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@hubert

𐂂🖖🏼

(GMT+01:00) Berlin انضم Mart 2007
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TeinaPosts. 🇪🇺
TeinaPosts. 🇪🇺@RafaMorgan64·
DON'T FORGET. 🧐👇
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Stefan Hajek
Stefan Hajek@Stefan_Hajek·
Die Kosten des #Stromnetzes werden stark steigen, von derzeit 30 auf bis zu 70 Milliarden Euro pro Jahr ab 2045 eine neue Studie, die mir vorab vorlag, zeigt jedoch, dass sich davon - ohne Qualitätsverlust - pro Jahr 12 Mrd einsparen liessen: wiwo.de/unternehmen/en…
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@BrennpunktUA 🇩🇪🇺🇦
NEU — 🇦🇷 Präsident Milei sagt, er sei „in der Lage, die Energiesicherheit für ganz Europa 🇪🇺 zu gewährleisten“ #Hintergrund: Argentinien etabliert sich durch riesige Vorkommen im Vaca-Muerta-Schiefergasfeld als neuer LNG-Exporteur. Ab Ende 2027 plant der 🇩🇪 Konzern SEFE, jährlich bis zu zwei Millionen Tonnen LNG aus Patagonien zu importieren, was die Energiesicherheit Europas stärken soll. Das Projekt umfasst den Bau von schwimmenden Terminals im Golfo San Matias.
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@mmjukic So the secret goal of the MAGA admin is societal suicide by proxy. Either to quickstart the rupture or to create a mega disruption, which lets the ones in the know (and cash) to pick up the pieces. Not many other reasons to let an Alzheimer outpatient play WWIII with real nukes.
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@wenig_worte @BrennpunktUA Muss man jetzt fairerweise dazusagen: Vaca Muerta, zweitgrößtes Gasvorkommen weltweit, wird erst erschlossen. Also Luft nach oben. Lieber LNG aus Argentinien als aus Trump USA oder anderen Halb- oder Ganzdiktaturen. Milei ist zwar ein Crackpot. Aber kein Angriffskrieger.
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wenig Worte
wenig Worte@wenig_worte·
@BrennpunktUA Das wären nicht einmal 2% der gesamten EU-LNG-Importe oder etwa 3 % des jährlichen Gasverbrauchs Deutschlands oder etwa 16 Schiffsladungen im Jahr. Immerhin mehr als eine im Monat. "Energiesicherheit für ganz Europa gewährleisten". Soso.
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Isabella M Weber
Isabella M Weber@IsabellaMWeber·
The world energy shock is coming — it will deepen inequality in ways we've seen before. Our new @newstatesman piece argues that without urgent government action, the Strait of Hormuz crisis will ripple through our economies and rip apart our societies. Here's why. 1/
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@MarkGaleotti That’s how the whole asymmetric approach works 1 You pretend to have peed in the pond 2 Pee in pond memes 3 Journalists do not cover 4 Surpression memes - GOTO 1 5 Minions start peeing in pond 6 BREAKING: pee in pond 7 We ponder pond cleanup 8 Pee Liberation Army asks for help
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Mark Galeotti
Mark Galeotti@MarkGaleotti·
This. The Russians love to stoke the “Narva next” myth because it suits their narrative goals. But why do western journalists and commentators also so often fall for it? Sure, it’s handy clickbait and suits those eager to present an imminent threat, but it’s deeply unhelpful
Bartosz Chmielewski@BeChmielewski

I can't believe the flood of silly analyses on X about this virtual "Narva People's Republic." If this trend continues, journalists / commentators will effectively orchestrate the secession themselves, annex Narva to Russia, and subsequently ponder how to reverse it. The fairy tale about separatism in Narva and all sorts of "people's republics" in the Baltic states is just a way to get attention/clicks. Virtual "people's republics" online have been popping up since the start of the previous decade. They've already targeted Latvia, Estonia, and there was even a "Vilnius People's Republic" run in Polish. Did any of them come true? NO! The vast majority of these "people's republic" news stories are written by journalists who don't know the local context of Russian-speaking communities in Latvia or Estonia. Okay, but what about these internet separatists this time? Since this "scandal" blew up, the "people's republic"'s online reach has grown from a few dozen subscribers to 500. I'll bet most of the followers who joined last week are people interested in the group for professional reasons. Today's Postimees edition published an investigation into the online phenomenon of the "Narva People's Republic," which suggests there are only two active supporters of separatism in Estonia :) The journalists joined the inner circle of internet separatists. As it turned out, in that circle besides the channel owner, there were just two others: a port worker from Sillamäe and one potential "fighter" from Tallinn. The Sillamäe port worker was the Postimees journalists, and the "fighter" from Tallinn, according to the authors, is probably a journalist from a competing paper or a KaPo officer. Unfortunately, these sensational stories harm Estonia's image.

