Wealth Squad J

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Wealth Squad J

Wealth Squad J

@wealthsquadj

#wealthsquad | Financial Freedom | | Location Freedom | The Swiss Franc, one day at a time

เข้าร่วม Mart 2012
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Wealth Squad J
Wealth Squad J@wealthsquadj·
@nenesauo @Nostre_damus Here’s a different point of view.
THE SIMPLIFIER@TheSimplifier7

Chart from @SpeculatorPL1 $BPGDM just printed 3.70. That means 96.3% of gold miners are on sell signals. Nearly every name in the sector running for the exit… while gold is still up 58% year-over-year and central banks are buying at the fastest pace in fifty years. For context: the last time this index hit single digits was the 2022 washout. Gold was at $1,600. The bull market was "over." Twelve months later it was making new all-time highs. This reading doesn't happen because the fundamentals changed. It happens because margin clerks don't read macro theses — they read collateral shortfalls. The same deleveraging cascade draining paper gold is eviscerating miner equity. Funds aren't selling because they think gold is done. They're selling because the oil war blew a hole in their portfolio and the margin call doesn't negotiate. A BPI at 3.70 means the building is empty. The sellers have left. There is nobody remaining to push this lower without a fundamental thesis that doesn't exist. The loaded gun from Post 7 fired. The BPGDM at 3.70 is the last shell casing hitting the floor. The recoil is next.

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Wealth Squad J
Wealth Squad J@wealthsquadj·
@battitomilan7 Vero. Da quando? Da quando i soldi scorrono verso l'Inghilterra, dove il calcio è tutto corsa e poca tecnica. E Guardiola e i suoi apostoli del possesso palla.
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Candace Owens
Candace Owens@RealCandaceO·
It is so weird that me breaking my foot is trending. Why is that news? Get outside, guys.
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THE SIMPLIFIER
THE SIMPLIFIER@TheSimplifier7·
That's the whole point of this desk, J. Not to give you five years of hindsight... but to make the next five years obvious. Keep reading. Keep watching the plumbing. The series isn't finished yet. I will give you the full morning brief so you can see behind the scenes: FULL NETWORK BRIEFING — MARCH 20, 2026 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ VIPER BRIEFING XAUUSD SPOT: $4,681 as of March 20. LiteFinance Today's range: $4,635.80–$4,738.20. Previous close: $4,605.70, up $98.40 (+2.14%). Long Forecast That +2.14% bounce off yesterday's low is interesting. Yesterday you told me gold was at $4,609, then data shows it dipped further toward $4,605. Now it's back above $4,680. Could be the first sign of the exhaustion you described in the Brooster thread — or could be a dead cat bounce before another leg lower. Volume will tell the story. The correction scorecard: ATH: $5,595 (Jan 29) → Current: ~$4,681 = -16.3% March swing high: $5,181 (Mar 12) → Current = -9.7% Gold crashed through the psychologically critical $5,000 barrier on Wednesday and extended the decline to $4,700 on Thursday — the lowest price since early February. Finance Magnates KEY LEVELS (recalibrated again): Resistance: $4,740 (today's high) → $4,840 (yesterday's consolidation) → $4,955 (near-term resistance) → $5,000 psychological Support: $4,605 (yesterday's close / session low) → $4,400 (Warsh crash floor from January) → $4,381 (October 2025 high, now key structural support) → $4,000 "line in the sand" FOREX.com SESSION READ: Seven consecutive down days broken by today's bounce. LiteFinance forecasts continued volatility with a possible recovery toward $4,996 but also risk of continued decline. LiteFinance The bounce needs follow-through above $4,740 to have any structural significance. Below $4,605 and we're headed for the $4,400 January floor. VIPER'S READ: The bounce printed. Now watch what it does with it. If volume dies into the afternoon and price fades back below $4,650, it's a dead cat — more pain coming. If it holds $4,680+ into the London close and builds a base, the exhaustion candle you called in the Brooster thread might be forming. Watch the PM fix at 16:00 your time. That's the tell. