Matt

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Matt

Matt

@MattMattvbip

just for fun

HongKong Beigetreten Nisan 2026
123 Folgt27 Follower
ZeroKnowledger
ZeroKnowledger@ZeroKnowledger_·
$MU $DRAM Der Markt interpretiert das falsch, das ist nur noise. $NVDA optimiert einfach die specs bzw. Kosten da die Preise so gestiegen sind und um Lieferverzögerungen zu verhindern. SOCAMM 192GB Bestellmenge halbiert sich zwar, aber 96GB und 64GB Bestellmengen erhöhen sich. Insgesamt erhöht sich das Shipment Volumen und der Bedarf an SOCAMM steigt sogar. Und HBM4 welcher den Umsatz antreibt bleibt unverändert.
Jukan @COMPUTEX@jukan05

SemiAnalysis: NVIDIA is reducing the SOCAMM capacity for Rubin. via @TMTBreakout

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Matt
Matt@MattMattvbip·
@HiCagr just Volume adjustments!!
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high cagr
high cagr@HiCagr·
So SemiAnalysis dropped a headline that looks bearish for memory, and everyone is misreading it. $MU The claim: NVDA is cutting Rubin NVL72 SOCAMM DRAM from ~55TB to ~28TB per rack. Most Rubin systems move to 96GB modules instead of 192GB. Rack cost drops from $7.6M to $6.8M, TCO from $4.16 to $3.90 per GPU-hour. Surface read: they are halving the memory. Sell memory. Here is the part most people get wrong. SOCAMM is LPDDR5X. It is not HBM. The thing they trimmed is the commodity DRAM bolted to the Vera CPU. The HBM4 on the actual Rubin GPU is untouched, still 8 stacks, 288GB per GPU. The high-margin link in the chain did not move an inch. So why cut at all? Because memory is the current bottleneck and NVDA knows it. SemiAnalysis has SOCAMM contract pricing near $8/GB in 1Q26, a sharp step-up driven by the LPDDR5X surge and broad DRAM tightness. When your input is scarce and repricing higher every quarter, you ration it. You spec it down. You manage TCO. That is not demand weakness. That is a buyer flinching at how tight supply is. → NVDA still calls SOCAMM a $300B TAM. They are managing specs inside a shortage, not walking away. → The cut is on the cheap DRAM. The scarce, sold-out, margin-rich part is HBM, and that allocation is locked. → MU confirmed its HBM4 36G 12H in high-volume production for Vera Rubin. At GTC Taipei NVDA named all three suppliers. SK Hynix takes the largest share, Samsung next, MU the smallest slice. But MU is in the build. The frame I keep coming back to: the bottleneck moved from chips to memory, and the durable one is power. This SOCAMM story is NVDA actively managing the memory link. You do not manage what is abundant. The risks remain: → $MU is the smallest of the three on Rubin HBM4. Share, not access, is the open question. → If LPDDR pricing is what NVDA is really pushing back on, that pressures commodity-DRAM margin even as HBM holds. A headline that screams bearish is NVDA confirming memory is the choke point. They cut the cheap stuff and protected the expensive stuff. That is the whole tell.
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Matt
Matt@MattMattvbip·
@cherryPayment K线的话是这样,今天下去也是回补缺口的,补完就上去了。 之前群里说这个票很吃技术。我观察了几天确实。 但还是容易受消息面波动,这时候技术就失效了
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mark
mark@cherryPayment·
@MattMattvbip 这个厉害 是这样理解的吗
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mark
mark@cherryPayment·
想请教一下,这样的k线走势有什么称呼吗? V型反转?
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Serenity
Serenity@aleabitoreddit·
Wow… new extremely transformative news got released today. Making a certain photonics company: The effective upstream laser chokepoint for $NVDA NVLink fusion CPO ecosystem. With their lasers now in Nvidia’s optical infrastructure supply chains. Can anyone guess the name?
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수문남(상태 : 혐권 혐오)🩸🩸
오늘 16시에도 불끈할 예정
mark@cherryPayment

