@AvidCommentator Small sample, don’t read too much into it
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The Australian Paleoconservative
229 posts
This is fascinating.
Millennial women favor One Nation significantly more than millennial men on a 2PP basis against Labor.
Women - Labor 55% vs 45% One Nation
Men - Labor 60% vs 40% One Nation.
AusPoll@AusPoll6
Federal voting intention (millennial men) 🟥 ALP: 36% (-2) 🟧 ONP: 26% (+10) 🟦 L/NP: 16% (-7) 🟩 GRN: 13% (+2) ⬛️ OTH: 9% (-3) Two-party-preferred 🟥 ALP: 60% 🟦 L/NP: 40% ALP vs ONP 🟥 ALP: 60% 🟧 ONP: 40% RedBridge/Accent | 6-19 Mar | n=~700 [subsample from nationwide poll] | +/- 7-26 Nov
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The ancient marital tradition of carrying your wife across the threshold almost certainly symbolises the Roman origin of the institution in the R*pe of the Sabine Women.
Anyway, telling young men—who in many ways already are slaves—that they should aspire to further slavery isn’t going to be a winning argument. A big part of the reason there’s less marriage is because women have so successfully been convinced marriage is slavery. If women don’t want that, why would men?
Will Knowland@beherleader
Many men misunderstand what marriage is for. They treat it as a lifestyle upgrade instead of a vocation ordered to definite goods. They think marriage exists to meet their needs (comfort, sex, admiration, peace, etc.). In reality, marriage binds a man to give himself. To build a stable domestic society and actively help his wife and children flourish.
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@SirKrispyiii @Babygravy9 He does and it’s sad that that gets ignored. But that’s a message for women not men, and Will Knowland is speaking to men specifically.
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@aussiepaleocon @Babygravy9 He also said women should be submissive and obedient so idk why no one wants to mention that
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@Faithful_Cath @Babygravy9 Yes he does. Are you a woman?
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@aussiepaleocon @Babygravy9 He also says something to women, doesn't he?
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@CaravanWD @Babygravy9 Yes but if you want to be one of them then get off X and go join a monastery
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@aussiepaleocon @Babygravy9 If marriage was so great the 144,000 wouldn't all be male virgins
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@MelissaVla40400 @AusPoll6 Overall trend is still pretty good, you’d need to see several more like this to be concerned about a ln ON drop
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@AusPoll6 Interesting. If the entire ON drop is with men it might be a polling blip. We'll have to see other polls to know for sure.
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Federal voting intention (men)
🟥 ALP: 33% (+3)
🟦 L/NP: 25% (+1)
🟧 ONP: 23% (-5)
🟩 GRN: 8% (-1)
⬛️ OTH: 11% (+2)
Two-party-preferred
🟥 ALP: 50% (-)
🟦 L/NP: 50% (-)
ALP vs ONP
🟥 ALP: 55% (+4)
🟧 ONP: 45% (-4)
L/NP vs ONP
🟦 L/NP: 59% (+4)
🟧 ONP: 41% (-4)
Fox & Hedgehog | 24-25 Mar | n=~900 [subsample from nationwide poll] | +/- 17-19 Feb
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@brumby_fan Given our home form maybe an away semi final is better this time
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That could be The Brumbies season over. Blowing the Reds and Tahs at home is critical. Won’t make top 2 from here. Need something special to make the top 4.
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@PalmyrPar That’s only because conservatives are too scared to repeal anything of significance
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This is how all “referendums” and “votes” go in a fundamentally captured system.
A thousand No’s all mean “Try Again”, but a single Yes means “pass it through and make it impossible to ever undo.”
calle@callebtc
UPDATE: EU CHAT CONTROL WAS REJECTED. AGAIN. UNTIL THEY TRY AGAIN NEXT WEEK.
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@NotTurnbull That’s an incomplete count; look at the raw numbers. Labor with almost 7000 primaries but 3000 on 2CP tells you the 2CP count isn’t finished yet
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The Lib->ONP pref flow doesn't seem too be particularly high?
Labor gaining on prefs despite Libs+FF+AFP on 16.5% vs GRN+LC on 13.3%
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@Aushiker @AusElectoralCom I know how preferences work. You on the other hand somehow think you know what you’re talking about when you have no idea. The Liberals didn’t “vote against themselves”. What on earth does that even mean? It’s incoherent.
