Juniper
1.8K posts

Juniper
@888juniper
Mostly small caps and $BTC
Tham gia Temmuz 2020
406 Đang theo dõi304 Người theo dõi

Sgt. Salvatore Norge (@dollarbroke) served 12 years in the US Army. Now he's an Open Army member, Opendoor shareholder, and a perfect example of why we started the Hero's Home Credit program.
@nejatian is answering investor questions at the May 7th Financial Open House. Veterans, if you want to know where Opendoor is headed, drop your question below.👇

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This is telling...my bet is that $OPEN is already EBITDA positive
Kaz Nejatian@nejatian
@Nbusiness1990 Ask this during financial open house. Pls.
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$OPEN good volume in pre-market. Lets see if today is the real day 💪 #openarmy
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$OPEN acquisition numbers are out. 458 this week.
Down from 594. Disappointing on the surface. But context matters.
Kaz addressed it directly: there was a test they need to learn from, tax day historically hurts acquisition volume, and a few other factors. His words: "The thing that matters here is the trendline - or at least that is the thing I care about the most."
I agree. So let's look at the trendline.
10-week trend:
537 → 449 → 442 → 390 → 447 → 610 → 545 → 658 → 594 → 458
→ Higher highs (537 → 658)
→ Higher lows (390 → 458)
→ 10-week avg: 513/week
→ +282% since Sept (120 → 458 even on a bad week)
One bad week doesn't break the trend. The average is what matters.
The math at 513/week average (7% contribution margin):
→ 513 × 13 weeks = 6,669 homes/quarter
→ 6,669 × $400K = $2.7B revenue
→ $2.7B × 7% = $187M contribution
→ - $50M overhead = $137M EBITDA
→ EBITDA positive. Even at the average.
At 5% margin the average still produces $83M EBITDA. Still positive.
And this is just the home sale.
Remember what Kaz is building on top of every transaction:
→ Doma → title and escrow in-house, every sale
→ Mortgage product → Audrion team now leading, gain-on-sale revenue
→ Aven conversations → HELOC cards, credit products for homeowners maybe 👀
Every layer adds margin. Every layer is money that used to go to someone else.
One bad week doesn't change the transformation. Kaz is building the end-to-end platform for real estate transactions. The tech stack keeps expanding. The trendline keeps climbing.
Bullish thesis unchanged.
Patience and conviction.
nfa, long $OPEN 🏠
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@888juniper I know, people still claim it is, it makes no sense,
Anyway, I'm going to talk about it
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Some people think $OPEN is doing a mortgage buydown with their new mortgage product.
I don't think they are. The math backs it and makes it evident this is the case.
I'm going to break down:
→ What a mortgage buydown actually is.
→ How Opendoor's mortgage product works as far as I understand it.
→ Side by side comparison
One is a temporary marketing trick that resets. The other is a fixed rate that saves the home buyer significantly more.
Post coming soon 👀
GIF
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As of last week we at @Opendoor have fully re-shored our Mexico contractor positions back to the United States as full-time employees.
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@isorry123 Wish I could have snapped a picture but one of them said “The Fool”
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I just had my first tarot card reading and I brought my $eose hat with me to show her…
I drew three cards from the deck and her face lit up with surprise
She told me that one of the cards I pulled is the most powerful in the entire deck and that something like this had never happened to her before. She said this company is going to be life changing for me.
Expect huge news in January
True story.

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@RealOpenArmy @Opendoor @morganb Wow that's pretty cool. I won't ask, I'll let Morgan focus on business and wait for the merch site to be created 😀
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got my resignation outfit ready. when $open hits $82, i'm wearing this cap straight into my boss's office. exception: if i'm already working at @opendoor, i'm keeping both the job and the cap.

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$OPEN
"long term investing is about investing in people"
"The CEO absolutely blew me away"
This is exactly why it's my largest holdings now
Justin R@J_Irving_R
🚨 @HilaryKramer calls $OPEN the next $CVNA 🚨 Execution will be 🔑 but with demand at all-time highs and a strong new management team in place, the sky’s the limit for $OPEN.
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