DPO

1.6K posts

DPO

DPO

@RainbowInv

Fighting the fact that I don’t know much.

Tham gia Eylül 2015
857 Đang theo dõi112 Người theo dõi
DPO
DPO@RainbowInv·
@AutismCapital @Pirat_Nation I own a lot of hard media and physical books. I’ve had many people looking down on me for it, which surprises me every time. I don’t want re-written texts, or edited film, or to sit through ads to listen to music or having to give all my data to watch a show. Now do cars…
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Autism Capital 🧩
Autism Capital 🧩@AutismCapital·
@Pirat_Nation This is genuinely terrifying. Do you guys not see what's happening? Your rights are being stripped from you. You are a permanent RENTER. Not an OWNER. You are being dehumaned. YOU MUST HOARD YOUR PHYSICAL MEDIA. DO NOT SELL IT TO GAMESTOP. DO NOT GO GENTLE INTO THAT GOOD NIGHT.
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Pirat_Nation 🔴
Pirat_Nation 🔴@Pirat_Nation·
PlayStation support has confirmed that a new digital rights management policy for the console is intentional, not a glitch. Starting with any digital games purchased after the March 2026 system update, your PS5 will require an internet connection at least once every 30 days to validate the license. If the console stays offline longer than that, the games simply will not launch until you reconnect. This change does not affect any titles already in your library. Setting a console as your primary system also will not bypass the monthly check-in.
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DPO
DPO@RainbowInv·
@AiwithYasir I’d go one step further and question where the differentiation and competitive advantages will come from. If everyone is willing to sacrifice human ingenuity and specific company culture for agents, it seems plausible to conclude that outputs will converge.
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Yasir Ai
Yasir Ai@AiwithYasir·
🚨BREAKING: Two researchers from UPenn and Boston University just published a paper that should be uncomfortable reading for every CEO automating their workforce right now. The argument is straightforward. Every company replacing workers with AI is also eliminating its own future customers. Laid off workers stop spending. Enough of them stop spending and nobody can afford to buy anything. The companies that fired everyone end up selling into an economy with no purchasing power left. Every executive can see this. The math is not complicated. But here is why nobody stops. If you do not automate, your competitor does. They cut costs, lower prices, take your market share, and you collapse anyway. So every company automates knowing it is collectively destructive because the alternative is dying alone while everyone else survives. The researchers proved this is a Prisoner's Dilemma playing out in real time. The numbers are already moving. Block cut nearly half its 10,000 employees this year. Jack Dorsey said AI made those roles unnecessary and that within the next year the majority of companies will reach the same conclusion. Salesforce replaced 4,000 customer support agents with AI. Goldman Sachs deployed a coding tool that lets one engineer do the work of five. Over 100,000 tech workers were laid off in 2025 and AI was cited as the primary driver in more than half those cases. 80% of US workers hold jobs with tasks susceptible to AI automation. The researchers tested every proposed solution. Universal basic income does not change a single company's incentive to automate. Capital income taxes adjust profit levels but not the per-task decision to replace a human. Collective bargaining cannot hold because automating is always the dominant strategy. They also identified what they call a Red Queen effect. Better AI does not solve the problem, it accelerates it. Every company chases faster automation to gain market share over rivals but at the end everyone has automated equally, the gains cancel out, and the only thing left is more destroyed demand. The one thing the math says could work is a Pigouvian automation tax. A per-task charge that forces companies to account for the demand they destroy each time they replace a worker. The conclusion is that this is not a transfer of wealth from workers to owners. Both sides lose. Workers lose income. Companies lose customers. It is a deadweight loss with no market mechanism to stop it on its own. (Link in the comment)
