Reed Harmeyer

534 posts

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Reed Harmeyer

Reed Harmeyer

@ReedHarmeyer

Founder of https://t.co/sB3OP7NWdd - the decentralized short-form video app

Seattle, WA انضم Şubat 2023
223 يتبع107 المتابعون
Reed Harmeyer
Reed Harmeyer@ReedHarmeyer·
@paulg Scientists too! Wealth doesn’t have to be captured to have been created. Inversely, capturing wealth does not mean it was created.
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Reed Harmeyer
Reed Harmeyer@ReedHarmeyer·
@credistick Yeah @paulg debunked the finite-amount-of-great-startups theory so hard the entire asset class ballooned. I’m limited by my POV but I see a crazy gap in who is good/bad and who gets funding early. That’s a gap anyone can exploit by doing the same stuff PG did
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Dan Gray
Dan Gray@credistick·
The idea that VC boils down to competition for access to a finite pool of great founders is incumbent propaganda. New firms that achieve greatness do so mostly by finding potential where others weren’t looking. Net new opportunities. If you wanted to kill the enthusiasm to back those firms, you’d present it as a simple competition that you win with scale.
Ed Suh@edsuh

One of the greatest philosophical questions in venture is whether the number of potentially successful founders is capped. The consensus view is it is. There’s a rule of thumb that only a small handful of venture backed companies each year will become multi billion $ exits. Numbers between 5-10 globally are routinely thrown around. History suggests that’s not too far off: mega exits have been rare throughout the years. If the number of successful founders is indeed capped, then VC is a zero sum game, not positive sum. There are a small fixed number of great outcomes per vintage, and a fixed amount of ownership to be allocated. Practically every venture firm today is in a free for all to find and secure as much as they can in the small handful of companies that look like they could be in that set. Yet there are over 8 billion people on planet Earth, with over 130 million new births each year. It’s hard to believe only 5-10 of them each year have the potential to be successful startup founders. It’s possible, probable, that despite how much the VC industry has scaled and industrialized, it is still highly inefficient. There is tremendous leakage. Amazing potential founders with incredible raw abilities, in many cases with legitimate product traction, who simply by circumstance, aren’t afforded the one break that could have put them on the path to greatness: securing an early funding round. Without that break, many die prematurely or are forced to exit early, like an athlete with the best genetics that is malnourished or untrained, never reaching their potential. Perhaps they aren’t in SF or NYC or London, they’re in a non traditional geo. Perhaps they didn’t go to a name brand school or work at a name brand company. Perhaps they don’t know any VCs, or don’t even know what VC is. Perhaps they aren’t active on X, or even have an account. They would never be highlighted in a Harmonic screen or think of applying to YC. They are invisible to the VC industrial complex. But some are world class visionaries and product builders, doing what they can with what little they have. Traditional VC isn’t architected to find, select, fund, and support these kinds of people. Not to mention it’s antithetical to the culture of mainstream VC, a culture that so strongly associates one’s worth with one’s network. Many would argue it’s not worth it. But simple math would suggest that within an enormous population of people who aren’t adequately evaluated, there should exist many hidden gems. The VCs who are willing to do the work, take the risk, and have some kind of edge in finding these hidden gems, stand to build some incredible portfolios.

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Theo - t3.gg
Theo - t3.gg@theo·
It’s probably time for something new to replace GitHub
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Tim
Tim@trouble_man90·
When millennials turned 18 we celebrated by electing Barack Obama, gave him the house, and 60 senate seats. Gen Z let a Chinese propaganda spy app convince them that Donald trump was funny and trustworthy and vibes and now the economy is so bad they won’t even report the numbers.
Zachary Donnini@ZacharyDonnini

Trump Approval per @YalePolling (Age 18-34): 🟢 Trump 2024: +50 🔴 White: -20 🔴 Men: -25 🔴 Overall: -33 🔴 Women: -39 🔴 Hispanic: -41 🔴 No Vote 2024: -54 🔴 Black: -63 🔴 Harris 2024: -95 Trump is now underwater with young voters despite the gains he made with them in 2024.

