Mathew Gilbert

@JontheGamerBoy @Superchri90 Me to, I think this is just small dip like 2015,2018 with the El Niño. Should expect it to strengthen and prolong in the 2030s.

@Mathbert10 @Superchri90 I believe it’s almost here

As the Pacific begins to warm due to El Niño, North Atlantic is cooling with the AMOC slowing down!

@business @grok will this effect the uk

Some African nations are weeks away from running out of fuel bloomberg.com/news/newslette…

@peacockreports Definetley, or unless it turns into a modoki Nino like 09-10.

@Mathbert10 It's a discouraging forcing for sure, but who knows, suitable MJO behaviour could still override for a time. Or perhaps we'll see record large energy fluxes into the stratosphere leading to yet another major SSW, though it would then depend on how that SSW shaped up exactly.

With positive subsurface temperature anomalies reaching the top of the scale, it's fair to say that the Pacific Ocean is ready for a strong or even very strong El Niño event this year. BUT atmospheric cooperation is still required. A key 4-6 weeks ahead in that respect.

@TempestWatch @luclee47 @JakeGru79480243

@TempestWatch @luclee47 @JakeGru79480243 December 2022, Jan 2021, Feb 2021? Hello?

@luclee47 @TempestWatch @JakeGru79480243 Ikr🤣

@TempestWatch @Mathbert10 @JakeGru79480243 You picked the least cold year out of the bunch. Cherry picking at its finest.

@TempestWatch @luclee47 @JakeGru79480243 First of all get your facts right on what a major ssw means 😂

@Mathbert10 @luclee47 @JakeGru79480243 Clearly you have 0 knowledge as you have been on x for 2 years and have 4 followers with no weather posts.. Talk to me when your not hot headed mate.

@TempestWatch @luclee47 @JakeGru79480243 Clearly you got no knowledge at all you joined just this month lol.

@luclee47 @JakeGru79480243 Which is showing im not bias at all... I'm just giving you updates. I love the cold but it is way too late into the season to see something special.

@jnc20001 2

NEW WARNING SYSTEM WHICH ONE DO U PREFER TELL ME IN THE COMMENTS and pls be nice I don’t want negativity and toxicity in the comments thank you that’s just a friendly reminder anyone who dose Start negativity will be muted

@TheSnowDreamer Hope it delivers, and not end up like 2024.

Strong reversal in stratospheric zonal wind well signposted early next week. Indicating a major SSW. Where was this in midwinter? Intrigued to see how it will influence the wider spring. Definitely a wildcard.

The Year of the Fire Horse begins on February 17, and is exceptionally rare as it falls directly on a "Ring of Fire" Solar Eclipse. The last time the Year of the Fire Horse (Lunar New Year), fell on a "Ring of Fire" Solar Eclipse - was exactly 60 years ago on February 17, 1966.

@TheSnowDreamer 🥱

March 2025 was the sunniest and driest on record at London Heathrow. C3S multi-model forecast unfortunately is going for a continuation in unsettled pattern in March. It’s often hard to expect much from the first spring month.

@feelzyou Money

@Met4CastUK I say bring it on

Spring has sprung on the 18z GFS!! Wouldn’t that be lovely.

@SurreyPalmsWX @JakeGru79480243 @jnc20001 2018 reversed the zonal winds to -30m/s, this one is struggling to reverse it we shall see in the next few days with the zonal winds.

@JakeGru79480243 @jnc20001 At this point, mentioning 2018 every February is no better than mentioning 2010 every December. 2 exceptional periods of cold weather. Both extremely unlikely to occur in any given winter. 2018 had strongest split or strongest SSW or whatever on record. So good luck with that.

Right guys so today’s 6z 12z split the stratospheric polar vortex around the 9th of February which is good news were starting to get some consistency in the models see u in 30 minutes for the ecm and then it will be zonal winds and 18z and im keeping it at one polar vortex

@jnc20001 Much better

THE ZONAL WIND IS OUT HERES TODA SPOT THE DIFFERENCE

@jnc20001 A nice downward trend there, nice improvement 👌🏼

THE ZONAL WIND MEAN IS OUT HERES TODAYS SPOT THE DIFFERENCE