Mark Corbett

212 posts

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Mark Corbett

Mark Corbett

@corbettmark

Kennebunkport, ME เข้าร่วม Şubat 2009
8 กำลังติดตาม13 ผู้ติดตาม
Denistratos
Denistratos@SoJustFollowMe·
@corbettmark 🤝 Yes, I had to evacuate myself, my kids and my team from the UAE. But everything is fine, thank you.
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Denistratos
Denistratos@SoJustFollowMe·
Portfolio ended up $20,600 today. How did your portfolio perform?
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Mark Corbett
Mark Corbett@corbettmark·
@SoJustFollowMe I think your very right, I don't want to be greedy, just right!! Well let do it! I will be in the "stratosphere" were i belong, thanks and hope your well, I know you and fam had to make changes and then change again....
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Denistratos
Denistratos@SoJustFollowMe·
@corbettmark The market is very simple - if you don’t overcomplicate it. You don’t need 1929 or 2001 to make money - you can generate returns every year. You just have to learn to be on the other side - and not be greedy.
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Mark Corbett
Mark Corbett@corbettmark·
@SoJustFollowMe I recall Robin Hood paid a "fine" for selling orders, to Jump or some other techy like Jane street we are living bucket shops in modern times, wild, I want 1929, after the rally, it makes more sense to win when everyone lost, isnt that winning ?
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Mark Corbett
Mark Corbett@corbettmark·
@SoJustFollowMe Sure I will check it out "stratosphere" ty Rough na, I have been trading looking at an OBSERVING equities it's bucket shop from the old.. but modern... Information is the only thing it's not a commodity
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Denistratos
Denistratos@SoJustFollowMe·
$873k in realized profits (screenshots in Highlights) or 70%+ YTD return from June to December 2025 in the public portfolio. I made this with full transparency – every trade from entry to exit, every position change, daily P&L. For new followers – who’s behind this account: Greek, 44. @MIT grad. 21 years in the markets. Former Chief Investment Officer & Head Portfolio Manager on Wall Street. I managed a portfolio with ten-figure AUM and delivered a 44.7% CAGR over the last 7 years. I am currently serving in the same capacity at a hedge fund in Abu Dhabi, UAE. My edge is a trading system inspired by Jim Simons’ Medallion & Renaissance approach. I design and operate mathematical market system. Running since 2019 – green every single year, consistent outperformance vs #SPX, with superior drawdown, recovery, Sharpe and Sortino ratios. In the coming days, my team and I are launching a new project. Want to be notified first? Leave a comment: “Stratosphere”. In the meantime, below are the key posts I’ve written over the past 10 months on @X – they show how I think and trade. 🟢 Priority reads 🔵 Secondary reads The Basis of My Strategy. Read below ↓
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Mark Corbett
Mark Corbett@corbettmark·
@SoJustFollowMe So what is the name then? So if what you say is true ( I do believe your accurate) it's known as a scam..that being said death and taxes, lost interest in it, scam not my thing
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Denistratos
Denistratos@SoJustFollowMe·
Alright, let’s take it step by step: 1. You got the name wrong, Mark 2. I’ve been in the market for almost 22 years - and it has always been like this. The only thing that changed is technology. It made it easier for smart money to extract capital from retail, and the retail base has grown massively. Read My Trading Evolution: From Imitation to Independence and Power, Media, Money: Algos Against You in the pinned post on my profile - they address exactly this 3. Once you understand how it actually functions, it stops being wild and scary. That’s exactly what I’m trying to communicate here to people who are willing to think
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Mark Corbett
Mark Corbett@corbettmark·
@Budgetdog_ Be quiet make money, the self talk is for a psychologist, enough.... the market is run by algo's you don't matter nor do I, and Fed likely can control the algos; when they have to
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Brennan Schlagbaum, CPA
Brennan Schlagbaum, CPA@Budgetdog_·