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Reed Harmeyer
Reed Harmeyer@ReedHarmeyer·
@garrytan This is also why the AT Protocol is so important in the age of AI. Our personal data should belong on personal data servers.
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Garry Tan
Garry Tan@garrytan·
Judge Wang is relying on assurances that “anonymization solves privacy” — which, in 2025, is obviously false. This is a breakdown in technical literacy by the judiciary. This also treats private conversational data as if it is equivalent to ordinary business records belonging to OpenAI — not user-owned expressive content. This is wrong.
Adam Eisgrau@AdamEisgrau

BREAKING: @OpenAI must tuner over 20 million+ chat logs to plaintiffs, Judge Ona Wang has ruled in a 9-pg Order just issued:

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dax
dax@thdxr·
we're introducing a new free model and trying to figure out a name the team keeps wanting to call it "OpenCode One" please help me convince them it's a bad idea
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Reed Harmeyer
Reed Harmeyer@ReedHarmeyer·
@ArmandDoma I don’t know why you think the typical liberal voter doesn’t believe that society’s rules need to be enforced. That’s what they care about.
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Reed Harmeyer
Reed Harmeyer@ReedHarmeyer·
@ThePrimeagen That’s just their “algorithm” being shit. It’s not an accurate reflection of what it’s like to a Bluesky user. It is an accurate reflection of the pitfalls of building a social app
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Reed Harmeyer
Reed Harmeyer@ReedHarmeyer·
@zeeg @mitsuhiko It’s not, they just don’t have as mature of a recommendation system so some posts get shown to the wrong people.
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David Cramer
David Cramer@zeeg·
@mitsuhiko who would have thought the alternate timeline we live in had bluesky becoming more fucked up than twitter
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Armin Ronacher ⇌
Armin Ronacher ⇌@mitsuhiko·
I made a post on Bluesky that pulled in a pretty hostile anti-AI crowd over night. The comments are vulgar yet oddly fascinating.
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Reed Harmeyer
Reed Harmeyer@ReedHarmeyer·
@JayaGup10 Based on what you’ve said it sounds like the right move for most founders would be to avoid the VC market and prioritize solvency. Right? You just said VC is winner-take-all AND winning VCs isn’t necessary to compete AND competing for VC money is hard. You described a tarpit.
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Jaya Gupta
Jaya Gupta@JayaGup10·
At the same time, for founders, the uncomfortable truth right now: building a great product is not enough. You have to master a second market: the VC information economy. Fundraising runs on vibes, not metrics. Narrative control determines access to capital.
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Jaya Gupta
Jaya Gupta@JayaGup10·
AI has given venture capital a new way to repeat an old mistake: kingmaking. The pattern from 2021 is back: a category becomes "obvious," a top-tier firm anoints its winner, and everyone else acts like the decision is final. Sierra for support. Harvey for legal. Applied Compute for RL-as-a-service.
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Reed Harmeyer
Reed Harmeyer@ReedHarmeyer·
@ycombinator Yes and I think there is one part that a lot of people miss from this: what makes this “bad idea” a good idea is found in the details, not the premise. The good part is not going to be obvious in the elevator pitch. That’s why only the people with deep knowledge know it’s good.
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Y Combinator
Y Combinator@ycombinator·
The intersection of “seems like a bad idea” and “is actually a good idea” is the sweet spot for startups. "If a good idea were obviously good, someone else would already have done it. So the most successful founders tend to work on ideas that few beside them realize are good."
Y Combinator tweet media
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Reed Harmeyer
Reed Harmeyer@ReedHarmeyer·
@karpathy Slop = artifice without the artist A video or a prank is funny because a real person used their limited free will to prank their friend. Slop is a prank video without the IRL prank. It’s superficially identical but it’s only funny if I don’t know it’s fake.
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Andrej Karpathy
Andrej Karpathy@karpathy·
Has anyone encountered a good definition of “slop”. In a quantitative, measurable sense. My brain has an intuitive “slop index” I can ~reliably estimate, but I’m not sure how to define it. I have some bad ideas that involve the use of LLM miniseries and thinking token budgets.
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Reed Harmeyer
Reed Harmeyer@ReedHarmeyer·
Fundraising is like chemotherapy and choosing to do that when you have any other option is suicide.
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Reed Harmeyer
Reed Harmeyer@ReedHarmeyer·
@Trace_Cohen @kwharrison13 100% only thing I’d add is I know tons of people building unique stuff and they just don’t get funded regardless of their traction. So the supply still exists but there is only demand for certain kind of startups. So the marketplace has flipped and VCs are the buyers now.
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Trace Cohen
Trace Cohen@Trace_Cohen·
@kwharrison13 Yep before VC became a real asset class circa like 2015, VCs used to fund startups based on ideas that founders had. Now founders mostly build companies that they think VCs want to fund like they have the ideas that will work. Granted it’s hard to be unique etc anymore.
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Kyle Harrison
Kyle Harrison@kwharrison13·
[New Essay] - Build What's Fundable: YC’s Formula For Startup Manufacturing • YC's evolution to "venture scale" • Bulge-bracket VCs align to incentives over mission • The vibe shift against nihilistic slop startups • The need for Good Ideological Quests
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Reed Harmeyer
Reed Harmeyer@ReedHarmeyer·
@levelsio People who fall for AI content like this are proving that they are searching for confirmation bias. They have no interest in what’s real or true, they are so stuck in their own narrative that anything that supports it must be true and anything that opposes it is ignored.
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@levelsio
@levelsio@levelsio·
What's really crazy here is that boomers seem to have no ability to discern what are AI deepfakes and what are real videos anymore
Bill Ackman@BillAckman