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DPO
DPO@RainbowInv·
@realEstateTrent Used items. Lots of collectibles/vintage, obsolete or classic car parts, clothes, video games, refurbished electronics, etc. The pricing mechanism is also good for this, as it favors bargaining.
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StripMallGuy
StripMallGuy@realEstateTrent·
I Haven’t thought about eBay in over 10 years. They’re still doing $10B+ in revenue. Serious question: Who is actually using it?
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DPO
DPO@RainbowInv·
@TheStalwart You need a glass of red wine... That’s outrageous!
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Charlie Bilello
Charlie Bilello@charliebilello·
Since the start of the Iran war Jet Fuel: +68% Sulfur: +56% Heating Oil: +52% Urea: +49% Diesel: +45% Brent Crude Oil: +45% WTI Crude Oil: +42% European Natural Gas: +40% Gasoline: +37% Fertilizer: +23% Bitcoin: +16% Palm Oil: +14% Coal: +10% Iron Ore: +8% S&P 500: +4% $VIX: -6%
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Darth Powell
Darth Powell@VladTheInflator·
Which country is America's greatest enemy?
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DPO
DPO@RainbowInv·
@cgpliberal As reuniões do condomínio vão ser épicas.
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DPO
DPO@RainbowInv·
@pgwalsh @WilfredFrost This is a fair point because when it comes, it will be a correlation of 1 across the board. That said, I can imagine gold snapping back rather quickly once governments and central banks rush in to contain it, while further eroding trust in the global currency systems. Just my 2c.
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Peter G. Walsh
Peter G. Walsh@pgwalsh·
@WilfredFrost We are being remarkably complacent. Question is, where do you divest to? Last lurch downwards included #gilts, #equities and #gold. Ordinarily, 4.8%+ plus yields on 10 year gilts would be very enticing, but not currently. Is cash the only safe haven?
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Wilfred Frost
Wilfred Frost@WilfredFrost·
"Every major move up in oil has caused a recession without exception...should we be reflecting it with the highest priced market in history? Seems classically illogical to me, but that was the case in 1929 prior to The Great Depression.” #JeremyGrantham youtu.be/cnK1dZO4gwA?si…
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DPO
DPO@RainbowInv·
@bryan_johnson Depth vs. quantity has always been the challenge. Ultimately, it’s about meaning, not duration.
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Bryan Johnson
Bryan Johnson@bryan_johnson·
idk if I can keep this up you guys. I just got one more to do: a five min warm eye compress before bed. I do endless things every day. From the moment I wake up to bedtime, and even when I'm sleeping, I'm always doing something and measuring it. It never ends. Help.
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DPO@RainbowInv·
@QuoteJung It’s about meaning, he’s right. The problem is the reconciliation of meanings, as one’s meaning collides with that of others.
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Carl Jung Archive
Carl Jung Archive@QuoteJung·
What are your thoughts on Jordan Peterson's views on the meaning and purpose of life?
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DPO
DPO@RainbowInv·
@CNBCi Well…
Bull Theory@BullTheoryio