The Bitcoin cult is by far the most sensitive group I’ve come across. If you say ANYTHING that doesn’t fit their narrative, they’ll just attack you. Which clearly shows a lot. The data shows ~1% of people own Bitcoin. So yes, it’s not close to being mass adopted and the data shows it. The facts are the facts. I do think that increases over time, but the big question I continue to ask is when? And nobody knows. That may be the most important question there is. If we hit $1,000,000 in 2030, that’s a lot different than $1,000,000 in 2060. It’s also quite funny because I own more Bitcoin than most of the nerds with Twitter fingers. That always makes me laugh.
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Brennan Schlagbaum, CPA
Brennan Schlagbaum, CPA@Budgetdog_·
I find it odd the Bitcoin crew acts like Bitcoin is easy to use for the everyday person. Far from it at this point in time. Go tell someone at your local gym to keep their seed-phrase 😆
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Mark Corbett
Mark Corbett@corbettmark·
@BickerinBrattle @HyperbolicDisco Just an observation whatever happens you wait till it happens then you trade you don't have to anticipate it the market goes up until it doesn't
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George Robertson
George Robertson@BickerinBrattle·
@HyperbolicDisco nah he is the reason for the position blame is all mine. but I will be a living God of trading if shown that Trump is going to sewer bog time - he aint gonna make it. just thought would happen by now.
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George Robertson
George Robertson@BickerinBrattle·
why I have sufferd in PL last year while usually get a double digit return (that is for the non ALM money) is Trump. the level of grift and un constitutional acts were easlily regonized and thought to see it was the trade. but did not count on the compalcency and SCOTUS suck
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PaxTrader777🇺🇸
PaxTrader777🇺🇸@paxtrader777·
I was called a gold bug and a conspiracy theorist 5-10 yrs ago! Now those same people find themselves woefully unprepared for what is coming. Get ready.
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George Robertson
George Robertson@BickerinBrattle·
would be getting long calls on TLT if had any money left
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Denistratos
Denistratos@SoJustFollowMe·
In early February, I noticed that the $SPX / #M2SL chart had changed. I’ve been tracking it for almost two decades and know every single point on the left side of the chart where the lines are drawn – those reference points had remained unchanged. My team and I tried to find a reasonable explanation, including direct correspondence with the data providers. In short, we did not get an answer that satisfies us. It’s important to understand that trading algos do not operate in a vacuum. They are calibrated precisely on these same data inputs. At the same time, the fact that algos reacted to these data did occur. I’m attaching the post below – also pay attention to the four posts pinned under it. As I mentioned before, this is the first time in my 21 years in the equity market that I’ve encountered something like this (although I know similar cases have occurred in crypto markets – but there’s no real point in comparing them, the difference in scale is like that between a guppy and a blue whale). I have a clear view of what this might be related to, but after consulting with my legal team, I made the decision not to comment on it in any way – not now, not in a week, not in a month, not in a year, etc. Each of you will have to decide for yourselves whether this is some kind of manipulation on my part, an absurd misunderstanding or something else entirely. As of today, the fact remains that, technically, there was no touch of the 25-year-old ATH. All coincidences related to algorithmic reactions to it appear to be random. My view on the market outlook remains unchanged (scroll below), but strategy and tactics are changing fundamentally. If this post gets 250 likes, I will clearly demonstrate what exactly is causing my concerns and will also introduce another indicator – one that explains why I was in cash, with no positions, during the March-April 2025 drawdown. p.s. Attached is how $SPX / #M2SL currently looks on the daily and weekly timeframes. ⚠️ NFA | General info only | Personal view
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Denistratos@SoJustFollowMe

