still to be proven.

SpaceX is an obvious financial house of cards, the notion Musk is a trillionaire is clownish.

@RonBrownstein Wait you think you can ask somebody to drop out when they are plus 1?

It’s possible Trump & Collins are so much weaker than in 20 that any Dem can win, but hard to ignore how much harder & uncertain Platner makes this race for Dems. Until 7/13 the party can replace him if he drops out. Will Bernie/Warren ask him w/more polls like this?

@mckaycoppins @JellyKind Harder than you think because you will worry you aren't print it to the best causes. And even if you do, if you aren't careful you can pain an organization in the same way.

@JellyKind I would take the deal if I could trust myself to give away most of it immediately.

Every time I see one of those prompts like, “You become a billionaire, but you have to eat a Costco-sized jar of pickles every morning for the rest of your life—are you taking the deal?” I know my answer before I even finish the sentence. Becoming a billionaire is the dealbreaker. The pickles would be manageable. The billionaire thing would ruin my life.

@FntsyGold @seanparoski @ChristinaPushaw Look at the 4th study in there where you have kids from the same family. That is the only one that effectively controls for parents education and socio-economics and shows no real difference.

@andy1820me @seanparoski @ChristinaPushaw Prove your theory then. What you just provided doesn’t support that at all. You’re assuming everyone is wrong in their bias.

Genetics is real, and most people can accept it — except when it comes to intelligence. I grew up in Malibu, California, so there were kids in my schools whose parents were former NFL & NBA players. Those kids usually had more innate athletic ability than average and were better at any sport they tried; meanwhile kids who don’t have such innate talent could never become professional athletes even with the best coaches in the world. Other parents were Hollywood actors and models; their kids grew up to be way better-looking than average. Nobody would question the reality of genetics in determining a child’s athletic ability and appearance. So why is it controversial to say that intelligence is also (at least somewhat) an inherited trait?

@FntsyGold @seanparoski @ChristinaPushaw yeah but the teachers are making the same mistake as you are! You have to look at them compared to white kids adopted by white parents of similar socio-economic and intelligence backgrounds. Evolutionary theory would expect some difference. Just not as big as it seems.

@andy1820me @seanparoski @ChristinaPushaw “It is particularly noteworthy that over 40% of the adopted Chinese youth were rated by their teachers to be among the highest 10% in their classes in overall academic performance” You just provided an article to disprove your own thought. That was actually hilarious

@FntsyGold @seanparoski @ChristinaPushaw Because there is no evidence that they are. Just have to look at adoptions. apa.org/pubs/journals/…

@seanparoski @ChristinaPushaw Your #1 would argue that Chinese kids aren’t naturally better at math than white kids

@ChristinaPushaw This is obviously correct. But also we have to be careful with both the athletes and the intellect to recognize that athlete parents are always out playing with their kids, and smart parents are always reading to their kids. The interesting studies involve twins and adopted kids.

@ShannoMenk @dilanesper I remember learning the verb estop in law school and being like wait in English we already have a word for that. It is stop.

@dilanesper I'm just here to point out that 'estoppel' is a stupid word. Not that the concept is dumb, or that it's dumb to have a single word for that concept. Just that 'e s t o p p e l' is ridiculous. Invent a new one. --Shannon

@ChristinaPushaw @RichardHanania yeah they flipped this. The study should identify a certain set of eminent people and go back and check if their elementary records.

@RichardHanania "only" 1 in 8... I wonder what the prevalence of professors, judges, and leaders in biomedicine would be among the general population. I doubt it's anywhere near 1 in 8.

“A 35-year study of 677 gifted children found that by age 50, only 12.3 percent had reached a level of “eminence,” defined as 'full professors … Fortune 500 executives … judges and lawyers, leaders in biomedicine, award-winning journalists and writers.’ This means 88 percent never did.” Amazing framing.

@zagrebbi If you had scored even as high as those sociology majors you would realize the x axis is deceptive, and this really isn't interesting.

Average SAT by major at Columbia. Classics improbably edges out Math and Physics for the top spot at 1529. Sociology is on the bottom (1422), though "Ethnicity & Race Studies", "Public Health", and "Human Rights" aren't too far in front. The within-school spread is 100 points or so — around half of a standard deviation of the SAT-taker population.