Frog with glasses

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Frog with glasses

Frog with glasses

@CroakAssets

swinging narratives. See you in the orderbooks. Honorable profile pic courtesy of @nounsdao

onchain شامل ہوئے Mayıs 2021
1.4K فالونگ557 فالوورز
پن کیا گیا ٹویٹ
Frog with glasses
Frog with glasses@CroakAssets·
It’s really hard to time the top. Most people aren’t able to, that’s just how the market works. I’ve tried to summarize my thoughts. Personally believe we top around 220k Q1 25 somewhere (hopefully I'm too bearish), but these are kinda the top signs I’ll try to look for moving forward. No single one would be all out sell, will probably be some kind of confluence of signals. Macro stuff -When countries/sovereign wealth funds start to show BTC/ETH in their balance sheet -Companies diversifying their corporate treasuries into BTC -Several Crypto companies doing IPO -Rumours of Ethena insolvency or similar crash -Some hedge fund getting rekt on crypto Psychological stuff - Your friend just asked what memecoin he should buy on Coinbase -When BTC goes parabolical and people start to call for a million this cycle -Several people on CT quit their jobs to start focusing on the market -When I see several lambos or expensive watches on my timeline -Cringe songs about crypto start hitting the timeline -When Hsaka post some mysterious bearish post, possibly in Confluence with Pentoshi. -When I want to all in some shitcoin, feeling like I’m in a rush -When I have serious FOMO -When I don’t want to sell, and my timeline agree because we’re all rich and price can only go up -When I consider diversifying my portfolio into NFTs or Ordinals -When I want to show my portfolio to my gf. -When I look back on this post and don’t want to take it seriously Technicals -PI Cycle highlighting top -4H W3Q trend indicator flipping negative -Parabolic trend on daily, steeper and steeper trend lines -Start to watch btc.d when btc>100k, TP and catch parabolic moves on altcoins before fully cash. Prob march 25? Thoughts are welcome.
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Frog with glasses
Frog with glasses@CroakAssets·
@faisalislam @nickschifrin x.com/croakassets/st…
Frog with glasses@CroakAssets

Confirmed by prime minister in Norway, here is his answer to the letter: «I can confirm that this is a message I received yesterday afternoon from President Trump. It came as a reply to a short message I sent to President Trump earlier the same day, on behalf of myself and Finland’s President Alexander Stubb. In our message to Trump, we conveyed our opposition to his increased tariffs against Norway, Finland, and other selected countries. We emphasized the need to de-escalate the rhetoric and requested a phone call between Trump, Stubb, and myself later that day. Trump’s reply came only a short time after we sent the message. It was Trump’s choice to share the message with other leaders in NATO countries. Norway’s position on Greenland remains unchanged. Greenland is part of the Kingdom of Denmark, and Norway fully supports the Kingdom of Denmark in this matter. We also support NATO strengthening its work, in a responsible manner, to promote security and stability in the Arctic. As for the Nobel Peace Prize, I have on several occasions clearly explained to Trump what is well known: it is an independent Nobel Committee-not the Norwegian government—-that awards the prize.”

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Faisal Islam
Faisal Islam@faisalislam·
Even by the standards of the past week, like others, I struggle to comprehend how the below letter on Greenland/Nobel might be real, although it appears to come from the account of a respected PBS journalist… this is what I meant by beyond precedent, parody and reality….
Nick Schifrin@nickschifrin

NEW: @potus letter to @jonasgahrstore links @NobelPrize to Greenland, reiterates threats, and is forwarded by the NSC staff to multiple European ambassadors in Washington. I obtained the text from multiple officials: Dear Ambassador:   President Trump has asked that the following message, shared with Prime Minister Jonas Gahr Støre, be forwarded to your [named head of government/state] “Dear Jonas: Considering your Country decided not to give me the Nobel Peace Prize for having stopped 8 Wars PLUS, I no longer feel an obligation to think purely of Peace, although it will always be predominant, but can now think about what is good and proper for the United States of America. Denmark cannot protect that land from Russia or China, and why do they have a “right of ownership” anyway? There are no written documents, it’s only that a boat landed there hundreds of years ago, but we had boats landing there, also. I have done more for NATO than any other person since its founding, and now, NATO should do something for the United States. The World is not secure unless we have Complete and Total Control of Greenland. Thank you! President DJT”

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Frog with glasses
Frog with glasses@CroakAssets·
@InsiderGeo This is the whole text:
Frog with glasses@CroakAssets