🚨 THIS IS INSANE. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick's sons could be making 3 to 5x returns on every dollar they spent buying tariff refund rights. Cantor Fitzgerald, now run by Lutnick's sons Brandon and Kyle, was buying tariff refund claims from companies at 20 to 30 cents on the dollar. The firm told clients it had "capacity to trade up to several hundred million" in these claims. They confirmed at least one $10 million trade was already executed as of July 2025. They said they expected that number to "balloon in the coming weeks." That was 9 months ago. Today those claims are worth 100 cents on the dollar. The refund portal is live, $166 billion in refunds are being processed. If Cantor bought $100 million in refund rights at 25 cents on the dollar, they spent $25 million. They now collect $100 million from the government. That is a $75 million profit. A 300% return. If they scaled to "several hundred million" as they told clients they could, the profits run into the hundreds of millions. Howard Lutnick was the architect of the tariff policy. He pushed Trump to impose them. He fought against officials who wanted to limit them. Then he left Cantor Fitzgerald to his sons and transferred his equity into a trust benefiting them. Tax free under government ethics rules. He received $360 million from the buyout. His sons positioned the firm to profit from the exact policy their father built. Their father publicly championed tariffs he knew could be struck down while his sons were buying refund claims betting they would be.

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CNBC International
CNBC International@CNBCi·
President Donald Trump on Tuesday said he will “remember” U.S. companies that do not seek refunds for the tariffs he unilaterally imposed. ➡️ Those so-called IEEPA tariffs were ruled illegal by the Supreme Court in a 6-3 decision. ➡️ Trump’s comment that companies would be “brilliant” for not seeking refunds came a day after U.S. Customs and Border Protection opened a portal for importers to seek more than $160 billion in potential refunds for tariffs. Click here to read more: cnb.cx/4cFYqOk
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Pope Leo XIV
Pope Leo XIV@Pontifex·
When simulation becomes the norm, it weakens the human capacity for discernment. As a result, our social bonds close in upon themselves, forming self-referential circuits that no longer expose us to reality. We thus come to live within bubbles, impermeable to one another. Feeling threatened by anyone who is different, we grow unaccustomed to encounter and dialogue. In this way, polarization, conflict, fear and violence spread. What is at stake is not merely the risk of error, but a transformation in our very relationship with truth.
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DPO
DPO@RainbowInv·
@Kpaxs Banger
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Kpaxs
Kpaxs@Kpaxs·
The elephant-rider metaphor states that we're storytellers narrating a beast we didn't design and can't fully see. The rider thinks they're steering but mostly they're just explaining where the elephant already decided to go. People are like "yeah yeah humans are biased, I read Kahneman, System 1 System 2, got it". But they are layers of not-knowing: •"I'm biased" (entry level, everyone nods) •"I'm biased in ways I don't see" (getting warmer) •"I'm biased in ways that would horrify me if I could see them" (now we're cooking) •"Most of what people call 'thinking' is post-hoc rationalization of elephant decisions" (welcome to the abyss) Almost nobody lives at tier 4, and tier 4 is where the actual work is. But you can't debug yourself out of being human. The rider can learn about the elephant but can't become the elephant: you're a confabulation engine wrapped around a prediction machine wrapped around a bunch of heuristics that worked in the ancestral environment. The humility move is "I am riding something large and ancient that i barely understand, and my job is to get curious about it rather than pretend i'm the one driving".
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Bruce Arthur
Bruce Arthur@bruce_arthur·
JD Vance is lecturing the Pope on Catholicism and Pierre Poilievre is lecturing Mark Carney on economics and RFK Jr is lecturing scientists about vaccines and Donald Trump is lecturing the world on tariffs and Pete Hegseth is quoting Pulp Fiction and thinking it’s the Bible
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Autopilot
Autopilot@joinautopilot·
Leopold Aschenbrenner is getting paiddd Bloom Energy is up 14% after hours According to his recent 13F, he entered the year owning $876,000,000 of $BE That position is now worth $2,050,300,000
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DPO
DPO@RainbowInv·
@MichaelAArouet Can’t compare foreign demand in Spain and Italy with Germany and Poland. But yes, some locations for sure will continue selling houses for 1 Euro. Not new.
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Michael A. Arouet
Michael A. Arouet@MichaelAArouet·
German population pyramid: There are twice as many people in their 60s as children born today. Grandparents won’t have enough grandchildren to inherit and use their properties. One must be crazy to invest in residential property in Germany. The same in Spain, Italy and Poland.
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DPO
DPO@RainbowInv·
@JustinWolfers I thought like this for a long time, until I didn’t. Gold is a ledger. It is valuable because it is the oldest, most reliable and trustworthy ledger. In fact, one might argue that it is the only true global form of money. This is its value. But yes, it is a social convention.
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Justin Wolfers
Justin Wolfers@JustinWolfers·
“Gold has no inherent value. It's a shiny rock... people buy gold because they think other people value gold, and that's a self sustaining equilibrium.”
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Wall Street Mav
Wall Street Mav@WallStreetMav·
The Strait of Hormuz is blockaded. Europe's plan? Ursula von der Leyen: "The cheapest energy is the one you don't use." Stay home, don't drive, don't use electricity. The EU has no plan and no military to change do anything. So they are stuck with "monitoring the situation"
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