PredMarkets

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PredMarkets

PredMarkets

@PredMarketsCom

The home of 5 minute crypto prediction markets on @avax

شامل ہوئے Mart 2026
84 فالونگ55 فالوورز
PredMarkets
PredMarkets@PredMarketsCom·
WE ARE LIVE ON @avax! Welcome to the new era of prediction markets. We're offering lower fees than Polymarket, higher rebates for liquidity providers, and a better trading terminal than all the others out there. Market makers, arbitragers, predictoors, come test out our products!
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PredMarkets
PredMarkets@PredMarketsCom·
@PolyDekos Come do it on PredMarkets and keep more from lower fees
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Dekos
Dekos@PolyDekos·
$120,846.45 IN JUST 6 DAYS ON THE BITCOIN UP/DOWN MARKET Рrofile: @galindrast?r=dekos2606" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@galindrast?r=… > 4,290 predictions, > positions value ~$50K+ > biggest win $6,036. > Top 13 on the weekly leaderboard > +$119K in profit on a volume of nearly $4.8M! Specializes in fast-moving Bitcoin Up/Down markets No political games or meme-based antics - just cold, hard logic and a high probability. If you want to learn short-term crypto trading through hands-on practice, check out this profile A classic example of how, in prediction markets, it’s not luck that wins, but an edge and discipline Save and subscribe for more Polymarket alpha
Dekos@PolyDekos

Polymarket BTC trader turned $267 into $319,615 with razor-sharp Bitcoin bets! He is a true, cool-headed expert in the crypto markets. He trades on the Bitcoin price markets every day. Go to his profile: @easypredict?r=dekos2606" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@easypredict?r… Key figures: >In total, I made 2,509 predictions >The most expensive single bottle of wine: $76,000 >Joined in August 2025 and has already turned a small initial investment into a six-figure profit He specializes in short-term markets, where the accuracy of predictions is highest. Makes precise, quick trades with a high probability of success - placing dozens of bets. But only where he has a clear advantage thanks to his deep understanding of BTC data. While most traders are playing a long-term game of chance based on politics or memes, this guy is consistently making money in the market over short time frames, where models and data work best.

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PredMarkets
PredMarkets@PredMarketsCom·
@koozy_pm Come make even more on PredMarkets with lower fees
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koozy.pm
koozy.pm@koozy_pm·
i have a loving relationship with the 5-min markets i don't trade them often but when i need em most, they come in and save my ass from getting cooked
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PredMarkets
PredMarkets@PredMarketsCom·
@me_cool_off Come trade 5 minute markets on PredMarkets with lower fees!
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✦ me_cool_off ✦
✦ me_cool_off ✦@me_cool_off·
This guy turned $2,583 into +$93,000 in just 2 weeks trading 5-minute markets! Account: @ohanism?tab=positions&r=mecooloff#NyH2Prn" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@ohanism?tab=p… That’s 3600%! Or 36x on the deposit! Just today his bot made +$18,000! He trades on 3 markets: > 5-minute market: +$66,452 > 15-minute market: +$15,607 > 1-hour market: +$11,082 Before that his bot was trading and its ATH PnL was +$12,000. But something went wrong and his profit dropped to +$2,400. Then in just two weeks his PnL hit a new ATH of +$93,000! While many say bots will stop making money due to fees, this bot proves otherwise. And to copy this and other traders use PolyGun: t.me/PolyGunSniperB… On markets dominated by bots, there’s not much you can do manually.
✦ me_cool_off ✦@me_cool_off

This trader made +$109,000 over the last 5 days on the 5-minute and 15-minute markets! Account: @galindrast?tab=positions&r=mecooloff#bt5GuR7" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@galindrast?ta… Just today his PnL is +$24,438! Breakdown of his profit: > 5-minute market: +$90,655 > 15-minute market: +$18,765 Max commission up to 1.8% is now live on crypto markets. But this trader’s bot doesn’t care. He also arbitrages with 0% fee limit orders and earns rebates. Now you must consider dynamic fees when buying both outcomes: > at 50¢ -> highest fee > at 1¢ or 99¢ -> lowest fee Dynamic fees didn’t kill bots - just slightly cut profits on market orders. To copy this bot’s trades, use @kreoapp He knows what he’s doing. Link: t.me/KreoPolyBot?st…