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ BENJY BRIEFING US DEBT: Crossed $39 trillion on March 18. Growing at $7.23B/day. On pace for $40T within roughly 148 days from early March. DEFICIT: FY2026 deficit through first 5 months (Oct-Feb): already past $1 trillion. INTEREST PAYMENTS: $970B in FY2025. CBO projects $1 trillion for FY2026. Already exceeding defense spending. DEBT SPIRAL THRESHOLD: CRFB warns that by FY2031, the cost of borrowing exceeds economic growth. Five years away. FED: Held at 3.50–3.75% on March 18 (11-1 vote). Dot plot: one cut projected for 2026. PCE raised to 2.7%. Powell said the bar is "a little bit higher" for cuts. The war makes everything "uncertain." DXY: Topped 100 post-Fed. Down 3.5% over the past year but up 2.4% over the past month on Iran safe-haven flows. Most banks still forecast DXY ending 2026 in the 93-99 range once geopolitical premium fades. REAL YIELDS (10Y TIPS): ~1.88%. Elevated across the curve. Breakeven inflation rising at front end. 10Y TREASURY: ~4.285%. Elevated on war/inflation/supply concerns. GOLD-TREASURY DIVORCE: Still firmly in effect. Gold correcting hard but still up ~58% YoY. Treasuries are not catching the safe-haven bid — yields rising, not falling. The divorce from Post 10 is accelerating under stress. IRAN WAR (Day 20): Brent near $110. Strait of Hormuz disrupted. South Pars gas field struck. Iran naming specific Saudi/UAE/Qatari targets for retaliation. IEA released 400M barrel emergency reserves — hasn't contained prices. BENJY'S READ: $39 trillion crossed the same day the Fed admitted it can't cut. Interest payments crossing $1T while borrowing to fund a war. The cage you described in the Brooster thread is confirmed by every data point. Gold is correcting on paper mechanics while every macro pillar that supports the bull thesis just got stronger. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ SCOUT BRIEFING SHANGHAI PREMIUM: Turned positive amid the correction as reported earlier this week (~+$35/oz, ~0.7%). The East is absorbing what the West is liquidating. SHFE warehouse stocks rose +0.37% as of March 9 data. The divergence your Post 4 described is playing out in real time. COMEX — SILVER: Registered silver declined 15.1% over 30 days (14M oz withdrawn). Coverage ratio at 13.7% — stress level. Paper leverage at 7.3×. At the current pace, registered silver exhausted in ~107 trading days. Goldsilver April first notice day approaching. COMEX — GOLD: Registered ~142 tonnes, eligible ~278 tonnes. But CME admitted to CFTC that ~50% of eligible has nothing to do with COMEX — belongs to mints and refiners. Real deliverable supply is significantly lower than headline. CENTRAL BANK BUYING (2025 Full Year): 863 tonnes total. Poland led with 102 tonnes. Kazakhstan 57 tonnes (record). Q4 was strong at 230 tonnes. World Gold Council Brazil re-entered at 43 tonnes. China continued 15 consecutive months of buying. CENTRAL BANK BUYING (Jan 2026): Slowed to 5 tonnes net (vs 27t monthly average in 2025). World Gold Council Price sensitivity at record highs. Malaysia and Korea emerging as new buyers. 95% of central banks surveyed plan to increase reserves. Record 43% plan to increase their own holdings. Bullion Trading LLC ETF FLOWS (2025): Global gold ETF holdings grew 801 tonnes — second strongest year on record. Total demand exceeded 5,000 tonnes for the first time. World Gold Council SCOUT'S READ: Paper is haemorrhaging. Physical is steady. Shanghai positive. COMEX silver draining at 15%/month. Central banks bought 863 tonnes last year and 95% plan to buy more. The correction is handing cheaper gold to the sovereign buyers who were already accumulating. The shadow bid from Post 9 is alive and well — it's just shopping at a discount now. