Valuefiend

73 posts

Valuefiend

Valuefiend

@valuefiend

Market Participant searching for value in a hopeless place

United States เข้าร่วม Haziran 2025
442 กำลังติดตาม47 ผู้ติดตาม
Valuefiend
Valuefiend@valuefiend·
$plby went from +20% ah after earnings to open flat to +10% and is now -4%. quite the rollercoaster
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Valuefiend รีทวีตแล้ว
taobanker
taobanker@taobanker·
1 banana a day will subtly improve your life. 2 bananas a day will have undeniable benefits. Banana is literally the perfect food in 2026. One day scientists will catch up to me on this one.
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Valuefiend
Valuefiend@valuefiend·
recycled back into the loan book (and/or buybacks). It will be a nice incremental bump. Also the chairman's candor is really nice to see. Their small acquisition has not worked out as planned and he just came out and spoke about it. I am long here and will continue to be
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Valuefiend
Valuefiend@valuefiend·
Plus mix seems to be improving ( more workforce housing than consumer) average rev per building up 8k while tariffs are only adding ~$1.2k per unit. I dont think this will ad nauseum, eventually infra and DC projects will plateau and pull back but with much of these revs
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Valuefiend
Valuefiend@valuefiend·
$LEGH had an ugly year but just read the transcript on the call and the chair seems very optimistic. 70 years old and still hustling. Focusing on buy backs ( at or below book) and growing the loan book.
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will
will@friedoystercult·
@kingdomcapadv Wait till you hear about private prisons
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Kingdom Capital
Kingdom Capital@kingdomcapadv·
Fintwit is wild because people will start cheering on a global conflict solely because they own a few shares of some Tier 3 Permian operator who might benefit from a spike in oil prices
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Valuefiend
Valuefiend@valuefiend·
And its gone, essentially flat on the day
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Valuefiend
Valuefiend@valuefiend·
I wasn't able to listen in on the call but this price action after the $UNFI report doesn't feel justified. Pretty much shooting right down the middle of their goals. Was something dropped during the call?
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Valuefiend
Valuefiend@valuefiend·
@siyul @FishtownCap $33 would be a nice place to add some shares. Mr. Market would be giving a gift
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Siyu Li
Siyu Li@siyul·
$UNFI, stock is down today bigly, but I flag it as the 3rd chance to buy $UNFI at an attractive price ($36/share, 📉8% after ER today) I will make the thesis simple: Tarditi, the CFO joined in 3Q24, earned my trust by delivering everything he promised and more. ✔️Cut unprofitable conventional sales ✔️improved ebitda% to 2.25% (from 1.94% 3Q ago) ✔️cut net debt $0.2Bn, lev ratio 2.7x (v.s. 3.7x 1Y ago) ✔️Started buyback this Q (at $33/share) At $36/share, 2.2Bn mkt cap, 1.7Bn net debt, ~$700Mn Y26 ebitda, under 6x ev/ebitda: >with a competent CFO >aggressively delevering >and promising biz uptrend Mark my post. will revisit in a few months.
Siyu Li@siyul

$UNFI I wrote it in July at ~$27, then it quickly rose to $43, and many readers missed it. It's down 30% to $32-33. If you missed it, this is your 2nd chance. It’s now cheaper than when I wrote it. The 15% higher price tag gets you previously unknown cyber-attack impacts (tiny), and mgt has since given/confirmed strong estimates for 2026-2027. I've known @kingdomcapadv and @FishtownCap for years, and it's rare for us to agree on a stock (aka all fiercely independent😀). First time I recall us all strongly supporting a name, at the same time. That alone might be worth your attention. See their latest thoughts below, and my original write-up link in the end.

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Valuefiend
Valuefiend@valuefiend·
Why is $DEC priced so conservatively. We have a constructive (understatement) enviroment for oil prices, they have grown production pretty heavily and seemlingly improved every per share economic metric. Have just taken a cursory glance but it is so cheap (40% trailing FCF yield)
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Valuefiend
Valuefiend@valuefiend·
@Sleepysolcap I thought it was fake when I saw the flier but I would be on a stretcher if I were them
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Valuefiend
Valuefiend@valuefiend·
@SSI_invest The big thing is that it was 2.18 per share when they announced
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Special Situation Investments
Special Situation Investments@SSI_invest·
New Merger Announcement - $UHG, a regional homebuilder, being takeunder by a PE - $1.18/share in cash vs stock at $1.15/shr - Shareholder approval effectively secured via written consent (~70% of voting power) - No regulatory risk - Expected to close smoothly in Q2 2026
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Valuefiend
Valuefiend@valuefiend·
@West4thCapital @J_TraderCrypto @taobanker I think that is the underlying trend, but it also trading at ~1x book, with a large chattel mortgage book (highly current, 9+% rates) , and some other odd assets like land and trailer parks. The cofounders stepped back in as they didn't like how it is being run
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taobanker
taobanker@taobanker·
i just bought 3% position in $legh and honestly i expect to make a lot of money with little risk
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Consensus Media
Consensus Media@ConsensusGurus·
Another homebuilder deal, and this one is UGLY: $UHG to join Stanley Martin for $1.18/sh cash... stock closed Friday at $2.38/sh
Consensus Media tweet media
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Valuefiend
Valuefiend@valuefiend·
$four seems like it can’t have more than 2-3 days before 3+% drop. Anyone who watches this thing everyday must need therapy
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