Rust Royale

59 posts

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Rust Royale

Rust Royale

@RustyFresh

👑

London شامل ہوئے Ağustos 2012
110 فالونگ19 فالوورز
G O L D E N H A Z E
G O L D E N H A Z E@iFollowOceans·
Consciousness Evolution | Animating the shape of a conversation with Chat GPT using Grok Imagine. Ai finally feels like we got some real knowldege tech! We can discuss consciousness with knowledge that talks back. grok.com/imagine/post/e… #AIart
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Rust Royale
Rust Royale@RustyFresh·
@milesdeutscher Front-loaded, compressed, steep downtrend now, followed by a 6 months bumble along the bottoms to kill off the sentiment completely. Then Q3 a possible slow recovery can begin
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Miles Deutscher
Miles Deutscher@milesdeutscher·
i aped like 20% of my cash during the tariff stuff last year so i know how to act during periods of fear but this feels far less likely to reverse quickly
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Miles Deutscher
Miles Deutscher@milesdeutscher·
For the first time in a while, I don't really want to buy this blood feels different idk would rather wait for some momentum and pay a premium for a bit more clarity
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Rust Royale
Rust Royale@RustyFresh·
@LarkDavis The fact it tagged the 2021 top shows it’s structural breakdown, and indeed a bear. Sure, could bottom in May (or likely later in Q3/4), but that still means we have been in bear since Oct.
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Lark Davis
Lark Davis@LarkDavis·
𝗖𝗵𝗮𝗿𝘁 𝗣𝗮𝘁𝘁𝗲𝗿𝗻 𝘃𝘀. 𝗠𝗮𝗰𝗿𝗼 𝗖𝗮𝘁𝗮𝗹𝘆𝘀𝘁𝘀 Are we in a bear market or entering one? Macro indicators say we still have some fuel left, but if we look strictly at the charts, they suggest we will probably be in one by the middle of the year. On the BTC monthly charts, every time we see a MACD cross down, it is the first signal that the bears are winning. The second signal is the MA death cross. What is uncanny about this is that the MA death cross usually happens six months after the MACD cross down. Right now, we are waiting for that six-month window to close. We will likely know the answer sometime in May. That is when we will see if this pattern repeats or if macro events are enough to break it. However, there is a major caveat in the charts. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) hasn't reached the peak euphoria seen in other major market tops. Historically, tops usually happen when the RSI hits a level above 90, and we haven't seen the RSI anywhere near that level yet. This suggests the "final top" might still be ahead of us. We also have to consider the "stealth QE" currently in the system as a bullish catalyst. This liquidity does not pump the market overnight, and it typically takes months before we see anything meaningful. Coincidentally, May is also when a new Fed chair is expected to take over. A leader who acts as a "yes man" and cuts rates as requested will add significant cheap money to the system. Furthermore, 2026 is a midterm election year. This cycle is usually bearish leading up to the election and bullish afterward. If you put two and two together, the slump we are seeing right now could be part of a bear market, but it is also possible that we hit a bottom in May, fueled by new liquidity and a dovish Fed, and start climbing back to reach that true RSI peak by the end of the year. So who wins? TA or Macro? We'll find out sooner or later, won't we? But these cheap sats are looking yummy.
Lark Davis tweet media
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Benjamin Cowen
Benjamin Cowen@intocryptoverse·
@colin_basco Yet every cycle, the best time to buy BTC was Q4 of the midterm year, and the time to sell was Q4 of the post-halving year. And each cycle, people pretend like no one could have predicted it. And it happened 3 cycles in a row!
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Benjamin Cowen
Benjamin Cowen@intocryptoverse·
Last cycle, it took #MSTR exactly 98 weeks to bottom. 98 weeks from this cycles' high for MSTR puts the low in October 2026, coincidentally 1 year after Bitcoin topped in October 2025.
Benjamin Cowen tweet media
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Rust Royale
Rust Royale@RustyFresh·
@itzjoshuajake These videos where someone just points and nods at another clip in faux agreement are painful
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Joshua Jake
Joshua Jake@itzjoshuajake·
WOW 🚨 Raoul Paul called Bitcoin’s path almost perfectly 7 months ago. People love to dismiss the “end of the 4-year cycle” narrative but the more you actually study liquidity, the harder it is to ignore how right he’s been. Incredible.
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Julien Bittel, CFA
Julien Bittel, CFA@BittelJulien·
Everyone is suddenly back to debating who to unfollow because this whole space has turned on itself yet again, so here is my take… I usually stop following accounts that pump out views when everything is going up and then disappear the moment things turn down, right when the community needs them most. Most step back because they do not want to be ridiculed. I get it. None of us do. But if you are in this game, it comes with the territory. You have to learn to take the hits...   I have been doing this a long time. I have been more right than wrong over the years, but I have had my fair share of bad takes too. That is the nature of markets. They humble everyone. If you do not like these insights, unfollow. Simple. What counts is having the courage to stand up, be brave, and be bold when others are fearful. That is how you actually show up for the community when it matters most.   Right now, almost nobody wants to take a view. Everyone has their head buried in the sand and a bullish argument is the last thing anyone wants to hear. When the market is falling like this it becomes almost impossible to separate signal from noise because every narrative is competing for emotional bandwidth. That is exactly why I am posting this. It is not a call and it is not an opinion. It is fact. Objective, not subjective, is what we need right now. This market is oversold, but bottoms take time to form (chart 1). When you look back at past oversold conditions, the path of least resistance has on average been higher following the last five times Bitcoin’s RSI dropped below 30 since this bull market began in Q4 2022 (chart 2). Important note: If you believe the bull market is finished and we are entering twelve months of pain, these charts are not for you. Move along...