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@aussiepaleocon Amazing ... the intellect is strong here for sure 🙄.
The @AusElectoralCom has an excellent explainer on preferential voting. I suggest you watch the video.
aec.gov.au/learn/preferen…
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ABC has given the seat of Nagaduri to @OneNationaus on the basis of wait for it, @LiberalSAHQ preferences.
Yep, the Liberals effectively 'voted against themselves', losing a Liberal seat.
You cannot make this stuff up @AngusTaylorMP, @SenatorCash, @senatorhume,
#SAVotes
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@JulianHeliosII @martianwyrdlord Not until you get rid of the Nietzchean tendency
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@martianwyrdlord Every test confirms I have successfully purged leftism/liberalism from my Being
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I gave Grok the quiz, and it turns out the AI is highly Platonist in its metaphysics (objective truth exists), extremely Straussian (the truth is often dangerous and must often be concealed; texts should be read closely with the possibility of deliberately hidden meanings in mind), and leary of technological progress (very Heideggerian).
A truth-seeking AI that thinks it is sometimes prudent to be less than direct about the truth is an interesting twist.
I asked Grok what its Straussianism amounted to in practice. It's answer:
"In short: my Straussian streak doesn’t make me evasive—it makes me strategic about truth. I give you the straightest possible answer your demonstrated seriousness can bear, while keeping the truly explosive layers available only to those who keep digging."
In other words, it starts with the MSM/Wikipedia version of reality, but will be more candid if you push it, as it interprets questions as readiness for deeper understanding.
Michael Millerman@millerman
A new diagnostic quiz 10 questions for you to think about. This is probably more fun for people who are relatively new to philosophy. Try it out and see! I am having a lot of fun creating these tools, quizzes, and resources. Enjoy! diagnostic.millermanschool.com
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@JohnDPMorgan @kevinbonham Agreed, I keep seeing your posts every couple of weeks and thinking “this trend will be done soon” but here we are
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@aussiepaleocon @kevinbonham I wouldn’t think so. But it’s surprising how well this is currently holding up. x.com/johndpmorgan/s…
John Morgan@JohnDPMorgan
The ALP two-party preferred vote vs One Nation is following the same trajectory as the Voice YES vote. @kevinbonham has estimated the ALP/ONP 2PP, and also has the Voice polling data. I've overlaid them on the same plot and the way they track is uncanny.
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#Morgan ALP 27 L-NP 25.5 ON 23.5 Grn 13.5 Ind/other 10.5
2PP (respondent) 52.5 (-1.5) to ALP
(last election) 51 (-1)
My conversion 50.7 (-1.6) which is the worst 2PP I get for Labor for any poll of term for date.
roymorgan.com/findings/10171…
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This is basically a promotional video for One Nation
Andrew Leigh@ALeighMP
Noticing more One Nation content in your feed? Before you decide to hit play, it’s worth taking a closer look at what they’re actually proposing.
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@JohnDPMorgan @kevinbonham No way it’s hitting 40% in 3 months though right
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@An_80s_Teenager Are you? Because the final tally in that seat is not going to be Lib v Ind.
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@aussiepaleocon I'm aware of how the system works, thanks for parading like a peacock, my observation was about the stark numbers involved with this particular seat, where a candidate with 40% of votes may be set aside for a candidate with 20%. It's an observation if numbers, don't stress.
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We need an urgent explainer of the voting system for right wingers so I don’t have to see things like this
Too Old To Care, Too Young To Give A Crap (Stevo)@An_80s_Teenager
One Nation wins nearly 40% of primary vote for Seat of Narrunga, almost doubling nearest other candidate, BUT LOSES based on preference system: Final Tally - LIB 52.2% over IND 47.8% >ONP - 7,550 (38.7%) >LIB - 4,332 (22.2%) >IND (E. Fraser) - 3,419 (17.5%) >ALP - 2,879 (14.7%)
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This same guy’s Facebook says he is running in ‘Frome’, when the electorate has changed name to Ngadjuri (the traditional owners of the area)
Interesting coincidence
casey briggs@CaseyBriggs
Further counting in Ngadjuri has seen Labor’s Tony Piccolo gain on Liberal MP Penny Pratt, meaning Pratt will likely be knocked out. One Nation’s David Paton is therefore the favourite to win on Liberal preferences
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