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A thread of sports analytics papers and projects I’ve worked on over the years 🧵
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Steven Patton
6.4K posts
Steven Patton
@PattonAnalytics
NFL Analytics & Graphics | Host of Purrfect Takes | Data Scientist @StatRankings
Charlotte, NC Beigetreten Ocak 2022
434 Folgt8.3K Follower
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Approximate Value Over Expectation for draft picks since 2022:
1. Rams (+125.2)
2. Buccaneers (+92.4)
3. Bills (+79.6)
4. Packers (+76.5)
5. Seahawks (+64.7)
...
28. Titans (-26.7)
29. Browns (-35.1)
30. Cardinals (-36.7)
31. Panthers (-39.5)
32. Vikings (-61)
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The arms were never the key reason why I think he'd be a top tier Center, just a secondary reason so this doesn't move me much in terms of projecting position-wise.
Depends on the team obviously but I still think he profiles best there even if he can be a quality RT too
Mike Garafolo@MikeGarafolo
Utah OL Spencer Fano’s arms measured 32 7/8 just now at his pro day, up from 32 1/8 at the Combine. Another indication that, for whatever reason, the measurements in Indy were short for a number of prospects. That’s a big 3/4 inch difference for Fano.
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Pesky Paul mounting a sandworm doesn’t hold a candle to this
grizz@ixgrizz
Comparing ROTS to this LMAO
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@riskit4bizcuit @TexansCap @pfref The 2022 draft is doing a lot of heavy lifting here:
63 - James Cook
89 - Terrel Bernard
148 - Khalil Shakir
185 - Christian Benford
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@PattonAnalytics @TexansCap @pfref Most Bills beat reporters/fans would have you think that Beane is one the worst GMs in terms of draft hits. This flies in the face of that.
Where do think the disconnect comes from? Being overly critical of the team that they follow?
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@adubs4211 @TexansCap @pfref Approximate Value comes from Pro Football Reference. eAV is calculated through a basic linear regression model:
AV ~ log(pick)
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@DevyEusuf @pfref Just draft pick number, didn't account for position with the OLS model.
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@PattonAnalytics @pfref Is Expected AV based on draft pick number? Or also position?
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@DSP4150 This just popped up on my feed, coincidence I think not
Global Statistics@Globalstats11
15 Highest-Rated Movies of All Time 🎬
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@PattonAnalytics Jurassic Park is one of the best movies ever made, and is so good that 30+ years later they can continue to print money despite the other 6 or so films falling somewhere between awful and fine
ALIEN has some very good follow ups but some real duds mixed in as well
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Fun fact: Gennings Dunker has won a hay bale throwing contest.
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@PattonAnalytics If you isolate just the first film of the trilogy, this entire C tier actually jumps to S tier
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@sportswaatcher @PurpyNFL I can respect that. The only movie I’ve done that with is Revenge of the Sith.
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@PattonAnalytics @PurpyNFL I've been consistently REALLY high on Dune 2, only movie I ever hit the cinema multiple times for.
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I understand that Zoomers are oversaturated with an entire lifetime of people gassing up these movies but they really are that good.
I really like the Dune movies and I’m very excited to watch the third one but I’m sorry it’s not in the same ballpark
Father²@federalia
The Lord of the Rings trilogy
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@sportswaatcher @PurpyNFL Dune 2 is one of the best cinematic experiences over the past half decade, but the hype train needs to hit the brakes just a bit
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@PattonAnalytics @PurpyNFL I watched the entire trilogy like 4 times, twice extended, great movies, no doubt about it
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@sportswaatcher @PurpyNFL Gandalf coming back as the white wizard and helm’s deep, what are we doing homie
GIF
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@PurpyNFL Fellowship >> Dune
Dune 2 > Two Towers, ROTK
If Messiah is ≥2 we're talking
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Go ahead and log off
B1.@chicagoBRIZ
Dune so much better than Star Wars it’s actually disgusting
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This is just sports analytics
Almost Apathetic But@_iidontknoww
starting a RAAS (ragebait as a service) based company
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Tua would be out of the league if he had to play with Bryce’s rookie roster
PINK50@lineofwok
@4ourmanrush Ya QB has a 30.4 win percentage as a 3 year starter.
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