Julien Bittel, CFA tweet mediaJulien Bittel, CFA tweet media
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Raoul Pal
Raoul Pal@RaoulGMI·
I know many of you are scared, worried you fucked it up and think you'll never make it. You need to follow the DFTU rules. You need to extend your time horizon and levels of patience. You are clearly not doing that. Every correction is an existential drama to you. That is a sign you are fucking it up. I've been doing this since I first bought BTC at $200. I've gone through two big drawdowns (-85% and -70%). I've had 95% drawdowns in ETH and SOL. I've sold too early too. It all works out over time if you have the right asset allocation. Remember - when BTC goes down 30%, quality alts go down 60%+. It's normal. BTC normally has 5+ 35% corrections. OTHERS in the last two bull markets saw a couple corrections of 80% and still hit new highs in the index. It doesn't mean your alts will however. You also can't rent someone's conviction on X and hope to win. You can't trade frequently and hope to win (you'll get nailed by taxes too). You can't blame someone else for your mistakes. They are yours alone. You may think the cycle is over. Well if it is, just keep DCA'ing into weakness and your future self with thank you. It takes time to play out and one cycle is not the game. It's not too late to Unfuck your future. All the people bitching on the timeline ... YOU ARE NOT SERIOUS PEOPLE. Please don't fuck this up. I'm looking directly at you...this is the greatest performing asset class of all time, over time. The market gives zero fucks about your time horizon.
Raoul Pal tweet media
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Rust Royale
Rust Royale@RustyFresh·
@RaoulGMI Raoul built a banana prison and locked himself in. Merch, slogans, podcasts - now there’s nowhere to go. Accountability is the only parole from the self-administered guru cell. Will the condescending ego step aside or keep protecting itself?
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Jerry Massey
Jerry Massey@JerryMassey·
I don’t think he is. He certainly isn’t the arrogant social media influencer/Bitcoin bro type. He certainly isn’t callous in his messaging and he definitely shows no disdain for regular Retail who are scared at the moment. He isn’t mocking his exit liquidity like big follower accounts are on Crypto Twitter. And he doesn’t display ego. I think he really legitimately thinks that the price is going where he’s predicting due to whatever he’s worked out in his mind and not just being in an echo chamber like the Bitcoin Magazine X Spaces Circle Jerk types. Although I disagree with this guy’s prediction, I certainly won’t hate on him because he does not appear to come from a bad place.
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stygian
stygian@stygianbroker·
i am 27 years old – no job – no car – no girlfriend – portfolio down 82% – convinced i'm early – live with my parents – addicted to charts – terminally online – refresh price every 3 minutes – no social life is it over for me yes or no
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Rust Royale
Rust Royale@RustyFresh·
@PeterSchiff Peter, all this obsession over something you don’t hold. Refocus that attention on your family and you'll do well, man,
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Peter Schiff
Peter Schiff@PeterSchiff·
How low does Bitcoin have to fall before you Bitcoiners admit that I was right?
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Rust Royale
Rust Royale@RustyFresh·
@skylarromines @MrFamilyOffice You speak like he would be passing it to a stranger. It’s his son, and he chose to bring a child into a behind normal life. There are other methods to teach independence
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Skylar Romines
Skylar Romines@skylarromines·
@MrFamilyOffice I still think it’s wild for anyone to expect other people to give them their hard earned money. He made the 600M. He can do with it what he wants. It would be different if he inherited it from generations past and then cut off his kid.
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Mr Family Office
Mr Family Office@MrFamilyOffice·
Simon Cowell (66) plans to leave no assets to his son “I don’t believe in passing down from generation to generation.” His $600 million net worth will go to children's or dog's charities “I’m not too interested in money, but I don’t aim to have some pot of gold for my son. I’ll take what my folks stated… ‘College will be paid for, and then you must start’
Mr Family Office tweet media
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Brian Cox
Brian Cox@ProfBrianCox·
Just to be clear - given recent drivel on line - Comet 3I/Atlas is a comet, made of carbon dioxide and water ices and bits of other stuff. It is entirely natural in origin, its orbit is as expected and it will whizz around the sun and then disappear off into the galaxy again. If it ever encounters another inhabited solar system in the far future I hope the living things there are more sensible than us and enjoy it for what it is - a visitor from elsewhere in the galaxy - a pristine lump of rock and ices which formed around a distant, maybe long-dead star billions of years ago and many light years away, just passing through. Isn’t that wonderful enough?
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Michael Saylor
Michael Saylor@saylor·
The Robots will want Bitcoin.
Michael Saylor tweet media
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Rust Royale
Rust Royale@RustyFresh·
Looks like it’s finally fly or die time. Round 12 in Rocky ll. This is what they want. It's working. In which case, a good sign then?
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Earth
Earth@earthcurated·
What do you see, bird or chicken 🤔
Earth tweet media
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Julien Bittel, CFA
Julien Bittel, CFA@BittelJulien·
Technically, no real damage on ETH. Just a clean retest of the breakout so far. Structure’s intact. Expect some vol over the weekend, but this still looks good to me. Send it…
Julien Bittel, CFA tweet media
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