BTC Tides

Here’s the real reason behind this equity rally that no one has been able to tell you: Positioning unwind (see thread below) + markets front-running the initial nominal revenue boost from the coming energy-driven inflation shock (Yes, inflation is coming). Prices rise first → short-term earnings look great. This is what markets are front running now. But once inflation hits costs and triggers demand destruction, equities WILL reprice lower. HARD. This is exactly why BTC WON’T see a new ATH rally anytime soon. Anyone that tells you it will, is going to cost you money. BTC has no corporate revenue, currently no options positioning tailwind to unwind, and no ability to pass on inflation. BTC price is driven PURELY by macro TIDES. I will tell you as soon as the Tide shifts from Falling to Rising = THE time to go ALL IN BTC/Crypto.

@zerohedge Shocker

The US Military Is Running A Bitcoin Node, Admiral Paparo Reveals zerohedge.com/crypto/us-mili…

@5_0Trading @Xanderdapenguin @LayahHeilpern What would be your invalidation? What would make you change your thesis?

@Xanderdapenguin @BTCTides @LayahHeilpern I called the bottom to be at 60k last year when bitcoin was above 115k I stay confident about what I said.

Everyone thinks BTC has bottomed You know what that means...

@Bra_Hug_61 @Xanderdapenguin @5_0Trading @LayahHeilpern 100% and even then there's connection to macro flows, which BTC is now (since ETFs launch) fully anchored to...

@BTCTides @Xanderdapenguin @5_0Trading @LayahHeilpern totally, gotta read all the signs not just one metric

@CostcoCruiser @Xanderdapenguin @5_0Trading @LayahHeilpern Average mining costs floating around are super rough estimates anyway. Even if they could be estimated accurately, they have very little to do with exchnage price of BTC. I recommend learning more about Market Making principles.

@BTCTides @Xanderdapenguin @5_0Trading @LayahHeilpern Mate Btc is respecting the cost to mine Period Any significant move lower is a liquidity grab and will be bought back fast

@KobeissiLetter Yes, real rates are going negative. Capital now needs to risk just to survive.

Institutional investors are rebuilding their equity exposure: The NAAIM Exposure Index has jumped +19 points over the last 4 weeks, to 79, the highest since mid-February. This index measures average US equity exposure reported by members of the National Association of Active Investment Managers, making it a key indicator of professional investor positioning. At the same time, hedge fund net leverage has risen +8 percentage points to 77%, the highest since early March. This metric shows the amount that hedge funds are betting on the market going up versus down, with higher readings indicating more aggressive positioning. Both metrics remain well below their December 2025 peaks, suggesting the positioning rebuild is not yet complete. Institutional equity exposure is quickly recovering.

@Xanderdapenguin @5_0Trading @LayahHeilpern Funding rate alone is noise. What do: OI, basis (structure), spot vs perp flow, liquidations (forced moves), Taker/Maker ratio, options skew (tail risk), say? Otherwise you’re blind to where the actual pressure is.

@5_0Trading @BTCTides @LayahHeilpern Everyone thinks the bottom is in? Seriously, that can’t be a serious comment. Yes, there are people who think the bottom is in, but the overwhelmingly majority think it’s not, just look at the funding rate for example, never mind the negativity on this app.

You think I don’t want to be bullish on Bitcoin? Of course I do. Real money is made going long, not short. But right now, knowing what I know, I simply can’t. Not yet. In 3–4 months the setup might finally flip. I’ll drop the full breakdown tomorrow. ✌️

@0xNonceSense Exactly 👆

Bitcoin did this TWICE already. 2017: ATH taken → dump → fakeout → bottom 2021: ATH taken → dump → fakeout → bottom 2025: ATH taken → dump → fakeout NOW That drop is where most people exit. The real move usually starts right after. Just to remind you, I was the only one who called the last cycle bottom and top. Turn notifications on. Most people will follow me too late.

@5_0Trading @LayahHeilpern Fair. I’m very sure it isn’t. But let’s revisit this later. We both can’t be right that’s for sure haha

@BTCTides @LayahHeilpern My chart are inverted. I’m a Bull. I believe bottom is IN.

@BitcoinPulseX Why that specific number? lol

if you f*cking need $2750 just like this post.

@5_0Trading @LayahHeilpern Macro says not - aren’t you supposed to be ‘inverted’ bull anyway?

@LayahHeilpern Your followers will end up our liquidity if you don’t think so

@TonySeverinoCMT Or they’re all-in in one direction and views against that direction directly challenge their very image of future security

Well said

@DonWedge Neh we belief

bears in disbelief

@scottmelker Dump it?

NEW: ROBINHOOD $HOOD LISTS $ZEC

@AshCrypto Should have bought Apple not Orange I guess lol

Bitcoin Treasury Company "Satsuma" is now down 98.5% from its peak, erasing over $1.6 billion from its market cap. If you invested $10,000 in $SATS last year, today it would be worth just $150.

@BitcoinPulseX Can someone tell me why everyone assume's US's goal has been to open the Strait ASAP?

🚨 BREAKING: 🇮🇷 IRANIAN FOREIGN MINISTER ABBAS ARAGHCHI HAS JUST WARNED: "THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ WILL STAY CLOSED UNTIL IRAN’S FROZEN ASSETS ARE RELEASED." HE ADDED THAT IF NO SERIOUS OFFER ARRIVES WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS, THE CEASEFIRE COULD COLLAPSE. TENSIONS ARE RISING FAST... SOMETHING MAJOR MAY BE UNFOLDING.

@MerlijnTrader Somehow crypto did better when Banks were out of it - there's points in that ...

INSIGHTS: 🇺🇸 In 2017 JPMorgan called Bitcoin a fraud. Now their CEO says crypto is better than the current financial system. "The experiment phase is over." That is not a small shift. That is a complete reversal from the world's largest bank. Bear markets feel painful. But this is exactly when the biggest players position. JPMorgan just told you where they stand. The question is where you stand.

Show me ONE single LEGIT macro account - which deals in DATA and FACTS - that is saying BTC will hit ATH soon, or even that the bottom is in. I'll wait ... Once you realise there is NONE, ask yourself this: WHY is there none? What do they all see that you don't?

@bariksis That's exactly why I've raised my max upside target to 85k, otherwise 80k would have been be the top

This is interesting actually… 🤔 Yesterday I asked Grok what the ratio is for those who think the bottom is in vs not being in, and the ratio was similar to the results of this poll. This is exactly what we want to see as a bull. The bears who claim the entire timeline is bullish and euphoric is seeing what they want to see because they’re in denial. The reality is, an overwhelming amount of people either think the bottom is NOT in, or they’re praying the bottom isn’t in because they likely sold in the $68K to $75K level back in early February.