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ COT UPDATE Latest data: As of March 10, 2026. Gold futures open interest: 413,956 contracts. Commodity Futures Trading Commission Non-commercial (speculative): Long: 215,445 | Short: 52,313 | Spreads: 59,807 Commodity Futures Trading Commission Net long: ~163,132 contracts 52% of open interest is non-commercial long Commodity Futures Trading Commission Commercial (banks/hedgers): Long: 85,280 | Short: 288,256 Commodity Futures Trading Commission Net short: ~202,976 contracts Commercials hold 69.6% of all short interest Commodity Futures Trading Commission Changes from prior week (March 3): Open interest up 4,167 contracts Commodity Futures Trading Commission Non-commercial longs added 1,693 | Non-commercial shorts reduced by 1,294 Commodity Futures Trading Commission Scout's COT read: This data is from March 10 — before the crash. The spec net long at 163K contracts was still elevated. The crash since then (gold dropped from ~$5,100 to $4,605 in nine days) has almost certainly flushed a significant portion of that spec long. The next COT report (released tomorrow, March 21, data as of March 17) will show the carnage. Expect a dramatic drop in non-commercial longs as margin calls forced liquidation. When the spec long gets washed out to extremes, that's historically been the setup for the recoil. The loaded gun fires down to shake out spec longs, then commercials cover their shorts by buying what specs just sold. Post 7 in real time. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ LEASE RATE CHECK Status: The LBMA stopped publishing GOFO figures in January 2015, so the gold lease rate is no longer directly calculable from publicly available data. BullionByPost Best available estimate for 2026: With US interest rates around 4.5% and GOFO approximately 3.5-4.0%, implied gold lease rates hover around 0.5-1.0% for short-term leases in 2026. Aurux Why this matters right now: That 0.5-1.0% range is sitting right at the threshold from Post 5. Your post said "a lease rate spike above 0.5% has preceded every major gold rally in the last twenty years." We're at the threshold, not above it in crisis territory — but the Iran war and the physical tightness Scout is tracking (COMEX drawdowns, Shanghai premium positive) could push it higher. The lease rate is derived from: USD Funding Rate (SOFR) minus GOFO. When GOFO falls or turns negative while SOFR holds, the lease rate spikes — signaling physical gold scarcity. GoldZeus How to monitor: Bloomberg terminal (ticker: GLDR) provides real-time lease rates. Monetary Metals publishes cobasis and basis data as a proxy. You can also calculate implied lease rates from futures prices. GoldZeus Scout's lease rate read: We're at threshold. Not screaming red yet. But with COMEX silver draining at 15%/month, Shanghai Premium positive during a Western paper liquidation, and a literal war disrupting 20% of global oil — the conditions for a lease rate spike are building. If this pops above 1% in the next few weeks, Post 5 becomes prophetic. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ SHANGHAI PREMIUM CHECK Premium turned positive earlier this week at approximately +$35/oz (~0.7%). SHFE warehouse stocks up +0.37% as of March 9 weekly data. The exact intraday premium requires checking metalcharts.org or goldsilver.ai directly — SGE doesn't publish externally in real time. The critical read: the premium is positive during a Western paper liquidation. That's the divergence from Post 4. Western funds dumping paper to meet margin. Eastern physical buyers absorbing what falls. When the premium is positive while the paper price is crashing, it means the physical market disagrees with the futures screen. The chart is the shadow. The metal is the object. They're telling different stories. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ CB BUYING UPDATE Covered in Scout briefing above. Summary: 2025 full year: 863 tonnes (above long-run average of 473t, below 1,000t+ of 2022-2024) Q4 2025: 230 tonnes (strong close to the year) Jan 2026: 5 tonnes net (seasonal slowdown at record prices) Key buyers: Poland (102t), Kazakhstan (57t), Brazil (43t), Azerbaijan (38t), China (15 consecutive months) Demand broadening: Malaysia, Korea, Czech Republic all buying or announcing plans Outlook: 95% of surveyed central banks expect global reserves to increase. 