@drmansipd Hopefully that provided a healthy laugh in this is market 🤣
English
Ariel Hernandez
22.9K posts
Ariel Hernandez
@RealSimpleAriel
Day trader turned swing trader. Here to help others improve their trading! Join me for live streaming on Discord. https://t.co/RRhmvGkkh0
Sign up Private Discord 👉 شامل ہوئے Nisan 2020
907 فالونگ45.5K فالوورز
Unfortunately I was stopped out of my $NVDA short on Jensen 1T comment 😭🤣
Ariel Hernandez@RealSimpleAriel
Was last Wednesday $NVDA's final breakout attemot before a stage 4 decline? 174-170 seem like an important area to hold going forward. We start losing $NVDA in a stage 4 decline and all bets of a rally are off.
English
Reading through todays comment on X will be like $SPY $QQQ 👇
English
@RealSimpleAriel @jfsrev 🤣😂... she was saying it pretty loudly.... let’s look away from the pedophiles... and celebrate Dow $50k... you bought the hat....right?🤣😂... youtube.com/shorts/AOp-4c1…
YouTube
English
Gap down open, again.
Where do you think we close intraday this time?
English
Now this evenings comments will look like $SPY $QQQ 👇
Ariel Hernandez@RealSimpleAriel
Reading through todays comment on X will be like $SPY $QQQ 👇
English
$NVDA and the $MAGS ETF can only take so much punishment before that starts spilling over. $NVDA looks like a close below the 200sma is well underway
Ariel Hernandez@RealSimpleAriel
Was last Wednesday $NVDA's final breakout attemot before a stage 4 decline? 174-170 seem like an important area to hold going forward. We start losing $NVDA in a stage 4 decline and all bets of a rally are off.
English
@MartyChargin @jfsrev why can't things go back to when the DOW was at 50,000 🤣
English
@RealSimpleAriel @jfsrev Yo Ariel... Geez.... I can only wonder why?.... What is going on in the world that would make people so paranoid? 😂🤣
English
@BigWaveChartist look at that nice clean dashboard now 🔥 and thank you!
English
My buddy @RealSimpleAriel nailed the energy trade!! He had been speaking about it since last year, well before the big run.
I missed it, but it’s awesome to see other’s thesis play out! 🌊🏄♂️
English
@shaunconyers @Crowded_Mkt_Rpt that's because 40% of the biggest ETFs in the world are made up of 10 names which happen to be struggling currently
English
@RealSimpleAriel @Crowded_Mkt_Rpt Ariel, what I see is that small-cap sub-industry stocks are flying high, but ETFs, indexes etc. things are sold by LOs and funds... (mostly) retail is pushing small names up, while tutes are derisking. DXY up, OIL up, everything else down.
English
Can anyone point me towards a macro analyst that is bullish the stock market here? I would like to interview him/her. Thanks in advance.
English
@RealSimpleAriel Hey i signed up for your discord but it's not letting me in? I can't message you on x
English
@lionel19_74 There are times for that. But i think it's just better to drill into individual industry groups
English
@RealSimpleAriel interesting take. would you say it's better to watch the QQQe ?
English
Action within individual leading themes is far more impressive than what we are seeing with $SPY $QQQ.
Here is the clear and obvious reason why. Names that can carry these markets higher are themselves struggling to make meaningful progress for months.
SPY top holdings by weight:
$NVDA 7.68% hugging the 200sma
$AAPL 6.53% and 1% above the 200sma
$MSFT 5.16% and below the 200sma
$AMZN 3.64% and below the 200sma
$GOOGL 3.14% and below the 50sma
$AVGO 2.64% below the 200sma
$GOOG 2.50% below the 50sma
$META 2.36 below the 200sma
$BRK.A 1.57% below the 200sma
That's 35.22% of the ETF struggling to move higher within the SPY
QQQ top holdings by weight:
$NVDA 8.67%
$AAPL 7.37%
$MSFT 5.82%
$AMZN 4.51%
$TSLA 3.91% below the 200sma
$META 3.59%
$GOOGL 3.55%
$WMT 3.31% below the 50sma
$GOOG 3.28%
$AVGO 2.98%
That is 47% of the ETF struggling to move higher within the QQQ.