Yesterday I was asked about $SPX / #M2SL. While answering, it hit me – not everyone actually sees the essence of what I write. When was the first touch? January 12. Take high-risk assets like $NBIS, $APP, $HOOD, $SOFI – when did their corrections actually start? The second touch was January 27. Check the charts yourself for any asset you follow. We are now in a correction tied to a “two-touch” all-time high from 25 years ago. And I warned about this more than 3 months ago. Below are two pinned posts from January 12 and 27 – about the touch itself. Even further down are two November posts explaining the $SPX / #M2SL indicator. If you want to understand what’s happening, start there. Please be honest in the comments – did you read all four posts before? Is the content difficult? First – even when I explain things as simply as possible, the subject itself is comparable to open-heart surgery. By definition, it can’t be easy. Second – the problem isn’t how I explain it (I almost convinced myself it was). The problem is that many simply aren’t familiar with the underlying material. You don’t build a skyscraper starting from the 14th floor. You start with the foundation. Everything you need for that foundation is in the pinned post. Missed it? Time to catch up.

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Denistratos
Denistratos@SoJustFollowMe·
@geepjay99 1. This cannot affect how the data is displayed 2. The data has changed since February 3. The data changed after algorithms reacted to it 4. See below
Denistratos@SoJustFollowMe

@jcrizane We considered this possibility as well. But the point is that these data are revised both monthly and annually and historically such revisions have never led to changes in the chart.

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I Can Add Up
I Can Add Up@ICanAddUp·
Like I said on the other post - sounds like a fun project. But i don't think it's a "smart process". There is way way way too little data there to interpret anything from and if you feed it through to an LLM each time then the LLM is trained to give responses so will tell you *something*. It's like a random walk through wives tails and gambler's fallacies ;) Also Visual Studio Code -> Kilo Code -> Minimax M2.1 (free) = Free.
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Sharbel
Sharbel@sharbel·
how i built a trading bot with zero code: 345 wins. 26 losses. 93% win rate. no python knowledge. no stackoverflow. just me talking to an AI agent and iterating. here's the playbook: 1. start with the dumbest version possible. my first prompt was literally "build me a bot that bets on polymarket 15-minute markets" lost $11 on the first trade. but it worked. 2. iterate with real data. every time the bot lost money, i'd paste the trade log into claude and say "why did this lose? fix it." each loss = one prompt = one fix. 3. let the AI audit itself. set up a cron job that runs after every loss. reads the log, analyzes what went wrong, suggests fixes. the AI debugging itself. 4. brain + muscles trick. expensive model for complex decisions. cheap model for monitoring. free rule-based logic for actual trades. went from $300/month to $30/month in AI costs. 5. log everything. every trade, every decision, every loss with full forensics. when i say 345 wins that's from my actual log file. the bot runs 24/7 on a $600 mac mini. trades BTC, ETH, SOL every 15 minutes. the whole point: you don't need to know how to code. you need to know how to operate. describe what you want. test it with real money (small). paste the failures back in. iterate. the bot isn't smart. the process is.
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Grok
Grok@grok·
It refers to Goldman Sachs prime brokerage data showing hedge funds added the largest volume of short positions (bets on falling US stock prices) in a single week on record. This indicates heavy bearish sentiment, which could precede further declines or a short squeeze rally if the market rebounds.
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zerohedge
zerohedge@zerohedge·
There it is: this week saw the biggest shorting on record (GS prime) You know what that means
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Mark Corbett
Mark Corbett@corbettmark·
@JJS36038159 @his_eminence_j Both arguments are fact, we also know it will have its price in today's expensive carbon world and some other price later on, who knows
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JJS
JJS@JJS36038159·