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@DavidHenigUK Henry II, Duke of Bavaria, nicknamed the quarreler (*951-✝️995). Due to his incessant bickering and scheming, Bavaria finally got punished by the emperor. Its eastern parts became the nucleus of Habsburg Austria, Venice and Trento were gone for good as well.
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David Henig 🇺🇦
David Henig 🇺🇦@DavidHenigUK·
There presumably has been a stupider government running a major power during past times, but can someone point me in the direction of when it might have been?
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Don’t expect too much buyer’s remorse on the tech right (too much introspection hurts your carefully maintained testosterone level). But Balaji is on the money: this war will kill humanity’s hydrocarbon addiction, tech funding - and probably x millions of people.
Balaji@balajis

I'm going to make some obvious points. (1) Blowing up all the oil infrastructure in the Middle East is an insane idea, and may well result in a global economic crash and humanitarian crisis unrivaled in the lives of those now living. We're talking about the price of everything everywhere rising, from food to gas, at a moment when inflation was already high. All of that will be laid at the feet of the authors of this war. (2) The antebellum status quo of Feb 27, 2026 was just not that bad, but we're unlikely to return to it. Expect indefinite, long-term, ongoing disruptions to everything out of the Middle East. (3) Also assume tech financing crashes for the indefinite future. The genius plan to get the Gulf states caught in the crossfire has incinerated much of the funding for LPs, for datacenters, and for IPOs. Anyone in tech who supported this war may soon learn the meaning of "force majeure" as funding gets yanked. (4) Many capital allocators will instead be allocating much further down Maslow's hierarchy of needs, towards useful basic things like food and energy. (5) It's fortunate that all those progressives yelled about the "climate crisis." Yes, their reasoning about timelines was wrong, and much of the money was wasted in graft, but the result was right: we all need energy independence from the Middle East, pronto. It's also fortunate that Elon and China autistically took climate seriously. Now they're going to need to ship a billion solar panels, electric vehicles, batteries, nuclear power plants, and the like to get everyone off oil, immediately. (6) It's not just an oil and gas problem, of course. It's also a fertilizer problem, and a chemical precursor problem. Maybe some new sources will come online at the new prices, but it takes time to dial stuff up, particularly at this scale, so shortages are almost a certainty. That said, China has actually scaled up coal-to-chemicals[a,c] (C2C), and there's also something more sci-fi called Power-to-X[b] which turns arbitrary power + water + air into hydrocarbons. But all of that will need to get accelerated. I have a background in chemical engineering so may start funding things in this area. (7) Ultimately, this war is going to result in tremendous blame for anyone associated with it. It's a no-win scenario to blow up this much infrastructure for so many people. Simply not worth it for whatever objective they thought they were going to attain. But unless you're actually in a position to stop the madness, the pragmatic thing to do is: scramble to mitigate the fallout to yourself, your business, and your people. [a]: reuters.com/business/energ… [b]: alfalaval.com/industries/ene… [c]: reuters.com/sustainability…

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@D__Melb @balajis Introspection is for postmodern wimps (ask Andreesen). Disruption creates opportunities. Unfortunately, applied in geopolitics, the risks involved have somewhat deeper downsides than incinerating your LPs funds. Besides that: his damage report is cold and clear 🥶
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DocMelbourne
DocMelbourne@D__Melb·
@balajis Time for a mea culpa yet? Maybe you should think about why you backed this man who was obviously unfit to hold this office. x.com/balajis/status…
Balaji@balajis

