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X + Hyperliquid would be the most powerful trading pair in finance. Here's the math.
X just shipped Cashtags. Real-time financial data, charts, contract addresses, all native to the timeline. US + Canada, iPhone first.
If they integrate execution via builder codes on Hyperliquid, the numbers get ridiculous.
Quick refresher on builder codes:
On Hyperliquid, any frontend can route trades for users and collect a fee per fill. Up to 0.1% on perps, 1% on spot.
The user approves a max fee, signs once, and trades flow through the builder's address. Fully onchain, fully transparent. Fees claimed via the standard referral process.
The proof is already out there. Three wallets shipped this exact integration in 2025 and the numbers are public.
Phantom launched in June. 415K monetizable MAU on Token Terminal. 129K of them route through Hyperliquid. That's a 31% conversion. $36.4B in volume, $19M in builder revenue.
MetaMask launched in August. 158.5K monetizable MAU. 38.3K via HL. 24% conversion. $6.5B in volume, $5.5M in revenue.
Rabby launched in August too. ~50K monetizable MAU estimated. 13.6K via HL, around 27% conversion. $2.5B in volume, $681K in revenue.
The pattern is clear. When a frontend integrates Hyperliquid via builder codes, roughly 24-31% of their actively trading users end up routing through HL.
Combined across the 3: $25M+ in builder revenue, $45B+ in volume, ~180K active users in under a year.
Now apply this to X.
Critical point most people miss:
Hyperliquid isn't a crypto-only exchange.
With HIP-3 you can trade Tesla, Apple, S&P 500, NVDA, oil, gold, the VIX, anything with an oracle.
With HIP-4 (live on testnet, mainnet soon) you get prediction markets on real-world events. Elections, Fed decisions, sports, Oscars, geopolitical events.
24/7. Onchain. No closing bell. Cross-margined in one account.
This means almost every X user is addressable.
The crypto trader gets perps. The FinTwit user gets stocks and commodities.
The political junkie gets election markets. The sports fan gets game outcomes. The macro analyst trades the Fed.
The people who post about Trump tweets, Super Bowl, AAPL earnings, CPI prints? They can all trade their thesis directly from the timeline.
X is the only platform where all of these audiences coexist. Cashtags is the entry point. Builder codes is the execution rail.
Methodology before the projections:
Conversion rates 15-30% based on the 24-31% range observed across Phantom, MetaMask, Rabby.
Volume per user $210K/year, revenue per user $110/year, both pulled from existing builder code data.
Scenario 1, Crypto Twitter on a global basis.
Crypto Twitter is estimated at 5-15M users globally.
Conservative case (15% of 5M = 750K users) gives $157B/year in volume and $82M in builder revenue.
Median case (25% of 10M = 2.5M users) gives $525B/year in volume and $273M in revenue.
Optimistic case (30% of 15M = 4.5M users) gives $945B/year in volume and $491M in revenue.
Scenario 2, full X MAU base of 557M.
Because HIP-3 covers TradFi assets and HIP-4 covers predictions, the addressable audience isn't just Crypto Twitter. It's basically anyone who follows news, sports, politics, finance, or markets on X. That's most of the platform.
Conservative case (5% = 27.85M users) gives $5.85T/year in volume and $3.06B in revenue.
Median (15% = 83.55M users) gives $17.55T/year and $9.19B in revenue.
Optimistic (25% = 139.25M users) gives $29.25T/year and $15.32B in revenue.
Reality check on these numbers:
NYSE annual volume is ~$32T, Nasdaq ~$22T, Binance 2024 was ~$8T, Hyperliquid currently runs at ~$1.7T annualized.
The median Scenario 2 puts X via HL above Binance in annual volume.
The optimistic scenario approaches NYSE.
Aggressive, yes.
But the math is just conversion rates from existing integrations applied to a much larger audience that finally has a reason to trade something other than crypto.
What it means for Hyperliquid:
Top-of-funnel from the only platform where crypto, finance, politics, and sports audiences all coexist.
HIP-3 and HIP-4 unlock entire audiences that don't care about crypto but care about Tesla, Fed, NFL, elections. HYPE demand driven by additional volume through fees, priority auctions, MM activity, deployer fees.
Becomes the default execution layer for any frontend with real distribution.
What it means for X:
Real revenue stream beyond ads. Direct competitor to Robinhood, Coinbase, Kalshi, Polymarket, all simultaneously.
Trading rails for stocks, crypto, commodities, and events without building any infrastructure. Plugs into the most active onchain venue with no counterparty risk.
The wildest part: all of this is reachable just by plugging into Hyperliquid's public API. One integration.
The pieces are sitting on the table.
Cashtags shipped (covers stocks AND crypto natively). Builder codes proven ($25M+ in revenue in under a year across 3 wallets).
HIP-3 live (TradFi perps onchain, 24/7). HIP-4 coming to mainnet (prediction markets onchain).
Hyperliquid handles matching and settlement at scale. X owns the distribution.
Sources:
Token Terminal for MAU data, ASXN for builder code volumes and users, stats.hyperliquid.xyz for HL stats, Galaxy/Messari/DataReportal for Crypto Twitter audience estimates, Backlinko/Statista/eMarketer for X MAU, WFE/NYSE/Nasdaq annual reports for traditional volumes.
This is theoretical projection, not a forecast. But the underlying ratios come from real integrations that already happened. The only variable is whether X actually ships this. Everything else is just multiplication.
Just build on Hyperliquid.
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