I get it. From the outside, we look like a bunch of nerds LARPing as revolutionaries. But you do work your life to earn pieces of paper that the high priests at the Federal Reserve can print.... ...whenever they feel like bailing out a bank or test a new monetary theory. I call it "stealing from your savings account with a money printer." It’s the first time in human history we’ve had a form of money that’s provably scarce. Not "trust me" scarce, like gold in a vault you can’t see. Mathematically scarce. Code-enforced scarce. No committee can vote to make more because they had a bad quarter. What’s the energy cost of running a million bank branches, skyscrapers of financiers, and the inflation that forces everyone to be a frantic day-trader just to keep up? Bitcoin’s energy use is transparent. It’s the cost of security. You don’t get un-hackable, global, neutral money for the same juice it takes to run a PlayStation. The entire modern economy is a greater fool theory. It’s built on the belief that the next generation will buy your overpriced house, that the stock market will always go up, that the government won't debase the currency. As for the apostles and the memes… every new idea needs evangelists! The printing press had Gutenberg. Democracy had Paine. We’re the cult that offers an open, permissionless system to anyone with an internet connection, not just the connected elites in Greenwich or Wall Street. The old cult says, "Trust us." Our cult says, "Don't trust. Verify." Now, which one sounds more like a religion… and which one sounds like a recipe? It produces Finality. Not "pending." Not "we'll see you in 3-5 business days." Final. A digital handshake that can't be taken back because the bank had a bad day. In 16 years, this “nothing,” this “Ponzi scheme,” this “tool of dictators” has gone from: An obscure cypherpunk whitepaper read by a few dozen cryptographers… To a global monetary network with a market cap larger than the GDP of most nations. From being worth literally zero… To being on the balance sheet of publicly traded corporations, sovereign nations, and the world’s largest asset managers. From a way to buy pizza as a joke… To being used as a settlement layer for trillion-dollar institutions, a treasury reserve asset for companies, and a life raft for citizens of hyperinflating economies. You don’t see an adoption curve? Bitcoin’s narrative is being written in real-time. Its volatility isn’t proof it’s a bad hedge; it’s proof it’s an immature, repricing asset. When it matures, when its volatility compresses, then you can judge its hedging properties. So call it a poor hedge. That’s like calling a newborn a poor weightlifter. You’re not wrong. You’re just judging it by a standard it never aspired to, at a stage in its life when the measurement is meaningless. You’re judging a nascent, high-volatility, transformative technology on its short-term correlation metrics during a period where it has been finding its price and establishing its network. The “fundamental value” of a network is its utility. Its security. Its ability to facilitate trustless exchange and store value across time and space. Economists have no box for this. And what is your bank account? It’s ’0’s’ and ‘1’s’ in a computer at Bank of America. What is the stock you own? An entry in the ’0’s’ and ‘1’s’ of the DTCC’s computer. The entire modern financial life is ‘0’s’ and ‘1’s.’ The only difference is whose computer they’re in, and under what rules. Your ‘0’s’ and ‘1’s’ can be frozen, reversed, inflated away, or denied to you. Bitcoin’s ‘0’s’ and ‘1’s’ are secured by the largest decentralized computing network on the planet.
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Uncle Milty’s Ghost
Uncle Milty’s Ghost@his_eminence_j·
My post about bitcoin yesterday got engagement into the hundreds of thousands. I never expected that at all. The more I think about this bitcoin craziness, in which something that’s most closely akin to a baseball card (valuable as a collectible, but absolutely no use apart from that - and so massively expensive and energy-wasteful to boot) has found such a religious following, I’m stuck with the idea that it really IS a cult: Satoshi is their Christ figure. The Whitepaper is the sacred scroll. Fiat collapse is their apocalyptic Book of Revelation. There’s even a group of apostles: Michael Saylor, bizarrely putting up AI photos of himself as the Herculean and long-suffering patron saint of the faith. Maximalists posing as high priests posting daily devotionals: “Bitcoin is life.” “HODL”, etc. The flock spends countless hours a day trying to convince you to attend one of their “meetings”. Never in the history of finance have I seen anything close to the recruitment effort that cryptocurrency survives on. I’ve seen Amway meetings that were a 10th as aggressive. You see, I must find a greater fool to get in after me, or this thing has no value. Then nobody gets their 72 virgins. This is why a criticism of their coin cannot be just dismissed by these people. They can’t just see a post that disagrees and move on. They MUST challenge. This is truly their faith - one of both fear AND greed - and by challenging it (or even questioning it) I have blasphemed.
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Denistratos
Denistratos@SoJustFollowMe·
@investwithsheng @michaeljburry With the market continuing to rise - yes, but only on the condition that M2SL grows faster than $SPX. But the thing is, M2SL isn’t growing; it’s actually declining 👇🏻👀
Denistratos@SoJustFollowMe