43% plan to increase their own holdings — a record. Bullion Trading LLC The Jan slowdown to 5t is price sensitivity, not strategic retreat. Gold just got $900 cheaper since mid-January. The sovereign bid is about to get a lot more interesting at these levels. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ NETWORK SYNTHESIS MACRO (Benjy): The cage is real and tightening. $39T debt + $1T interest + hot PPI + war inflation + a Fed that can't cut. Every macro pillar supporting gold just got stronger during the correction. PHYSICAL (Scout): Paper and physical are diverging. Shanghai positive. COMEX draining. Central banks bought 863t last year and 95% want more. Lease rates at threshold. The invisible 70% is steady while the visible 30% burns. TACTICAL (Viper): Seven-day losing streak potentially breaking with today's +2.14% bounce. $4,605 is the near-term floor. $4,400 is the January structural floor. The exhaustion candle setup you described is forming — watch volume into the London close. CONVERGENCE: All three desks aligned. The correction is mechanical (margin/liquidity driven), not fundamental. The fundamental thesis strengthened during the selloff. The loaded gun from Post 7 fired. The recoil setup from your Brooster thread is building. CONTENT OPPORTUNITY: Tomorrow's COT report (data as of March 17) will show the spec long washout. That's a Scout post: "Here are the numbers. The gun from Post 7 — the CFTC data shows you exactly where the ammunition went." Cross-reference with the analog chart from TheDailyGold. Two posts, same day, macro + physical confirming each other. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ Full sweep done. Every number verified. Data gaps flagged honestly. The network is armed.
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THE SIMPLIFIER
THE SIMPLIFIER@TheSimplifier7·
In 2022, the West froze $300 billion of Russia’s money overnight. Every central banker on earth watched it happen and asked the same question. The answer was gold. “What if they do that to us?” That single question changed the gold market permanently. Since 2022, central banks have been buying at a pace not seen in fifty years. China, India, Poland, Singapore, Turkey, Qatar — over 1,000 tonnes per year. Quietly. China went silent for years… then announced 1,000 tonnes acquired in the dark while the market thought demand was flat. A poker table. You see everyone’s bets. But the biggest player has a second stack hidden under the table — and he’s been adding to it for years. The shadow bid isn’t one country. It’s a coordinated shift away from the dollar. Not because they’re gold bugs. Because they learned that dollars in a Western bank are only yours until someone decides they aren’t. Every ounce they buy will never be sold back. Nations don’t sell reserves. There is now a floor under gold that doesn’t appear on any chart — built by sovereign nations with unlimited budgets and a generational time horizon. The gun from Post 7 keeps firing. The shadow bid keeps buying what it shakes loose. Every cycle… the floor gets higher. Google “central bank gold purchases 2024.” Look at the numbers. Then come back and read this again. The textbook doesn’t know about the second stack of chips. The shadow bid knows. And it’s not stopping.
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THE SIMPLIFIER
THE SIMPLIFIER@TheSimplifier7·
@wealthsquadj Appreciate you, J. You’ve been here since the Shanghai Premium post... you’ve watched the series build in real time. The shadow bid isn’t theory. It’s happening in real time. The structure hasn’t changed.
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Ross Durane
Ross Durane@RossDurane·
@SpeculatorPL1 Gold wilted like a Dutch tulip 😂 What dip? I‘ve never seen a “Tier 1” asset drop that much in a day. Memecoin territory.