This is one of the best explanations of what is going in America right now, why @ZohranKMamdani won in NYC, and what the risks are for our country and the world. @elonmusk is the spokesperson. He is brilliant, incredibly articulate , and spot on. What makes this video even more remarkable is that I am pretty sure but not totally sure that it is AI. Not just Elon speaking the words, but the words that are actually spoken. For someone who has followed Elon for many years and spent a few hours with him, the tone, the choice of words, the thoughts behind them match with the Elon that we all know. But it is highly likely to be AI. The principal reason why I believe this to be so is that I don’t think Elon would have had the time to put this together. If you want a glimpse of the future where we do not know what is real and what is fake, this is worth watching for that reason alone. But even more importantly, what Elon says here is one of the most important things you will watch this year. Do yourself a favor and watch this video: youtube.com/watch?v=glRka9… And would the person who created this let us know who they are. They deserve a round of applause.

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Reed Harmeyer
Reed Harmeyer@ReedHarmeyer·
@HarryStebbings @NTmoney Real builders aren’t social climbers so they aren’t drawn to SF’s money. I know builders in SF, NY, Portland, Seattle, Ohio, etc. These people are ambitious and succeeding but VCs can’t get out of their own way 🤷‍♂️
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Nick Tomaino
Nick Tomaino@NTmoney·
Silicon Valley VC is headed in the wrong direction. One of my best decisions was understanding it then getting the fuck out. There’s no skin in the game. The game is build fake prestige through social proof and then chase the current thing. You can do well playing the game but it doesn't end well. When there’s too much capital, no originality or vision and no cost to being wrong it ends up zero sum, tribal and extractive. This is why crypto wins.
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Kenton Varda
Kenton Varda@KentonVarda·
@simonw It's kinda crazy though that OAuth got this far without really supporting clients connecting to servers that the client app developers didn't explicitly know about in advance. Like, what is even the point of the standard, then?
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Simon Willison
Simon Willison@simonw·
TIL that MCP uses the little-known Dynamic Client Registration feature of OAuth, the first time that feature has been used by widely deployed software #dynamic-client-registration" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">modelcontextprotocol.io/specification/…
Kenton Varda@KentonVarda

So MCP requires OAuth dynamic client registration (RFC 7591), which practically nobody actually implemented prior to MCP. DCR might as well have been introduced by MCP, and may actually be the most important unlock in the whole spec.

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Reed Harmeyer
Reed Harmeyer@ReedHarmeyer·
@codymetzz @thdxr Because they haven’t figured out a transitive alternative to Context yet I figured it out like 3 years ago and made an RFC but I don’t think they ever read it 🤷‍♂️ If you find this annoying, imagine how I feel!
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Cody
Cody@codymetzz·
@thdxr Why is React this way and how can we stop it
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dax
dax@thdxr·
went through a bunch of code from PRs merged a while ago and cleaned them up and when i say "cleaned them up" i mean added more contexts
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Reed Harmeyer أُعيد تغريده
heyformatho
heyformatho@heyformatho·
Dan Abramov: "What open source did for code, open social does for data." Your posts, follows, likes shouldn't be trapped in someone else's database. AT Protocol lets you own your social graph. Brilliant read on the future of social media 👇 overreacted.io/open-social/
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Reed Harmeyer
Reed Harmeyer@ReedHarmeyer·
@ipla03 I’ve always set the ref in-line and never noticed a problem but maybe there is something subtle to it. You should go to Bluesky and ask Dan Abramov or samuel dot bsky dot team
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Fabrizio
Fabrizio@ipla03·
So once again the solution was in the BlueSky repository This hooks give you a callback that has stable reference and doesn't change with dependencies as useCallback does Useful for event handlers you need to pass to memoized component to save re-renders Just make sure you don't call a non reactive callback during rendering because captured variables will lag behind Also i have a question for any BlueSky engineer that might see this post, wouldn't the lag behind possibly be solved by updating the ref.current outside of useInsertionEffect? Link to the code in the first reply
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