Bobby Henson

Stating the obvious, the Senate GOP is going to be pretty ungovernable for the next couple months. Unenviable task for White House office of legislative affairs.

I am a senior coordinating producer for the White House Correspondents' Association Dinner. I have worked eleven of these. I was backstage at the Washington Hilton when the shots were fired. The first thing I heard was not the gunfire. It was glass. A champagne flute hit the floor of the International Ballroom at approximately 9:47 PM. Then a second. Then the sound that I have since been told was a 12-gauge shotgun, which from inside the ballroom sounded like a heavy door slamming in a parking garage. Then the Secret Service moved. They moved the President, the Vice President, the First Lady through the east corridor in under ninety seconds, which is protocol, which is practiced, which is the one part of the evening that worked exactly as it was designed. Everything else was improvised. I know this because I ordered the wine. 94 tables. Two bottles per table. 188 bottles of a Willamette Valley pinot noir that the Association selected in February after a tasting committee spent three meetings debating between Oregon and Burgundy. Oregon won. The budget was $14,200. I signed the invoice. I can tell you the vintage. I can tell you the distributor. I can tell you the per-bottle cost because I negotiated it down from $89 to $76. What I cannot tell you is how 147 of those bottles left the building during an active shooter evacuation. I can tell you what I saw. A correspondent from a network I will not name picked up two bottles on her way to the east exit. Full bottles. One in each hand. She was wearing heels and she did not spill. A man in a tuxedo tucked one inside his jacket the way you'd shoplift a paperback at an airport bookstore. A woman picked up a bottle, looked at the label, put it back, and took a different one. She checked the vintage. During an evacuation. That's editorial judgment under pressure. The theme of the dinner was "A Free Press for a Free People." The banners were still hanging when the evacuation began. I know because I hung them. Twenty-three banners, navy blue, gold serif lettering, $11,400 for the set. They were still hanging when 2,600 guests were directed to the exits by Secret Service agents, one of whom had just taken a shotgun round in his ballistic vest and walked to the ambulance on his own feet. The agent's vest costs approximately $800. The wine that left the building was worth $11,172 at Association cost. At restaurant markup, roughly $29,000. The guests saved more in wine than the vest that saved the agent. That's priority. The video went viral by 10:15 PM. Not the video of the evacuation. Not the Secret Service response. The wine. Three guests in formalwear grabbing bottles off white tablecloths while being told to move toward the exits, while a man with a shotgun stood in the same motor entrance where John Hinckley shot Ronald Reagan 45 years ago. A woman near the service entrance was crying. She said "I just wanna go home." She was not holding wine. She was holding her phone. She was the only person I saw that night who looked afraid rather than inconvenienced. That's the distinction. The rest of the ballroom did not look afraid. They looked interrupted. An active shooter at the WHCD is a logistical problem. The dinner was disrupted. The timeline was off. The after-party at the French Ambassador's residence would need to be rescheduled. These are contingency matters. Contingency matters have solutions. Fear is for people who attend events without security details. I have produced eleven of these dinners. I have managed seating charts that require diplomatic-grade negotiations. I have handled comedians, cabinet secretaries, network anchors, and the editor of a major newspaper who once threatened to leave because his table was behind a column. I have never, in eleven years, seen a guest leave a $76 bottle on the table during an evacuation. I have also never seen a guest check the label first. Both observations are consistent. The bottle is worth taking. The evacuation is worth surviving. The instinct is to do both simultaneously. 188 bottles placed. 41 recovered. 147 unaccounted for. One agent shot. Zero guests injured. Zero bottles broken. A free press for a free people. The press is free. The wine was $76 a bottle. They took it anyway.

Future SCOTUS Justice? President Trump's WH Counsel David Warrington just named 39-year-old Whitney Hermandorfer as an example of a judge they've put on the bench who may someday sit on the Supreme Court.

It’s time to redistrict Florida. Over TWO MILLION Americans have moved to the Sunshine State since 2020, and the old congressional maps no longer reflect the state. Gov. DeSantis supports this effort and has convened a special session. Now Speaker Perez and the legislature need to get it over the finish line!

With just five days to go until the Virginia gerrymandering referendum, I've just run the same early vote model that I used in 2021, 2024, and 2025. The results give me an early vote electorate of: 🔴GOP: 35.99% 🔵Dems: 64.01% That's pretty much the ballgame right there. I'm sure "No" will do significantly better than Sears did last November, but national Republicans really just abandoned this fight before it even began. My gut tells me that the GOP is going to fall just short of what it really needed to get on both the persuasion and turnout fronts. I'm expecting "Yes" to win by about 3-7 points. The Supreme Court of Virginia should throw this entire case out because Democrats violated the state constitution and state law in order to even get this referendum on the ballot in the first place (to say nothing of the explicitly partisan language itself), but considering the court is filled with cowards, I'm not holding my breath that they'll do the right thing.

Okay, for the third and final time (and now in ugly colors), here is my Virginia Redistricting prediction: Yes +5.2 Honestly the polls seem to be in line with it here. Electorate + persuasion seems to outrun Miyares but not enough to win. Think Stafford/VAB go either way.