If we get too distracted by what the ETFs are doing we lose sight of all the the strength that IS working its way higher
I'm not trying to minimize the difficulty of this environment but we need to have a good understanding of what is really holding things back.
Ariel Hernandez@RealSimpleAriel
3/19/2026 Daily Recap: Bulls did some heavy lifting! - $QQQ $SPY where have we seen this movie before? Gap down reversal for the 8th time in 6 weeks. - $SNDK $WDC $STX $LITE $CIEN $AXTI $BE $AAOI $TSEM $PL $FSLY we cannot lose sight of how impressive the individual leadership has been in this market. - $GLD $GDX $SLV $SILJ with large gaps lower this morning. I think the edge is gone there for a short for the time being. - $IGV continues to try and carve out a bottom. - $XLF was nice to see the late day rebound as well. $GS bounce off the 200sma and plays a large role for the Dow $YM_F. - $XLK the largest component of the $SPY had its own drop and reversal today. Would be nice to see a follow through day soon if we are going to break this string of lower highs. - $XLV currently broken $LLY $ABBV $MCK not helping - $UFO a group to watch tomorrow on the back of $PL. $RKLB $ASTS $KTOS $KRMN etc. - $XLE $XOP $OIH still the strongest group in the market but a little multiweek pause here would be totally normal. A bit extended on a $CVX $APA $AR $FANG $VLO. My base case is a breather. - $SMH also a gap and reversal today. The market cannot afford to lose this group. $AMD super job holding the 200sma. $LSCC $TSEM $LRCX $KLAC $TSM $ASML $INTC great action from the open.
English
@DiscipleStock Slow and steady brother. knowledge, once gained, is yours forever
English
@RealSimpleAriel Nice. I've learned a lot from your pre-market prep for the last year.
After watching your $SLV short, I've been tempted to try that side (especially parabolic ones), but decided to 1st wait to be consistently profitable on the long side
Thanks for the knowledge shared every day
English
3/19/2026 Daily Recap: Bulls did some heavy lifting!
- $QQQ $SPY where have we seen this movie before? Gap down reversal for the 8th time in 6 weeks.
- $SNDK $WDC $STX $LITE $CIEN $AXTI $BE $AAOI $TSEM $PL $FSLY we cannot lose sight of how impressive the individual leadership has been in this market.
- $GLD $GDX $SLV $SILJ with large gaps lower this morning. I think the edge is gone there for a short for the time being.
- $IGV continues to try and carve out a bottom.
- $XLF was nice to see the late day rebound as well. $GS bounce off the 200sma and plays a large role for the Dow $YM_F.
- $XLK the largest component of the $SPY had its own drop and reversal today. Would be nice to see a follow through day soon if we are going to break this string of lower highs.
- $XLV currently broken $LLY $ABBV $MCK not helping
- $UFO a group to watch tomorrow on the back of $PL. $RKLB $ASTS $KTOS $KRMN etc.
- $XLE $XOP $OIH still the strongest group in the market but a little multiweek pause here would be totally normal. A bit extended on a $CVX $APA $AR $FANG $VLO. My base case is a breather.
- $SMH also a gap and reversal today. The market cannot afford to lose this group. $AMD super job holding the 200sma. $LSCC $TSEM $LRCX $KLAC $TSM $ASML $INTC great action from the open.
English
@nextcloud1 @801010athlete is this the same reason $TSEM $CIEN $LITE $BE was up so much. or maybe just a coincidence 👀
English
@RealSimpleAriel @801010athlete Someone knew today. That’s why Dell was up so much.
English
@YOgandiiii Look at the first two names on my list. And I personally bought $BE. Believe it or not it didn’t take much fortitude to buy that pullback into a rising moving average. You just needed to be prepared from the night before
English
@RealSimpleAriel I get what everyone is saying but it’s insanely difficult to just take the plunge on those stocks that were strong today. It took a lot of fortitude to slam the buy button this morning if you ask me.
English
@801010athlete I loved seeing it! $DELL was part of a bundle of names with the ol’ oops reversal! A powerful day around the leading themes and names. $LITE $COHR $CIEN $STX $SNDK $DELL $AAOI $BE $KRMN $AMD $LRCX $GEV $KLAC. A good reminder to stay engaged! 🙏
English
