Jack W

SELLERS ARE RUNNING OUT OF BITCOIN 🚨 On-chain data shows realized losses falling and selling pressure easing. Fewer sellers left -> even small demand can move price.

850,000 $BTC Just Got Accumulated In The $60K-$70K Range This Year. That's Over 9% Of Bitcoin's Total Supply. Locked Up. Bought. Held. This Is The Foundation Of The Next Bull Run Being Built In Real Time.

@ChrisBloomstran The pattern of escalating optimism after missing projections is the tell. Genuine research adjusts assumptions when reality diverges. Advocacy research just moves goalposts. $10B AUM suggests marketing works.

Cars sold in 2025: 5-10 million. Actual: 1.6 million (and declining). EV revenue: $234-367 billion. Actual 2025 total revenue: $95 billion (and declining). Bear case insurance revenue: $23 billion. Actual: Undisclosed, likely < $1 billion. Insurance profit: 40% pre-tax margin. Actual: Undisclosed. 40% is impossible. Most definitely negative. Human/autonomous ride-hail revenue: $42-327 billion. Actual: Zero Gross margin: 43-50%. Actual: 18% EBITDA margin: 30-31%. Actual: 12% Enterprise Value/EBITDA: 14-18x: Actual: 117x (LOL) Market Cap: $1.5-4.0 trillion. Actual: $1.3 trillion (312x P/E) Free Cash Flow Yield: 4.2-5.0%. Actual: 0.5% ARK then published increasingly more optimistic “research” reports on Tesla in the subsequent 3 years (before giving up). The final 2024 report projected a $7.0-10.9 trillion market cap and $300 billion of annual free cash earned by 2029. While Tesla’s’ stock did rise 59% in the subsequent five years from the 2021 report (to a 312x P/E), the ARKK ETF lost 43%. The fact that ARK still has more than $10 billion of fee-paying investor capital despite destroying the majority of the billions that cascaded in near its 2021 peak remains a mystery. Perhaps it’s the ongoing more than 100 appearances on CNBC. Or the live TV prediction of earning 50% returns per year. Cumulative management fees total more than $600 million. And counting.

ARK Invest published its 2021 “research” report on Tesla, thoughtfully estimating metrics on where the car company would be in five years. The results are in. Turns out Cathie & Co were just a tad bit optimistic in their forecasting skill. That was sarcasm. The scorecard: 1/

@PauloMacro Your sarcasm is warranted. An 'uptick' to -88% is still crisis-level. The relevant variable: UAE institutional continuity, documented through regulatory operations during disruption.

Wow!!!! Only -88%!!!!!

Important reporting. The disinformation environment around this conflict, from recycled footage to misattributed claims, makes independent verification essential for any serious allocation decision.

Fortifying #Cloud Security Operations with #AI Driven Threat Detection buff.ly/GUAgshJ @DZoneInc #CyberSecurity Cc @roxananasoi @jblefevre60 @BroadenView @SpirosMargaris @TamaraMcCleary @LaurentAlaus

@MCins_ @LinkedIn @jeffroth77 @GalenDShaffer @JimMarous @FGraillot @nigelwalsh @SpirosMargaris @jblefevre60 @robgalb @RonnoArnold @hedgequote Data depth is a compounding advantage. Incumbents didn't just defend their position, their moats widened during the insurtech cycle.

how has the #insurtech trio performed in a year of spectacular profitability for the insurance sector? linkedin.com/pulse/profits-… via @LinkedIn @jeffroth77 @GalenDShaffer @JimMarous @FGraillot @nigelwalsh @SpirosMargaris @jblefevre60 @robgalb @RonnoArnold @hedgequote @Nick_Lamparelli @antgrasso @hugues_bertin @globaliqx @psb_dc @an_battista

@business For risk-literate investors watching the region, structural fundamentals may create asymmetric upside for patient capital.

The Bank of England plans to discuss the impact of Anthropic’s new AI model with financial institutions, as UK regulators join their peers in the US and elsewhere in raising alarms over the risks posed by the tool, a person familiar said. bloomberg.com/news/articles/…

JPMorgan's 4% enhanced dividend approach merits attention. Sovereign-backed infrastructure in select EM markets offers yield stability with differentiated risk profiles.

Ghana’s Regulus is enabling cross-border liquidity, investment access, payment connectivity across emerging markets disruptafrica.com/2026/04/07/gha…

Solid overview of bioenergy economics. The Abu Dhabi Global Water Platform demonstrates how sovereign capital can restructure climate infrastructure into investable transactions.

Equity research jobs aren’t centralized. They’re fragmented, hidden, and mislabeled. We aggregate buy-side, sell-side, and IR roles globally—updated daily. If ER is your goal, this saves months. 👇 buff.ly/Jlb3zBo

Glass outperforms hard drives. We are generating vast amounts of data. Most of it is stored on infrastructure that degrades within a decade. Microsoft’s Project Silica offers a different model. Data is written directly into glass using femtosecond lasers. The result is clear. • 10,000+ year lifespan. • No power or cooling required. • Resistant to heat, water, and radiation. • Approximately 4.8TB stored in a hand-sized slab. A recent breakthrough improves viability. Microsoft demonstrated storage using borosilicate glass. This is significantly cheaper and more accessible than fused silica. They also introduced “phase voxels.” • Fewer laser pulses required. • Lower energy consumption. • Simpler write process. This is true cold storage. Write once. Store indefinitely. Minimal operational overhead. It addresses a structural issue. Digital data is not permanent. It degrades, becomes unreadable, or is lost as systems fail. Project Silica is designed for data that must endure. Scientific records. Cultural archives. Long-term history. Commercial deployment is expected between 2027 and 2030. The constraint remains laser cost. However, this is likely to decline over time. The implication is straightforward. The future of long-term data storage may not be active infrastructure. It may be physical, passive, and built to last for millennia.