我们都知道这意味着什么,并且我们也知道这样的合作肯定会发生! 首先,我们需要知道NVLink Fusion是什么,他是是NVIDIA推出的全新平台,其首批加入者包括MediaTek、Marvell、Alchip、Astera Labs等。这个平台允许行业合作伙伴利用NVLink生态构建半定制AI基础设施。 然后这对于 $sive 意味着什么呢? 1. 我们需要知道,当然我也一直在和你们说:Ayar Labs的CPO方案用的是SuperNova + TeraPHY,而这一套方案现在是NVLink Fusion生态的官方组件。我们也多次谈论过Ayar的SuperNova激光光源核心依赖InP(磷化铟)芯片,而这个是SIVE最核心的产品线。 所以我想你们也明白了,这一次公告出来,也是在告诉大家 InP需求被NVIDIA生态锁定,论题可信度质的提升。 2. 我们在文章开头就说过,NVLink Fusion的定位是服务所有异构计算超大规模客户,这意味着Ayar的CPO不是小众方案,而是NVIDIA AI工厂的标准互联选项之一。SIVE的InP激光器随之从”光通信配件”升格为AI基础设施核心材料。 3. 还记得昨天我们说的那个时间线的帖子吗? 现在回想串联在一起: 29号黄仁勋公开力挺CPO,6.2号Ayar Labs正式加入NVLink Fusion。 这样的行为我是不是可以理解为CPO的量产时间表从”2027+“拉近到”现在开始部署”。那么换句话说,SIVE的订单能见度窗口正在打开。 那么我们又联想到昨天的GF利好,我无法想象 $sive 的后续市值………… 这也是我们一直在说的,你们一直在等待实质性利好,但实质性利好到来的这一刻,股价可能已经不是当初的3-5美金了。

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MoreMeatPizza
MoreMeatPizza@MoreMeatPizza·
@Ren_aramb Damn, just stop spreading the good news, you realize that it will limit the chance to load up more at a lower price?! Bro, I am waiting for my monthly trust fund pay check.
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Ren
Ren@Ren_aramb·
Bullish $SIVE Ayar Labs just joined the NVIDIA NVLink Fusion ecosystem. CPO is now foundational infrastructure for AI factories. Think of CPO like replacing the copper wires inside a server with fiber optic cables soldered directly onto the chip. Less heat. Less power. More bandwidth. The interconnect problem is solved at the die level. Ayar Labs needs an External Light Source to feed those optical engines. That laser has to be continuous wave, high coherence, built in InP. That is exactly what $SIVE makes. Sivers and Ayar Labs co-founded the CW-WDM MSA together. They did not just watch this ecosystem get built – they helped write the spec. When Nvidia blesses a technology at the NVLink Fusion level, the supply chain behind it re-rates. Yeah, we are not nearly done with re rating the CPO supply chain. Massively bullish CPO. Long $SIVE.
Ayar Labs@AyarLabs

Today, @AyarLabs announced it has joined the @nvidia NVLink Fusion ecosystem, introducing co-packaged optics as a foundational building block for hyperscalers and system innovators deploying heterogeneous compute in NVIDIA AI factories. Press Release: bit.ly/4oa8epa

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Matt
Matt@MattMattvbip·
@Sofigoodboy 😂continue to flying to the moon
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SoFire
SoFire@Sofigoodboy·
오늘 EU Chips Act 2.0 + $sive - Ayar Labs - Nvidia 이슈로 $sive 무빙이 어떻게 될지 ㄷㄷㄷ
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Matt
Matt@MattMattvbip·
@memekiller365 FOMO情绪爆棚 现在进还行吗😂
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Matt
Matt@MattMattvbip·
@StormDirac your information is the fastest,thank you
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Anders Storm
Anders Storm@StormDirac·
Breaking news! 💥 Sivers $SIVE & GlobalFoundries $GFS Advance AI Data Center Optical Solutions Tue, Jun 02, 2026 07:00 CET Sivers’ laser arrays to support GlobalFoundries’ silicon photonics platform and SCALE™ optical engine solutions targeting a $25B Pluggable Optics market by 2030 Kista, Sweden – June 2, 2026 – Sivers Semiconductors AB (STO:SIVE), a global leader in photonics and wireless technologies, today announced a strategic collaboration with GlobalFoundries (Nasdaq: GFS) (GF), to develop advanced silicon photonics solutions for the high-growth AI infrastructure market. Sivers Semiconductors’ laser arrays will be integrated into reference designs built on GF’s silicon photonics platform. The collaboration supports a range of optical connectivity architectures, including co-packaged optics (CPO), linear pluggable optics (LPO), and other emerging data center interconnect solutions. Sivers’ laser arrays will also be available in GF’s Silicon Photonics Co-packaged Advanced Light Engine (SCALE™) platform for next-generation optical sub-assemblies and light engine architectures. GF’s SCALE CPO solution combines integrated photonic devices, coarse and dense wavelength-division multiplexing (CWDM, DWDM) and advanced packaging enablement to improve bandwidth density and system scalability. news.cision.com/sivers-semicon…
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Sivers-Semiconductors
Sivers-Semiconductors@SiversSemicond·
We're excited to announce a strategic collaboration with @GlobalFoundries to develop advanced silicon photonics solutions for the rapidly growing AI infrastructure market. Our laser arrays will support next-generation optical connectivity architectures, including CPO, LPO, and other emerging data center interconnect solutions, while complementing GlobalFoundries' silicon photonics platform and SCALE™ optical engine offerings targeting a projected $25 billion pluggable optics market by 2030. For full details, visit: sivers-semiconductors.com/press/sivers-g…
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Matt
Matt@MattMattvbip·
@asianinvestors i saw this post before.and now may he crying in the toilet
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The Asian Investor
The Asian Investor@asianinvestors·
Apparently he's some famous Swedish investor on X But he says $SIVE only worth 3 SEK. I'm sure he doesn't believe that because that's ridiculous. But when he exaggerates, people listen. I'm sure he's had some great calls, but right now, as far as I'm concerned he's wrong. Doesn't matter if in 10 years it goes down to 20SEK. Being an early bear is still wrong if the price moves against you so significantly
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Matt
Matt@MattMattvbip·
@cherryPayment 屏住了四天的黑暗 还好拿住了 lol
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mark
mark@cherryPayment·
有人听吗?
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mark@cherryPayment