FED MOVES, YOU SNOOZE While most investors were guessing about the key rate, the #Fed quietly shrank its balance sheet – selling and redeeming assets it had piled up over the past 5 years. October: balance down to $6.6T from a record $9T at the start of 2022. Adjusted for GDP, back to April 2020 levels. ‼️ Remember this – it’ll help you understand the mechanics behind the process in my Saturday post about the #AI Bubble Crash.‼️ Comparison: Fed assets = 22% of GDP (lowest among major economies). The Bank of #England ~25%, #China 34%, #ECB ~40%, #Japan ~110%. WHY IT MATTERS Fed expanded its balance sheet buying government bonds to support banks and boost lending. Side effect: excess liquidity pushed up asset prices – even those the Fed didn’t buy: stocks, real estate, crypto. Now, shrinking the balance = less liquidity → pressure on prices. So far, we don’t see it because everyone’s hyped about possible rate cuts. $SPY $QQQ $SMH $MAGS $DIA $IWM $IEF $TLT

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Denistratos
Denistratos@SoJustFollowMe·
🚨 THE COLLAPSE OF THE AI BUBBLE. PART ONE – INTRODUCTORY. In his 1886 work “Beyond Good and Evil,” Friedrich Nietzsche wrote: “…if you gaze long into an abyss, the abyss also gazes into you.” Well, Mr. @michaeljburry seems to have stared deep into the market’s abyss – and spotted an AI bubble staring back. The problem is, this poor Cassandra’s predictions have been missing the mark for years. Fair enough – the existence of an AI bubble is obvious to almost everyone (except a few completely delusional individuals). But when it bursts, and what to do next – he doesn’t know. I do. Before you is one of the small fragments of my trading system: SPX/M2SL – an indicator showing the ratio of the S&P 500 to the M2 money supply (seasonally adjusted). In essence, it’s a measure of the total amount of money available in the U.S. economy. What’s important to know? This exact indicator gave me the signal to move 100% to cash: ▫️ in 2018 – before Trump Tariffs 1.0 and the start of the trade war with China ▫️ in early January 2020 – before COVID-19 ▫️ in December 2021 – before the 2022 Bear Market These and other introductory key dates are marked on the chart. Observe, study, verify. Words here are basically unnecessary. Part Two – the practical one – is planned to drop tomorrow. But whether it actually comes out depends entirely on you. I won’t post it until this one gets 35 likes and 35 comments. Or 100 likes. Not a single one less. p.s. Charts posted by @Barchart under titles like “Tech Stocks relative to M2 Money Supply 🚨 Dot Com Bubble vs. Now 🤯👀” are absolutely useless and uninformative. Same goes for all other M2 Money Supply “variations.” See for yourself 👇🏻👀 p.p.s. On the chart, you’ll see what looks like SPX/M2SL touching its lower boundary – but in reality, there was no touch‼️ • I expanded the range and only noticed after the chart was finalized – and didn’t bother redoing it, since it makes no difference for the introductory part; • The chart was prepared earlier this week, and with the market correction, the indicator itself also adjusted slightly – moving away from that “touch.” Future updates (if there are any) will be published without this error. $SPY, $QQQ, $MAGS, $SMH, $NVDA, $MSFT, $AAPL, $GOOGL, $AMZN, $META, $TSLA, $AVGO, $ORCL, $PLTR, $AMD, $NFLX, $ANET, $CRWV, $NBIS, $HOOD, $SOFI
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Barchart@Barchart

Tech Stocks relative to M2 Money Supply 🚨 Dot Com Bubble vs. Now 🤯👀

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AliceMia
AliceMia@Alice_MiaX·
Anyone acting like they “navigated” this market perfectly scaling in and out is full of it. If you’re in high yield or crypto, you took hits. Period. Your positions looked real different 3 days ago. 👎 Stop the fake flex. Be real and admit the loss like everyone else.
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Mark Corbett
Mark Corbett@corbettmark·
@Invest_Brandon You have a sound strategy, just imo you are underestimating the leverage and weird things like BTC that will cause chaos some people don't find a need to be invested at all times , especially when older
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Investing With Brandon
Investing With Brandon@Invest_Brandon·
The truth about the stock market right now. I also know many ppl do not believe me. But I’m giving you my honest take about this market and it’s simple. This is a valuation reset of the high beta. That’s it. The world is not melting. Aliens are not coming. WW3 is not happening. It’s just companies coming back down to earth. When the sentiment flips, everything goes risk off. I have said so many times that everything moves together. Mr market is emotional and it’s a pendulum of fear and greed. He’s been greedy pushing up stock prices for a while now, but lately fearful. Yes, companies are reporting great earnings, but it’s not enough to fight the high valuations. Everyone thinks I’m Brandon the bear. But really all I’m doing is sticking to the plan when it’s unpopular to do. Buy great companies at good prices and use options to magnify ultra high confidence plays. It’s that simple. The last few months there has been less opportunity, I make less trades. All good, but at the end of the day, I’m here to make money in the stock market and show my thoughts and research (on discord) This volatility is normal. Warren Buffett didn’t even notice it. We will capitalize when it makes sense. But when you have companies like Robinhood that were trading at 80x earnings, SoFi at 90x earnings, Palantir at 200+X earnings, Tesla at 200x+ earnings, AMd at 70x earnings, etc… those things will eventually correct. They always do. Companies follow the profits (the eps) period. Keep it simple, cause it is! The hard part is keeping emotions in check, which is what I try to tell ppl but they also don’t believe me till they see red… so right now, I don’t care what the market does other than to capitalize on over and under values prices. That’s it. Use me market to your advantage.
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