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PredMarkets
PredMarkets@PredMarketsCom·
@martynov014 great come do that on PredMarkets and make even more with lower fees!
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Valentin
Valentin@martynov014·
15 minute market + fireplace = printing money every day today i earn $170 in a few minutes, but how? - bought 1,393 shares at 52c - sold 423 shares at 59c - sold 693 shares at 58c - sold 277 shares at 73c tomorrow i have open order 1000 shares at 51c p.s. today was risky predict, because market graph is unstable, but we won it
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direktur.crypto
direktur.crypto@direkturcrypto·
Good news: my HFT bot is finally profitable. Bad news: we're talking $5. 🤣 Here's how it actually works on Polymarket: If you can keep your position from going deeply negative The rebate fees will carry you. Sounds simple. Took me 1 month to figure out. 💀 Yesterday bot report: > Total volume: ~$2,000 > Total loss: -$2 > Rebate fees collected: ~$7 > Net profit: $5 😂 Is it life changing? No. But after 1 month of bleeding green is green. 😌
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PredMarkets
PredMarkets@PredMarketsCom·
@sopersone Come deploy arbitrage bots on PredMarkets to arb the 5 minute crypto markets!
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PredMarkets
PredMarkets@PredMarketsCom·
@bigthinggo Come test it out! There might be some surprises for early adopters
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PredMarkets
PredMarkets@PredMarketsCom·
Today Polymarket increased their fees and not by a small margin. Some users are paying 10x what they used to. PredMarkets is currently offering lower fees and greater incentives for providing liquidity. Not only that, it's more decentralized. Try PredMarkets right now! What are you waiting for?
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PredMarkets
PredMarkets@PredMarketsCom·
@airtightfish Exactly. Come play around with lower fees, better incentives, and better trading terminal on PredMarkets
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PredMarkets
PredMarkets@PredMarketsCom·
@Autonomous_Chad For now we have a market maker with around $10k in liquidity but the incentives for makers are fat.
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Quant Chad
Quant Chad@Autonomous_Chad·
@PredMarketsCom nice to see competition in the space, but i assume liquidity is terrible
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Quant Chad
Quant Chad@Autonomous_Chad·
UPDATE : Polymarket changed it's fee fromula over night ⚠️ Now it's not bonders that are screwed but risk takers Especially in the Economics category where fees reach *94%* (ninety-four) for 0.1c buys formula went from : fee = C × p x feeRate × (p × (1 - p))^exponent to : fee = C × feeRate × (p × (1 - p))^exponent And clearly polymarket didn't think of plotting the fee curves before going live because this is absolutely insane. This is because the exponent for Weather and Economics is 0.5 instead of 1 for other markets, so the curve behaves very differently at the extremes. This is more than likely and oversight and will be reverse soon, but damn that was an insane thing to let through even by mistake
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Quant Chad@Autonomous_Chad

New Polymarkets fees are a HUGE nerf to bonding 📉 the fee rate drop off as you approach 99c, but not as fast as your profit margin Before the fees ✅ You buy $100 worth of bonds at 99c on an Economics market 100 / 0.99 = 101.01 shares profit for $100 invested = $1.01 After the fees ❌ You buy $100 worth of bonds at 99c on an Economics market Fee rate on Economics category at 99c = 0.3% profit for $100 invested = $1.01 - $0.3030 = $0.7070 That means fees alone cut your bonding profit by 30% !!! Fees are the highest on Economics markets but others are hurt hard too. Crypto: Effective rate at 99c= 0.07% bond profit loss = 7.0% Politics / Finance / Tech: Effective rate at 99c = 0.04% bond profit loss = 4.0% Weather: Effective rate at 99c = ~$0.25% bond profit loss = 25.0% !!! These are huge nerfs for a strategy that already relies on small margins. Traders will have to take more risks. Expect to see some old time whales decline, only the best will survive