这一次的利好,从根本性上改变了 $sive: 简单的来说 $sive 的激光阵列(laser arrays)被正式集成进GFS的两个商业产品线,分别是GFS硅光子参考设计和 SCALE™平台。 1. 我们首先来讲GFS硅光子参考设计 他是什么呢 ? 他是参考设计,专门给foundry提供给下游客户的标准化设计蓝图,是给客户解释说“你照着这个做,保证能跑通”。你可以理解为背书,GFS把SIVE的激光阵列直接内置进这个蓝图,这意味着GFS的客户设计芯片时,激光光源直接默认选SIVE。 这类似于 $sive 不再需要一个一个客户去谈合作,而是直接拥有了GFS的所有客户。 那我们需要想 GFS有多少客户呢? GFS在2025年11月以4.53亿美元收购了新加坡硅光子foundry AMF(Advanced Micro Foundry),预计将增强其在硅光子和光网络领域的规模和客户基础。 这意味着GFS的硅光子客户池在急速扩张,reference design的覆盖面比一年前大得多。 另外多提一句,这个架构几乎覆盖了下一代数据中心光互联的全部主流路线。 2. SCALE™平台 是什么呢? 他是是GFS自己做的完整CPO光引擎解决方案,不只是foundry服务,而是一个可以直接卖给系统客户的集成平台,并且 他还是业界首个符合OCI MSA规范的CPO平台,他们已在平台上验证8λ和16λ双向DWDM,支持50Gbps和100Gbps微环调制器、耦合环谐振器和集成光电探测器。 那这会给 $sive 带来什么影响呢? 如果你了解这方面,你会要注意到SCALE里的CWDM/DWDM信号,每个波长都需要一个激光器。SIVE的激光阵列就是这个不可替代的光源层。 另外,GFS预计其硅光子业务收入2026年翻倍,并在2028年突破10亿美元。 那我们根据这一次新闻,可以推测出SCALE是这个增长的核心载体,SIVE的激光阵列随之出货。 毫不夸张地说这次合作会把 $sive 带上一个新的高度,浅显易懂的话来理解就是Reference Design是让SIVE进超市货架,SCALE是让SIVE成为某款套餐的固定食材。前者扩大了潜在客户触达面,后者锁定了确定性出货路径。两个同时拿下,SIVE的激光阵列在GFS生态里的地位基本是结构性嵌入,而非一次性合作。 光源层的供应商地位一旦进入foundry平台,替换成本极高,这是护城河的建立,不只是订单的增加。 一个市值不到3亿美元的瑞典小公司,今天把自己的产品钉进了全球AI算力基础设施的供应链标准。 你还在怀疑 $sive 没有客户?没有订单?

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Raging Bull
Raging Bull@theragingbullX·
Alright I gotta chill out. Sorry guys it just makes me emotional seeing $SIVE like this. Through doubt, through noise, through nonsensical attacks by short sellers we held and a lot of us finally get to reap the reward…. of holding till 300 SEK!!!😼😼
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