
Greig
4.7K posts


@Riccardino999 @ExpectingValue #SUS down 20% since Iran kicked off. I really like the business but their margin will be suffering as their borrowing rate is floating but their lending rates are fixed. An interest rate shock will hammer profit here.
English

@ExpectingValue Sus was always not part of the redress scheme
And I think they will benefit, since a lot of lenders withdrew from the sector
However I don't think the market participants are that smart
So there's a chance that the stock will be sold off creating a buy opportunity
English

#SUS looks essentially untouched by the proposed motor finance redress scheme, which is great news.
Curious to see if this is really the end of it, though - decent chance Close (and others?) will fight the proposed implementation and it'll drag on.
Lewis Robinson@ExpectingValue
Probably mildly positive for the DCA-heavy lenders (#CBG for instance) and the big guys like #LLOY. Very positive for #SUS, #VANQ and other non-DCA lenders, who I think are going to be barely captured here.
English

@Riccardino999 Hey, any chance you could invite me to the AET discord?
English


@Chrisjo35828676 Mental... You realise that only 15% of phase 1/2 oncology drugs make it to market?
Granted the payout will be huge if they succeed, but this is pure gambling
English

#vul #vulcantwo
Another one that Mr Rhino the clairvoyant has seen before anyone else 😂😂
Admittedly the timing might have been better
But we will see😉
Still time to get in this stock
And
Never buy stocks based on tips from accounts named after jungle animals 😂😂😂😂

Mr Rhino@Riccardino999
#vul #vulcantwo Here's how it could work The company buys target C and D for 5m£ each, 10x EBITDA Combines them, strips IT, warehouses and admin and finds 1-1.5m£ in synergies At that point you have a company with 23m£ in revenues 2m in EBITDA growing at 10x a year.
English

@Trader__007 People said much the same 12 months ago and it's down 26% since then
English

@Riccardino999 [A Different Perspective] With Paul McDade CEO of Afentra plc #aDifferentPerspective
podcastaddict.com/a-different-pe… via @PodcastAddict
English

This is what happens when you set the minimum wage at 60% of the median wage. You're pricing young people out of jobs.
Lisa Abramowicz@lisaabramowicz1
Nearly one in five young men in the UK don't have a job, with the unemployment rate for this group rising to the highest in a decade, via @DRBCurtis
English

@Alfonzo10432880 @lilatlwdh @astraiaintel Correct, NATO-states have given ~$400 billion in money & materials (0.8% of NATO GDP). Russia has spent ~$600 billion, a massive 8% of Russian GDP.
Or put another way, NATO is fighting 1/10th as hard as Russia in terms of resources.
The difference couldn't be starker.
English

@KoR_Wraith @lilatlwdh @astraiaintel We are talking hundreds of billions of dollars that NATO members gave Ukraine. They exhausted their military supplies in terms of munitions (100% of 155mm reserves and production), tanks, armored vehicles etc.
This is effectively russia against most of the world.
English

@Alfonzo10432880 @lilatlwdh @astraiaintel Exactly, in the same way that Russia fought a proxy war in Syria. It's a world away from direct conflict.
Russia has pivoted large parts of its economy towards fighting Ukraine. NATO has done almost nothing by comparison.
English

@KoR_Wraith @lilatlwdh @astraiaintel NATO is providing weapons, munitions, intelligence, satellite imaging, training, comms. It is a proxy war.
English

@Alfonzo10432880 @lilatlwdh @astraiaintel Russia is fighting Ukraine. NATO hasn't even shown up yet...
English

@lilatlwdh @astraiaintel Russia is moving west against all logistical might of NATO.
English

@samjbeth @Monevator Three times that of Germany / twice that of France is not a big number
English

@KoR_Wraith @Monevator I just don't see how, had the UK stayed in the EU, it's growth would have been 3 times that of Germany and twice that of France which is what some economists seem to suggest with their hypotheticals of a 4% smaller economy as a result of Brexit.
English

The gazillions of hours of profitless wasted friction and fuss from Brexit continues
It's the curse that keeps on cursing
theguardian.com/politics/2026/…
English

@samjbeth @Monevator If almost every other economist agrees that Brexit has been negative for the UK economy, then you reall ought to treat the one economist saying otherwise with a great deal of scepticism.
Note during the referendum, David claimed Brexit would lead to significant GDP growth...
English


If the wholesale cost of UK electricity went to ZERO, our energy bills porbably wouldn't go down.
If this is an not insane energy policy...
youtu.be/J1BKeAGyKzk?si…

YouTube
English

@SharePickers @Geez79177095 If it's not viable to produce oil and gas in the UK then why was there £5 billion of capex invested in the North Sea last year?
English

@Geez79177095 Yes we are basically importing their carbon production also importing more and more oil and gas because it's not viable to produce here anymore due to windfall taxes on O&G. Again more carbon production than if we produced it ourselves. It's the opposite of a green policy.
English

We spend £25.8bn a year subsidising green energy in this country. Think what we could spend £25.8bn on.
It would cost approximately £16.8 billion to £17 billion to mend all the existing potholes and fix the backlog of road repairs in England and Wales to reach an ideal, safe condition, according to the 2025 Asphalt Industry Alliance (AIA) report. This figure represents a one-off, comprehensive repair cost for local road network.
If we ended these ridiculous subsidies, in just the first year we could repair all the roads in this country and still have £10bn left over for the NHS.
That is just in one year. We would then have another £25.8m to save the following year an every year after that to invest the money wisely, create tax cuts and boost the economy.
When Reeves struggles to find places to save money, she isn't looking hard enough.
English

@PerpetualValue Not particularly cheap based on current book, but that looks set to grow significantly over the next 12 months
English

@RidyardMike Several of these could plummet if Reform win the next election, worth keeping in mind
English