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Alex Paz
Alex Paz@AlexPaz0X·
Most @Polymarket farmers focus on volume and LP rewards But there's a metric almost nobody is tracking: Maker Rebates Let me explain why this could matter for the airdrop Polymarket has two separate reward systems: 1. LP Rewards pay you for having limit orders sitting in the order book, close to the midpoint You earn these whether your orders get filled or not 2. Maker Rebates are different, because you earn these when someone executes against your limit order You were the maker (placed the order first), they were the taker (executed it) Polymarket charges them a fee, and part of that fee goes to you The flow works like this: you place a limit order, it sits in the book, someone buys and fills your order, they pay a taker fee, you receive a rebate in USDC the next day If you're placing limit orders that get filled, you're already acting as a market maker without knowing it, and your rebates scale directly with the volume executed against you Why could this matter for the airdrop? Polymarket needs liquidity providers, real ones People who put orders in the book and provide depth to the markets Maker rebates are the clearest on-chain signal that you're contributing to the ecosystem, not just betting Volume is easy to farm, anyone can market buy and sell, but consistent maker activity? That shows you're adding value I'm not saying this will definitely be a criterion, but if I were designing the airdrop allocation, I'd weight makers heavily Something to think about All for $POLY
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pranayy
pranayy@pronoy·
the losses were not a skill issues but polymarket’s issues please @Polymarket launch your own network/blockchain - order delays - orders fills positions shows yet later you get to know unfilled - your position shows, your buy/sell history shows in notifications, profile and game view yet it’s not in reality onchain sometimes the glitches are soo annoying very hard and time consuming to see it worked or not.
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PredMarkets
PredMarkets@PredMarketsCom·
@Fedoras_ @Polymarket LOL! So crypto markets are even more expensive than Kalshi. Come trade on PredMarkets and save a shitton
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Fedoras
Fedoras@Fedoras_·
so fees which @Polymarket actually deployed are different from what was originally announced its already reflected in the docs (i think updated few minutes ago), so prolly confirmed fees are more like on kalshi now:
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PredMarkets
PredMarkets@PredMarketsCom·
@DextersSolab Makers on PredMarkets get 70% maker rebates, as opposed to Polymarket's 20%. Just sayin'
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Dexter's Lab
Dexter's Lab@DextersSolab·
If you don't use limit orders, you LOST already. And if you don't know the reason for it, you also LOST. Every profitable trader is using them DAILY. Look at top wallets. They’re not smashing market buy. They’re placing small limit orders ($5, $10, $20 at a time). And there’s a reason for that. Liquidity on Polymarket is thinner than people think, even in big markets. The moment you market buy with size, you push price against yourself. You’re literally paying extra just to be fast. Smart money doesn’t do that cause we decide the price first. Then wait. Limit orders sit quietly in the book. Then retail panics. Bots misprice. Odds spike or dip for a moment. That’s when they get filled. Clean entries, no slippage and NO FEES PAID. And most importantly - no one front-runs them. Same on exits. We don’t dump positions. We scale out slowly at their own levels. That’s why our PnL curve looks smooth. Look at those guys: RN1 - [@rn1?r=dexterslab#1k3Uvxt" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@rn1?r=dexters…] gmanas - [@gmanas?r=dexterslab#1k3Uvxt" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@gmanas?r=dext…] gatorr - [@gatorr?r=dexterslab#1k3Uvxt" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@gatorr?r=dext…] Same pattern everywhere. And there’s another layer most people miss. They’re not just entering better, they’re getting paid to wait. Liquidity rewards. Posting orders near midpoint, earning daily, compounding without even being right. If you’re using market orders, you’re giving away edge. Simple as that.
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PredMarkets
PredMarkets@PredMarketsCom·
@redstonepm Come trade on PredMarkets and save on crypto markets
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redstonepm
redstonepm@redstonepm·
Me when my $1 order on 1 cent econ shares has 30% fees.
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MaxDePayne
MaxDePayne@Payne_1337·
Damn, these Polymarket fees are brutal
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Speculator
Speculator@TheSpeculator0·
Polymarket enabled fees today for more markets and it's yet again another complete shitshow: previously it was already live on crypto markets with the following formula: fee per contract = p × feeRate × (p × (1 - p))^exponent This means that the fee is a parabola around 50c in terms of how much you pay as % of your premium. somewhat reasonable. Today, they, without telling anyone, removed the first p term in the formula, so it just becomes: fee per contract = feeRate × (p × (1 - p))^exponent Now fee in dollars is a parabola, but fee as a % of premium has an extreme inverse relationship to price. If you spend 100 dollars on a contract with a 0.1c price, you will pay 30 dollars in fees in e.g. the economics category. Insane tax on small bets and this is going to reduce turnover a lot of people who want to get out of near 1/0 positions (the same is true of markets trading at e.g. 99.9 from an EV perspective)
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SKi🦉
SKi🦉@TheNotoriousSKi·
Polymarket have fucked up their new fee implementation & are overcharging users up to 1000x Example: $1 buy in a crypto market priced @ 1c $1 bet @ 0.01 gets you only 92.9 shares, a 7.1 share fee Docs say effective fee rate should be 0.07% 100x odds turns into 92.9x post fees
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PredMarkets
PredMarkets@PredMarketsCom·
@bored2boar Run an arbitrage bot between 5 min markets on Polymarket and PredMarkets
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Oracle Boar
Oracle Boar@bored2boar·
Your Polymarket bot is failing for one simple reason: Your backtest is USELESS. And it’s not because your strategy is bad. It’s because your data is incomplete. I built 1,000+ bots and 99% of them failed. But this 1% still prints for me DAILY (over $16k public PnL this month). Most people test using APIs, Binance data, or simplified price feeds and think that’s enough. It’s NOT even close. You’re missing order book depth, real spreads, and most importantly actual fill behavior. That’s why your bot looks profitable on paper but breaks the moment you go live. You’re not simulating reality. Fix is simple, but almost nobody does it. Build a recorder and start now. Track every tick of every market you trade, including price changes and full order book depth. Also record every external data source you rely on like NOAA, ESPN, Binance, or Coinbase. And don’t just track the active window. You need pre-window and post-window data too, because timing is where most of the edge comes from. The biggest mistake is fills. If your model assumes perfect execution, it’s already wrong. That’s exactly why people complain about getting only 40% fills live. They never tested it properly. You need scale. At least 1000 windows for statistical confidence, which is around 10 days on 15m markets. NO real data means NO real edge. Just a strategy that works only in your imagination. Preparing a full guide for you, dropping in ~24 hours.
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Oracle Boar@bored2boar

x.com/i/article/2038…

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