Confirmed by prime minister in Norway, here is his answer to the letter: «I can confirm that this is a message I received yesterday afternoon from President Trump. It came as a reply to a short message I sent to President Trump earlier the same day, on behalf of myself and Finland’s President Alexander Stubb. In our message to Trump, we conveyed our opposition to his increased tariffs against Norway, Finland, and other selected countries. We emphasized the need to de-escalate the rhetoric and requested a phone call between Trump, Stubb, and myself later that day. Trump’s reply came only a short time after we sent the message. It was Trump’s choice to share the message with other leaders in NATO countries. Norway’s position on Greenland remains unchanged. Greenland is part of the Kingdom of Denmark, and Norway fully supports the Kingdom of Denmark in this matter. We also support NATO strengthening its work, in a responsible manner, to promote security and stability in the Arctic. As for the Nobel Peace Prize, I have on several occasions clearly explained to Trump what is well known: it is an independent Nobel Committee-not the Norwegian government—-that awards the prize.”

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GeoInsider
GeoInsider@InsiderGeo·
– I can confirm that this is a message I received yesterday afternoon from President Trump. It came in response to a short message to President Trump from me earlier in the day, on behalf of myself and the President of Finland, Alexander Stubb, he says.
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GeoInsider
GeoInsider@InsiderGeo·
BREAKING: Prime Minister of Norway confirms the letter posted by journalist Nick Schifrin. -VG
Nick Schifrin@nickschifrin

NEW: @potus letter to @jonasgahrstore links @NobelPrize to Greenland, reiterates threats, and is forwarded by the NSC staff to multiple European ambassadors in Washington. I obtained the text from multiple officials: Dear Ambassador:   President Trump has asked that the following message, shared with Prime Minister Jonas Gahr Støre, be forwarded to your [named head of government/state] “Dear Jonas: Considering your Country decided not to give me the Nobel Peace Prize for having stopped 8 Wars PLUS, I no longer feel an obligation to think purely of Peace, although it will always be predominant, but can now think about what is good and proper for the United States of America. Denmark cannot protect that land from Russia or China, and why do they have a “right of ownership” anyway? There are no written documents, it’s only that a boat landed there hundreds of years ago, but we had boats landing there, also. I have done more for NATO than any other person since its founding, and now, NATO should do something for the United States. The World is not secure unless we have Complete and Total Control of Greenland. Thank you! President DJT”

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Ken Gardner
Ken Gardner@KenGardner11·
This can’t be real. Has anyone seen an actual copy of this crazy letter?
Nick Schifrin@nickschifrin

NEW: @potus letter to @jonasgahrstore links @NobelPrize to Greenland, reiterates threats, and is forwarded by the NSC staff to multiple European ambassadors in Washington. I obtained the text from multiple officials: Dear Ambassador:   President Trump has asked that the following message, shared with Prime Minister Jonas Gahr Støre, be forwarded to your [named head of government/state] “Dear Jonas: Considering your Country decided not to give me the Nobel Peace Prize for having stopped 8 Wars PLUS, I no longer feel an obligation to think purely of Peace, although it will always be predominant, but can now think about what is good and proper for the United States of America. Denmark cannot protect that land from Russia or China, and why do they have a “right of ownership” anyway? There are no written documents, it’s only that a boat landed there hundreds of years ago, but we had boats landing there, also. I have done more for NATO than any other person since its founding, and now, NATO should do something for the United States. The World is not secure unless we have Complete and Total Control of Greenland. Thank you! President DJT”

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Frog with glasses
Frog with glasses@CroakAssets·
@shashj @Bingethinking_ @Matildathedance x.com/croakassets/st…
Frog with glasses@CroakAssets

Confirmed by prime minister in Norway, here is his answer to the letter: «I can confirm that this is a message I received yesterday afternoon from President Trump. It came as a reply to a short message I sent to President Trump earlier the same day, on behalf of myself and Finland’s President Alexander Stubb. In our message to Trump, we conveyed our opposition to his increased tariffs against Norway, Finland, and other selected countries. We emphasized the need to de-escalate the rhetoric and requested a phone call between Trump, Stubb, and myself later that day. Trump’s reply came only a short time after we sent the message. It was Trump’s choice to share the message with other leaders in NATO countries. Norway’s position on Greenland remains unchanged. Greenland is part of the Kingdom of Denmark, and Norway fully supports the Kingdom of Denmark in this matter. We also support NATO strengthening its work, in a responsible manner, to promote security and stability in the Arctic. As for the Nobel Peace Prize, I have on several occasions clearly explained to Trump what is well known: it is an independent Nobel Committee-not the Norwegian government—-that awards the prize.”

