jaydotchan

@CentristAllWay @JonahDispatch This and what happened to those 81 million voters? Kamala only got 75 million, she and trump were both on the ballot last time, dems would’ve got their first women of colour president

Its not about Trump lying. Its the statistical autism in those of us who understand Odds and probabilities. Biden lost 16 out of the 17 highly correlating bellwethers and still won the presidency. The odds were 1 in a billion-plus But most of just shut-up, because we get accused of being "election deniers", anti-vaxxers, racists or whatever pariah you people decide to cancel our free speech for.

I get being annoyed when Elizabeth Warren (who I find insufferable) or other Democrats play gotcha by asking “Do you believe Donald Trump lost in 2020?” You know what would have spared Republicans the embarrassment and annoyance of these questions? If Trump hasn’t lied about winning and hadn’t tried to steal the election.

Never deleting this app.

Having a city full of broke bitches with nice asses is certainly worth the investment. I see the vision.

@cremieuxrecueil That Nick Norwitz guy?

There's an anti-statin influencer who is basically coping for the worst possible roll of the genetic dice. - APOE4 homozygote - High lp(a) - Extremely neurotic And it just feels wrong to engage with anything he writes because he's going to be demented or dead in a few decades.

@TheZeitgeistNZ Low IQ DEI hire

1News Political Editor Maiki Sherman should be fired. For over a year now every political story she runs has been the same. It doesn’t matter what actually happens in the world: - Poll says coalition ahead - Luxon bad - Poll says coalition behind - Luxon bad - Trump bombs Iran - Luxon bad - Fuel shortage - Luxon bad You never learn anything from her news stories - she doesn’t appear to have any real intelligence or understanding of political issues, or even any curiosity to find out. It’s just sour-faced anti-Luxonism all the way down. 1News receives taxpayer funding and has a legal obligation to provide balanced coverage. She is as biased and as partisan as can be. There is no reason ordinary Kiwis should provide this woman a job with this level of influence. Fire her.

@bowtiedstocks The business model is luxury service

I’m surprised a bit by just how high some private school fees are in Brisbane today Many many schools north of $30k + a year in fees or around that mark No tax deductions for these costs either, it’s all post tax money So for high earners, that’s $60k a year per kid of pre tax earnings 3 kids there’s $180k before you get out of bed, clothe or feed them Can keep people running on the hamster wheel for a long time You can also see how what sounds like a reasonably good salary disappears pretty fast

@PronouncedHare Trump was right about fake news

@gummibear737 If lichtman didn’t let his bias get in the way, his 13 keys would’ve actually predicted trump would win in 2024

Do you remember Allan Lichtman? He's that academic who authoritatively put forth his "13 Keys to the White House" theory that said Trump would lose the 2024 Election. Well, that's who Robert Pape is now with his "Escalation Trap" theory of the Iran War And you know, it's possible that Robert Pape will ultimately be right about this thing escalating much much farther, but a broken clock is also right twice a day Because nothing about his interpretation of events so far show me that he is anything but an academic that's become a slave to the overly deterministic model that he's spent a career creating All conflicts are about escalation and deescalation, and just because he seems to have cornered the market on this concept doesn't make anything he says any more relevant The fact that there was essentially a deal in place on Friday should put to rest any notion that escalation is inevitable or that air-power cannot achieve military goals So maybe Trump will pull off a negotiate peace, or will have to push on further...but Pape is certainly not a serious commentator on the evolution of this conflict with his cherry picked interpretation of events

@AsxSuperstar @MarkoMatvikov How do they get into the country? As "refugees"?

@jaydotchan @MarkoMatvikov South Sudanese. Abos are too lazy.

I had an ex girlfriend many years ago from South Africa. She told me how her Dad used to lock a steel gate in the hallway to their bedrooms as the last line of defence for her and her sister against intruders. And that every morning they’d walk around the house to see if anything was stolen or damaged. I think these poor little girls will tell similar stories about living in Melbourne when they’re older.

@phl43 Any non paywalled link?

This article confirms pretty much everything that panicans have been saying about the war since the beginning. It's not 4D chess, Trump just thought Iran would capitulate immediately and now he doesn't know how to get out of this mess 🤷‍♂️ wsj.com/politics/natio…

The most exciting longevity trend right now is that we are actually beating dementia. At a given age—70, 75, 80, etc.—the prevalence of dementia is down compared to what it was decades ago. Today's 90-year-olds have less than half the risk of dementia that ones in 1984 did!

@Suitandtie9999 National only have themselves to blame for being passive and not rooting out the bias

Given tonight’s poll results, the optics of TVNZ suddenly ditching a long-standing tradition by rushing out their Verian poll this evening instead of waiting until Monday night, as they have done with every previous TVNZ Verian poll are terrible. This hands Tova O’Brien — widely seen as a keen Labour supporter — the first shot at the Prime Minister. It also gives the media a full day to pile pressure on the Government before Luxon’s afternoon press conference, where more gotcha questions can be fired off just in time for the 6pm news. TVNZ are anything but neutral.

when I was young, the worldwide threat was global cooling, and the solution proposed was full communism. then later the threat became global warming, and the solution was full communism. nowadays the threat is AI, and you'll never guess what the solution is. yep, full communism

Western elites could easily undermine populism if they moved right on immigration and culture. But they don’t want to - so invent imaginary reasons for the rise of populism such as disinformation, argues @DouthatNYT

"in just over a year, the United States has fully controlled the world's four major maritime chokepoints: Gibraltar, Malacca, Hormuz, Panama"

@dpfdpf Should start a campaign for nz first and act supporters to tactically vote national for electorate, go for the overhang

The size and time weighted public poll average is below.

PRINCE HARRY IN TROUBLE

@2ETEKA Very snake if true

Wonder why the TVNZ Verian poll is being released tonight ? And not tomorrow (Monday) . It’s more than likely awful for Luxon and TVNZ want to give his Kitchen cabinet time to run the numbers, form the argument for their caucus meeting on Tuesday and piss on his fire (well small flame, ah smouldering embers?). EVERY TVNZ Verian poll has consistently been released on a Monday night since its inception - see screenshot.