Kevin Hoff
19.3K posts

Kevin Hoff
@kevinhoff
Built kenoodl. Synthesizes beyond the frame AI is trapped in. Powered by xAI. @kenoodl








My worry is that economists' forecasts of AI's impact on growth is colored too much by historical precedent. Historical precedent is important, but we should be humble about the possibility of AI being more transformative than prior technologies. For example, the speed of transformation is at least partly determined by adoption and diffusion through the economy. If one's model is based on AI being adopted within existing organizational structures, then diffusion will be quite slow---this is what we're seeing now. But consider the possibility of a 'Coasean Singularity'---a scenario where AI drives the transaction and coordination costs that traditionally dictate firm size to near zero. This could lead to the (potentially fast) emergence of smaller, more nimble AI-first firms, new types of organizations that are outside of our current models, that don't have historical precedent. These firms will not have the sort of bottlenecks of traditional firm structure, and the transformation and resulting impact on economic growth would be much closer to the technological frontier. I know that many economists are already thinking through these transformative scenarios. My guess is that as these ideas are developed further, forecasts will change as well.















🚨 CRITICAL: Active supply chain attack on axios -- one of npm's most depended-on packages. The latest axios@1.14.1 now pulls in plain-crypto-js@4.2.1, a package that did not exist before today. This is a live compromise. This is textbook supply chain installer malware. axios has 100M+ weekly downloads. Every npm install pulling the latest version is potentially compromised right now. Socket AI analysis confirms this is malware. plain-crypto-js is an obfuscated dropper/loader that: • Deobfuscates embedded payloads and operational strings at runtime • Dynamically loads fs, os, and execSync to evade static analysis • Executes decoded shell commands • Stages and copies payload files into OS temp and Windows ProgramData directories • Deletes and renames artifacts post-execution to destroy forensic evidence If you use axios, pin your version immediately and audit your lockfiles. Do not upgrade.






