speedyman

54C projected for Iraq, humanity doesn’t know what is about to hit it. Get ready for a level of migration we’ve not seen since WW2

@skdh @cohler Why do they expect temperatures to fall on the 2nd El Niño year? I understood the opposite was generally true

@cohler Yes, that is a fair criticism. I take it from articles I have read, conversations I have followed on twitter, and conversations I have had myself. You don't have to believe it, go and ask some yourself.

The next three months will be decisive for climate change. It's because most climate scientists expect the global average temperature to decrease. If that doesn't happen, that makes it likely that the existing projections are underestimating future warming. The past year has been in an above-average temperature phase partly because of a natural quasi-periodic climate cycle called the El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO). You might also have heard of it as the El Nino-La Nina years. According to a recent report (June 17) from NOAA, we are just out of the warmer El Nino phase and now in a neutral, intermediate phase, that is expected to turn to the colder La Nina towards the end of the year. Report here: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analy… One of the consequences of this transition will probably be a very active hurricane season. That 2023 was so hot on the global average might have been a statistical outlier. My impression is that most climate scientists at the moment think it was. Or maybe it's just what they hope. Some are worried there is more to it and that the models have gotten something wrong, that the climate sensitivity has been estimated to be too low or that the impact of declining aerosol levels has been underestimated. The scary truth is that no one really knows.

@LeonSimons8 @AI_imagineX Surely Hunga Tonga must play a role? The anomalies are almost impossibly high

@AI_imagineX Only doomers and pro-geoengineering fossil fuel shils should care about this. 🛢 And maybe insurance companies. 💰 And all people owning a home on the East coast of the United States. 🌀 And those living in Europe, who'd like the AMOC to keep flowing. 🌊 And...

🌊🌡📈 Our North Atlantic Sea Surface temperature graphs went viral all over the world a year ago. Temperatures are even higher now.. If we exclude 2023, it's even more clear how extreme the temperatures of 2024 are:

@LeonSimons8 x.com/saln1/status/1…

Acceleration

@ThierryGooseBC @TheSnowDreamer @severeweatherEU @ScottDuncanWX @ExtremeMeteo @EKMeteo @capitalweather @SergeZaka @ryanweather @GaetanHeymes x.com/saln1/status/1…

‼️Historic 50.9°C in Aswan, #Egypt 🇪🇬! 🔥🥵 ➡️ Highest [reliable] temperature ever recorded in Egypt. ➡️ Highest temperature ever recorded in June in Africa.

@WxNB_ x.com/saln1/status/1…

BREAKING: Egypt 🇪🇬 has just set a new all-time record high temperature with +50.9°C (123.6°F) in Aswan. This exceeds the previous national heat record of +50.3°C from 1961 in Kharga. It is also the highest temperature ever reliably recorded in Africa in the month of June.

@WeatherProf x.com/saln1/status/1…

124 in Egypt. All-time record for the nation and all-time hottest June day in Africa. But read below… he says there was an unreliable similar temp in 1918

@zerohedge Boring, pretty much on target

CPI 0.3% MoM, Exp. 0.4% MoM CPI 3.4% YoY, Exp. 3.4% YoY CPI Core 0.3% MoM, Exp. 0.3% MoM CPI Core 3.6% YoY, Exp. 3.6%

@TheSnowDreamer @benoriz To be fair the forecasts have been quite off last few months, hopefully this time is different!

@benoriz Oh just some were being doubtful about my forecast with it turning warmer/sunnier next week.

Believe me now?

@EliotJacobson The momentum really is fading, EV sales no longer growing either. Why do you think that is?

Your 'moment of doom' for Apr. 5, 2024 ~ F&%kery ahead! "weather seems not to matter as much as the political climate, and the people who run the world’s oil companies seem to feel that they’ve come out the other side of their latest heat wave intact." newyorker.com/news/daily-com…

@ModdedQuad @X @elonmusk Incredible

Twitter banned me because they thought I was a bot, @X and @elonmusk reinstated me because I am.

@ylecun what is the correct answer?

To people who claim that "thinking and reasoning require language", here is a problem: Imagine standing at the North Pole of the Earth. Walk in any direction, in a straight line, for 1 km. Now turn 90 degrees to the left. Walk for as long as it takes to pass your starting point. Have you walked: 1. More than 2xPi km 2. Exactly 2xPi km 3. Less than 2xPi km 4. I never came close to my starting point. Think about how you tried to answer this question and tell us whether it was based on language.

@IranObserver0 Was Iran responsible?

@MarioNawfal Cut them off from SWIFT ASAP

@EliotJacobson Unfortunately 1.5C has been over for quite some time now

Your morning cup of doom: "Some have argued that the very sudden increases in temperatures ... are a form of 'termination shock' as this cooling effect is ending. If they are right, then efforts to limit warming to 1.5°C may already be over..." inews.co.uk/opinion/climat…

@bing STOP sharing the same broken link until it is fixed please

Unlock your creativity. Ask the new Bing to help craft a speech to celebrate an anniversary. Join the waitlist now. msft.it/60115zVz9

@bing Not working on any browser, have you done any quality control checks?

If you can run Heartbreak Hill, you can run anything. Join the waitlist and the new Bing can tell you how: msft.it/60195zT3c

@metoffice So what? Back in 1976 it was 250C for 370 days in a row. This is just typical summer weather. I went to Dubai a few years back and it was 300C an no one had issues

🌡️ For the first time ever, 40 Celsius has provisionally been exceeded in the UK London Heathrow reported a temperature of 40.2°C at 12:50 today 📈 Temperatures are still climbing in many places, so remember to stay #WeatherAware ⚠️ #heatwave #heatwave2022

@UKWX_ Wow 25C. New record surely?

Here are the minimum temperatures expected tonight by the GFS model. You can remove a degree or two to get lows in rural spots. Due to the resolution of the GFS model, it can struggle to show rural minima.

@BethRigby @trussliz Hard to disagree

.@trussliz asked whether people ready for even further price rises on bills/in shops from sanctions. Truss says the British public understand the cost of not standing up to Putin