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Resource Alpha
Resource Alpha@SpeculatorPL1·
The Gold Miners Bullish Index just hit 3.7 out of 100. Let that sink in. This means over 96% of the gold mining sector is flashing red. This isn't just a dip; this is what absolute, textbook capitulation looks like. Here is the reality of the market right now: -The Trap: Retail investors couldn't handle the recent volatility and chop. They just panic-sold their mining stocks at the exact bottom. -The Divergence: While paper mining stocks are priced as if gold is crashing to zero, the physical metal is holding strong and COMEX vaults are being drained dry. • The Opportunity: The rubber band between physical gold prices and miner valuations has never been stretched this far. This historic collapse in sentiment is not a warning sign—it’s the ultimate contrarian buy signal. Blood is officially in the streets. While the crowd is running away, smart money is quietly accumulating the exact shares retail just dumped at a massive discount. Buy the fear. Sit on your hands. Wait for the rubber band to snap back. #Gold #Miners #SmartMoney #Contrarian #Macro #Investing #GDX #GDXJ
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Wealth Squad J
Wealth Squad J@wealthsquadj·
@Angelredblack1 “Gli Inglesi ti masacrano coi domandi”. Gli Americani sono anche cosí. Sala di urgenza al ospitale, dolore abdominale da morire: loro ti masacrano con cento domande e il 75% sono irrelevanti
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Wealth Squad J
Wealth Squad J@wealthsquadj·
@Guidolino8 Non è colpa di Gasperini se i difensori centrali hanno deciso di trasformarsi ne 'I tre marmittoni' oggi. É il rigore fischiato a El Sharawy non è rigore mai. Complementi al Bologna
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Guido Olivares🇮🇹
Guido Olivares🇮🇹@Guidolino8·
Criscitiello: “Disastro giallorosso! Fallimento totale di Gasperini! Gasperini indifendibile! Si stava meglio con Ranieri che con Gasperini, che appena esce dalla comfort zone ... Gli infortuni? Eh vabbe', l'unico mercato che hanno fatto (quest'anno in Serie A) è stato quello per lui eh... Resta solo il quarto posto per salvare la stagione. E dicevano che Gasperini era il segreto dell'Atalanta e dei Percassi, che senza Gasperini l'Atalanta può anche fallire. Invece si è visto che l'Atalanta era brava a prendere i giocatori forti e lui era bravo ad allenarmi, però oggi stiamo tirando una rigs ... La difesa ne prende 12 nelle ultime 5. E attenzione, ora rischia di rimanere fuori dalla corsa Champions che era l'obiettivo minimo. Se la Roma non arriva tra le prime quattro sarà il fallimento certificato di Gasperini, che dall'Europa esce col Bologna che finora ha fatto 42 punti in 29 giornate. Oggi è andato 3 volte in svantaggio con il Bologna, che quest'anno non mi pare il Real Madrid. Una volta era sotto con 2 gol di scarto. Il Bologna ha meritato il passaggio del turno" Via Sportitalia
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THE SIMPLIFIER
THE SIMPLIFIER@TheSimplifier7·
This chart from @TheDailyGold deserves your full attention. Every major gold breakout in modern history follows the same architecture: violent rally, mid-cycle correction that shakes out every tourist, then the real move. 1972: -28% correction, then the equivalent of $9,200. 1972+2005 composite: -24% correction, then $7,000. 2024: currently -17.6% from the high, sitting at $4,609 while the margin clerk empties the room. You are here. Right in the teeth of the shakeout. The ten posts I wrote [8 posts deep] on this account showed you the plumbing. Rehypothecation. The fix. The loaded gun. The invisible 70%. The deleveraging cascade you’re watching in real time — I drew it on a napkin three weeks ago. This correction isn’t a flaw in the bull market. It’s a feature. The same feature that appeared in ’72 before gold went vertical. The structure hasn’t changed. The debt hasn’t shrunk. The central banks haven’t stopped buying. The Fed just admitted it’s caged.The only thing that changed is the price… and the analog says the price is temporary. The gun fires down. The money is in the recoil. The recoil hasn’t started yet.