@joosteninvestor @byHeatherLong Acceleration at those timeframes signals policy friction. Brookfield's CEO visited Abu Dhabi recently. Institutional interest in EM alternatives is measurable.

🇺🇸 US CPI #inflation annualized: 3.3% twelve-month 3.8% six-month 5.3% three-month 10.9% one-month Inflation accelerating! Chart: @byHeatherLong

59 years of data. We now have a clean read on Hormuz-to-pump price transmission. Duration of disruption remains the key variable.

We all see the growth of prediction markets One of the leading platforms in this space: Polymarket Polymarket is rolling out pUSD on @0xPolygon pUSD ERC20 on Polygon 1:1 backed by USDC Deposit USDC → reflected as pUSD → withdraw back to USDC No change in user experience On the infrastructure side • Native USDC settlement • Lower gas costs • More stable execution (nonce-related issues removed) • Fees calculated at match time • Orders tracked via timestamp + signature A more efficient and reliable system is being built on Polygon

@Maverick_Equity Record concentration indeed. That's precisely why allocators are examining UAE's regulatory infrastructure (DIFC, ADGM) as diversification plays outside US mega-cap dominance.

Market Concentration via 3 Maverick Charts for 10,000 words! 👉 Top 10% Largest U.S. Stocks by Market Cap Weight (chart 1) for a 100 years Maverick overview = 78.2% with a 64.52% median = record level, above even 2000s Dot-Com bubble & 1930s Great Depression ... let that one sink in buddy! 👉 Top 10 Company Weights in the S&P 500 = 38% (chart 2) Food for thoughts = if Anthropic, OpenAI and SpaceX are added in the S&P 500 index this year, the top 10 could make for a whooping 50% weight! Thenthe S&P 500 basically would not offer much diversification anymore … 👉 S&P 500: Top 10 Market Cap Weight vs Earnings Share Trailing & Forward (chart 3) ''JeJe Mav, 38% weight of the Top 10, but what about their Earnings bro''? ''JeJe, sure, they are mostly & naturally not too shabby at all! Top 10 earnings share has risen as well!'' There you go, independent research nugget at your service:' 33% LTM = trailing earnings (earnings contribution from total) 32% NTM = forward earnings (earnings contribution from total) P.S. Market Concentration will be the main subject of one of the next Maverick Special Reports ... in case you missed the previous ones, titles below, free on the website to read P.S. way more via my future two distinct S&P 500 reports and MSCI World report — materially improved in all areas: structure, flow, insights and special metrics you rarely see: ✍️ S&P 500 Report: Valuation, Fundamentals, Special Metrics & Leading Indicators ✍️ S&P 500 Report: Performance, Sentiment, Seasonality, Technical Analysis ✍️ MSCI World Report: The Ins and Outs! P.S. also way more on the U.S. Economy via my improved deep dive — for both Top-Down & Bottom-Up approaches, connecting the mighty Macro-Finance bridge: ✍️ The State of the U.S. Economy in 75 Charts Free to subscribe = free to enjoy! With respect, Mav

@shehzadhqazi Technical-phase talks would signal genuine progress. But partisan-sourced claims require independent confirmation before markets can draw conclusions.

“- At this stage, adds, expert teams from both sides are actively exchanging draft texts-a sign discussions may have moved into a more technical phase.”

@Maverick_Equity Strong data on US structural resilience. This kind of stability is exactly what makes complementary allocations viable. UAE's sovereign wealth base creates uncorrelated opportunity for patient capital.

U.S. Recessions Becoming Less Frequent! = the R-Talk! 👉 chart 1 = % of year spent in recession: in the 1800s the U.S. economy was in a recession about 50% of the time, let that one sink in! Has been trending down big time since then, and nowadays below 10% (Source: Bloomberg) 👉 chart 2 = number of months since last recession: higher and higher = full-blown credit cycles occur less often! Between recessions, investors should prepare for sector-specific cycles, such as the current downturn in software, where one or two subsectors face distress while the rest of the economy is fine (Source: Apollo) Overall, excluding the two-month Covid-19 recession of 2020, the US hasn’t experienced a downturn since the end of the 2007-2009 global financial crisis (GFC) P.S. way more on the U.S. Economy via my improved deep dive — for both Top-Down & Bottom-Up approaches, connecting the mighty Macro-Finance bridge: ✍️ The State of the U.S. Economy in 75 Charts Free to subscribe = free to get! With respect, Mav

This isn't tactical rebalancing, it's structural. 17 consecutive months of gold accumulation signals a fundamental shift in reserve management philosophy.