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Frog with glasses ری ٹویٹ کیا
𝖒𝖎𝖗𝖆𝖌𝖊
𝖒𝖎𝖗𝖆𝖌𝖊@miragemunny·
the largest leg up must be preceded by the greatest uncertainty, for it is the invalidation of such great uncertainty that fuels the bulk of such a move
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CrediBULL Crypto
CrediBULL Crypto@CredibleCrypto·
Opened a low leverage long here on $FXS because you can't really go wrong at this HTF buy zone imo. Local range lows taken, lots of liquidity above, and $BTC with a nice steady grind to the upside. Only thing that *might* de-rail this is a BTC move below 105k imo, and as we know there is a chance that never materializes. Targeting local range highs at $3.33 for now and will see how things look if/when we get there.
CrediBULL Crypto tweet mediaCrediBULL Crypto tweet media
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Frog with glasses
Frog with glasses@CroakAssets·
@CL207 Curios to see how they will implement large scale storage of that energy.
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Frog with glasses
Frog with glasses@CroakAssets·
My brother in Christ. Your original point was that leverage helps reduce counter party risk by letting you keep less capital on exchanges. Conceptually, I agree. But with 200x leverage you’re kinda forced to keep more backup capital/collateral on the exchange just to survive normal volatility. This discussion isn’t going anywhere, good luck trading 200x leverage without significant collateral on your account. See you in the order books.
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Roman Sutherland | Nousophy
Roman Sutherland | Nousophy@Nousopher·
@grok educate this man on how position sizing matters, that if you're using 100x, or 1000x leverage, as long as you've adjusted position sizing to match the leverage (because all leverage is doing is replacing your capital, not giving you more capital), there is no real added risk from the leverage. the %'s look greater, the invalidation is closer, but with cross-margin, it's all irrelevant. but because the pos size is less, $ loss is same.
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Frog with glasses
Frog with glasses@CroakAssets·
Let’s say hourly bitcoin std dev is around 0,5 to 1%. With 200x leverage, 1% moves probably trigger liquidation even if you have tight stop loss management. Doesn’t matter if you «risk 1% of the account», your stop is statistically going to be hit a lot. Please backtest it if you do not believe me. Your argument about «professional sizing» is invalid, professionals aren’t bidding bitcoin with 200x leverage. Way too high volatility, a wick might liquidate you before your stop triggers. Insane to be using «understand cross margin» as an argument when the correct practice when using 200x leverage is to isolate the margin. Cross margin at 200x is asking to be liquidated lmao. Good luck in the orderbooks cross margin trading that leverage sir.
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vanya2h.eth
vanya2h.eth@vanya2h4u·
@Nousopher @Aster_DEX Nice explanation of margin trading. Now apply any volatility calculation model and make a back test with 200x leverage and see how fast you lose all your capital.
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Frog with glasses
Frog with glasses@CroakAssets·
@CrypNuevo Why are you estimating the gap from the last Friday hourly wick, not the close? Just risk adverse because you want to be sure catching it when it fills?
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CrypNuevo 🔨
CrypNuevo 🔨@CrypNuevo·
$BTC update: And... there it goes. Filling that new CME gap I was afraid of, so I took a third off my long yesterday. Nobody ever went broke taking profits, especially when the purpose is to de-risk when something changes. Push price up, stop out traders, rinse and repeat.
CrypNuevo 🔨 tweet media
CrypNuevo 🔨@CrypNuevo

$BTC Monday update: As you know from my last tweet, I managed to fill all my orders after we filled the CME gap at $107k. Therefore, I'm in a full size trade and I believe that we're going to retrace the LP imbalances at $121k. Now, the question is whether we're going to fill first the new CME gap from this weekend which is why I decided to take profits with 1/3 of my position and keep it on the side for that potential retrace around $112k-$111k. One of the keys of my risk management and trading success is to DCA-in my entries and DCA-out my exits. Trading liquidity is about retracing imbalances within the trend. • HTF upside trend? Open longs using the wick-fill strategy Take profits using LP retraces This trading environment really suits my style and that's why, even though I've been travelling for the past couple of weeks, I managed to mantain a 100% win ratio over the last 45 days. And now that I'm back at the desk, I'm really looking forward for what is to come and entering more full-size trades 🤝 Also, thank you very much for your understanding that I needed to rest last night after my flight. Appreciate it! Now let's lock in again!

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Jack
Jack@JackBitcoin·
or possibly one more "higher low" before end of year run
Jack tweet media
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Jack
Jack@JackBitcoin·
idk maybe something like this?
Jack tweet media
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Frog with glasses
Frog with glasses@CroakAssets·
@__bleeker Btw have considered opening a coptrade-accpunt on bybit? The one you mostly use I think. Get that juicy referral money from your $10 trades
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دریافت کریں

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