FROM DEI OFFICERS, TO USA OFFICERS What a great clip. Trump is at his absolute best when overriding Democrat governance. He’s just genetically optimized to cut through blue bureaucracy. Did it for years as a New York real estate developer. In this scene he’s doing what every CEO has done but no president in decades has: going directly to understand what’s failing, talking to everyone first hand, and not taking no for an answer. And often the answer is so simple! “Allow people to clean up their own homes” is at the level of “put water on the plants instead of Gatorade.” Blues created such an Idiocracy that extremely obvious moves like this nevertheless unlock billions in value. How to do this systematically, though? On a one-off basis, Trump could maybe unblock blue state bureaucracy with targeted executive orders from above. But personnel is policy — so what you really want is to just de facto fire everyone like Bass. After all, many of these mayors are actually ceremonial because city managers run the cities. So as a thought experiment, imagine the US had a vertically integrated org chart, with all mayors reporting to their governors reporting directly to the president. Then Trump could just fire Bass on the spot and hand over command to one of his many new competent lieutenants. In practice, he might not legally be able to fire these people, but he could effectively strip them of authority. Think about what happened during Hurricane Katrina, when GWB handed over control of New Orleans to Lt. Gen. Russel Honoré. With appropriate legal authority, Honoré just started barking orders and cleaning up the mess local blue government had made. You could systematize that. Maybe as DOGE shuts down the useless parts of the federal bureaucracy, it boots up a series of “embeds” that sit in every blue mayor and governor’s office, with full information rights on everything. Kind of like a DEI officer — except they’d be a USA officer! While DEI officers ensured compliance with blue values, a USA officer would ensure compliance with the people’s values. That is, they’d make sure each local action by a blue elected is compliant with the President’s guidance for the whole country. And if the mayor or governor did something different — if they delayed permits, or released criminals, or distributed syringes, or funded homeless encampments — the USA officer could just report up to DC to rain down an executive order on the next Bass’ head. That’s how you scale this scene to every blue city in America.

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Balaji
Balaji@balajis·
I'm going to make some obvious points. (1) Blowing up all the oil infrastructure in the Middle East is an insane idea, and may well result in a global economic crash and humanitarian crisis unrivaled in the lives of those now living. We're talking about the price of everything everywhere rising, from food to gas, at a moment when inflation was already high. All of that will be laid at the feet of the authors of this war. (2) The antebellum status quo of Feb 27, 2026 was just not that bad, but we're unlikely to return to it. Expect indefinite, long-term, ongoing disruptions to everything out of the Middle East. (3) Also assume tech financing crashes for the indefinite future. The genius plan to get the Gulf states caught in the crossfire has incinerated much of the funding for LPs, for datacenters, and for IPOs. Anyone in tech who supported this war may soon learn the meaning of "force majeure" as funding gets yanked. (4) Many capital allocators will instead be allocating much further down Maslow's hierarchy of needs, towards useful basic things like food and energy. (5) It's fortunate that all those progressives yelled about the "climate crisis." Yes, their reasoning about timelines was wrong, and much of the money was wasted in graft, but the result was right: we all need energy independence from the Middle East, pronto. It's also fortunate that Elon and China autistically took climate seriously. Now they're going to need to ship a billion solar panels, electric vehicles, batteries, nuclear power plants, and the like to get everyone off oil, immediately. (6) It's not just an oil and gas problem, of course. It's also a fertilizer problem, and a chemical precursor problem. Maybe some new sources will come online at the new prices, but it takes time to dial stuff up, particularly at this scale, so shortages are almost a certainty. That said, China has actually scaled up coal-to-chemicals[a,c] (C2C), and there's also something more sci-fi called Power-to-X[b] which turns arbitrary power + water + air into hydrocarbons. But all of that will need to get accelerated. I have a background in chemical engineering so may start funding things in this area. (7) Ultimately, this war is going to result in tremendous blame for anyone associated with it. It's a no-win scenario to blow up this much infrastructure for so many people. Simply not worth it for whatever objective they thought they were going to attain. But unless you're actually in a position to stop the madness, the pragmatic thing to do is: scramble to mitigate the fallout to yourself, your business, and your people. [a]: reuters.com/business/energ… [b]: alfalaval.com/industries/ene… [c]: reuters.com/sustainability…
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Daractenus
Daractenus@Daractenus·
In a truly spectacular feat of mental gymnastics even by Russian standards, the Kremlin is now criticizing Europeans and calling them warmongers for refusing to join the US in its war against Iran, a Russian ally.
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Jochen Bittner
Jochen Bittner@JochenBittner·
Graham ist ein ausgewiesener Nato- und Europafreund. Man muss ihn nicht für einen Repräsentanten der Mitte halten. Aber vielen Europäern, einschließlich dem Bundeskanzler, ist offenbar nicht klar, wie tief die Enttäuschung über den jahrzehntelangen Mangel an Burden Sharing bei vielen Amerikanern ohnehin schon saß — und was gerade auf dem Spiel steht.
Lindsey Graham@LindseyGrahamSC