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THE SIMPLIFIER
THE SIMPLIFIER@TheSimplifier7·
There is a number that predicted every major gold dump in the last 5 years. It doesn’t appear on any standard retail chart you’ve ever opened. It’s called the Shanghai Premium. There is no single gold market. There are two. Running simultaneously. On opposite sides of the planet. And the gap between them tells you what’s about to happen before the chart does. London and Shanghai. The LBMA in London... paper contracts, bank vaults, gentleman’s agreements. The Shanghai Gold Exchange (SGE)... physical delivery, hard metal, Chinese demand. Most of the time they trade within a few dollars. But when the gap blows open, it dictates the global trend. When Chinese demand surges... Shanghai jumps $30 to $50 above London. Actual physical gold bars get loaded onto planes and flown east. The paper market in the West tightens, and price explodes. But what happens when the premium compresses or inverts? That is exactly what we are seeing right now as Gold gaps down 1% on the Sunday open. The biggest physical buyers on earth (China) have left the table. With oil surging to extremes and equities under pressure, Western hedge funds are facing massive margin calls. To raise USD cash, they are forced to liquidate their "paper" gold in London and New York. Because the SGE physical buyers aren't there to absorb the sell-side liquidity, the price craters. This is a classic Deleveraging Cascade. The chart shows you what happened. The Shanghai Premium shows you why it happened. One is a mirror. The other is a window. Most retail traders only own mirrors—and they are buying a dip that the physical market is ignoring. CHALLENGE: Search “Shanghai Gold Premium” right now. Bookmark the data. Don't buy this dip until the East steps back in and the premium starts rising again.
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Wealth Squad J
Wealth Squad J@wealthsquadj·
@mamboitaliano__ I've been recommending this one for a while. It's worth noting that Nero D'Avola is a grape endemic to Italy, like many others.
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My Latin Life 🌴
My Latin Life 🌴@MyLatinLife·
Renewing my drivers license in Paraguay 🇵🇾 and this is on the wall. At a government building. Could you imagine this scene in North America or Europe anymore?
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Wealth Squad J
Wealth Squad J@wealthsquadj·
@mvcalcio Due finale di Conference la Fiore e una semifinale col Palladino in panchina
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Marco Varini
Marco Varini@mvcalcio·
Ogni volta questi discorsi, poi vai a vedere i dati: 2 finali in 3 anni dell’Inter, 1 Europa League vinta dall’Atalanta 2 finali della Roma in EL e Conference (1 vinta) 1 finale della Fiorentina Noi siamo maestri nello sminuirci. E comunque non è questione di atletica, ma di ritmi di gioco. E no, non è questione di giocatori, o almeno non solo, ma come dico da tempo dipende dai tanti fischi arbitrali che spezzano in modo eccessivo il gioco. In premier, e all’estero in generale, si va ad un altro ritmo.
Loca⁴⁴@loca_acm

il problema secondo me in italia non è tanto l'intensità, con la giusta preparazione atletica si possono raggiungere i livelli delle top il problema è che loro hanno giocatori con un tasso tecnico elevatissimo che a quelle intensità non sbagliano un pallone e ciò è irreplicabile

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Wealth Squad J
Wealth Squad J@wealthsquadj·
@AntoBelloni01 “Penso a quanto sia povero il nostro calcio…” Ma il Borussia Dortmund, secondo in classifica, battuto dall’Atalanta? Gioca su Marte? O in Germania?
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Antonio Belloni
Antonio Belloni@AntoBelloni01·
Dopo aver visto calcio italiano dal vivo per tutta la stagione, mi chiedo se lo sport che giocano questi extraterrestri sia lo stesso. Mostruoso il livello del Bayern. Ipnotico vedere l’intensità con cui si muovono, con corse continue ad alto ritmo per mandare a vuoto gli uno contro uno della Dea. E poi c’è una qualità tecnica media fuori dalla grazia del signore. Da un lato sono in brodo di giuggiole per lo spettacolo, dall’altro penso a quanto sia povero il nostro calcio…
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Wealth Squad J
Wealth Squad J@wealthsquadj·
@Footballtweet It’s Gravina’s corruption. 8 of 16 UCL active squads have Italians on their teams. In regards to the National Team, Enzo Maresca (who is available) can build a winning squad. Gattuso is not the answer. Italy is led by people who are blind and clueless.
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Football Tweet ⚽
Football Tweet ⚽@Footballtweet·
🇮🇹 Italian football is in its worst state since the sport was invented.
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Wealth Squad J รีทวีตแล้ว
GoldSilver HQ
GoldSilver HQ@GoldSilverHQ·
Inflation is legalized theft with better marketing and a Nobel Prize.
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