Just spoke to @POTUS about our European allies’ unwillingness to provide assets to keep the Strait of Hormuz functioning, which benefits Europe far more than America. I have never heard him so angry in my life. I share that anger given what’s at stake. The arrogance of our allies to suggest that Iran with a nuclear weapon is of little concern and that military action to stop the ayatollah from acquiring a nuclear bomb is our problem not theirs is beyond offensive. The European approach to containing the ayatollah’s nuclear ambitions have proven to be a miserable failure. The repercussions of providing little assistance to keep the Strait of Hormuz functioning are going to be wide and deep for Europe and America. I consider myself very forward-leaning on supporting alliances, however at a time of real testing like this, it makes me second guess the value of these alliances. I am certain I am not the only senator who feels this way.

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Karl Marx was right. We almost blew the planet to smithereens during the Cold War but history really repeats itself, first as tragedy, second as farce and here we are.
Jim Stewartson, Decelerationist 🇨🇦🇺🇦🇺🇸@jimstewartson

Donald Trump told the story of how he decided on the war, which was that stock prices were so high he could afford to attack Iran. To get advice on the decision he asked Susie Wiles. Now you know why they had no clue the Strait of Hormuz would shut down. Try to read it. “We're doing great. I went to Susie my beautiful Susie Wiles. There's nobody like Susie. I went to Susie. Right? And everybody's with her and she's a great woman really she's a great woman. But I went to Susie. I always go to Susie. I said Susie do you mind if I take a little excursion here? Do you mind if I you know we're hitting all these records, right? Most more people are working in the United States today than ever before as I can name this I don't want to bore you Because this is all about Ireland but you're a big part of it because you're a big part of this country but I said do you mind if I take a little excursion my chief of staff because I want to do this. I have Marco here. We have a lot of our great people JD is here. They're all here and I say let's let's do this. We're gonna do it right should have been done by many presidents should have been done Long before 47 years. It's 40 years of living in terror You know, they're they're called the bully of the Middle East But they're really the bully of the world because he used oil to bribe right? He used oil to bribe and to you know gain power. I don't know what they gained. What are they gained? What the hell? How are they doing? Not so good. They're all gone now. Every one of them. They're all gone. We don't even know who to our biggest problem. We don't know who to deal with over here. I can call the speaker of the house He's so powerful. I can call him. I can make a deal maybe I can even call your Democrat counterpart this guy. I said to Kelly. What do you think of your counterpart? He said he's a great guy. This is Republican Democrat. I never thought I was gonna hear that about you. Let me shake your hand. When Kelly when Kelly tells me that I said that's the way it used to be You know, that's the way it not so long ago and maybe someday that's the way it'll be again. It's really great. But I said you mind of I take a little excursion Because we have to do something and it'll be a short term excursion? But we have all these great things going and we had to say you know, we could have. What could have gone up up? It was only going in one direction. But I think now it's gonna go much higher than it would have gone had we not taken this little journey. And so I appreciate all of the people that have worked with us I was not an easy decision to make we have a country that was hotter than any country anywhere in the world and Doing great in every way and I say oh, we have to put out this this cancer. It's a cancer We had to take that operation and we did and it was very successful and continues frankly as somebody said very they could leave today. And it would take ten years to rebuild the damage has been done. But I think we have to make it a little bit more permanent because no other president has to go through this and we shouldn't have any other President having to go through this kind of a thing and If they didn't want to do it if for some reason they didn't want to do it. Would have the same problem. We don't ever want to have that problem again Not with lunatics. We can't have lunatics controlling nuclear weaponry. So I just want to thank everybody.”

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Gandalv
Gandalv@Microinteracti1·
🇫🇷 A French general just said joining Trump’s coalition is like buying a ticket to dinner and dancing on the Titanic – the evening after it hit the iceberg. That’s not a metaphor. That’s a military assessment. Gandalv / @Microinteracti1
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